competitive seats if they have any chance of defying history. republicans need a net gain of five. the average since ronald reagan is 30. joe biden has to defy that history, history says republicans will get somewhere in the ballpark of 30. the democrats have to keep it to five. again, you start in the northeast, two democratic seats in new hampshire. you see right now the democratic leading custer leading in this seat right here 51 to 48. you don't see any color in the first district, democratic incumbent chris pappas. you move down, you made the point about virginia. there are three competitive districts here. three competitive seats, all democratic incumbents at the moment. republicans leading in all three of them. >> we are closing in on one of the most critical hours of this election night with the biggest round of poll closings at 8:00 p.m. eastern, voting ends in alabama, connecticut,