guessing, educating guessing, putin will send the 150,000 troops he was practicing last week, into southern and eastern ukraine. that will be the cuban missile crisis plus, and you know how close we came to war. therefore, your point in your lead, is how do we get people to sit down -- and let me say one thing about this. putin doesn't trust or like obama. he thinks he's weak, irresolute and doesn't keep his word. putin trusts merkel, the chancellor of germany. merkel has to come into this and talk to both of these leaders now, today and i assume she is. >> stephen kotkin, last thoughts, we've got about a minute. >> what you've got here is finding a way for putin to climb down without losing face domestically in a way that is acceptable to the eu, the u.s., but above all to ukraine.