Among the catalysts, the stock manag market is higher. The passengers said if its moving forward at a normal speed, you still feel the water, obviously, but when its just floating, i guess every wave in the ocean. Oh, my god. I cant imagine a worse scenario. I guess theyre sitting there listing. Plus the boat is listing, too. Part of the problem was when the fire occurred, it knocked out some sort of a stabilization thing. And theyre not saying its not material, either, at this point. With the coverage of this and hearing about this, if you were on the fence thinking you might go ahead and book a cruise is that whats going to hurt the earnings or is it just the government of the pop . Disney i dont know if they own them or Nbc Universal doesnt. How does anyone book who walks across the plank and gets on that . Literally, if you were thinking about it and in the last five years, cant you go back . How about the one over in the mediterranean . Its upside down, isnt it . Right off italy, yeah. Still there. 60 minutes just did another takeoff, you and two other couples . My grandmother went on the alaskan cruise and she liked that one. Chooe is driving. Guys, let me tell you about a number of other stocks on the move in after hours trading. Shares of angies list were sharply high er after the online website swung to a profit in the first quarter. Sketcher s shares got a price pop, as well. Womens shoes have done particularly quell. Also, value clicks werings beat the streets expectations. The internet advertising companys revenue strengthened and real estate information provider zillow posted betterthanexpected earnings. Shares were up pretty sharply. You can see up by about 7. 8 with that last tick. Also, apply materials reported a drop in quarterly profit but the results still beat the street. But there were some big losers in the after hours trading. Weight watchers, you think about losing and normally thats a good thing for this stock. But after the bell yesterday, the company warned fewer people are signing up for its Weightloss Program in 2013 and that stock was down sharply after hours. Whole foods took a mitt. That stock, i believe, was down by about 8 . Finally, mondolize, that stock was under a little bit of pressure, as well. You saw marias interview . I watched that yesterday with chambers. And i spent a lot of time with him at the at and with t. One thing he said over and over yesterday was that were going to have a lot of growth and were going to be adding a lot of employees, eventually, and were either going to add the employees here or if we dont get our territorial were going to grow here or overseas, depending on what they do. Were growing no matter what. Were growing no matter what, but were either going to add employees over there and were waiting to see where were going to do the growing. He didnt even blink. It was just that matteroffactly as the ceo running a great company, which he has over the last 22 years. And this guy is no stranger to washington. He knows his way in and out. Hes dealt with a lot of the people, the sector of state who go back and forth. Very matteroffactly. Were going to do what we need to do for our company and our shareholders. Big golfer. Yeah. Really wants to be good. I think his wife plays pretty good. Hes a great nice man. Anyway, lets check on the markets this morning. We do see the dow down about 68 points or so. And that is after a weak session yesterday, which actually by the end of the day, it was only down 35 points or so. But it just didnt feel that great watching it yesterday. But the nasdaq finally broke out. It hit 12year highs. People had been watching the technology for a while. We do need the industrials to match that new high on the transports the. Remember that guy we were talking to about the dow theory . He said it has to be the other way around. You cant confirm with the industrial pes like i said, i do think we asked Debbie Watson what she was buying and i do think she thought the transports were overbought, headed to dc. Melissa, check tout oil board this morning. 9688, down about 13 cents, not a whole lot happening there. On the tenyear note, we are at 2. 031. Not a lot has you know, were watching that is like watching grass grow. Although yesterday, the oneyear treasury auction was a little weak and, in fact, they came off at a higher yield than expected. It was about 2 just for the one year. The dollar he cares. Yeah. Did you see the journal piece . Which journal . About the yen. People have made a lot of money. A lot of money. Kelly evans, well be talking to her. She loves talking about the yen. She got a yen for the yen. She does. And were going to have to is today valentines day over there . They do have that. What do they not have . No thanksgiving. No. Because theyre mad that we broke away. July fourth . No. They all go to a Chinese Restaurant or a movie that day, right . Like what i do on christmas. Yes, you do. And you have a tree and everything. I love you for that. Finally, lets check out gold. 1644, down about 80 cents or so. The dow and the s p 500 trading near alltime highs. Our guest hosts this hour are Chris Sheldon and dean kurnan. Guys, let me just slow this out to you. Weve been waiting to whaer whats going to happen with those shares. Whats the next step . I think its rest in the hands of policymakers. We have a washington sent rick led market at this point. We have the sequester coming. You know, you want to be optimistic. Theres certainly a healthier Risk Appetite than weve seen in quite some time. Youre get ago more bernankesque policy adopted by jap hes policy and with mark carney coming over to the boe, it seems like its stimulating at this point. Is it a race to the bottom at this point . Theres something to that. Now we talked about japan and the yep. That was a big deal back in november and i think initially the market didnt recognize how big of a deal that was. So, yeah, its pedal to the metal. And thats something that the fed themselves have used the term. That has big im mrications for the lid quiddity of the market. On tech, its certainly a story about one name over the last year, but youre beginning to see that broaden out. I think thats a very good thing, but its going to be a stock by stock story. I think thats exciting for investors. Dean, what do you think about that, that whole idea with the race to the bottom with the central bank . Is that something to worry about now or another year or two down the road . Yeah. We spent a lot of time looking at volatility and currencies has been one place where even as the vix sags to 12, youve had this very, very healthy volatility specifically in the yen and then you have the central bank starting to talk about currency wars and korea has said something. Of course, in europe, for all the talk of draghis whatever it takes language, that riegz euro is not exactly great for them from a trade standpoint. Youve seen the euro yen collapse from a pricing standpoint. If you look at the vision and you look at the volatility in the markets right now, and then you listen to ceos who say there is so much uncertainty, how do you match those up . Its a great and fascinating question. If you look at the vix at 12, even at 12, the folks that are Holding Options because they cost money and they decay down markets, thats not enough. That is the biggest move of year, down six points. There are two factors. Number one, this huge amount of liquidity has overwhelmed the central tilt. Its every central bank. 3300 central polls in the last year, on top of that, maybe complacency towards the risks that are out there. Risks will come down. But were still in an environment where you need to focus on the risks out there. I dont think thats anytime soon. And that will be very important. I think investors need to focus on that down the road. For now, its not going to be a factor pore probably most of the year, we would think. And i guess a little surprising is the economy feels like its starting to turn. If you look at housing, if you look at what we hear from a lot of ceos about whats happening at this very moment, they feel okay with that. Its just when you ask them to give you guidance for the next quarter or the next year, they say they cant see that far. And i think it comes down to having things like the ee quester. Certainly a reconciliation after the fact that the u. S. Is spending so much more than it brings in. I think one of the interesting things, just around rates, bullard yesterday, for example, said that he expects 3 real growth this year. So 3 real growth and 2 inflation, that gets me to march like a 5 tenyear. Were nowhere close to that. Lloyd blankfein was on ur yo showing saying investors, if there is some sort of ex oh dus into stocks, and thats becoming a story and lloyd has been talking about just the potential for a stock market boom, too. Dean, the name of your firm is macro, right . Yes. So youre used to looking macro . Yes. But typically, three were four, five years ago, isnt your first thing that you talk about, you mentioned washington, the sequester, the debt ceiling, every single thing you mentioned was policymakers. Has it always been like that or is this a different period for your firm . This is i think pretty new. So its hard to avoid talking about those things, right . That you have to Pay Attention to central banks, of course, and this philosophy of becoming more like bernanke. And then, of course, you have to watch what happens in washington. We never used to, though, did we . No. Its certainly how much more time did you spend in washington . Its forget, just looking at the years with it it all along. Do you agree with that . I do. I think policy making has become the macro. These bright spots that people are talking about today have unfolded over much of the last year. So our case could be its not that they ignored it. They were so amass by the focus on the fiscal cliff and on europe that has those things waned a little bit, these things now come to the forefront. But theyve been going on really for some time. Chris and dean will be with us for the rest of the hour. Well, maybe. Guys, thank you. We appreciate it. Coming up, weve got reports this morning that time warner is in talk toes sell some of its Time Magazine division. Ive got more information on that. Plus, the other talking of the morning, why new york city mayor Michael Bloomberg, he wants to ban styrofoam. No more styrofoam. You know what ive seen, the new york city psa is about how you shouldnt drink sugar. Theres a guy sitting there drinking 16 packs of sugar a day. You say that to a man my age, psa, and its prostate the guy is drinking 16 backs of sugar and going, while theyre drinking their soda. Take a look at this. Us airways Ceo Doug Parker arriving at the airport in dallas just a few minutes ago. Were expecting an official announcement from amr on the usair merger. Thats coming, we think, very, very toon soon. Were going to have that and a lot more when squawk returns. This is america. We dont let frequent heartburn come between us and what we love. So if youre one of them people who gets heartburn and then treats day after day. Block the acid with prilosec otc and dont get heartburn in the first place [ male announcer ] one pill each morning. 24 hours. Zero heartburn. Welcome back to squawk this morning. T lets take a look at futures. Among the headlines were following this morning, lots of headlines across the board around time warner, considering spinning off some of its magazines. Just a couple of details on whats happening here. Theres been a number of reports over the past 24 hours that suggested time warper is planning to sell its magazine business to meredith. That is not whats happening here. Its a very different transaction. Good. Im glad to hear that. I write for fortune. Here is whats happening. The magazines that are not part of the News Division of time, inc, which is Time Magazine, fortune. Where does people fall . People is not part of the news magazine. Us weekly is part of a different group. That is your favorite, right . It is my favorite. Those magazines will stay at time. The news ones . The news ones. Entertainment, us weekly is going to get spun off into a Different Company and meredith is going to take all of its magazines and spin them off to a new company. Meredith . Who is she . Meredith owns better homes gard gardens, ladies home journal. Does she know what shes doing . I hope so. If youre a shareholder of time or a shareholder of meredith, you will get a new share in this new company. Twothirds of the company will be owned by time shareholders, onethird meredith. Meredith will become a tv broadcasting company. Time warner will for the most part be part of this company. The magazines will have a Service Contract back to this new company so that the back office and stuff will be done by the new company. I know its very complicated. Why dont they put it altogether . They think that Sports Illustrated and time have a brand iconic thing that they want to have with krn and all of that. And fortune. And fortune. Finally, if youre a shareholder of time, youll get shares in this new company, theyre going to lever up this new company and then they will issue a special 1. 75 billion dividend back to time warner. That is the transaction according to sources who are involved in it. It is probably two weeks away from happening, if it happens at all. I should say that its still up in the air. Theyre not there, but i just wanted to put it all out there. Thats the exact deal. Theres been a lot of speculation about what is happening. That is the transition. And if you had to just sum up the external forces that are pushing on this, and causing this to happen, what is this an answer to . It was an answer to the secular problems. And how does it address that, do you think . It takes it off of time warners books. So theyre saying theyre saying theyre says its a lousy business. Well put it over here. If youre a time shareholders, you could own it. Or you can sell it later. Theyre going to get a little bit of cash off of it by levering it up and paying a dividend back. Meredith gets rid of it. They have the same issue. Some day, you would figure, it doesnt matter where you get the content, you still want the content from all the writers that do this, right . Thats why theyre saving all the dues. But theres no way to make as much money, is there . Its hard because people will read stuff online instead of reading the publications. And for glossy magazines, it cost a lot of money to you have that cool app where you can read all of them online. Right. But if you have an entity that decides to charnlg for its come tent around an aggregator of news, i can find it, right . Yeah. Digital, yeah. Nicklitys. Nickels. Trying to make a dime, so that he would be doubling. Do you have details on amr and that may happen today, right . I believe that may happen. But you know the details im talking about. Mary duffy asked me, the first thing we need to find out about these things, sky miles. We have to find out what happens here. Because theyre not on American Express miles. Theyre on citigroup. What happens when these two go together . You will probably have to have the citigroup. We will ask. I told her that would be andrews first because this is stuff people need to know. Or one path. What are they called . I dont know what theyre called. Well, no one has ever paid for a first class seat in the history of the world, have they . They have always gone with mileage upgrades, right . Have you ever paid full growth for i have. You have . Coming up, were going to turn to an analyst who covers cisco, get his reaction to last nights report and comments from ceo John Chambers. Plus, a deal meant for valentines day. A merger in the skies, a tie up between amr and us airways. Expected to be officially announced at some point this morning. Well have the details about the sky miles to mileage when we return. Before cdw virtualized it. Rk how . Cdw and hp networking implemented a Virtual Application Network that reduces the time to deploy cloud applications from months to minutes. With fewer bottlenecks like this. Finally. Charles client golf. Aim for the lake. Really . All stations come over to mithis is for real this time. Step seven point two one two. Verify and lock. Command is locked. Five seconds. Three, two, one. Standing by for capture. The most Innovative Software on the planet. Dragon is captured. Is connecting todays leading companies to places beyond it. Siemens. Answers. Tdd 18003452550 tdd 18003452550 and the streetsmart edge Trading Platform from charles schwab. Tdd 18003452550 gives me tools that help me find opportunities more easily. Tdd 18003452550 i can even access it from the cloud and trade on any computer. Tdd 18003452550 and with schwab mobile, tdd 18003452550 i can focus on trading anyplace, anytime. Tdd 18003452550 until i choose to focus on something else. Tdd 18003452550 all this with no trade minimums. Tdd 18003452550 and only 8. 95 a trade. Tdd 18003452550 open an account with a 50,000 deposit, tdd 18003452550 and get 6 months commissionfree trades. Tdd 18003452550 call 18008368799. Otherworldly things. But there are some things ive never seen before. This ge jet engine can understand 5,000 data samples per second. Which is good for business. Because planes use less fuel, spend less time on the ground and more time in the air. Suddenly, faraway places dont seem so. Far away. If your a man with low testosterone, suddenly, faraway places dont seem so. Far away. You should know that axiron is here. The only underarm treatment for low t. Thats right, the one you apply to the underarm. Axiron is not for use in women or anyone younger than 18. Axiron can transfer to others through direct contact. Women, especially those who are or who may become pregnant, and children should avoid contact where axiron is applied as unexpected signs of puberty in children or changes in body hair or increased acne in women may occur. Report these signs and symptoms to your doctor if they occur. Tell your doctor about all medical conditions and medications. Do not use if you have prostate or breast cancer. Serious side effects could include increased risk of prostate cancer; worsening prostate symptoms; decreased sperm count; ankle, feet, or body swelling; enlarged or painful breasts; problems breathing while sleeping; and blood clots in the legs. Common side effects include skin redness or irritation where applied, increased red blood cell count, headache, diarrhea, vomiting, and increase in psa. See your doctor, and for a 30day free trial, go to axiron. Com. Good morning and welcome back to squawk box here on cnbc. I am joe kernen along with becky quick and andrew ross sorkin. Among the stocks were watching today, cisco. And amr. American heair. And now merged as we it is officially done. After months and months of waiting, we are here and the big news, Us Airways Group and american air merged. American air shareholders critters, rather, are going to own 72 of the final company. Thats actually very, very important. The implied xwient equity value for the company is going to be 11 billion. The reason i mentioned the 72 , when they first started trying to negotiate this deal almost six months ago, usair was offering american air 49 of the company. Doug parker ultimately having to give in and give up much more of the company. In this case, doug parker is going to run the final company as the ceo. The chairman of rather the current ceo of american air is going to become the chairman of the xwand company through sometime in mid 2014. Let me pick up the rest of this release as were why dont we bring phil lebeau in. He is standing by at the airport in ka dallas. Phil, wa can you tell us . This is something weve been waiting for for quite a while. We have been. And a lot of they details have been out for quite some time. American, the previous american, the old american, if you will, is still going through chapter 11 restructuring. And once they file those papers in court, were get a better sense in terms of timing for when that bankruptcy will wrap up. But andrew hit on the key points. This is an 11 billion company, an allstock deal. 72 will be going to the amr critters. 22 will be going to the shareholders. Doug parker, we showed you the video a few minutes ago as we were walking through security here at the dfw airport. He will be the ceo. If you think about this, guys, go back eight years, doug parker was ceo of american west. At that time he was saying we need console dag in the industry. This is the way to the future. He tried to engineer a merger with united airlines. That didnt happen a few years ago. But now, he will be ceo of the Worlds Largest airline combining number three, american, with number five, us airways. Its the new american will be larger than both united and delta. Guys. That is something. And if you look back at doug parkers record, there were some lean years in 2008, but he has consistently gotten high marks across the board on wall street because he has a provtdble company, consistently profitable. And now he has an airline that really only has one weakness globally and thats the asia pacific relative tota a united. Otherwise, you look at the strength in the United States and europe, these guys will be powerful. A quarter goes to us airways, but he becomes the ceo. It was always going to be that way, probably. Yeah. As andrew mentioned, i think originally the original offer was 49 . The critters eventually said if were going to make this happen, it will be knocked down to 28 . They just had a press release saying they will hold a press conference at 11 00 a. M. Eastern time. But whiff the ceos here at 7 40 eastern time. Yes. A and, andrew, youre going to have to bone up on that. I think you were almost like the investment banker. But you remember discussing this possibility in your columns. Although i have a lot of questions from the consumers perspective. When you visit your hometown, of which you have like 14, there are all these one horse and nobody flies direct to it. Okay. And youre going to ask about the sky miles, too. Another company to watch today was cisco. One thing that struck me was how frank John Chambers was about how hes going to do more acquisition and hes going to grow this company and hes moved it from a Server Company hes switching, hes into the cloud, hes into all these things. But if he doesnt get the type of policies he wants, theyre going to move it offshore. Cisco has 46 billion in cash, but they only have 7 billion in the u. S. 39 billion, did it do that right . 39 billion is overseas. Exactly. At what rate would he be happy to bring it back . Its unclear, but i would say, you know, something under 15 , i think, would be attractive. Would have to be under 15 . I think that would be attractive. You dont think microsoft would do it . A lot of these companies are start to go lever up in the u. S. For example, apple has been recommended with a bigger stock buyback. Does he know when he said its going to start slow and get the business with his customers, start slow and get better as the year goes on . Does he know . Or is that sort of what you see you say u you say in the beginning of the year . I think he has a good handle on trend. Usually very early. He talked about public spending falling off a cliff three to four quarters before everyone else. So i the way he described it is cautious optimism. Europe is in the tank. So overused. Right. I would just switch it now to optimistic caution. Just to change it. I dont know, is that the same thing . Its the same thing. I think what hes seeing is europe is in the tank but hes starting to see signs of life in germany and the uk, Southern Europe is still challenged. Public is very challenged. State and local is good. Federal is in the tank and china has been an issue for cisco which i think will pick up in the second half of the year. The u. S. Did very well this quarter. Hmmm. Sometimes it doesnt help that much to look at the last quarter. But what did you see there in term of trends that can tell us about the future . Margins, other port metrics in that. Any surprises there . Very good margin performance. So the tech environment right now is horrible. Especially i. T. Spending. It is. Yes. Horrible. Its horrible. Most of the companies saw much weaker than normal december quarters. I think we cut numbers in 60 of our companies for the march quarter. Now, cisco guided to 4 to 6 growth for the april quarter. Thats slightly ahead of what we were modeling. So we raised our numbers this morning, raised our price target to 26 from 23. And, you know, stock trades at about just over seven times cash, 26 dividend yield. Have you ever seen chambers miss after hes guided somewhere or does he always usually we hear from him that things arent going great before it actually happens so we know its coming, dont we . He comes on cnbc a lot. He does. And we appreciate that. But i remember times when there may have been some disappointing rhetoric from John Chambers, but its not usually explaining a quarter that he missed. Its usually setting up the next report that comes up. He forecast what they were going to do and hit on every single metric he talked about. Hes been very consistent in meeting the quarter. And the outlook he has little control of. Theyre such a big company. The Company Grows probably 5 to 7 top line and very sensitive to the economy. Okay. Theyre going to be back on the acquisition trail, obviously. More acquisition. And if they got 39 billion abroad, its buying abroad inspect. And thats exactly what he said. So when i think of cisco, this is a Networking Company becoming a broader itm company. In the server business, they grew. That is a market that just started two years ago. When we kol back, were going to make a pit stop in chicago and see what traders are buzzing about this morning. But first, Michael Bloomberg is going to be proposing a ban of styrofoam today. That substance is commonly used fortout food containers. Its not biodegradable and it might actually harm human health. Hes going to raise this proposal in his final state of the city address. Im a conservative investor. But that doesnt mean i dont want to make money. I love making money. I try to be smart with my investments. I also try to keep my costs down. Whats your plan . Ishares. Low cost and tax efficient. Find out why nine out of ten large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. Ishares by blackrock. Call 1800ishares for a prospectus which includes investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Read and consider it carefully before investing. Risk includes possible loss of principal. Executor of efficiency. You can spot an amateur from a mile away. While going shoeless and metalfree in seconds. And you. Rent from national. Because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle. And go. You can even take a fullsize or above, and still pay the midsize price. Now this. Will work. [ male announcer ] just like you, business pro. Just like you. Go national. Go like a pro. Welcome back to squawk. Michael gurka join uses now. Good morning. Good morning. We have a lot of red arrows across the board. We do. The two most bullish is the s p where it looks like its still poised to try and is test that 1562 level and eventually the alltime highs up at 76. The other is the complete bull channel that weve been seeing in the platinum. Its on fire and could test 1800. If you watch platinum on the chart, it hasnt pulled back whatsoever. The next one is crude oil as its been poised and looking like its getting heavy as we approach 100 and a lot of people are anticipating that pullback. The last two are the bearish indicators. It could eventually come back to 128. And lastly, its the green market here in wheat and thats a little perplexing because its been pulling back for almost 2 1 2 months and we are almost in winter in a drought condition and im going to anticipate youll see a complete rally back to these levels and in particular wheat. Michael, were going to leave tlit. Thank you for helping us understand what may be coming today. Thank you. And coming up, cupid has become a billionaire. Were going to talk about the big business of Online Dating and, of course, chocolate on this valentines day. And then in the next hour, a squawk love connection. This is i think this is unique and im talking about Stanley Black and Decker Coe John Lungren and schnitzre steel ceo tamara lundgre this. They are married. How do two people have a marriage and run companies as ceos . Theyre going to be on set with us. Yep. And usairwayes and american announcing a merger, top executives from both companies are live at 7 40 eastern. What if you didnt know that weeping willows have invasive roots . What if you didnt know that a trampoline. Could affect your liability . And what if you didnt know that most cars. Get broken into when the weather warms up . Here, buddy. The more you know, the better you can plan for whats ahead. Get smarter about your insurance. We are farmers bum pa dum, bum bum bum bum today is gonna be an important day for us. You ready . We wanna be our brothers keeper. Whats number two we wanna do . Bring it up to 90 decatherms. How bout ya, joe . Lets go ahead and bring it online. Attention on site, attention on site. Now starting unit nine. Some of the worlds cleanest gas turbines are now powering some of americas biggest cities. Siemens. Answers. Im glad we got cdw and cisco to design our data center. Yeah, the cisco ucsc series server, with the intel xeon processors, help us scale smoothly, like a perfect golf swing. How was it before . Clunky and full of unnecessary impediments. Like charles swing. I heard that. Its valentines day and the business of love is booming from Online Dating sites to Godiva Chocolate. Joining us on set is dan slater and from new york, jim goldman, president and ceo of godiva. Jim, we have your chocolate owes set in heart shapes. Dan, first, on dating, this is now a 2 billion business, the dating industry . In the u. S. And another two abroad. Big bucks. Whoed have thunk . In your book, you quote a industry psychiatry, the weapons trade, weight loss, as becky was saying earlier. Actually a lot of industries. But this is particularly interesting because they obviously want to be successful for you. Right. But when they are, that almost by definition means that theyre losing you so we know about like match. Com. Those are the biggies. You talk about something called urbancougar. Com . There are many cougar sites. Or dateginger. Com. For redheads, yeah. And ashleymadison. Com which i didnt realize, their tag line is, life is short, have an affair. What . That guy makes Something Like 8 million a year. Its he makes a lot of money. Runs it out of toronto. So when you do that online then were going to go to jim, this is how im going to try to segue this together, you have to come with chocolates . Chocolate matters. Do you think, to the relationship . Well for Online Dating or just to jim . Well, jim jim seems like a chocolate guy. Jim is a chocolate guy. Jim, how big is your business on val tains day, if the dating business is 2 billion, whats the chocolate business . This is our super bowl, our single biggest day of the year. People want to acknowledge those that they care about. Those that they love. Their friends. Their family. How much money is today worth to you . Its our biggest day of the year. People are running to our stores. And buying Godiva Chocolate. Can i tell you i was in the Time Warner Center last night and there was a line out the door. Id never seen this, theyd actually set up a, you know, a whole ropes and everything, people are actually it was crazy. You were putting to the the whole magazine spinoff . I was at the Time Warner Center putting that deal together. Its amazing. How do you think this happened . Its christian edible. Im in Rockefeller Center today and downstairs is a store and theyre already dipping strawberries. Today well be selling well be dipping fresh saw berries. 15,000 an hour and people come in and buy that. And you know, if youre going on a date, theres Nothing Better than our classic satin heart. Its a wonderful gift. Its a tradition. And its filled with amazing Godiva Chocolates. I believe youre in comcast center, jim. But no, i am right above our store at Rockefeller Center. Well see. Well talk about that. Naming rights on that. Well talk about that. Are there people who are looking for dates, literally tonight, for valentines day online . Is there a valentines day online i dont know if theres a special site for valentines day. Are there any men on those sites . Are there any men . I think women want a date tonight but men probably dont. I think theres a lot of pressure for first dates around valentines day. Yeah. I mean its like, you just met. What are the expectations . Do you bring godiva . Do you not . Bring a always bring godiva. Of course. How good, though, are the matchmaking sites themselves in terms of being able to predict dating success these days . It depends who you talk to. It depends if youre talking to the ceo of eharmony or academics . The ceo of emarmny how about the people who use the sites . Anecdotally you hear sites are being very good at predicting compatibility on a first did it. Okay. Longterm its a bit sketchier. And why . As we know, can you hit it off on a first date, its a big leap from there to, you know, a 50year marriage. Yeah. And are most people going online dates to find marriage or are they going for a date . To hook up, go ahead. Go ahead. Just say say it like the kids do . We already talked about an affair site. Did you bring chocolates to the affair . Does that work, too . You got to arrange it on the site. You have to know what the expectations are. But what i heard, i saw a stat that approximately onethird of the people in Online Dating sites are married. Already . Are you kidding . Yeah. Wow. And theyre either open about that but most likely theyre not. Unless theyre on ashley madi n madison. Which is a good thing because it kind of quarantines the cheaters in one spot. You know what youre get being on that site. Are there people going on these sites to see if their husband or wife is on the site . Is there a whole sort of like, catch me if you can thing going on . That could be a great idea for a company. Jim came on and talk you could get a slice of that 2 billion. Talking about online awful. Jim, should we talk real quick about chocolate . Whats last time you were on about a year ago, the cocoa price was a real problem. Still a problem . Its down a little bit. It fluctuates but its down this year so were happy about that. So were focused on valentines day. Which is a romantic time. But its also a time of giving to others. Im going to show you something new this year. Whats that . This is what my daughter gave all her friends. Its filled with Godiva Chocolate but its designed by a renowned spanish designer jamie hyam because val tains day is about giving godiva for dates and those you love but also about acknowledging your mom, acknowledging your friends, and those that you really care about. Have you ever thought about starting an Online Dating . No. But we have an online business, godiva. Com is up and running and people connect and were very plugged in. The social media. This year we did a share the love event that we had 50,000 people, but the most weve ever had participate, and they uploaded pictures of themselves with those that they love. And it was a terrific way to connect in the internet space. Jim were going to pish you a happy valentines day, too. Enjoy that chocolate. The book, love in the time of algorithms. Im scared to be thats a clever title. I do like that. And i like saying algorithm. Thank you. Again we want to thank our guest host for this hour, Chris Sheldon, thank you very much for coming in. We hope to talk to boat of you again soon. Coming up in the next hour, we have more of the days top story. Us airways and amr officially announcing a merger just about 30 minutes ago. Were going to be talking to the executives behind the deal, doug parker and tom horton. Plus, famed corporate leader jack welch. Hes going to join us for the next two hours. And pepsico cfo will talk earnings and outlook. Busy two hours still ahead. Squawk will be right back. [ male announcer ] how could a luminous protein in jellyfish, impact Life Expectancy in the u. S. , real estate in hong kong, and the optics industry in germany . At t. Rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. Its just one reason over 75 of our mutual funds beat their 10year lipper average. T. Rowe price. Invest with confidence. Request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. We all work remotely so this is a big deal, our first full Team Gathering i wanted to call on a few people. Ashley, ashley marshall. Here. Since were often all on the move, ashley suggested we use fedex office to hold packages for us. Great job. [ applause ] thank you. And on a protocol note, id like to talk to tim hill about his tendency to use all caps in emails. [ shouting ] oh im sorry guys. Ah sometimes the caps lock gets stuck on my keyboard. Hey do you wanna get a drink later . [ male announcer ] hold packages at any fedex office location. Love is in the air. A mega Airline Merger moving forward to create the Worlds Largest airline. Details of the deal and what it says about business conditions. Love is in. Meet the lundgrens. Theyre happily married and running two fortune 500 companies. And squawk loves jack. Author and founder of Jack Welch Management Institute shares his thoughts on the markets big run and what executives need to do to keep their businesses growing. Squawk box loves business. Squawk box loves money. And squawk box loves you on this valentines day 2013. Good morning, welcome to squawk box here on cnbc, happy valentines day. Im andrew ross sorkin. Take a look at futures. Perhaps it is appropriate we do have red arrows. The dow looks like it will be off about 58 points. Nasdaq off about 11 points. The s p 500 off about 5 points. Yesterday the dow ended the session lows, but still finished in negative territory as investors searched for some market catalyst. But today, wall street has a mega merger to consider as American Airlines parent amr and us airways announced their long anticipated deal. Here are some of debt tails. Roughly 11 billion transaction is going to created Worlds Largest airline. The official announcement a short time ago. Us airways Ceo Doug Parker will be happy about that. Hes also going to be on the show. Hes going to be the ceo of the merged airline while amr chief tom horton is going to serve as chairman. Both of them are going to join us in this hour to discuss the deal and you can only see it here first on cnbc. We have pepsi earnings out. Going through the relice right now. The Company Looks like it is coming in with better than expected numbers. 109 versus the 105 that the street had been expecting. Also, looks like revenue is a little ahead of expectations. 19. 9 billion. Expectation was for 19. 7 billion. Weve been looking through some of these numbers again and it does look like theyve got some decent organic Revenue Growth. 5 organic Revenue Growth when you look at cost. Thats in both the developed and the emerging markets. The developed and emerging markets, end at the global snack and beverage business. Very strong Revenue Growth of about 9 . Take a look at that stock. And right now, its hard to say exactly where its going to open based on the bid ask. But we will have more from this Company Coming up a little later this morning. Also weve been watching whats been happening on wall street. The major averages near breakeven for the week so far. Although there have been several multiyear highs along the way, investors obviously are going to be watching key jobless claims numbers and, of course, the big deal between american and us airways today. Joining us to talk about the markets, Jason Trennert of Strategas Research partners at the cme in chicago jim iuorio of t. J. Institutional services and our guest host jack welch. Jack, youve got to look at these numbers and i want to start with you. Its great to have you here. Thanks. Weve been watching whats happening. What do you think about how the markets been reacting lately . Well, everyones decided they cat get yield so they got to go and risk trades. Theres no question, youre forced to get back in. Yeah. Youre sitting there waiting. Getting no money. The cds are doing nothing, treasuries are doing nothing. What do you do . Lloyd blankfeins been talking about this. Almost dangerous to be in bonds at this point. The markets are prepped at this point, hard to say short bonds arent going to hurt you. But to go long is a risky game today. And its hard to fight whats been happening not only with the fed but with other simple things, as well. Everyones throwing draghi says whatever it takes. Ill do whatever it takes. The gdp is so still so lackluster. Are you worried that were going i hate to say because we use the cliche all the time, were out over our skis, the market is run up on a relative basis to where the true economy is . The market is clearly ahead of where the true economy is. But the economys doing all right. Were going to talk this morning about whats throwing sand in the gears of the economy. But the economy is a 2 tight fabric economy. Across the board our businesses are doing reasonably well. Not as good as they could be. Not as good as they should be. But theres a lot of headwinds forced on us by this government. But well talk about that. But, this is not a bad economy. But its nothing like the stock market. But the stock market is not official based on where do you put your money. Liquid ki everywhere and hat do you do with it . All right. Were going to get more on this with jack in just a moment. Very quickly were going to focus on the markets with jim iuorio and with jason trendent then were going to come back to jack because we want to talk a lot more about the che. Jason very quickly, whats been happening right now with the market situation . We seem to be a little stalled out, at least if youre watching the dow and the s p stuck around these same trading levels. Whats the market waiting to hear . Im not sure if its i think its probably waiting to hear more uses of cash thats on the sidelines. I agree complete which with mr. Welch. Weve been calling it the tina factor. There is no alternative. I think one of the things youre seeing with apple, maybe with dell, is youre starting to see some of the nations stages of companies trying to take matters into their own hands, which is say organic growth is weak, but you still have a big spread between the costs of capital, and the return on capital. And as a result, i have a feeling Shareholder Activism is going to be a big part of the program this year. Again, in the absence of organic growth i think theres a lot of investors, and companies, that are going to try to manufacture it. Jim, what do you think . We did see finally the nasdaq pushing a little higher with technology yesterday. That had been the thing weve been holding off for yesterday. The nasdaq closed at a 12year high. But whats it take to push things forward from here . Well, i cant see where the catalyst is going to be. But im not going to be the 1,000th person who comes on this show and say, gosh, i think were do for correction. Im going to let the market tell me when the correction is due. Even this morning, talk about a resilient market that can take a punch. We got bad news out of europe, the euro got pummeled for a short period of time and we were only down five or six handles. So to me its still definitely game up. Im very concerned about the fact that volatility has been hugely compressed over the last few months. But we got to look at it, if we all agree that the fed comes in and theyre price fixing in the bonds, they agreed that. Theyre buying quantitative easing to keep bond prices low. The relationship between the stocks is a yield thing. So theyre price fixing in the stocks as well by comparison and thats where money has to go to achieve any kind of yield and thats why were seeing this very, very gradual almost stairstep incline with a corresponding crush in volatility. Tell me real quickly about that. That volatility has been a very strange thing to watch. The lack of volatility in the stock market. When ceos look out there and theyre not sure about whats on the horizon. Listen, i think, and i dont think you got a lot of help earlier this week in terms of the state of the union. I think theres certainly more concerns about whats going to happen in the future. One thing ive noticed among our clients, or institutional investors, is that theres a fair amount of policy fatigue, which is to say, listen, this is what it is. These are the cards that weve been dealt. And we have to move on. We have to create value for our shareholders, our clients are also saying listen, we have to invest in things that are going to give us growth regardless of what the yahoos in washington give us. And so, volatility in my view, because theres such an enormous shadow from policy over the markets, theres a chance the volatility stays low for a very long period of time, because youre taking away a very important part, i think, of the process which is the pricing mechanism. Pricing mechanism on treasuries and as a result on commodities to a certain extent. Jason, jim, thank you very much. Lets hang with jack and follow up on something Jason Trennert just said. Regards of what the yahoos are going to do in washington we need to develop a strategy to try to make money, and at clayton and other people that you advise on how to operate i guess ceos need to operate in whatever environment that theyre given and whatever hand theyre dealt. So lets assume that the hand that weve been dealt that its not perfect, and lets decide, what do ceos do here to try to manage through what may not be the most positive political backdrop over the next three or four years. You still have to run your business businesses, you still have to grow, you still have to do everything that you need to do to try to win. You got to be productive as hell. You got to do more with less. Youve got to be innovative. Youve got to be constantly coming up with new product areas. And people are. And weve got a 2 growing economy. This is not a disaster. Im worried about europe, frankly. Youve got elections in italy. Youve got elections in germany. Youre teetering on recession. Youre going to argue minus 0. 5, plus 0. 5. Thats recession. Quarter after quarter. Japans going to get stronger, because they devalued the yen and the exporters are now in a competitive position. How did it just occur to them after 20 years that maybe they should do this . Abe, whatever you want to call it. It was that easy . He did it. And look, and the issue is germany is going to have more trouble coming out as the euro gets stronger. Youve got these countervailing winds. I see europe as a real risk area. I mean for me in terms of where theyre going to get growth. When mario draghi says risk is gone its not true . Hes certainly calmed things down. But tell me how, with 50 youth unemployment in spain, in greece, with a strong euro, you get out. I mean, tell me how you do it. I mean, maybe theyre going to do it. Maybe theyre going to pull out. Are they going to get the austerity plans to get the mediterranean countries competitive . Thats a question. You buying any businesses over there right now . You know, were not. Were not. Because theres so much liquidity, you got crappy environment, you got crappy deals, you got highpriced deals, but doesnt look very good. There is a chance to go there but it is not a fertile ground. So it domestically youre saying that ceos are faced with being very productive, with their workforce and their company, and being very innovative. So neither one of those things sound like they would be hiring a lot of people. Right. Well, in the housing segment, lets face it, Residential Housing is going. Now were all excited about Residential Housing. Were excited that its coming back strong. Residential housing at 900,000 starts is half what it was in 2000. Now its twice what it was at the bottom. So were going from 450,000 starts to 900, but we used to be at 1. 8. So it feels good. But its nowheres near the capacity that we need to get it going. Autos are, in fact, moving. Lets face that. Thats a real strong market. When you think about china, and you think about chinas strength, and you think about us, in 2009, china made half as many cars as we were making. Now theyre on pace to make 50 more cars than we make. So you see how fast that thing is changing. So chinas going is going to be getting stronger. I mean theres no question in the last three months, weve seen more strength in china. But we got one big problem. We got an economy running along at 2 . John chambers was on yesterday talking about that. But weve got people taking regulation, talked about this before, but theyve now unleashed. Theyre thrown into the sand, as the wheels, piles of sand of regulation. Now let me tell you philosophically, the president gave a talk, the state of the union message, all right . Talked about all these Growth Initiative initiatives what do you think the Regulatory Environment is like . Why would this administration, whats called a regulatory union, thats just come out, and the administration in april, and in the fall, is required to lay out the regulations for the next period. Why did we get no report from this administration in october or november . Election. Why did we when was the report, listen, hundreds of billions of dollars of new regs. By december 21, before christmas. Yeah. On at 3 00 this organization put online the regulations for 2013. This is the kind of thing were talking about. I think ceos need to assume this is the way its going to be done. They dont understand that. We have a regulatory body that is ready to launch. Theres no new election. And guess what . When the first term youre hiring your regulators. Now theyre there. Their pencils are ready. All right. And if its a terrible situation. Were going to return to this. You dont want to talk about it . I do want to talk about it. I want to tell you something were saving some time for. You think its a great segment and thats the ceos that are married. One runs Stanley Black and decker. I love them. I know them well. See, in your situation, you know, suzy, i would say, is the ceo of your marriage. I dont think its really a cothing. Ive seen how it operates. I dont think it is here, either. I was trying to get to that, though. Its something you know about. Yeah. So we want to get to that. And we have a lot more. All of us. I know. Whats the saying . Happy wife is a happy life. Im going to go put on go put on a red tie. I have one up in my drawer we have a lot more from jack welch. We will talk more throughout the morning because hes our guest host for the rest of the program. Also when we come back, salty snacks and fizzy drinks. The cfo of pepsi as our special guest. Were going to talk about Global Business conditions, soft drink wars and much more. The companys just out with results that beat expectations. Also if you take a look very quickly at the futures, weve seen some red arrows, the dow futures are down by about 62 points below fair value. S p futures off by about 6. Welcome back, everybody. Pep kico out with quarterly reports just a few moments ago. The company came in with numbers that were better than expected. And is also raising its dividends. Joining us is Hugh Johnston the chief Financial Officer over at pepsico. These look like good numbers pretty much across the board. Revenue was better than expected and the stock is indicated higher at this point, too. Can you talk to us about where you really see the biggest pockets of strength there, because, i dont see anything that jumps out as being anything other than better than expectations . Yeah, thank you, good morning, becky. You know, we actually feel terrific about 9 results for the quarter. As you mentioned, solid beat both on revenue and on eps. To me maybe the most heartening is the fact that we delivered 5 organic Revenue Growth, and if you look at really every region of the world, we saw good, solid Revenue Growth. Europe at 3. 5 . Whats obviously a challenging economic environment. The u. S. Did quite well for us, and the developing and emerging markets, at 9 , both for the quarter, and for the year, so its really solid Revenue Growth across the board, and perhaps most heartening for us as we invested in our businesses this year we saw sequential strengthening quarter after quarter culminating in the q4 results. I do see that revenue was down by about 1 from a year earlier. I guess that was because of negative foreign negative Foreign Exchange impact . A little bit on Foreign Exchange. Thats a reported number. But in addition to that, we did reenfranchise some bottlers. On a like for like basis it was up 1 which is quite a nice level of Revenue Growth and well in line with our guidance. How much of this, hugh, is because the economy is improving in areas, and why dont you just tell us about what you see from the consumer around the globe and here in the United States . Well, i think for us it starts with some of the things that we did a few years ago in terms of getting our portfolio right. We made some investments in developing and emerging markets to get the portfolio to a good spot. We now feel its in a good spot. We dont feel the need for any largescale need to change it. In addition to that what we see is developing and emerging consumers are doing quite well. Our russia business grew 10 , our mexico business grew 7 . So continue to see good strength there. As far as developed markets go, europe obviously in the west has its challenges but Eastern Europe is doing quite nicely. And in the u. S. , really over the last 6 to 8 months i would characterize it as a very slow, gradual strengthening in the consumer. Slowing gradual, but nonetheless, detectable in there. So we do feel like the consumer environment is getting a little bit better in developed markets. Thats something weve spoken about before you really see it in terms of the jobs picture because people stop in the morning at the gas station, and they go in to get their lunch, maybe to grab either a pack of chips that go along with that or grab a soda with it. What can you tell us just about where the average discuss her is in the morning . Are they willing to go ahead and spend on things like that . Youre definitely seeing a little bit more of that. I mean, certainly the beginning of this year is a tough read because there are so many complicated factors going into it. The weather certainly a factor. The payroll tax change certainly a factor. So its tough to read the first few weeks of the year. Its why im looking at over the six to eightmonth time frame, we do see that consumer going in to the convenience stores, and they are willing to pick up our products. So, we feel good about that. And one of the things i think thats benefitting us, as well, is we made the shifts in our portfolio from being just a soetd today and chips company, into a company with products anywhere from fun for you treats all the way through to Healthy Nutrition like tropicana and like quaker. When the consumer wants to reach for something healthy, we have a product. When they want a treat we have something there for them as well. We feel like what weve done in terms of both the geographic transformation, as well as the change in the Product Portfolio to broaden ourselves, has put us in a spot where we can post these types of results consistently. And thats why were talking about 2013 guidance with mid single digit revenue, as well. Hugh, thank you very much for joining us today. We really appreciate your time. Thanks. Appreciate it. Again, hugh johnson is the cfo at pepsico. When we come back a valentines day treat for you. Were going to meet the Worlds Largest airline. We have the ceos of usair and amr, who will be joining us to talk about this brand new merger, just became official earlier this morning. And joe has his red tie on now. Yep. Yeah, we got to talk about this tie. Do you recognize it . I do now. Well talk about it when we come back. The patient, presented with a hairline fracture to the mandible and contusions to the metacarpus. What do you see . Um, i see a duck. Be more specific. I see the aflac duck. I see the aflac duck out of work and not making any money. I see him moving in with his parents and selling bootleg dvds out of the back of a van. Dude, thats your life. Remember, aflac will give him cash to help cover his rent, car payments and keep everything as normal as possible. I see lunch. [ monitor beeping ] lets move on. [ male announcer ] find out what a hospital stay could really cost you at aflac. Com. More likes. More tweets. So, beginning today, my son brock and his whole team will be our new senior social media strategists. Any questions . Since we make radiator valves wouldnt it be better if we just let fedex help us to expand to new markets . Hmm gotta admit thats better than a few likes. I dont have the door code. Whos that . He won a contest online to be ceo for the day. How am i supposed to run a business here without an office . [ male announcer ] fast, reliable deliveries worldwide. Fedex. Coming up next, managing through a debt crisis. Jack welch is going to share more of his tips, next. Welcome back, be everybody. This is squawk box on cnbc, first in business worldwide. Weve got a stock to watch this mo luxury goodsmaker coach is going 7 lewis as its president. He will become chief executive officer next january with the current chairman and ceo lew frank for the stepping down. He will stay on, however, as chairman. Got some numbers out from General Motors. This is another one of the companies weve been waiting on, earnings from this morning. Joe, hate to put you in the spot. Thats okay, beck. The first number that i saw to compare to expectations is adjusted profit of 48 cents a share. That is, and jack wants to mention last year, 4. 9 billion of net income compared to 7. 9 billion in 2000. Thats fullyear income net income. That 48 cent number adjusted looks like it compares to 51 cents, and it looks like the company also has a net gain from onetime items of 100 million or six cents a share. Now revenue was 39. 3 billion. Thats something that looks like its above the estimate of 39. 15 billion. Theres all kinds of stuff. Theres a onetime noncash writedown of north american goodwill. There is a, wow, and big numbers, 26. 2 billion. Or 34. 9 billion onetime noncash gain from reversal of tax valuation allowance in the fourth quarter. Wheres lebeau . This is his problem. Hes got we have the ceo we have dan amman on. Cfo. The only cfo is going to be able to explain all this. Think of those numbers. Did you just hear the special items . Yeah, 26 billion. 36 billion. You know i would always the u. S. Market share actually dropped to 17. 1 . Thats one that we can understand. 17 17. 1 from 18 a year ago. Okay. That should be something that we get to, as well. All right. But you know, were going to lets talk to the cfo before we characterize it as above or below at this point. 48 versus an estimate of 51. But with all these multibillion dollar charges in here. Okay. Our guest host today is jack welch. Founder of the Jack Welch Management Institute at strayer university. I want to continue the conversation we were having more. Two corporate questions for you. One is boeing. The ceo is your guy. Was one of your guys. What would you do if you were running that company right now . Id do what hes doing. Id take care of my three constituencies. My employees. My shareholders. And my customers. And id make sure they all knew where we stood. We got to start up with a very complicated machine. We got to be sure everybodys focused on the issue. Id take care of my customers. What do you mean take care of your customers . Make new deals with them . Rebate money . Id do whatever it took to assure them that were going to get the problem solved. Id give them a picture of when the deliveries are going to be as best i could. Jim is a cool, smart guy that wont panic in a time like this. Well get in, get the problem solved. This is a complicated problem. You know him, is he anxious . You talk to him about this . I talked to him over the last couple months. Hes on top of it. Hes on top of it. This is a tough problem. Millions of parts. I mean, this is and this is should he be communicating more . We dont hear much. Hes communicating with the constituents. I just talked about it. His shares are holding up pretty darn well. I think within plus or minus a dollar. I think his customers havent abandoned him. And his employees love him. And hes got that going. And theyll solve this problem. This problem has happened in every plane thats brought out. Its going to be solved. Customers are kind of locked in. We spoke with an analyst who said the customers have also bet on this because theyre planning on this lays down the entire foundation for where youre going. For where theyre going. Yeah. I think to be out screaming and yelling but wouldnt do much good. Hes got to take care of those three constituents and hes doing it. My other question has to do with another company in the news which is dell. Youre in the buyout business. So when you look at a transaction like that and theres a lot of shareholders now screaming saying this is an inside job. Michael dell is trying to take over the company. Does this make sense . Do you like management buyouts . I i cant comment on whether it should be 16 or 22, as the guy on the west coast is talking about. I dont know the answer to what the right number is. I just dont. I dont buy the argument that you cant grow in a public company. Action you need to be private to grow in a fastmoving business. Do you think he could do this . The argument is that the public shareholders are so a. D. D. That they cant give him the time that he needs to do. If they didnt, he was only at ten bucks or whatever it was, nine, ten, eleven dollars. Maybe it goes to seven for a couple of years. While hes redoing the company. I dont buy the argument that you got to be private to reinvent the company. I dont buy that argument. You either do it peacefully, nobodys doing peaceful in private equity. Were in there and theyre going to be looking at how hes doing. Theyll find out that theyll be all over his butt just the way the public is, only be a different approach. For one more company. Apple. David einhorn is now pushing for apple to give all this cash back. You were tim cook, what do you do . Just about what hes doing. Take a hike. Take a hike. I got the cash, i need it. I want to get new products. I want to play. Im all on tim cooks side, screw David Einhorn on this one. Another one of your former proteges, over at discovery. Im looking at some of these numbers. Now the stock you watch that stock. When he took over, you know what the market cap is . Almost like, what was the market cap when you took over . 12. 12 billion. Went to. 400 when i left. Hes a younger man than you but it went wait a minute are we going to get into the age issue . No, no, six billion where he started at discovery. 20 plus. Done a hell of a job. Hes globalized the company magnificently. International is up now. Im looking at a 16 kent number but there are some factors with media companies, its hard. You got to use operating income before taxes. And you got to use revenue. And all those numbers are above. But 61 cents is below. I dont know how the analysts miss it on 76 cents. But the company also bought euro sport which is a sports channel in europe. And sbs you just i mean, and just asked me all about the shortterm, youre beating up on i said the other metrics are above expectations. Zazslov has done one of the great globalization jobs. When you listen to his globalization story and how hes growing, whether Eastern Europe or wherever, hes made every right move internationally. So i dont know what his numbers are. Revenue up this quarter. But his company is stronger than ever. And hes doing one hell of a job. Now hes got to yet the own network coming. But thats a niche compared to all the Strategic Moves hes making. The oprah. Yeah. All right. I love the job hes done. I love the job hes done. And content. Thats another thing thats hard to judge how to expand that. I thought youd run out of things to talk about and you never do. Thats the fun of being in that business. Its all your imagination. And then international you can find reality shows that work in india. And you can bring this stuff on one network here. And then put it out all over the world. I mean, he has got a distribution now. Hes just bought, the euro sport . Yeah. I mean hes buying the right stuff to get in distribution i mean look what he does with the shop show we dont let the kids watch that. Im a fan. Awesome. Well have more from jack in just a minute. Up next weve got the ceos of amr and us airways on their deal to create the Worlds Largest airline. Plus gm cfo dan ammann. Tdd 18003452550 this morning, im going to trade in hong kong. Tdd 18003452550 after that, its on to germany. Tdd 18003452550 then tonight, im trading 9500 miles away in japan. Tdd 18003452550 with the new global account from schwab, tdd 18003452550 i hunt down opportunities around the world tdd 18003452550 as if im right there. Tdd 18003452550 and im in total control because i can trade tdd 18003452550 directly online in 12 markets in their local currencies. Tdd 18003452550 i use their Global Research to get an edge. Tdd 18003452550 their equity ratings show me how schwab tdd 18003452550 rates specific foreign stocks tdd 18003452550 based on things like fundamentals, momentum and risk. Tdd 18003452550 and i also have access to independent tdd 18003452550 firms like Ned Davis Research tdd 18003452550 and Economist Intelligence unit. Tdd 18003452550 plus, i can talk to their global specialists 24 7. Tdd 18003452550 and trade in my global account commissionfree tdd 18003452550 through march 2013. Tdd 18003452550 best part. No jet lag. Tdd 18003452550 call 18665069616 tdd 18003452550 and a global specialist tdd 18003452550 will help you get started today. What are you doing . Work . Work. Cdw configured these Lenovo Thinkpad ultrabooks with intel core i7 processors. So, we can work anywhere. Anywhere . Sure on the beach, in the woods, at the lake. What about on the green . Lets not get ahead of ourselves. Oh there are many Power Couples in business but theres only one married couple where each spouse is the ceo of a large publicly traded company that youve heard of. John lundgren is the ceo of Stanley Black decker and Tamara Lundgren is the ceo of have niter Steel Industries which cramer has talked about many times. Good morning to you both. Good morning, joe, good morning, jack. Good morning. We want to we do want to, since we dont have a lot of time, want to get to how each business is performing. But do you ever see each other . Thats the one thing that i wonder and does that make it a better marriage . Ill turn to the boss. We do. We have a blood oath that we see each other on friday nights somewhere. Maybe home, maybe on the west coast, it might be on the east coast. And then we get these occasions where we get invited to be in new york on the same day. Do you give each other advice on running the different companies, or do you you dont need advice . We have the empathy factor. And you know, bad week, we can share that, and weve all been through it. Good weeks we celebrate. We try to get that finished before the first bottle of wine is done on friday night. I saw your relationship out at the at t and it looks its nice. But its valentines day. I can talk about that. Wish we had a half hour to talk about it but we got all this other stuff. So tell me about i got to start with you i think, schnitzer what is the outlook . Whats it dependent on . What do you need to happen to make the stock perform and the Company Perform . I think were at an influkz point. There are four major drives, gep growth, production, extend yours and investment. From 2011 to two thud twelve in the markets where we sell our products which are the emerging markets in the growth economies we you asaul those indicators going down. 2013, 2014 the projections are those trends are going up. You make any tools out of schnitzer steel . Very little. Theyre in a different business. No discloseable inside trades. But you know, interestingly, as jack said earlier, in our business, a meaningful portion, about 20 of our total companies revenues are dependent on rebuild, and another 15 to 30 depending on how you count commercial construction and new residential construction. Jack made the point that permits are up 3. 6 . Best since 2008 to 900,000. Thats half of what they were at the peak. So while theres some green shoots, were not planning on any help from the Macro Economic environment. And were undertaking a lot of organic Growth Initiatives on our own, focused on emerging markets while we tend to continue to drive our domestic business. Thats the hottest new product youve got . Joes got one in his dressing room. A couple great new products seriously that took off. Not on our professional products but a couple of Consumer Products. An adjustable screwdriver and a matrix system that thanks to the opportunity to plug it i dont want joe to hurt himself. He signed a waiver. I am such a cando guy around the house. I am. Joe signed a waiver before we let those in his dressing room. Thats great. Come back and were going to talk. It was great to have you on on valentines. We have Little Hearts and weve been playing music as you come in. And best of luck. Thanks for having us. Thanks. Youll see now why we had to keep this short. We have some breaking news to bring you. Sources telling cnbc that Berkshire Hathaway and 3d are prepared to buy heinz for 28 billion. That is a total of 72. 50 a share. Thats what our horses are telling us. Its a 20 premium. Are you kidding me . Im not kidding you. Shut the front door this really . This is happening. Berkshire hathaway is buying heinz. And 3g are buying heinz. 72. 50 a share. Its a 20 premium. Some of the details and this is not out . This is not out yet. Berkshire is putting in 4. 5 billion of equity. 3g is also going to be putting in 4. 5 billion of equity. An additional 9 billion of preferred that are going to be joining this. We should be hearing officially about this transaction perhaps in the next half hour. Last time he was on he said you know what . Why didnt we think heinz . I kind of did i think elephant hunting. This is right up his alley in terms of Consumer Products. Not only ketchup but looking through here. They make or eida. Heinz its hard to think of a second place. He loves big he makes one every couple of years. What was the last one . Burlington northern. Burlington was about a 34 billion acquisition. Yeah. That was a massive, massive one. This one is humanitarian, too. Consumer products. 28 billion. Thats a big deal. That is big. Also worth noting, 3g is brazilian investors. You may remember 3g because they participated in buying burger king. Right. About two years ago. So a big deal on we have a lot of big deals today. Airlines deal. We now have its valentines day. And ketchup is red, isnt it . You know, who brought this over here . Did somebody literally bring these to me where did they get that . I dont know. Inside information. Inside information. Were breaking the news and then holding up the ketchup. Anyway. Stocks moving again. Andrew, again, if you looked at the stock, it closed yesterday, the market cap was 19. 39 billion. Andrew again just talking about the news this is going to be a 28 billion purchase. You can take a look right now. That stock closed yesterday, i think at 60 and something. Right now 72. The premium is about 20 . 19 , 20 . It was 19 billion and its 28 billion. Thats bigger than 20 . You were talking about some of the deals that probably i think thats with debt. You were talking about some of the deals that were getting done that werent great deals because some of them were the companies that they were buying were already too high. I mean this would not fall into that category i guess. I mean do you just see something this fits what he does beautifully. I mean, this is a steady, no technology to speak of. Brand known around the world. Great brand. Does this say anything about the environment, though . I mean between the airline deal. Between this deal. You had dell last week. The Carbon Footprint . No. I the deal environment. The deal environment. Theres plenty of money around, we know that. Theres tons of money around. Money is not the issue. But does this Say Something about confidence that people didnt have perhaps six months ago . Oh, i think, as i said, i think the domestic economy is clearly operating on a sound if theres if you think about the u. S. , at 2 . Its supplies will be on the upside. If you think about europe, as 0 to 1 , if theres a surprise, i suspect its on the downside. Thats the difference in my view. John, since youre still here, and weve got your expertise here. Is it a good time to be spending, smart people spending money at this point on acquisiti acquisition . Jack made the point earlier this morning. Theres a lot of cash and a lot of its earning 50 basis points. You know, its good deals that way above your cost of capital should be value creative. I would agree. Europe is frightening because theres a lot of things that low prices, but you know, the investor reaction to acquisitions in europe is is mixed. So, yeah, i think its a really good time. Im thinking reverse pac man. Reverse ms. Pac man u. S. Steel. Schnitzer. Weve done probably about 25 acquisitions in the last five or six years and what it does, it enhances our supply chain is whats most important. So for scrap supply and raw materials, the supply chain is most important to us. Thats whats driven most of our acquisitions. I wonder if this, andrew, remember everybody thats come in has said dont expect much in the deal world in 2013. Its just still not going to happen. I mean, this in one fell swoop this adds to the deal total this year in a big way. Comcast just made yeah, that was sort of and the airlines. I just got an email from somebody, a major person in the deal business, friend of yours, we wont name him, he said its here finally, m a paperline is the strongest in the last five years. I think there is a sense that i actually you know we had people on the end of the year who seemed to be depressed and whats, to me, so surprising is literally in the past month and a half, there has been this almost sea change and the question is, is the sea change going to actually continue . Probably call warren on the phone and see if we can get him to talk about this. Speaking of warren, i put on the red tie. And this is a buffett for valentines day . And buffett sent me this tie. Remember you were out there with him and he took it off. Kind of now to react to my tie. I ran out to get what i didnt mention playing catchup ball. He immediately took a tax writeoff for what he sent this tie. Even though he loves everyone else. He did say, you know, i dont know what this was worth but i think he did, whatever he paid for it. He wrote it off as charity. Which we love him. I wonder, really, whether, i think buffett is different. When he decides to buy. I dont this necessarily means but it should, maybe. Maybe this money got in at the right you know hes been playing with this for some time. Just the timing was right. And you know, he could have bought heinz, ketchup but then theres the other one, hunts, cat do you know what the difference is, andrew, and why this one was more attractive . Is hunts owned by conagra . And theres talks about what they spell it differently. Its the same thing, basically. Ketchup . Worth noting, by the way, and i want to go back and look at this, nelson peltz, if you remember. I do. Was a huge shareholder in heinz. I wonder if he still is. He was pushing that company, and i you know, im looking at a story that said back in 2011 that he sold half of his stake, and i think he still is johnson still the ceo there . Let me look up the stuff right now. And also i just decided johnson was very supportive of peltzs action on the board. Conagras phil johnson is still the ceo. We should actually get a full screen of the other stocks that are similar businesses. Because conagra is higher, i would imagine across the board, wouldnt you think, that other brandname Consumer Products are probably going to get i mean the market is still called lower, weve got a 34 bid on conagra, 34 to 36, so i wouldnt be surprised if we see a markup in some of the other. Were going to put a quick pause on this story. Were going to talk General Motors for a second and then come back to this big breaking story of course Warren BuffettBerkshire Hathaway buying heinz. Lets talk about gm for a second. Chief Financial Officer dan alman joins us first here on cnbc. Good morning to you, dan. Good morning. We do have a lot to get to. Lets just walk through the earnings. We were talking about market share. Lets talk about market share. There were so many different pieces to the earnings report, that frankly we were having a tough time understanding what was happening. Very quickly, theres let me give you the simple confirming your story. Im sore i to interpret. There is a release from h. J. Heinz saying it is entering into this agreement. Confirming the story that andrew broke. Im sorry, dan, go ahead. Okay, well let me give you the simple story for the quarter on an underlying basis, revenue was up for the quarter. Profits up for the quarter year over year. Margins were up and cash flow were up year over year. So the quarter from our perspective was right in line. You look at the full year, our third consecutive full year profitability for the company. Very robust results and sets us up nicely for 2013. We have a huge onslaught of new product introductions coming in 2013. Here in the u. S. , and all around the world, weve got a new fullsize truck, Chevy Silverado and sierra coming in. Cadillac has a lot of new product coming into the market here and around the world. We feel very good about the way weve set up for 2013. Its going to be an exciting year for the company. Market share. It looked like market share dropped slightly. Market share was down very slightly for the quarter year over year. Were off to a good start in 2013. We were up here in the u. S. In january. Were actually up market share in europe in january, as well. So, new products starting to do well in the marketplace and were looking forward to an exciting 13 as i said. Were going to have to leave it there. Its a very newsy day. We have this berkshire transaction plus amr. Well come back and hopefully talk to you in the very near future. Thank you. Coming up, what are Money Managers doing to make clients money right now . Well ask cnbc contributor rich bernstein and Portfolio Manager ed keon coming up next. Plus love is in the air. Mega merger is the story of the day. How the deal between us airways and American Airlines could reshape business in the skies. If you think running a restaurant is hard, try running four. Fortunately weve got ink. It gives us 5x the rewards on our internet, phone charges and cable, plus at Office Supply stores. Rewards we put right back into our business. This is the only thing weve ever wanted to do and ink helps us do it. Make your mark with ink from chase. Welcome back to squawk box here on cnbc, first in business worldwide, im joe kernen along with beckdy quick and andrew ross sorkin. Jack welch is with us on the set. Hes the founder of the Jack Welch Management Institute at strayer university. He used to run, what was that . General electric. Much more from jack still to come. First weve had two big deals this morning. Oh, the big one. Berkshire hathaway and 3g buying heinz for 72. 50 per share. I should say Warren Buffett will be calling in in just a few moments. Lets give you a couple details on whats going on here. This is a transaction that represents frankly a 3 a 20 premium, 3g the brazilian investors behind the acquisition of anheuserbusch. Also burger king. Theyre going to be putting in 4. 5 billion of equity, as well. Then theres 9 billion of preferred total price with debt. 28 billion, and of course, theres been a lot of speculation for many years about what was going to happen to heinz. People talked about whether they were going to merge with campbells soup. There was talks back i think in the late 90s about a merger with best foods. So heinz, being taken off the table. Other major merger stories, amr and us airways announcing their long anticipated deal. Creates the Worlds Largest airlines and were going to go to phil lebeau, whos got two very special guests on this valentines day. Yeah, you say love is in the air, andrew. Thank you very much. Here at dallasft. Worth airport. With doug parker who is the incoming ceo of the new American Airlines. Tom horton the ceo of the old American Airlines who will now be chairman of the new American Airlines. Quickly, tell me, start first with you, doug, what was the key to bringing this deal to the and creating the Largest Airline in the world . I think the value. Both of us knew existed. We had to work out the details. But the reality is putting these two airlines together creates an airline that is good for consumers, because we can take these two networks, put them together. Theyre highly complementary. Its good for investors. Good for creditors of amr and good for all our employees. Creates a stronger airline. Allows us to do more compensation. And for all those reasons makes a lot of sense. Tom, there was a sense when you guys went into bankruptcy and you became ceo and you said listen, we want to come out of bankruptcy before we think about merging with another airline. Dog was persistent, and the creditors were persistent. What was the key in changing your mind, if there is a point where you said, okay, lets do this . Well, at the outset of the deal, our mission was all about creating the most value for our owners, and the best outcome for our people and our customers. We stayed steadfast to that mission. But the restructuring was about getting our cost structure straightened out, our Balance Sheet strong, continuing to renew our fleet. All the things we were doing to build value in the company. And then once we got to that point, and saw line of sight on a strong, profitable company, then clearly the next step was to pursue the merger. From a position of relative strength. And the outcome has been good for our owners. Doug you look at your network now with the strength that you have not only here in the United States, especially strengthen american on the east coast and youre strengthened in latin america and in europe, do you look at the industry now and say, the consolidation game which you have been enacted for for years, has it played out for the most part . Or do you look at it and say its a pause and maybe somewhere down the road theres more consolidation . I think were pretty much done. It was 2005, you had like 11 airlines. At least 1 of the industry. Now were down to, you know, three large carriers which is intensely competitive. And then southwest which is a fantastic job with low cost, jetblue, some others doing what they do to keep, to make sure low fares 0 out there flying point to point. I dont think theres a whole lot of consolidation. We have a nicely rational but intensely Competitive Airline industry which is going to be good for consumers and investors. What about labor . This is a industry and you know it firsthand. Youve struggled with that. Are you confident . I know you have the agreements with the unions put in place, at least at framework in advance of this deal coming not. But finalizing those, are you confident you can get that done . Yeah. And i think thats very unique about this deal is it does have broad labor support, and, in fact, we do have the labor agreements in place up front so we have certainty on the cost of the integration. Thats very unique in an Airline Merger. Andrew, i know youve got a couple of questions for these gentlemen. I guess the first question i have, maybe its a quebec ki would ask, is this ultimately good for consumers . Are prices going to go up . Is there any overlap issues that you see where regulators could get involved . And how are you thinking about some of that . Ill chime in. We think its great for consumers. Between our two airlines theres over 900 routes that we fly. Of those theres only overlap on 12. Most of those are hubtohub things like charlotte to dallas. Very little overlap. Highly complementary. We expect to continue to fly to all continue service out of all the hubs we have. Service to all the communities we have. So thats good. It also creates, while today there are two very Large Airlines in deltaunited. Creates a third competitor thats as large, slightly larger. So we think it increases competition. See no issue with regulatory authority. As you may know, american has been investing in the product and services, lots of new airplanes on the way. Hundreds of new airplanes, in fact. And this will only make the new american stronger. And more financially capable to keep on investing for our customers. Doug, you just mentioned this idea that you dont expect more consolidation. One of the knocks on this particular transaction has been that you dont have access to china. That you dont have enough access to asia. What do you say to that . I say one world. The one World Alliance provides the customers the new america and the ability to fly all throughout asia extremely well. And on top of that we will have the best service to latin america. To europe, as well. And with the one world partners, the ability to fly people all over the world as well as any other airline can. Selfishly, whats going to happen one world has the best hubs and best International Business markets around the world. Places like london, new york, tokyo, hong kong. Thats what one world is about. And i think it really is the most powerful alliance in the industry. Okay. Selfishly for all the viewers who fly on you, what happens to our miles . And what credit card now are we going to have to use to get the miles . Your miles, well combine the two programs, so if you happen to have miles in both programs you now combine those into a larger airline and you can use them on a larger airline. This is great for consumers in terms of your miles. Just be valued at the same rate as the venezuelan bolivar, right . One for one . Theyre good . Theyre not being theyre good. Theyre sinking like the yen. Increasing in value. All right. Okay. And finally i see you have the new American Airlines logo behind you. The entire airline is going to be american now . You going to rebronze the whole thing . Yeah, thats right. And in fact, weve got 60 brandnew airplanes coming this year. Theyll come in the new livery and of course were out launching new livery on the rest of our existing fleet. Thats what the airline will look like going forward. Okay. Gentlemen, thank you very, very much. Happy valentines day to you. We hope that things happen in the air today. Those miles before you guys go, one very quick question this is important. Boeing, guys. Boeing 787. Do you have thoughts . Whats happening . And are you negotiating with them for any type of rebate or special deals on any of the planes that have been ordered . Yeah, we have at american we have 42787s on order and another 58 options on top of that. Theyre not to deliver until late next year and we have every confidence that boeing will sort out the current ish as and that will be a great airplane going forward. Not worried. Okay. Thank you very, very much, guys. Make light of it, but huge on Balance Sheet. Sky miles, you see companies actually making decisions based on okay back to becky who has got the other big deal of the morning that weve been talking about, Berkshire Hathaway and 3g buying heinz. This is a 28 billion deal when you include the debt. And by the way, just hearing from Richard Peterson over at sd capital he says that the heinz deal pushes yeartodate u. S. Merger and acquisition volumes over 182 billion, andrew, and that compares with about 58 billion this time last year. So we are talking about quite a bit more deals coming through. Joining us right now in the squawk news line is Warren Buffett. Of course, the chairman and ceo of Berkshire Hathaway. Warren, thank you for calling in this morning. Glad to be here. So, this news caught all of us by surprise. 28 billion. We know youre always out with your big gun hunting for elephants. How long have you been searching for this one . Well, george who runs 3g talked to me about about early december we were on a plane together. So ive followed, ive got a file on heinz that goes back to 1980. But, he is the one that got me going on this in early december. What is it that was proposed . This is a little bit of a complicated deal in yeah, well were partners with 3g, and well both own a same amount of the equity. Well own a preference stock in addition. Its my kind of deal and my kind of partner. Whats the preferred stock that berkshire gets on top of the 50 of the equity stake . Well were putting up more of the money. But were going to be an equal Equity Partner with 3g. And there will be 8 billion preferred stock and then well each have four and a fraction billion of common equity. So well split the equity. But were a Financing Partner in addition. And and theyre the operational guys. You are paying a 20 premium for the Closing Stock price as of yesterday for heinz. Youre somebody whos known for looking through deals and being very careful and cautious about what you pay. Why are you willing to pay a 20 premium. What do you see in this company . Well, im never willing. They drag me to the altar always. Its our kind of company. Its got a group of fantastic brands, led by ketchup, and, you know, the Company Started in 1869 with hars radish but they quickly shifted into ketchup so that the ketchup brand has been around for 135 years ago. Ive sampled it many, many times. Warren now that this is taking over, is this going to be a company that 3g does the operations . Or is this getting wrapped into the berkshire fold . 3g, theyre our partner, but its their baby from an operational standpoint, and we were their partner, but theyve done a terrific job, as you know, with anheuserbusch and burger king, and ive known georgy paolo who ever since we were on the gillette board, so for a dozen years ive admired him as a businessman enormously. And as a human being. So, its a Great Partnership for us. And any partnership where i dont have to do the work is my kind of partnership. How much cash is berkshire putting in . It will be something between 12 and 13 billion. Which is a pretty big deal for you. But you still have a lot of cash on the Balance Sheet . Im ready for another elephant, if you see any walking by, just call me. How much cash do you have on hand after this deal . Well at yearend we had about 47 billion of cash every place. But we always like to keep and we we will keep around 20 billion so you might say the excess cash at year end was about 27 billion. So 12 or 13 out of that, you could still do another one tomorrow if you wanted to . Yeah, and of course the cash builds from month to month. So, the gun is always getting reloaded. Warren, how much room for improvement do you think there is at heinz . And the reason i say that in part is because it looks like over the past couple years, egged on by nelson peltz, who came and got involved with the company and stuck with it and got those two board seats and pushed phil johnson to really make the company much more efficient, you know, what do you think that 3g can do that hasnt been done before . Well, i think bill johnsons done a very good job of running the company. I dont necessarily agree it was because he was pushed by nelson, but, bill johnson, you know, took over a dozen years ago or so, and hes done a very good job. Hes a very good custodian, and developer of brands, and he liked that. But, 3g is a good operator, too. As evidenced by they were actually the owner of anheuserbusch, but its the same its the same managerial group. And is bill i would say this. I dont think ive ever seen a better developed Management Group than the one that george wr paolo has done developed over the years, in brazil. He has been incredible. And so what happens to this Current Management Team at heinz . Well, theyll work with the 3g people. And so you expect phil johnson to keep his job . I would expect it. But the 3g people are in charge of things. Warren, you buy at any time when you see something worth buying. But should we read anything into an improvement in the current environment for deal making based on whats a pretty big acquisition, even for you . No, just means we found something. No, we any time we see a deal thats attractive, and its our kind of business and weve got the money, you know, im ready to go. And i know youre i couldnt help but think you must be kicking yourself. You just didnt hold that us airways long enough, did you . Well, i cake myself over that and i kick myself over giving you that goodlooking tie. I should be wearing that myself. Like i said you got the writeoff for the tie. Youve not seen my tax return. You get around plenty, joe, but youre right. I thought about, im trying to figure out how much, this is neither here nor there, but Teresa Heinz Kerry still has a lot of heinz stock, and it was a good day for john when he got, you know, confirmed. But this has got to be even a better day. And i looked at their tax rate last year, and i forget shes worth about a billion dollars. 12 . And thats exactly what warrens talking about when you have that 20 premium is an alltime high. Off of an alltime high. Are they dancing . I dont know at this point. But that will put a bounce in the secretary of states step today i would think. Thats interesting, warren. So now im just think youre going to buy every like brand name consumer product, consumer goods company, and youre a great investor but this doesnt seem like it takes that you dont really need to be that smart to do this, do you . Ive absolutely got a deal. I look for it. You have to be smart to do a deal, forget it, i wont be there. Warren, real quickly. The price is 27. 50 on this. Right. Were looking at the stock which is trading at 72. 95. Are you going to pay an extra 42 cents . No. I can give you the answer to that. If people are trading higher than this, go away . Well, they got the last penny out of me. But really were at 72 point 90. Whats going to happen . Weve bought a number of companies where they traded temporarily higher. That is not unusual. You can throw in my purple shoes, warren. Top it off. Forgot about that. The purple shoes. All right. So, above 72. 50, look out, because you made your final and last offer and this is it. You bet. You bet. Okay. As youre saying that the stocks coming back down. Even if they start printing a new coin called the mil, it will not try to use it. Warren whenever you call in you know that now were going to be i think cramer comes on at 6 00. So were going to try and keep this going, now that we have you on, even though you called in about heinz because we like to get as much information as we can when we have the oracle on. Okay, well we can talk about the orida potatoes. They have hash browns. Synergy. Youre going to keep it to heinz at this point. While we have you here we got to go. Moodys after everything thats happened with s p, the trouble that theyre in with the government, moodys stocks been punished by this, too. How much moodys do you still own . Well, we own we havent changed our ownership in at least, at least oh, i dont know, im sure almost a year. I mean, with moodys we own over 10 . So any time we have, as we had a purchase which we havent had or a sale we have to report it within two days. So that gets picked up very, very quickly. And i know we havent sold any anyway. Im not at the office now so i dont have the number of shares in front of me. But its something over 10 because were still in a situation where we would have to report within two days if we bought or sold any. And we havent sold any for i dont know a long time. What do you think about the governments case against first of all s p, and then potentially that spreading out to the other ratings agencies . Well, well just have to see what the facts are in the law. And theyve Standard Poors so they must think they have a somewhat better case against them. But obviously if Standard Poors were to lose the case, you know, moodys would obviously be a secondary logical target. What kind of a what kind of business or what kind of environment are your vast array of businesses seeing domestically, warren, is it a minus 0. 1 economy theyre dealing with or about a 2. 5 economy . Yeah, its its been its really been remarkably similar since late summer of 2009. I mean, you know, its just slowly been improving, and sometimes the sentiment gets, you know, stronger, and sometimes the sentiment gets weaker. But the economy, if you look at our businesses, they have steadily gotten better but not at a fast clip. And that continues right to this day. You know, the in january and so far in february theyre up somewhat but coal is down, oil is up. But theres and as everybody knows, housing is coming back a fair amount of strength now. But from an extremely low base. But the economy continues to improve, but it doesnt do it at a rapid clip. Thats very similar to what jack has been telling us this morning, too. Jack you see that same thing with the business . Absolutely. Its steady. Its slow. Nowheres near enough. And im concerned that things, we got two big things coming at us. We got doddfrank, which isnt out yet, really. And we got obama care. And obama care, when you look at the complexities in that plan, Health Care Costs are going to go up, theyre not going to go down. And youve got temporary workers to deal with. Retail has got a hell of a problem. Going from 35 hours a week to 30 hours a week for a temporary employee. If youve got 50 employees. You want 49. Theres so many complexities in these two things. So my concern about acceleration, is regulatory. Warren may have a different view of that. Interesting thing is i agree with everything jack has said, but its its i dont come away as pessimistic as he does. But hes absolutely right about, you know, about whats happening with health care, and everything. I dont disagree with a word that he said. That he said. And im not pessimistic, warren. Im not pessimistic. I just think we were at a position where we could really take off if we had the right policies. Yeah. Well i i the interesting thing kind of is that america really is doing better than the rest of the world. Which is, you know, everybody thinks we were lagging. But, i think from what i see the u. S. Is the strongest part of the world. But it is not galloping back at all. It is it is it is incrementally improving, and jack is right about the Health Care Costs. And you know, theres always a lot of problems on the horizon, i always, you know, in the end, i go with that, with that new country song that every storm runs out of rain. And i think we will see improvement, steady improvement but not necessarily at a fast clip. Thats a really popular song right now, country, and were going to call that up and play that when we finally go to break, every storm runs out of rain. Gary allen i think is the name. Yeah. Were going to play it. But, so, we do see now maybe free trade stuff coming back in the picture, we havent talked to you about that. Thats good, right . I mean that the president is he mentioned it. And weve got to get a specific deal and weve got to get an atlantic deal. And the fact that the president wants to get bilateral or multilateral trade agreements there is a big deal. If we can bring everybody along, thats another kick to the economy. Warren you own dairy queen and other things. Do you, is that is the right way to help the middle class to raise the minimum wage . Will that would that affect you or the hiring . There are arguments on both sides. I, i ive never been able to figure out necessarily whether its a plus. I mean it drives certain people out of a out of the labor force and on the other hand, you know, it does have an effect on rates at the lower level. I do not know whether if i were president of the United States whether id take that position or not. Doesnt it sound a lot better morally but in the end it doesnt deliver jobs . Well, thats, thats the question. I mean, its, and, it may drive away some jobs. Right. For that matter. Thats what the data say. If you ever i actually worked at the minimum wage for aheil. Yeah, right. Yeah, right. And i was glad that minimum wage was 75 cents an hour instead of 60 cents. Was there electricity then . Get out the violins. Yeah. I think edison was like edison was flying a kite or was that ben franklin . I dont know when that happened. Hey did you see John Chambers, warren, said that hes got i dont know how many billion overseas, but i think hes got 46 billion in cash, 39 billion overseas. He says if he cant bring it back, hes doing acquisitions overseas and hiring people overseas. Thats just the way it is. If hes got to grow cisco its going to be growing it over there. But the other side of that, of course, is that if you let him bring it back, and just enjoy the low rates over there, hell invest even more over there because you know that tax rate will he did something permanently though. Isnt there a way that we can do this where it actually works, jack . I mean, tax situation, yeah. I mean, we havent dealt with it. Weve got we got to deal with it. I got two two quick questions that are coming in from actually various viewers for you, warren, on this particular deal this morning. One is, do you expect to use heinz or does 3g expect to use heinz as a rollup vehicle . Theyve done this now in the beer industry, where they try to do this with other brands . Yeah, well i would say this. Georgy paolo and i are very good friends. Weve talked about the deal and neither he nor i like to think of this as our last deal. I mean, we will be we will be buying things. He generates cash. We generate cash. I love being partners with him. And, its certainly possible that, you know, theres nothing in mind no plan in mind now. Certainly in terms of anything specific but i would hope that over time that we would be adding to this. And the other question this comes in actually from a number of investors and we should probably ask heinz the question, will they continue to pay their dividend through the close of this transaction . I havent actually looked at the at the final contract on that but i would say that in most deals ive seen, it is the case that the dividend gets paid. And i havent heard anything different but i have not actually read that specific part of the contract. Warren, can i just go back to something you said because its a little different than what weve heard from a lot of market strategists since the beginning of 2013, you still think that the u. S. Is the best place to be investing . Am i hearing that correctly . You said that growth you think is best here but does that translate into this being the best place to invest . I certainly feel that way. We we at berkshire spent over 9 billion dollars on plant and equipment last year. And 95 of that was in the United States. Thats a record amount for us. Were going to spend even more this year and again it will probably be 95 in the United States. Theres a lot of opportunity in america. A lot of opportunity. I second that one in spades. I mean, that is its crazy that weve heard from a lot of investment strategists who said you got your gains last year in the u. S. Stock market you should look elsewhere at this point but other markets will outperform. If you talking about stock markets im i dont know of the stock market but i know if youre going to invest this is the place. Great opportunities here now. And warren, this is another thing that we should ask you about, art cashin reminds me. He wanted to know what you saw in the nyse based on the story that berkshire had been another bidder for the nyse. Well, i guess the answer is i didnt see anything because i was never i i was never contacted personally in any way, i never had a phone call, email from anybody in connection wa the nyse. There was some contact from somebody else at the office but like i say nobody, nobody from any Investment Banking firm ever put a phone call in to me or emailed me, and, and when they prepared the proxy nobody checked with me. So when people say berkshire was interested, it, it didnt mean you in this case. It certainly was not the ceo of berkshire. Ill put it that way. And would you have been interested . No. And warren while were taking speculation off the table, a lot of reports yesterday about what was going to happen to time inc. , Magazine Division time warner there was some speculation you were involved in part because byron trot is one of the advisers in the transaction i think related to meredith. You, obviously, do you love seem to love the print business but would you ever buy a magazine business . No. Okay. The answer is no. Just make sure. The first i heard about it was yesterday. All right. Warren, you, you know, you sent me a brick, youve sent me this ugly tie. You sent me some sees candies and you set me a net jet card that doesnt work with my name on it. Youre such a gracious receiver of gifts. Dont bother with the ketchup warren dont bother sending me any of this ketchup. On your behalf im giving this right here. You are such a grump. Tulle me what you want. Save the postage. You want potatoes or ketchup . Yeah, send some more. All right. He will. Thats the thing. Send the net jet card dont. A big sack of potatoes. Big sack of potatoes. Warren, thank you very much. Okay. For giving us the time this morning. We really appreciate it. Good to talk to you. Thank you. And a quick programming note, while we were talking to warren, weve been emailing and nelson peltz is going to join us in just a little bit. Board member of heinz to talk more about the transaction. And we should point out again, the stock at this point heinz this was a 20 premium to yesterdays closing price. But the stock this morning had been trading even above the 72. 50 that was offered. We saw it as high as 72 point 90 earlier. What Warren Buffett told us is forget it people, 72. 50 is the price. Youre not getting another penny out of him. It youre trading above that. Did you think he was going to say ill pay more . No. But you know him well. But its a suckers bet until and unless the shares are trading at 75 and two days before the deal has to close and someones got to do so well show i believe him. Nelsons going to call in hopefully in a little bit. Im hearing teresa heinz is not calling in. But i did place she wont be joining us. Coming up, more on the she could fly down here and come on to talk to us. Run out of rain how do you two have the same musical hes from nebraska. Yeah . Yeah. Countrys big. Every heartache its a good song. More on the Berkshire Hathaway deal every storm runs out of rain to buy heinz and were going to talk to nelson peltz, the ceo and Founding Partner of trian partners and hes on the board of heinz. Plus Employment Data that could move the markets. Well get weekly jobless claims at 8 30 a. M. Every week this is an important number. [ male announcer ] you are a business pro. Omnipotent of opportunity. You know how to mix business. With business. And you. Rent from national. Because only national lets you choose any car in the aisle. And go. You can even take a fullsize or above. And still pay the midsize price. I could get used to this. [ male announcer ] yes, you could business pro. Yes, you could. Go national. Go like a pro. Weekly jobless claims hit the tape. Falling 27,000 to 341,000 and that is a better number than had been expected. Steve liesman is here. He was talking about 360 was the number. But slightly better than expected 341 down 27,000 and you can see the futures are still indicated lower but they are off their lows of the morning. Right now dow futures down by about 37 or 38 points. S p futures down by three points right now. They were down by twice that amount earlier this morning. Part of the deal activity coulding moving some of these things. Better than expected earnings and weekly jobless claims that are better than expected. We just heard from Warren Buffett. Now on the squawk news line nelson peltz, ceo and partner of trian. Good morning. Congratulations. You joined the board of this company back in august 2006. And it wasnt clear that they were happy to have you. To put it politely. Thats an understatement. And who said im a shortterm investor . Well, that is true, too. Tell us he we heard from warren. Tell us how this transaction came about . There was meetings back in december between bill johnson and alex from 3g. But i think the transaction really came about because of the amazing performance that heinz has demonstrated over those last seven years. I mean, i think its been three plus quarters and i think heinz is the only food company that can say this, 30plus straight quarters of organic sales increases which is really amazing given the time frame of those seven years. Now, nelson, i said to warren that some of that performance is related to you getting on the board and nudging everybody. You think thats true . He said oh, i think its a the operations are great anyway. Look, i am proud to have played a very, very small part in the success of heinz. I think the kudos go to bill johnson, go to the Management Team, go to the board in total. We had a plan back in 06. That plan called for more direct market spin, less discounts to retailers, that bill johnsons credit, they took hold of that immediately, ran with the ball, execution is 99 of success. And they executed terrifically, and the results are 72. 50 allcash offer and i congratulate mr. Buffett and the guys at 3g. I know the guys that 3g. Theyre buying a great company. Nelson, the stock is now trading ahead of the transaction price which suggests that some people Karen Finerman also points out that could be if theres a dividend that gets paid between now and then so i need to look at up. Nelson the stock is now trading at 72. 55. Do you think thats a function of the dividend or people thinking theyre going to be getting more . It could be that. There was a sell recommendation put out, i think it was yesterday on the stock. Could have taken that to heart and thought it was overpriced. Bill johnson, you think hes keeping his job . We were trying to get an answer from warren on that, and he said yes but i thought at some level it might be noncommittal because he said 3g was going to be on rating the company. You know as far as were concerned on the board, and this is very important for us to determine, that it was a fair transaction, there have been no offers and no discussions about compensation with any of the management to and including bill johnson. And that was as of through the Board Meeting last night. I can tell you if bill johnson is staying thats either news that occurred after last night or speculation. The premium is a 20 premium, which is a very nice premium off of its highs. When did you sell your shares . Because i know youre a board member. But for the most part youve sold most of your shares, correct . Thats correct. We sold our shares probably in the high 50s. We sold our shares and interestingly enough yesterday we ran the numbers and found that the average sale of our shares resulted in a 900 basis point premium to the s p, we then held until today at 72. 50. We would have had 900 basis points north of the s p. However, weve made some Good Investments since we bought lazard because we thought the m a market was coming back and it has. Theyre an adviser to 3g. They are an adviser. Youve been coming and going. If we bought kraft at 30 if you recall that one and thats been very good since the breakup. And we bought state street and family dollar. So were not crying about what weve done with it. But most of all its a day of celebration for heinz shareholders, theyre getting a great price and 3g, and mr. Buffet are getting a great company. Unable to buy any late yesterday, huh nelson . Couldnt get an order in. Hate when that happens. We talk a lot i know how you think about certain things. Have you just decided now that businesses just need to operate regardless of the political back drop in washington. Is that where you are thats exactly where i am. And thats comwhere i think most ceos are. I think they said we know what we got for the next four years. Like it or not, i agree with mr. Buffett, the United States is probably better than the rest of the world. But i liken it to being the worlds tallest midget. I think we could do much better if washington could get out of the way a little bit more. By the die is cast. Weve got an administration that we put in office and therefore we know it, and were going to go forward with it. And i think thats what the ceos have decided. Thats right. Yeah. Nelson, this transaction say anything about confidence in the board room . We asked warren. He said this was a oneoff for him, and you know, was an opportunity, but were also seeing lots of deals. It is valentines day. We saw the airline deal. But its been, it feels like theres a lot more going on right now. Youre 100 right. I think there are many more deals coming. Ill say it again. Thats why we made our investment in lazard last year. We think this m a market is back. Revenue growth is hard to come by. I think most of the Corporate America feels that they have skinnied down their operations to a point where they cant get much more out of it. So synergies are the next wave of getting eps growth. And thats where i think, and you know where you know where the cost of money is. You know theres plenty of money around. The banks need to lend. So i think youve got, and we know what weve got in washington for the next four years. Right. So i think were going to see a lot more of these. Mario gabelli says legg mason is going to double. My money is on mario. I would never bet against mario. You like the new ceo Joseph Sullivan . I think hes fantastic. I love our new director, dennis cass. I think joe is going to do a terrific job, but the pieces to that business are very valuable individually, i think joe is going to be able to pull them all together to Work Together properly, and im thrilled about that management change. It took awhile in coming. But if the board did the right thing there, as well. I dont expect you to tell us other situations that youre interested in right now, nelson, but can you give us overall what you know, like for example, family dollar. I figure if the economy is not going to get that much better you buy stores that cater to people that have no money . Family dollar continues to get samestore sales, increases, this is a retailer thats had samestore sales increases for 20plus years. Not quarters. But years. This is a company that really has changed. Theyve learned a lot. Theyve adopted well. And i think youre going to see continuing success out of family dollar. Its been a great investment for us. We got in in the 30s, i cant give you the precise price. We believe in the company. We like it. Were involved in ingersollrand. You saw that they made some initial moves there by spinning off security, increasing substantial increase in the dividend. A huge Share Buyback with a time frame on it. First quarter of 14 to be completed. So we think theyre moving in the right direction. We think theres wind at their back, and were very happy with what were seeing. Were not stock market buyers. Were buyers of a few companies that we like, and that we think that we can have some positive input with. So, but i think theres m a market is just getting rolling. And i think youre going to see more of it. Would you would you short some herbalife so we can have you on with carl icahn and you guys could talk about which way its going to go. Could you just play along with us . Thats a duet. Thats a duet. Its the bill and carl show. I would never want to get in the middle of those two. Come on. I dont know herbalife. Say hello to jack for me. Jack is right here. Hi, nelson. Nelson, thank you very much for calling in today. Grat was great. We hope to see you in studio soon. Okay, thanks, guys. Coming up, much more on the deal of the morning. Berkshire and 3g buying heinz. Weve heard from Warren Buffett. Weve heard from mr. Nelson peltz. Weve heard from the master of management jack welch. Weve got to talk about your mba stuff. Talk about a lot 6 things. Okay. Okay. And yep, well have more from jack coming up right after this. And the Financial Sector has come a long way since the crisis of 2008. But, are banks really safer and better equipped to handle shots to the system, well ask t. Paw. Tim pawlenty. Yep, same guy. I will speak to him as well. Stor but im a busy guy. It used to be easier but now there are more choices than ever. I want to know exactly what i am investing in. I want to know exactly how much im paying. I want to use the same stuff the big guys use. Find out why nine out of ten large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. Ishares by blackrock. Call 1800ishares for a prospectus which includes investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Read and consider it carefully before investing. Risk includes possible loss of principal. How do you keep an older car running like new . You ask a ford customer. When they tell you that you need your oil changed you got to bring it in. If your tires need to be rotated, you have to get that done as well. Jackie, tell me why somebody should bring theyre car here to the ford dealership for service instead of any one of those other places out there. They are going to take care of my car because this is where it came from. Price is right no problem, they make you feel like youre a family. Get a Synthetic Blend Oil change, tire rotation and much more, 29. 95 after 10. 00 rebate. If you take care of your car your car will take care of you. How do traders using Technical Analysis streamline their process . At fidelity, we do it by merging two tools into one. Combining your customized charts with leadingedge analysis tools from recognia so you can quickly spot key trends and possible entry and exit points. We like this idea so much that weve applied for a patent. Im colin beck of fidelity investments. Our integrated Technical Analysis is one more innovative reason serious investors are choosing fidelity. Now get 200 free trades when you open an account. Welcome back, everybody. Financials have gone full speed ahead. And according to new numbers the Banking Industry is much safer and more capable of handling shocks now than it ever was before the 2008 crisis. Tim pawlenty is the president and ceo of the Financial Services roundtable, and he joins us this morning and tim its great to have you here. Good to be back, becky, thank you. So lets talk about the situation right now. We have seen financials, theyve been doing pretty well. Many of these stocks that have been coming through but your point is, look, this is a much safer industry, things look pretty good right thank you. The Financial Services roundtable in partnership with some other entities have put together this third party study called the Hamilton Financial index and year over year a 10 improvement and prior to the crash of 28 improvement as measured by capital levels, and also measures of the Financial Stress by the st. Louis federal reserve. As jack was pointing out, doddfrank still has a lot of measures that need to be implemented. A lot of things that need to be decided. So, where does that leave you in terms of the regulatory structure. Obviously doddfrank, which was responding to a crisis, it was put together in a crisis environment, and directionally needed. You know, the more oversight, more capital requirements, more provisions about how these institutions might be wound down in a future crisis all important directionally but a lot of the blanks still need to be filled in and of course markets dont like uncertainty and overburden and theres concern that the future of doddfrank could touch those two trip wires. Whats the worst Case Scenario and is it at this point freezes banks from doing more lending as they worry about what theyre going to be required to do . Its not freezing banks from doing more lending. But theres uncertainty. Theres uncertainty in the regulatory landscape. When people are deploying large amounts of capital and plan strategically for the future they want the rules of the road to be clear and thats currently not the case. Is it having an impact . Lending may be happening but is it happening at the same pace it would be without clarity . Well, example. One of hundreds of examples within doddfrank there was a recent rule that came out called qualified mortgages. Qm promulgated by the Consumer FinancialProtection Bureau put some rules of the road out. Now overall, you know, not a bad set of regulations. Theres some concerns and some tweaking needs to be done but it says to the industry if you want to make qualified mortgages and dont want to get dinged legally in the future here are the objective requirements you have to follow. That gives the industry some certainty, reliability, predict and. Those kinds of declarations are actually helpful and constructive. So its a good thing. Its directionally a good thing. It needs some tweaking. But yes. Its good. The industry overall, theres a few minor complaints about the qm rule but overall it was constructive and good piece of work. Dont you feel like the piggy bank, whenever they run short they come back on the mortgage and sue you for another billion dollars, 2 billion . Dont your bankers feel a little bit like a piggy bank . Well, keep in mind, jack, that if the mortgage crisis didnt just involve banks. It involved nonbank actors, thrifts. But banks are getting nailed yes. Every month theres another billion dollar lawsuit from the federal government about something. No question. You know, but theres an overhang. Obviously there was a lot of bad behavior. Lets just face it. There was bad behavior. Bad judgments. Bad decisions and theres consequences for that. Its taken awhile to dig out from underneath it. When you see the headlines of people cleaning up those things from five years ago, ten years ago. But you get trust by earning it. And the banks and the Financial Services industry, more broadly, i think is headed in a better direction, as the index indicates. What do you make of the s p suit . And the reason i ask is because the suit is based on the idea of protecting federally insured institutions. Theyre trying to do this on behalf of the taxpayers. And yet some of the cbos that theyre talking about were issued by banks like citigroup and bank of america. Yeah. Well, its interesting. Well see how that suit plays out. Its interesting that s p got sued but the other rating agencies didnt. One question is, how do you single out s p and not the others. First s p just the first to get taken off, because we had Warren Buffett on earlier, who is an owner of more than 10 of moodys. He said if s p loses this he expects that moodys would be a secondary target. It could be becky but lets also remember that part of the crisis, there are many, many elements to the crisis, but one element to the crisis was people thinking that assets were secure when they really werent. Part of that was because people misunderstood or mischaracterized the assets. So some inquiry in that area is legitimate. Tim, we want to thank you very much. Pleasure having you here on set. Good to be here. Thank you. Lets get back to our guest host, jack welch, founder of the Jack Welch Management Institute at strayer university. Which we havent talked about. Every time you come on you got more, more, more mbas. Yep. Were over 500 in the mbas now. Weve graduated our first 100. We got certificate programs. For graduate of 350 people. But most importantly, weve got Training Program now. That we got courses the welch way training courses way training courses where were teaching management with appear app, leadership. All kinds of companies, 500 a seat, people to apply 10 hours of learning on how to hire, fire, motivate, lead, et cetera. This is going to sweep across america. This is really a terrific Leadership Program put together by the dean of the cornell business school, put together by we just hired for our faculty the associate doean fro virginia. Weve got first class casualty putting together a 10hour Management Training school as our school is moving towards 1,000 mbas. It is really taking off. And our graduates are having great suck. We couldnt be happier with the program. Strayer has been a great partner and were off and running. This idea of corporate training being done with an app, where you can really teach people on their time 10 hours of classes. We could teach you to be a great manager, andrew, in 10 hours. In just 10 hours. In 10 hours, we could give you the basics someone is going to come up with a 9hour version. Do you have a pro capitalism Training Program that just shows the benefits of capitalism. Our graduates will tell you that. 75 of them have gotten a significant raise or significant promotion since graduating. Thats a real number. Youve got Ivy League Degrees outfit your out of your im happy to be a capitalist. Absolutely. We have time now. Lets take the sequester. Dont get yourself all hung up over the next month for the sequester. If it happens, it will slow the economy a bit for a while but well take action. Can you believe a 3. 5 trillion economy and we want to take 3 cuts. God, any leader in the world would be able to do it. If we cant do it surgically, which would be the ideal way to do it, the way a good leader would do it, lets do it with a hatchet. The old trick, were not going to move the carrier, we havent got any fuel, thats like the game people play in corporations. The manager comes in and says, if youre cutting my budget i wont be able to do your favorite project. Boom. So we stop the cuts. Taking 100 billion out of a 3. 5 trillion economy, that will end up with the economy the constant government lattened. Were not talking about slashing. We wont grow. The silliest well have debates, front row seats, headlines. You guys shouldnt weve got 24 hours to get to it. Its all nonsense. Get that money out of there. Its like raising 60 billion a year from the 400 and above, which we did, on a trillion dollar deficit. Let me just tell you, dont get hung up over the sequester. If it happens, we might slow the gdp by half a percent in a quarter. That isnt it. Well turn the curve over and weve got to do it. You will see some businesses that take hits, though. We talked yesterday, mark from aetna. He said it could effect them because they will be looking particularly at the defense company. Laying off some people. That will, in turn, take the medicine, the hit. Take the hit, its a small hit, and get around it. Mark can cut some costs at his place if they have to. The idea, just step back for a minute, that taking 100 billion annually out of the 3. 5 trillion expense, there isnt the reports manager in the world could handle that. Let me ask you a different question. Whats the biggest cut you think the economy could take and be okay with it, meaning people talk about entitlements, all sorts of things were cutting back on. The question is when do you put those through where the economy is. Whats a number that is okay . Ill tell you politically palatable. A different argument. 100 billion isnt going to sweat anybody. Okay . No. There will be a yelling they will have a carrier park somewhere. They will take pictures of the carrier sitting there. They will find one cop that got laid off somewhere. They will find a voter that couldnt vote. I mean, it will be all silly stuff, okay . Im going to start emailing every day you start moaning about the sequester as it comes time to do. Get over it. We need a leadership on both sides that will get this 100 billion surgically, not with a hatchet, and they can do it out of entitlements. They can do it out of discretionary spending. Filled with layers, layer after layer after layer. You could delayer that place and get all kinds of money out. You know how when we run trillion dollar deficits, one way out of it would be growth. That would be great. Lets say its not growth. Maybe its not going to be. Ive got a way to get growth, if you want to get growth. What are the chances it happens. Now youre going to go back to politics. No, were not allowed. Lets say you do a trillion dollars. You just assume for the next four years at least a trillion. Weve done the taxes, maybe more. A lot of trouble with any spending cuts. Do you in your ceo planning for the next four years, would you plan well have a trillion dollar deficits for the next four years . What would that moon to the bond market . What would it mean to we can last four more years at a trillion dollars a year. Im more hopeful youll get an Energy Policy that will drive oil and gas, that will do research on renewables. I dont want Venture Capital on renewables but i want research on renewables. I want to drive fracking on public as well as private land. We havent touched public lands. I want to be an exporter, sorry we talked about that. Of gas. I want to be somebody that provides the low cost energy producer. Thats how youll bring jobs back. You dont bring jobs back by legislation. You bring jobs back by making it the place to be. The president did mention this in the state of the union, more natural gas to keep electricity prices low. Come on. He also talked about heck coalte costs lower. Obama care isnt in yet. Thats all recession related. Thats nothing to do with obama care doing that. Lets talk about regulators. I get the Energy Policy, if we open up and go. We replace chu, live, a jackson, these are people when you replace them, watch those appointments. It will be worse. Pray to god youre wrong. If we can get the regulators to turn maybe not 180 but turn 120 so their slogan every day is come in and find a better way to create a good economy and jobs. Wait a minute. Dont come in with an attitude of lets get the bastards. They are going to turn 360. Are there any names you like out there that you think would be palatable to administration but business as well. I dont know people. I just want somebody that comes in and has a goal of regulating sensibly and creating jobs, not being punitive. I like the president S Immigration lines in the announcement. I think he was right on the button, if he can hold to that, fix the border, get a path to citizenship and keep people that we educate. Im telling you, in government trade, he mentioned that. Lets do it. It take us four years to get panama and south korea done. It was on the bush table. It took four years to negotiate and we didnt get anything else new. Those trade agreements would do all kinds of things for exports. Are you at all nostalgic about ge out of nbc and comcast is running it well. Comcast has done a great job. Look, the market said good for both companies. The market said comcast got a great bunch of assets. Ge has more cash to do things with. Time and mens fortunes change. You go with the flow. Every time they do a deal, they say its great for both parties. Stock goes up in one case and down in the other. Ge is in one, can use the money, comcast in another and actually worked. Worked out well. Comcast has a great set of assets now a ge has cash to invest in what they want to do. We all do it differently in our times. Jack, we love you, on valentines day especially. Happy valentines day. Merger thursday with all these deals. Huge day on wall street. Almost 100 million in fees for the banks. Center view bank. Make sure you join us tomorrow. Happy valentines day. Congratulations to squawk. What a breaking news. Warren buffett making a big deal with heinz. Im Carl Quintanilla from the stock exchange. Kramer is off. We hope aol call in. Heck of a week to take a vacation, one of the biggest months for m and a. Yeartodate, m and a volume up 25 . Berkshire hathaway, 3g buying heinz for 72. 50 a share. 28 billion in debt. I know youve been working this, too. The notion now buffett is prorking with operational partners important portends a new area. One after a flurry of phone calls, the power of the brazilians. We keep saying this name 3g. People might be somewhat familiar when they think about abm or the buyout of burger king. Really what 3g is is an Investment Vehicle for three of the richest men in brazil, some of the richest men in the world, frankly. One of them in particular. Jorge paolo. There it is. They tell us, jorge paulo on the board of gillette. He was the driving force behind this deal having approached Warren Buffett, not long ago. This happened very, very quickly. Something well start reading about, perhaps second day leads. Well bring it to you now, how incredibly wealthy brazilians are. These are bullet investments. In other words, not like a private equity fund where they raise a fund. This is their money. They put it in. 4. 4 billion put in by them, 4. 4 from Berkshire Hathaway, taking back a preferred 8 billion, which they will get 9 on. Well get the details for you. Thats the interesting point, carl. Your point interesting as well. They are buying this and they are doing to keep it. They are not going to take it public again. Again, its not a private equity model. They are going to keep it. The likelihood, this new partnership between berkshire and 3g, from what i hear, maybe they look for another company to buy. Then you get synergies, not readily available right now through this purchase of heinz. Another company to buy and combine in this space with heinz. Therefore, the move higher we were seeing across the packaged foods area this morning. I dont want to get ahead of ourselves. This is something that will take years. My point, unlike again private equity, this is not. 3g is not, berkshire obviously is not. They are going to keep this thing and potentially have it forever, be a private company heinz. Down the road, you could expect once they put a new Management Team in place and everything else, you will get other acquisitions. Still, you cant ignore a bud, a burger king, now this. They seem to be making a few plays within a targeted space. Lets bring in becky, of course, spoke with buffett about the deal earlier this morning. What a morning. This has been a heck of a morning, guys. Ive been listening to the conversation around the table. What weve been talking about is how this really is stepping up the amount of deal flow coming through. We had some statistics earlier today that with this deal between berkshire,