pennsylvania, georgia, i think herschel walker will be leading on election night. whether he clears the bar for a runoff or not i don't know. there is cautious optimism on the senate but the macros look really good. >> can i go back to one of the things paul said and i want to ask you since you're a pollster. you look at numbers as a republican. do you agree still right now the abortion issue is that much of a driver? >> it certainly gives democratic voters more of a reason to turn out and in a year where they had previously been trailing republicans on the enthusiasm question but a sizable amount, it closed that gap. but what we are seeing in the last week or two is gravity reasserting itself again. the gravity of you're the party out of power. the gravity of the economy is bad. the gravity of people aren't really a big fan of the president right now and all of those forces just like gravity, you can jump but you come right back down. >> i also want to point out the quality of the candidates on the