toward the border now for the exercised initiated with the belarus and did not calculate for every geopolitical, every diplomatic step thus far and he has not decided what is next? >> i think there is an aspect of this, i think that the kremlin may have been certainly trying to assert itself in what it cons considers its sphere and wee see as an independent nation, in ukraine it is certainly a piece of that. and the history and the narrative is there. they also, i think wanted to put pressure on nato, the european union an the north atlantic alliance and i think people have been surprised and this may have backfired. instead of weakening and disassembling, it is shown spine. and now there is discussions of reinforcements. i don't think that was part of