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the one the administration wanted to avoid, a preemptive israeli military strike. and to try to make an american strike unnecessary. falling markets, rising oil prices attacks on american soldiers in iraq and afghanistan, maybe a dust-up along the israeli/lebanese borter this is the pandora's box out of which all the negative arguments the administration makes will emerge if we can't get some sort of agreement. i wouldn't rule it out. i'm suggesting at this stage unless you get a compelling document that convinces normal people that there have been substantive concessions and a framework to rule out iran's quest for a nuclear weapon both through plutonium and uranium processes, vare dpi indication and monitoring then this has been more process than results. and at the end of the day. we're going to feel as if we've

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