worrying about how they're going to provide for their kids. no, it hasn't come fast enough. >> in that nevada race, the latest polling shows republican sharron angle with a very narrow slight lead over reid. 49% to 45%. a statistical tie given the margin error atop up there. colorado is another toss-up and another tea party test. ken puck with a slight lead over michael bennet heading into election day. over in washington state, the late surge by dino rossi has patty murray and her party more than a little nervous. and back east in pennsylvania, republican pat toomey closes with a slight edge over the democrat joe sestak. and insert more drama here, west virginia also has a neck nedz neck senate race. the former president clinton held out joe manchin as a different kind of democrat. >> i can't figure out why the tea party hasn't endorsed him. what do they want? listen to what they want. they want lots of jobs, small government, low taxes and balanced budgets. i give you exhibit a. >> now here's why those toss-ups are so critical to the balance of power in washington. democrats hold a 59 to 41 senate edge. you need 51 seats for a majority. but look at this scenario which we've allocated some races in which the candidates have larger leads heading into tomorrow's voting. arkansas and north dakota, for example, likely to be republican pick-ups while democrats seem poised to defeat christine o'donnell and hold on to delaware. in this scenario, you see these eight slates in white, those are the toss-up races. arkansas over, florida over. we've given delaware to the democrats here. republicans would have to win seven of these eight and california is leading democrat at the moment. so essentially seven of seven if we're right about california to get to 51. that is a tough road ahead, all the toss-up states, including pennsylvania, washington, colorado, nevada, illinois, wisconsin and west virginia. can they pull it? what is america's biggest med term message? a very big and feisty family in the house tonight. >> brady bunch. >> let's begin with the woman who was smart enough not to join the brady bunch, jessica yellin on the ground auto in nevada. you're missing a great party here. >> reporter: i want to be marcia. >> yeah, that's probably the ugliest senate race. if you follow that race -- where are we on election eve in nevada? >> reporter: look, the bottom line here, john, is that both campaigns think they see winning signs in what was the early vote in this state. 65% of everybody who will have voted has already voted. and democrats think that there was not enough sign of a republican surge for sharron angle to walk away with this. the republicans say just the opposite, that democrats did not get the edge that they needed. the bottom line is more than $30 million has been dumped into this race. charges of one candidate being crazy, another candidate being self-interested and out for himself and nobody know which is way this one is going to go. they expect it to be so close that people are on standby in case there's a recount. going to be a late night. >> great, the lawyers are ready. jess, stand by and jump in when you can. >> late night in vegas. >> let's start with this race as a microcosm of how uninspiring this campaign is. we have roland martin, ed rollins, cornell, john avlon and dana bash with us. these are harry reid mailers essentially trying to beat sharron angle. risky agenda, sharron angle is too extreme for nevada. i guess we don't have that ready. here's another one. not just risky, not just dangerous, not just outright crazy, too extreme for nevada. and, wait, they're not all that bad. if sharron angle's extreme agenda scares you, vote for harry reid. so finally after calling her all these things, they get around to that. cornell, let me start with you. >> why? >> why? >> because here's the thing, senator reid was running behind. and for all of us in politics, you know the best way to move numbers -- and pops knows this -- is to go on the attack. we all hate negative advertising. but it works when you're dumping negative ads on someone, it works. you have a toss-up race in nevada. if we go into that on election day in nevada given what early vote is, it makes it awfully hard for her to come back. >> also could not go crazy negative because his negatives are so high. secondly, we have to confront it. he's also running against a woman. if you saw the debate, there were opportunities where he could have taken a shot at her. he sort of didn't and backed off. >> did he man-up? >> that's an issue there. but when you're still running as the senate majority leader, you still have to have a sense of decorum as you're running. >> i don't think you'll see a lot of states -- >> at the end of the day, whatever he calls her, he's still harry reid. and that's enough basically to make this a very tight race. >> funny you should say that. i've had a lot of conversation with the angle campaign. they were stuck for a long time. they finally realized every negative imaginable about the economy was factored in to harry reid. that's when they started doing the immigration attacks and that's when you finally started seeing the poll numbers shift. i'm wondering if across the nation we're seeing a lot of the negatives are already factored in. >> to jess' point, this is one of the questions in this campaign. who will be the surge vote at the end? and logic in the polling tells you the republicans. in that state, she's saying with early voting, the democrats think they have an edge. every state is a little bit different. looking at polling data today and 55% of americans say they're very, very upset about the state of the economy. and those voters break 2 to 1 for the republicans. unemployment, highest state in the nation is nevada, 14%. high foreclosure rate. is it possibly break for harry reid in the end? >> that's the big question. tie goes to the republican in these cases because of the anger at the status quo. it's about the desire for divided government. that's the big shifts that are moving here. none of those favor harry reid. sharron angle is so toxic to voters in the center -- >> the way it breaks for harry reid is because everybody says this and even republicans admit that it's true. he is a master at the ground game. he knows his state. he has his people out there and it's cliche that that's what matters. but it especially matters in this -- >> i want to come back to this. he's the master of the ground game. he's the master of the ground game, but this is what he has in the mail to people. look at these. this is not a positive experience, get out and vote for me. >> i didn't say it was positive. >> here's the thing, if we can bring her negatives where they're in line with our negatives, then it's a toss-up. and then what happens, then you see the reid ground game work. >> i go back to one state. we talk about 2008. we spent a lot of time talking about new hampshire, so much enthusiasm with then senator barack obama. and what did senator hillary clinton do the last 48 hours? at the end of the day, there's not a single poll in america that really can gauge who actually shows up. and so when we ask the question, well, can it happen? at the end of the day, if we look up tomorrow and then you see folks lined up around the block, that's going to seem a lot different because people actually turn up. >> the sporadic voters are showing up in the early vote in numbers that are surprising a lot of people. surprising a lot of people. i'll circle back around to that later. >> there's another big wake-up call that needs to be factored in. american is a center right country. harry reid is fighting for his life against sharron angle. look at the press room of tom daschle in 2004 and the speaker of the house losing in 2004. >> that's the bigger question. jess, jump in for a second. we're talking specifically about harry reid. but if you pick up what that race is about, it's the bigger dynamic. are all the democratic gains of 2006, the class that made pelosi speaker and 2008, the obama coattails, are all of them in the house and some of these senators, including harry reid, to be washed away. as you're out there talking to people. do they think, we made a mistake or do they think the democrats overreached or overread their mandate? >> reporter: most of the people seem to think that the democrats overreached, that they didn't fundamentally understand what was needed and didn't focus on jobs quickly enough and haven't effected the change that they want. michelle obama was here and said it over and over. i've never heard anyone articulate the president's accomplishments as well as michelle obama did today. she simply is ticked off. he's given you six tax cuts on this and that. and she listed them all in a way that was so clear, you wonder why the white house hasn't been taking her talking points. that's the kind of thing people haven't been hearing. and we're hearing that from the voters themselves. it's like, what have you done for us lately? they just don't know so they're taking it out on democrats. >> it's a philosophical thing. i remember one of the early discussions about one of the bills that spent a lot of money. and i asked harry reid, do you really want to do this right now? and he basically said, look, i believe it is the job of the government when we are in a bad economic time to spend money. we're the only ones who can do it. that's what he believes believe, it's fine. >> nevada has the highest unemployment rate in the country. they have the highest foreclosure, the highest bankruptcy. and half the people in that state weren't in the state when harry reid began his skreer. and they want to send a message. this is the loudest message you can send. i ran the campaign against tom foley. every building in spokane was named against tom foal foley bu everybody wanted to send a message in that year. >> at the end of the day, maybe after tuesday, what they should do is bring michelle obama in with his communications team and say, this is how you talk to america. seriously. the white house has a significant failure in terms of how you actually communicate real issues with real people. she can show them how to do it. so take a lesson from her. >> a quick time-out. we'll continue on that theme. we'll also explore this question -- if the republicans come up just short in their quest for a senate majority, will they blame the tea party candidates? 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[ male announcer ] ever have morning pain slow you down? introducing bayer am, an extra strength pain reliever with alertness aid to fight fatigue. so get up and get goin'! with new bayer am. the morning pain reliever. into revolutionary performance. one word makes the difference between defining the mission and accomplishing the mission. one word makes the difference in defending our nation and the cause of freedom. how... is the word that makes all the difference. if the president has learned anything these past almost two years in office, it is that governing is very, very different from campaigning. so here's a question -- are many of these tea party candidates across the country about to learn the same lesson? for example, here's sharron angle. we were just talking about the senate race in nevada. sharron angle running against harry reid. if she wins the election, she says she wants to do this -- >> i have pledged this. my first act of legislation to put in a repeal obamacare law. >> she's not the only one. ken buck is the tea party candidate, now the republican nominee running for senate in colorado. his priorities? >> i would repeal the health care bill and i would do it for two reasons. i would vote to repeal the health care bill. >> let's bring back to our conversation with our panel. it is a central tenet of many of the candidates running for the house, and we all believe tonight that the republicans are likely to take a majority in the house of representatives. anybody disagree? eh -- >> let's assume the republicans have a majority and maybe that majority is big enough to repeal, to pass legislation that would repeal obamacare in the house. the chances of it passing the senate, even if republicans get to 51 or nil and even if somehow they came up with the magic to do that, the president has a veto pen. how disappointed -- all this energy and the tea party movement will come to washington and say, the first thing we're going to do is repeal health care -- >> for two years, the republicans will make a fundamental mistake if they don't keep bringing it up for a vote. even the tea party activist s know it's not going to pass and there's not enough of a majority to override it. it's about building a movement into 2012. people like tom coburn and jim demint, a lot of guys in the house saying, okay. >> is that the line of thought? the liberals say why is gitmo still open? and their disappointment is a factor likely to be a factor tomorrow -- >> the tea party movement will come after them in two years. this isn't a republican movement. it's a "we hate washington" movement. >> my suggestion to republicans if they win, you better walk in talking about the economy and not about health care. why would you talk about repealing health care when you just saw the democrats possibly pay dearly for talking about health care and not the economy? look, if they win, unemployment is still 9.6%. >> you do it for a very legitimate reason, which is everyone within the next three weeks are going to get letters from their insurance company saying, your health care costs are going up 25% -- >> i don't know how the republicans managed this coalition. most of the energy comes from the grassroots rite, that is the energy. what will get them across the finish lines are independent voters who want something fundamentally different. maybe they think obama is spending too much but they don't washington to be a day care center. they want these guys to figure things out and get along. >> the independent voters supporting the republicans this year are doing it because they're focused on deficits, the debt, and they hope that divided government will force the two parties to vote together. if the folks coming in want to demonize and play offense against the president, they're going to run up against the independents' buzz saw again. shifting from pure opposition to some kind of constructive cooperation will be the real -- >> but the top priority is to defeat barack obama. it's his top priority. that's what he's out there for. >> a process takes place. and what has not occurred for the last two years in spite of the president promising in 2008 that he's going to be -- if anything's going to work it's got to be bipartisan. and if you want to do deficit reduction, which the president claims he does, you have to sit down together. i think the key thing here is republicans to tone it down and mcconnell should not have said what he said. >> john boehner in his prepared remarks tonight had this quote -- we will not compromise on the will of the american people. i know we're not there yet -- >> it's the course of a campaign. next january -- first of all, we're going to go through a knockdown dragout -- >> let me bring jessica yellin in. you wanted to jump into the conversation. you've spent a lot of time around these grassroots conservatives. are they going to have their bubble burst if the republicans that come to washington can't get everything done? >> reporter: i think that as long as their activists continue to take the vote and try to repeal obamacare and try to take a stand, they'll be satisfied with them and angry with the larger republican party and the larger establishment. they do need to see these tea party elected officials -- they keep saying when i talk to them, i just want to send a message. i just want to vote no. they're just voting against whoever's there. if they don't get what they like n two years, they'll seep flip-flopping back and forth until they get something that looks like compromise and cooperation in washington. >> i've been talking to some republicans today on this issue of no compromise. and they say, yes, of course, we're going to push 1, 2, 3, however many times on repealing health care. they are going to push on reducing the deficit and spending and things like that. but they say they realize they're not going to be able to get it all. so they will try to trim around the corners on things like health care and hope that that will at least help the base. >> how much of the contract with america was passed? almost nothing. and they didn't get voted out for a long time. they got voted out because they lost their way and they lost the fiscal. as long as these guys stay fiscally conservative which i think democrats and republicans alike are going to be more fiscally conservative, that may be the most meaningful part of this election. >> when we keep assuming if these tea party members are elected, that somehow they're going to fracture the republican party, understand, the republican party is either conservative or very conservative. the problem with the democratic, they're too drk. they have to pull together to get anything passed. it's going to be easier for republicans to stay unified on the measures they have. >> you asked the impact of the tea party candidates here. one of the hilarious things about this election is how much rino hunting went into the process. and now all of a sudden, everyone's calling their opponents extremists. make up your minds, folks. either you're on extremist who wants to purge your party or you're going to cooperate and work across the lines when you get in. >> i promise all the members of the brady bunch -- alice is in the dinner making kitchen. still to come here, how the president is preparing to respond to the midterm vote and why all this republican infighting when things are looking so up for the gop. just ahead, the latest headlines and stay with us, a unique look at how the big debates of this year's campaign are playing out in the twitterverse. down the hill? man: all right. we were actually thinking, maybe... we're going to hike up here, so we'll catch up with you guys. [ indistinct talking and laughter ] whew! i think it's worth it. working with a partner you can trust is always a good decision. massmutual. let our financial professionals help you reach your goals. welcome back. let's check this with joe johns for the latest news you need to know right now. >> homeland security secretary janet napolitano tells cnn the u.s. is taking new security prekaugs because of the package bombs sent from yemen. but she's offering no specifics. >> again, some of what we're going to do, we're not going to talk about because we don't want our adversaries to know. >> the embargo on package shipments from yemen which is supposed to expire today has been extended to november 8th. yemeni authorities are intensifying the hunt for bombmaker who may be linked to the shipments. and in another important story, a federal appeals court this afternoon ruled the military's policy banning openly gay troops from serving will remain in force during the court fight over "don't ask, don't tell." so it seems like on that part of the story, at least, john, everything just remains up in the air. however, perhaps now, at least we know the policy remains in force. >> and whenever there are decisions or announcements about that particular issue, it lights up the social media world, facebook, twitter and the like. i want to show you cool new things we have. sentiment analysis. it's our way of looking at some of the preelection sentiments. this is the presidential election from 2008. i want to click over to this new feature we have. this is a sentiment analysis of thousands of tweets. this one here is your view of the tea party. we'll do this on election day as well. this is a pre-election analysis. you see the yellow, may look like beige. these are people who feel in those states, you can see more tweets were anti-tea party than pro-tea par i. the purple is pro-tea party. you see in the southwest and texas, florida, big tea party candidate for senate there. and way up into new england. the purple is positive view of the tea party. the yellow, a less positive view, maybe a negative view of the tea party. that's one thing we're looking at. this next thing is one of the most depressing things i've ever looked at. this is why are people voting? if it's orange, which happens to be 48 of the 50 states, that is a vote against a person or a policy. overwhelmingly across the country, this is not a positive, hopeful election. this is people saying they are coming out to vote to cast a ballot against someone. only in vermont you see a little more get out and vote for a person. in the state of rhode island, get out the vote, i voted. up in new england, feeling happier about this election. but overwhelmingly across the country, a negative sentiment, anti-vote in tomorrow's election. that is something to watch. it's a little depressing but it is a sentiment we pick up in the twitterverse. a key player in this election, current mississippi governor is a former chairman of the republican party. he has a big voice in this campaign. and maybe he's thinking about the next one. he'll be one-on-one with us next. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 tdd# 1-800-345-2550 but the moment they had my money? nothing. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 no phone calls, no feedback, tdd# 1-800-345-2550 no "here's how your money's doing." tdd# 1-800-345-2550 i mean what about a little sign that you're still interested? tdd# 1-800-345-2550 come on, surprise me! tdd# 1-800-345-2550 [ male announcer ] a go-to person to help you get started. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 regular detailed analysis of your portfolio. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 for a whole lot of extras at no extra charge, tdd# 1-800-345-2550 talk to chuck. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 ♪ an accidental touch can turn ordinary into something more. moments can change anytime -- just like that. and when they do men with erectile dysfunction can be more confident in their ability to be ready with cialis for daily use. cialis for daily use is a clinically proven, low-dose tablet you take every day, so you can be ready anytime the moment is right. tell your doctor about your medical condition and all medications, and ask if you're healthy enough for sexual activity. don't take cialis if you take nitrates for chest pain, as this may cause an unsafe drop in blood pressure. 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[ male announcer ] ask your doctor if cialis for daily use is right for you. for a 30-tablet free trial offer, go to cialis.com. helps kids be their best. we think it probably helps teachers be their best too. quaker instant oatmeal. does your breakfast make you amazing? mississippi governor haley barbour is a busy man these days. giving speeches for republican candidates and is chairman of the republican governors association, he's been able to help them financially as well. there's nothing like winning friends and making contacts in states that have presidential primaries in just a year or so. maybe that's what some of this is about. governor barbour joins us to go one-on-one. good to see you, governor. i have on the map all the governors' race this is year. the red states currently held by republicans. the blue states held by democrats. there are 37 contests coast to coast. republicans hold 23 governorships right now. wednesday morning, we'll know you will have how many come january? >> we hold 24 right now, john. if we don't have at least 30, i'll be disappointed and it could be in excess of 30. >> we come down to the wire. california, the democrats are feeling confident. florida seems to be a toss-up. democrats feeling more and more confident there. what about those two big states there? >> i still think california is very competitive. i think we have a slight edge in florida. but i think it's competitive. we need a big turnout tomorrow. who votes matters and a big turnout among conservatives and republicans. independents voting this year almost identical to republicans, all that's very important. but those are two close races where you have republican governors or if you have an independent now -- i guess that's why you say we only have 23. >> a former republican governor, jeb bush, the former governor of florida, told "the new york times" this -- the looming victories for republican candidates next tuesday is not a validation of the republican party at all. he's speaking to the idea that this is an anti-washington, anti-democrat, maybe anti-obama vote. does the republican governor's party have a problem? >> i think jeb is right. this is a referendum on president obama's policies. and if we have the kind of republican victory some people are predicting, it will be a repudiation of obama's policies, excessive spending, skyrocketing deficits, huge debt piled up on our children and grandchildren, a giant tax increase around the country in january. it's not saying the public loves us. it's saying the republicans are going to give you a chance. you better get out there and earn it. >> the question is, what next? you say they better get out there and earn it. republican governors will be charged with implementing the obama health care bill. will they be fighting that? mitch mcconnell who hopes to be the majority leader said this -- the single most important thing we want to achieve is for president obama to be a one-term president. he didn't say a jobs bill or cutting spending. his staff says this is a political argument, that he has policy priorities. is that what you want republicans to be saying publicly right now? we want to make this a one-term presidency? >> what we want to say ta the public is, we heard you. if they, as i think they will, repudiate obama's policies, they're expecting us to try to reduce spending and in fact to reduce it. they're expecting us to stop any tax increases that would hurt this already very fragile jobless economy. they're expecting us to bring deficits down and we better -- that's what we better do. now, if the president who agrees with the republicans on some education issues like paip pay for performance, merit pay, charter schools, if he wants to work together with us on that, good. if he wants to be part of reducing spending, good. that's what -- we'll see how he responds to the he puduatirepud his policies. but the republicans better respond by doing what the public said they voted for. >> if the president reaches out on those issues or maybe other issues, then he also reaches out and says, haley barbour, i need your help. you're a governor, you're one of the party's best fund-raisers and one of the things i didn't like about this campaign is all this undisclosed money. the supreme court says the organizations can spend. what about a bipartisan agreement on disclosure so the american people would know where it's all coming from? would you support a disclosure bill? >> here is a president who is -- his whole campaign is being heavily funded by labor union money that we have no idea where it comes from -- >> so i understand you're making your talking points on that. and you're right. union money in. there's a lot of corporate money in. looking forward. it's the day after the election, the week after the election, the month after the election, the president said, let's prove to the american people, both parties want to be more transparent. not end the money. the supreme court says the money is okay. but in the meantime, how about just disclosure so we know where it's coming from? >> as you may know, i have been publicly on the record for years, every penny of political contributions ought to be disclosed. but all the campaign finance reform of my career has been going in exactly the opposite direction. you know as well as i, mccain/feingold took power away from campaigns and parties and gave that power to special interest groups. many of which, whether they're funded by george soros or not, we don't know where the money is coming from. we need a finance system that allows parties and campaigns and candidates to raise whatever money, disclose it all, but we've gone in just exactly the opposite direction. and the left abetted by the news media, quite frankly, has led that. >> governor, we got to know each other quite well back in the '90s. you were chairman of the republican national committee in '94. i have a map of your recent travels. you're supporting republican candidates. a lot of important presidential states you happen to have visited. are you going to run for president? >> i've said from the very beginning, i wasn't going to do anything about anything except governors' races through tomorrow. we can't wait till 2012 to start taking our country back. so i've done nothing -- >> here's why i ask the question, governor, a lot of your friends are saying, haley, if you're not going to run for president, we need you to come back as rnc chairman and block michael steele. your close friends are worried about him as the leader of the party. will you under any circumstances agree to come back or agree to be a candidate for republican national committee chairman? >> for next year? >> for next year. >> no. first of all, it would be against the law. as governor of mississippi, i have a full-time job. i don't know the law in virginia because two virginia governors have been able to do that. i couldn't do that unless i resigned as the governor of mississippi which i'm certainly not about to do. >> just wait for that presidential decision, then, huh? >> and to me, i'm going to sit down after tomorrow and see if there's anything to think about. but i don't feel any time pressure over the next few weeks or months, we'll see if marsha thinks it's a good idea and whether others think it's a good idea. >> if i don't see you in des moines, see you in jackson. >> john, take care. >> take care, governor. see you soon. when we come back, why are americans apparently turning against the president? 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[ male announcer ] see how the hartford helps businesses at achievewhatsahead.com. will tomorrow's midterm vote be a repudiation of president obama and what is the white house planning to do to deal with the election results? we have a great panel here. gloria borger, david gergen. they don't know what's coming, ed, but they have a pretty good sense. will we hear a conciliatory president or a defiant president? >> reporter: they're starting to lean towards that conciliatory tone. they understand while they have insisted this is not a referendum on the president or his leadership that it's a choice between democrats and republicans, they're seeing the early indicators and they realize that this may be a pretty tough election for them. senior advisers are talking about having some sort of a summit after this election, maybe even at camp david. get both sides together, get the tv cameras out. but really kick everyone out and get them behind closed doors and show this president is serious about reaching out. they haven't made a decision yet but they are seriously considering that because they want to make a dramatic showing that they're going to reach out. >> fascinating point. listen to something the president said back in october. he was out on the west coast campaigning. and this is the question i guess i keep asking, does the white house understand that the people don't like the product or do they think the people don't like the marketing? listen to the president. >> we were in such emergency mode that it was very difficult for us to spend a lot of time doing victory laps and advertising exactly what we were doing because we had to move on to the next thing. >> do you agree with that, david, that it's a good product, that it just hasn't been marketed well or did they sell the american people a bad product? >> at least three of us have all been in a position of when things go badly saying, it's a screw-up in communication. we've all been there for that. and usually it's policy. you usually get the policy wrong. in this case, the market has not been all that it might be, of course. but to say that he hasn't marketed, my god, he gave about 60 speeches on health care. he's one of the most overexposed presidents we've ever had. >> we've seen more of this president everywhere, at every ribbon-cutting everywhere. and people feel like they know him less well than other presidents even though they've seen more of him and he had plenty of time to message on all of his policies. but they didn't do it because they were too busy fighting within their own party about how to craft a health care bill. >> how do you deal -- both of you have been around presidents who have to adjust. it's hard. presidents have a healthy ego. they're the commander in chief and the leader of the free world. how do you go to them and say, it's not just the marketing, we've got to change? >> it's your white house. >> when i did work in the white house, it actually came the other way. it came from bill clinton to the staff, frankly. i was complaining at one point, he was sending me up the hill to go work the republicans. i don't like republicans, josh, news flash. seriously. i was upset. he said, look at your paycheck. look at newt's. newt doesn't like very much that we're here. but we both -- this wasn't a public speech. he meant it. and this president, should this go badly for his party tomorrow -- i'm not ready to call it a day -- has to understand there's legitimacy that is conferred by winning an election and he's going to have to deal with that. >> but is he a schmoozer like clinton? >> the question is, george w. bush came to washington saying he wanted to get along with democrats. after 9/11, happened for a brief period of time and then it collapsed. bill clinton had a polarizing environment but did do sol business. do you see this president and the republican leaders trying to have at least on some issues proving to the american people, we're going to fight over this stuff but we can get this stuff over here done? >> well, the voters have spoken. they spoke in new jersey. they spoke in virginia. they spoke in the scott brown case and in each election, they were not heard. that's part of the problem here. so you can't say that they were just having -- or they just thought they were having a communication problem. david axelrod went out after the town hall meetings last summer and said, there was nothing. they doubled down and the democrats, they split in the white house. some of them said, let's pull back a little bit. others said, no, they'll love it when it's passed and they find out what's in it. and the opposition increased. they have to come -- these are not centrists -- everyone's talking about governing from the center. 80/20, people think the stimulus was a waste. the majority of the people want health care repeal or at least parts of it. >> i wouldn't blame the white house alone on this. i think the white house ceded too much authority to the hill. there was no clear message because there was no clear health care bill. there was no clear direction. >> in terms of how he now deals with that after the election, i've been very surprised that's going to leave the country on friday and go for this big international trip. bill clinton did that shortly after the election in '94, i thought it was a mistake then. he was -- you remember this. >> i sure do. >> he was hunted down when he was over there. he had to answer questions on foreign soil. about domestic politics. i'm surprised they made the same mistake. he's going to lose control of the narrative. >> clinton recovered. obama can recover. nancy pelosi, the villain in 10,000 commercials accepted 213 republican amendments to the health care bill. barack obama accepted them. what did he -- everybody is saying obama didn't do good enough to reach out. should he have taken 214 amendments? what was the magic number? >> time-out. when we come back, we're going to spend a little bit of time on something interesting. the republicans are about to win, probably pretty big. why are they fighting among themselves and acting like democrats? we'll be right back. 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[ indistinct shouting ] ♪ another day ♪ another dollar ♪ daylight comes [ dogs barking ] ♪ i'm on my way ♪ another day ♪ another dollar ♪ working my whole life away ♪ another day ♪ another dollar we need to count the votes tomorrow, of course. it looks like republicans are going to have big wins. take back the house. pick up a lot of gubernatorial elections across the country. why are they saying, we have to stop sarah palin, michael steele. michael steele was on cnn this morning, he was asked specifically about the criticism and the effort essentially to get in the way of sarah palin. listen here. >> if she goes through the process and the republican primary voters vote for her, absolutely i would be happy, why wouldn't i be? these republican leaders who don't put their names in print but make comments in shadows need to shut up. >> now, this is your party, you said it was his white house earlier. i used to always joke -- >> it's my party and i'll cry if i want to. >> it's usually the democrats that get in the firing squad at key moments. why are so many republicans worried about sarah palin? essentially having family feuds at a time they should be celebrating? >> these are two separate issues. why is this story coming up now? republicans have been very careful not to talk about 2012. the voters are focused on 2010. what happens for 2012 is going to depend on how this bunch of elected people respond. if they don't respond to what it is they were voted in to do, it will be a different 2012. >> there's some disagreement within the party about what the message of this election is? are they to govern, oppose obama. >> there's a danger. when you talk to republicans. mitch mcconnell, the senate leader i spoke to him last week. there's a danger in over interpreting the mandate here. he was open about saying people aren't saying they love republicans right now. what they are saying,they don't like the way the democrats have governed, republicans have something to prove. whether or not mcconnell gets support from the tea party candidates that are coming in and want to vote against every spending bill remains to be seen. >> they're all going to learn to count to 60 just like everybody in this sentence. >> i think sarah palin is going to be watching closely what happ happens. >> you had a conversation -- there's no question that there are a huge number of people in the establishment of the republican party who do not want sarah palin to be the nominee of the party. they think they'll go down. they're on the cusp of taking back the senate in the next cycle, they could take back the white house. i think it's clear she's going to face a lot of opposition private as well as public. >> it's a problem when republican elites treat the grassroots like the girl they fool around with behind the gym. >> we'll continue this conversation wednesday. we have a big election tuesday first. let's worry about 2010 first, then 2012. when we come back, elections have winners and loosers. sometimes there are losers who come out winners. is your rent too high? ♪ [ male announcer ] we all need people who will be there for us in life. people who say, "we're with you, no matter what." at wachovia and wells fargo, we're with you, when a house turns into a home... ...when a passion becomes a career... ♪ ...when a relationship turns into a lifetime... and when all the hard work finally pays off. we're with you when you need someone to stand by you. wachovia, wells fargo, and you. together we'll go far. pete dominick here with me in the matrix. are you going to levitate for me? >> i can. i can. there are winners in campaigns, there are losers in campaigns. you spent some time on the street with a guy who's going to lose. he's not going to be the next governor of new york, but he's made a key point. let's listen to mr. rent is too damn high. >> i agree. we're all new yorkers. we're all in this together. let's clear this up. i have conflicting news reports about what you said and what you haven't said. what is true and what is not true. do you or do you not pay rent in your home right now? >> all the mothers are getting evicted right now. we pay rent, they don't pay rent. you want to talk about me or them? >> rent is too damn high and there's nothing else to talk about. >> whisper in my ear, jimmy, please, tell me. >> rent is too damn high. these people are suffering day and night. they cannot afford to pay their rent. they cannot afford to pay their rent. >> okay, okay. your campaign about the rent being too high, tell me -- >> my brother cannot, my -- every time, every time. >> rent is too damn high, i agree with jimmy. i quit, i'm outta here. back to you, john king! back to you. >> you okay? >> yeah, i'm fine