for trump to win at least 50% of the vote here. saying that he has more than half of the republican electorate has always been trump's rationale for not showing up to the debates and for suggesting that all of the other candidates should call it quits. at the same time i think trump will frame iowa as a flashing whether it's 10 points, 15 points, 20 points. if the voting does turn out close i wouldn't be surprised if he makes accusations of fraud or vote rigging. you know, the media is certainly desperate for a horse race and i understand why that's the case, but i really think that donald trump has this nomination, it's going to look more like a coronation than a primary. >> all right. so anything else to take away from the poll numbers? i mean, it seemed, you know, looking at the favorable ratings, for instance, that haley's support might be soft and equally that desantis might have a turnout advantage because when you looked at the numbers the polls seemed to suggest a greater proportion of his supporters when asked said that they would definitely attend the caucuses. i mean, might that lead to a