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suddenly believe they're going to win this war. and i think that's a crucial difference from last year ahead of a much—anticipated counter—offensive which did not go according to plan. now the goalposts have shifted. you now hear soldiers talking about simply holding on rather than pushing forward. and i think for this year, i think ukraine is simply focusing on trying to replenish, hold on in some faint hope of pushing forward perhaps next year. you can be sure russia will be trying to capitalise on this continued state of ukraine being outmuscled, if you like. and there are some generals here that are predicting a major russian advance in the coming weeks and months. so there are difficult challenges ahead for ukraine, but the view from kyiv is that it's got a fighting chance. that is james waterhouse in kyiv.

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