but let's put this horse race into perspective. let's try to find some collective memory and look back four years ago this week. because that's when michele bachmann emern emerged as a sec tier candidate. >> once considered a french candidate bachmann starts as the front runner in first of the nation caucus state iowa. >> the winner of the 2011 iowa straw poll is congress women michele bachmann. >> that cements her position as a serious player in this race. >> what about michele bachmann? >> she is my hero. she is going all the way. she is going to win this thing. i predict she beats romney. >> surprises in the latest poll which shows herman kane is leading the republican pack. >> herman cane has come from nowhere to establish himself as one of the frontrunners.