Everton however much they don't like labor they don't like Jeremy Corbin they will not vote Conservative So what the BRICs it Party does it comes in and says if you're pro brick set but you're also in your heart labor you can vote for us it registers your support for breaks in your anger at Labor but it isn't a vote for the conservatives what it does do and the some polling come out of a couple of constituencies in the north suggesting this was what was happening what it does is it cuts the Labor vote without really harming the conservative vote that much so it can allow the conservatives to sneak through and win seats with the same share of the vote that last time was only enough for them to come 2nd if it eats away at the Labor vote now Grimsby great Grimsby as an example a constituency where they went did a poll that said we think Labor will drop from 49 percent about 30 to the Bracks it Party will take about 18 percent of the votes Niemi all from labor the Tories will stay where they were on about 40 percent but 40 percent was a losing score here last time and it's a winning score here this time so it's possible to Bracks the party will have a big influence on the outcome without winning any seats no one's expecting to see any breaks a party m.p. As a continental exit poll is suggesting that they're called 0 seats in terms of what's being predicted as a reaction here for Nigel Farage of course Bracks the party leader he's been talking to b.b.c. News he said his decision to stand down in conservative held seats prevented a hung parliament he went on to say I can tell you that we had stood in every seat in the country it would have been a hung parliament that would have been a disaster I think the Liberal Democrats would have won an awful lot of seats on Mr Johnson's Breck's a deal Mr Fowler said of the current treaty on the table with the political declaration parties on amended I can't bring myself to support it look I spend my political career trying to get breaks it all right we're going to get bricks are we going to get the right one maybe not those are the words of Nigel Farage talking to the b.b.c. . Inside the last few minutes it's worth just a little bit of time talking about what happens to the bricks at party off that's annoying or dodge a frog has talked about wanting to change and that he's registered the name the Reform Party that he wants to turn it into a movement for wider political reform for changing the voting system for affectively saying that you know the vote for brakes it was not just a vote to leave the it was a demand for a change in the way the country is run and that's and that's what they want to do I mean when the Liberal Democrats will tell you it is very hard in a 1st pass the post electoral system to break through if you are not one of the 2 main parties that your your main role is to be a disruptor not to be an actual political force now there's no question that time and again Nigel Farage has been a disrupter he has been a massive disruptor he has there is that you can make an absolute commencing argument that he has been in many ways the most successful politician this country produced in decades because it was as a result of his then party u.k. Put on their success in European elections propelled David Cameron into offering an e.u. Referendum in the 1st place which started us down the road which it now has you know Boris Johnson forecast to win this big majority and so the role of disruptor is not want to be sniffed at but in terms of building a genuine alternative political force that can itself win elections and hold power that's a very very very difficult thing to do in our electoral system. We want your calls tonight whatever you want to say politically here on London's radio station sales and London's radio station 080-731-2000 is our number your reaction to the exit polls suggesting a Conservative majority of 86 if you're a 1st time voter and you're listening to love to get you on the radio and also answer me this question How would you assess the current state of British politics 0873 you won 2000 there's a number give us a call and we'll have a chance tonight here on b.b.c. Radio London let's catch up with another one of our reporters we have reporters out and about across the capital throughout the night and into the early morning to bring you the results as they happen here on b.b.c. Radio London Phil Perry is one such reporter who's at the Mary's University in fill out and think you've gone back to studying Oh well you know some people some people say I should maybe i should you know maybe my lecturers actually said that the time . We're here for 2 counts actually so St Mary's University took in a situation in a constituency which the Liberal Democrats held since $97.00 Vince Cable won it in $97.00 he was briefly briefly out of being an m.p. From 2050 when he was narrowly beat and it was very sad night for him obviously that was the night the Liberal Democrats got a bit of a kicking every word and they really really want it back with a almost 10000 majority a couple years ago in the trees in my election he's not standing anymore he stood down of course when they were Wilson is hardly predicted to hold on strongly with the truculent constituency Maybe the title One of course is the one that was won by 45 votes 2 and a half years ago Zac Goldsmith beating ceremonies for the conservative just about went a couple of recounts for what was called a batch flick my my son asked me to explain what that was. Great because I've no idea what a backflip is what is that all the elections are over I had never ever seen one before basically what happened. From what I can recall was that a group of about 10 or 11 or fish 1015 votes had ended up in someone else's batch so when they count the votes they put them in a batch they tie them up and that's that's $100.00 bang that's another 100 they can sum up and they stack em up and then they work out what the total is and then the ones they add up they found in the I think the 1st recount that actually a batch about 10 or 15 it popped up in the wrong candidates so when they did the recount it came it was very tight again and eventually they decided look you know it's tight we've done a couple of recounts It's 6 o'clock in the morning why don't we just do you know how you do a little flick book and you do like a stick man drawing it and it sort of stick woman drawing and it makes like that they flip through all the ballot papers to see if they could spot any anomalies they could and they declared the rose result but it was a it was a 45 vote victory for Zac Goldsmith now. Talking to people from Richmond Park constituency today and I actually drove around I was in the area today I was driving through and the Liberal Democrats were very confident there was a lot more in the area I saw liberal Democrat boards up people have been sort of spending time outside polling stations saying that there are only very confident this time round of winning that's one of night which could be not great night for the Liberal Democrats they thought they were going to make gains in this one can get a sporting parlance Duncan It could be 2 nil to the others against the Blues I like I like your sporting parlance and thank you for the back flick. Because it does sound a bit painful having about your final question Phil I'm a big I'm a big fan of trying to read the mood and it might be a little bit early in proceedings bearing in mind it's only quarter past 11 and I don't think you're planning to have any declarations for a while but any party activists on site there it's a Mary's universe to work and if so you know conservative Can you read anything with their faces because they'll be walking around looking at the piles of votes they might have or you know a little insight as to what's going on here not at the moment actually face all around at the moment. And you have to say that those are wearing red roses that's why when the actually talk came out there was there was certainly a look of not despair then certainly disappointment from those firing the red rose that everyone else seems to be at the moment intent on keeping an eye here yeah I mean the declarations last time around work took a while I think so it was around about 2 o'clock in the morning and because of all the recounts everything from pot went till 7 in the morning which is extraordinary yet so really likes late finish or everyone which when you get in told as you say there's going to be a bachelor 6 o'clock in the morning your mind plays tricks on you but no. The moment it's very hard to say but I think there's a quiet confidence I think from the Liberal Democrats based on on just that feeling on the streets earlier today Ok London update as to whether or not there will be a backflip in the very very very early hours or late hours of Friday morning Phil thank you that's all reporter Phil Perry as a mayor is university in Twickenham where the count is taking place for the constituencies of Richmond Park and Twickenham of course is Richmond Park as Phil was saying is the one really to watch because that Goldsmith wanted back in 2017 by north point one percent majority and there is quite a quite a challenge there for the Lib Dems more on that as the night continues here on b.b.c. Radio London your calls as well 807312000 that's our number let's talk Valerie's in back of them hello Valorie welcome and I know I know well you like to say I would like to say that I think the electorate Well one day as time goes by that they gave power to large majority I don't think he's trustworthy I wouldn't trust him to tell me that. And I think the economy in the long term leaving the world's largest trading will put a halt to America and they will make us explore an 82nd. Hormone in cattle Well maybe he can pick you up in the woods you used to that mean pick you off in a negative way pick you off in a way that I'd like to explore it with you that's the word trust now trust as being a was being bandied around in this particular campaign do you do you do you find yourself looking at politicians now and wondering whether or not you can trust them right across the boulder is it just Boris Johnson No no it's sort of across the board but it's mainly Boris don't. Ok and I think more than you know he'll say some Let them be no i said it and then they prove he has said it that that come up in May and I thought he was a coward in not being interviewed by Andrew Neil I think you sort of hid from being at too much illness policy that's interesting I mean if that is a view that has a lot of backing your view 11 could make the argument it doesn't make a great deal of difference if they say exit poll results is correct in a Conservative majority of 86. That said if trust is an issue and there are people like you'll self-help I'm of the view across the country one could make the argument it's not that much of an issue when you look at these exit poll results of a Conservative majority of 86 yes I have to agree with you about that but I don't think people realize the full implications of it I mean in a sort of surfaced you know what Main. I appreciate your call Val Thank you that's Valerie in back of them on b.b.c. Radio London Call us tonight we'll put you on the air share your thoughts with the rest the late night London I'm Duncan barks I'm here through until 1 am The coverage continues or 1 o'clock in the morning we've gotten another bio on the along side me is political commentator Paul Osborne a text message here from Hugh who says the following It was obvious this was going to be Michael Foot part 2 with Cole being fine as this bloke in the Labor Party but not as leader to poll leaders in Malibu in Miliband the now cold in labor missed a trick with the now Manchester man Andy Burnham who had public appeal but that's gone now says Hugh in plaster Now this is interesting because what we're going to see over the next several hours is a lot of debate Paul about what happens to Jeremy Corbin should this exit poll be spot on are you picking up anything on social media from people where's the blame heading at the moment well I mean look or been out is starting to trend now on Twitter the you're starting to see a bit of the blame game going on but equally some of his supporters in what I've seen one of his most passionate supporters he frequently on television sticking out from saying that this is a 30 plus year project and the project is not Corban isn't the project is socialism you know he said you know you wouldn't have thought this was necessary there might be cheerleading for that judging by the being exhibited and we sit down and say that this is a solid rejection of socialism or is this confusion over Labor policy I still can call it you know I mean we will we will learn more in not just tonight when we see the results coming in but also as we do more studies into why people change their votes and speak to move and hear about why people change their minds exactly what it was you know one of the things that's interesting is that back in 2017 but Labor Party stuck to pretty much the same playbook that they use this time a radical manifesto proposing significant wide ranging changes to the way the country is Rahm and their campaign led by Jeremy call been absolutely front and so . And there on the street corners you know these rallies in front of crowds of cheering supporters and in 2017 they gained 30 seats and got 40 percent of the vote now there were some people in labor who thought that for that one more he might do it now go back a year or so ago and I remember saying to people the thing the thing is Jeremy Corbyn won't be a new thing to voters in 29000 their lives seeing that I'm a radical manifesto won't be a new thing because they saw that in 2017 but whatever happens with the conservatives this being before Boris Johnson became Tory leader whatever happened to the Tories they'll have a new leader who will be the new thing and so you won't have the newness anymore that you had in 27 saying it won't be needed to voters anymore and what's extraordinary I think is that having stuck to that playbook that worked to get them away when we got them the highest share of the vote in donkey's years and gain seats coming stuck to the same playbook with a more radical manifesto and again putting Jeremy Corbyn front and center not only has it not worked but the share of the votes dropped by about a quarter compared to last time and it looks like they're going to lose somewhere around 60 to 70 seats if this exit poll is correct and so it we talked a couple of times during the campaign about how if you go out and talk to voters and say What do you think of re nationalizing the railways What do you think about spending more money on the n.h.s. Things like that voters go I like that appeals to me I like that idea but if you then attach the Labor Party's name to it and Jeremy Corbin's name to it then suddenly voters become colder on the whole thing and the suggestion would be that it is the personality of the leader of the people at the top of the Labor Party the people around the Labor Party that is the issue for a lot of voters and it's very hard not to come to the conclusion. That plus Breck's it because those are the 2 things that have been the focus of this election and the fact that Labor has tried to push forward with this really complicated very nuanced position on Brecht say we will renegotiate the deal then we will have a referendum you can vote for a new breaks it deal or to remain and we won't tell you whether we'll back remaining or our new deal that we will have just negotiate that's a very hard thing I mean doesn't that look all through as a 3 word slogan being repeated back on doorsteps across the country of get Brecht's it done but the symbolism or some sort of stop break now is a pretty strong easy snappy statement and that has not helped the Liberal Democrats one little bit in this election some reaction or some news from outside of London when a little bit happened will keep you up today here on b.b.c. Radio London if you're a political found this is to do with a man who's often be known as The Beast of bowl so this is Denny Skinner in the exit poll that came out earlier just after 10 o'clock by on 10 o'clock suggesting a Conservative majority of 86 is causing some ripples the exit poll suggesting there is a 94 percent likelihood the bowl so which has been labor for a long long time will go to the conservatives Dennis Skinner has held the seat since 1970 you might know him if you see him on the telly is always shouting something a black rod on Queen's Speech days elsewhere in the county I can tell you the Margaret Beckett is Darby sell seats is too close to call whilst Darby north is likely to go to the conservatives but it's still quite close isolated from Christophe each who's b.b.c. Radio Darby's political reporter it would be interesting if Dennis Skinner who I think I'm right in saying was set to become father of the House Paul was and is the oldest m.p. Sitting on scene ward he would have become father of the house and if he doesn't make it that would make Peta Bottomley I think the father of the house instead if that happens again but also. Mining village Labor since the dawn of time Denis skin has been the m.p. You know for 3040 plus years. That will give you an indication of the scale if it happens of the defeat for labor across the north and the Midlands and again we should we should just say obviously we are focusing on the the 73 constituencies in London in which we're not necessarily expecting massive numbers of changes and probably around about 2 thirds of those constituencies to be held by the Labor Party so labor probably do Ok in London the problem is that if this exit poll is right what we are seeing is the Labor Party base shrinking to London a couple of other big cities like Birmingham Manchester you know maybe a few university towns but if this is right if the Tories have smashed what they've called this red wall if they're taking smaller towns mixes of urban and rural in the north and the Midlands that's a big part of Labor's base that is gone now there are also things of fire from that those voters want different things to traditional Tory voters so the expectations of Boris Johnson are different the battle the Tories will face going forward is maintaining the loyalty of those votes as once breaks it is in the past but for now the question the Labor Party will have to wrestle with over the weeks and months that followed this election if the exit poll is right is how you rebuild as a potential party of government when you've lost so much of your base and when you may well be 14150 seats short of a majority that's the kind of thing it takes 3 election cycles to overturn We have reporters out on the ballots across London tonight at key counts across the whole of the city of London let's cross to Chloe to save is in the delightful surroundings of Callan's leisure center in Mitchum where the council be taking place later for the constituencies of Wimbledon and also Mitchum unmoored and Chloe Good evening. Good evening Duncan Right yeah it's a good looking. Well it's looking like a whirlwind of fuss to write I'm not sure if you know Michonne well but the leisure center is over the middle of nowhere so I came here and it was really really quiet and then I came in and I just smelled chlorine because poser everywhere and then anticipation in the ass I came in the counter the started so they're busy doing that so I'm covering of the Mitcham order and Wimbledon so looking at Morton in the polls that 10 and it had about a 99 percent chance that the from the Labor Party will get a majority in this area last time 17 she got 21000 and majority in this constituency so but the more interesting one that I think we will move I think because if you look in at Stephen Hammond we've got he's been in this for it's 2005 and for 14 years now and we have been talking about Boris Johnson about his key message about get it done and we're looking at the constituency of Wimbledon. 70 percent remain and so what with saying is maybe we might see a change maybe. This point but in the polls that came out and said it's too close to full cost. And 49 percent conservative to hold $47.00. So we could see a change. In the way we're looking at Steven Hammond as the m.p. And if you remember he was actually removed from the top. Because he was supporting he was supporting I got for no deal Breck's it so maybe that will play in his favor in a way because he is. Because of the fact that he will because because I thought that 70 percent wanted to remain so I think that we might see a change maybe less or more but we'll find out as the night goes on really they were looking at the $27.00 team with Stephen Hammond he had a small majority and then before so we might see he might have a low one mile high one but I think he's going to play for here in much of x. Than the one we're expecting the 1st result close about the whole 34 o'clock in the morning yet say so I'd say so if it is as close as opposed to saying yeah we could sit with must have my for a few recounts I might be here for quite a while well make sure you find a vending machine listen we'll catch of you later thank you that's clearly the cannon's leisure center in Mitchum where the counts are taking place tonight counting is on the way for the constituencies possibly all constituencies of Wimbledon and Mitchum and more than but as close said Wimbledon is certainly the one to watch we have a result it's not a London result but it's still a result of a goal it's a result and it's grab it with both hands it's need to find Central which are very rather Newcastle's the 1st one and labor hold not that surprising drop in the labor vote of about 7 points so they held it safe but the labor of a drop by 7 points now what's interesting is that the prediction from the exit poll was that the Labor vote would drop by 15 points and it dropped by 6 they expected the Tory vote to rise by 6 it didn't it was static so the result was right but the swing away from Labor towards the Conservatives is a bit less than the exit poll would have predicted in that one seat Labor have also just how old Houghton and Sunderland south that's another Labor hold again that's not that surprising but what will be interesting as we start to get these results in will be that movement and how it compares to what we were expecting so again in Horten Sunderland south the Labor vote dropped by Neely 20 points. But the Tory vote didn't go up that much Bret's that party that got nearly 15 percent now is interesting so just to clarify though from a political point of view it was Newcastle that the clear the Sunderland by about a minute pitch battles George just just marking those maxims and Sunderland going we beat you tonight by 2 minutes by 2 minutes full Osborne Thank you Paul Osborne political commentator alongside me Duncan barks here tonight on b.b.c. Radio London as we continue to bring the results for London and indeed elsewhere election night 2019 just turned half past 11 let's bring you the latest headlines here's my Dr. Duncan thank you exit polls show a disastrous night for labor down more than 70 seats on the last election with Boris Johnson's Tories up nearly 90 seeds if the polling is accurate the Lib Dems are predicted to take 13 seats an increase of just one The Greens are forecast to hold their only seat in the breakthrough party could end the night without any M.P.'s on the markets the pound has soared against the dollar and the euro and as we've just heard the 1st result has come through Newcastle upon Tyne winning the race Labor's Gian war has won decisively with more than 21000 votes in other news Met Police have been called this evening to a shooting in Wood Green at a Roosters chicken shop believed to be the site of another shooting last week firearms officers found a male suffering from a gunshot injury and Arsenal have qualified for the knockout stages of the Europa Cup after coming from behind to draw 2 all with standardly Asia where the windy with some clearer spells for a time showers will push in from the west around the middle of the night turning drier again later minimum temperature 3 degrees Celsius that's $37.00 degrees Fahrenheit. This is London telly of life as a cabbie in London right now b.b.c. Radio London breakfast because it seems to me there are close roads. Coming out there with n.s.f. That was in the states way of dressing is completely changed we would never know that you were big. Specifically accent is good as you can hear the mornings from 7 just and it didn't look like s. That f. And be happy not what I thought but it was funny didn't beverage the next themselves Day morning from 70 b.c. Radio like. When there's a back at 7 o'clock in the morning with a b.b.c. Radio London breakfast show these results a lot buses nothing happens for 90 minutes and you get 3 in a row we go Paul we got our 1st change of seat of the night Conservative Party again this is in the northeast of England gaining the blithe Valley seat on a swing of 10 percent from conservative sort from Labor to conservative So Labor getting 41 percent of the votes conservatives going up from 37 to 43 percent so that's the 1st conservative gain of the night it's a constituency where 61 percent of the electorate voted leaving the e.u. Referendum Breck's it Party coming in and taking 15 percent of the vote so again you were talking about you know what influence of the pressure party have it looks like implies money they have helped the conservatives to to win that seat so relatively narrow majority for the Tories there but a swing of 10 percent 1st Tory gain of the night in the northeast of England so the BRICs a party took from Labor to give the Tory victory Well we don't know exactly where they came from but the labor votes dropped by fear day in the Tory vote only up by 5 to give you that 10 percent swing Brecht's The party share the vote about 8 percent So yeah I mean you would you would think that's mostly Labor voters who couldn't quite make the jump to the Tories that have allowed the conservatives to get to come in and take the seat let's take a cool down these in south London is on the radio Hello Dan welcome they are you doing you are both good thank you would you like to say tonight you know what I'm talking about the media all my life I've never seen such killings disparity between us so. I'm thinking you're not giving talks and spying on you can you claim again Jeremy Cooper. Is. Because you see the press on the thing that it's very cool can get. These to. The Lord for example explain stuff but. It's. Grim believe it. Or not I kind of step in films like that to get some reaction to this poll there was a lot of stuff online yesterday about you know Laura conspired to broken the law or and the Right now you are not supposed to reveal anything about postal votes before the polls close but the person who told journalists Well the postal votes say this may have broken the law the person who sold the postal votes looked at them and then started telling journalists this is what he says may have broken the law but journalists get told stuff all the time that they maybe shouldn't be told journalists get told things that are official secrets which they then go on to report in the newspapers and I hurried out of that bag might not have been on the site don't let political down hang on it doesn't work if both of you talk at the same time for this let's pull finish off and then end up plenty of time you have plenty of time to have your say on the 2nd night so I'm just saying that while it's possible that somebody here may have broken the law and that information coming to my it is very unlikely to be the journalist to report today unless they were standing in the room where the postal votes are being opened. Go ahead also I want to say why you know you have a day when I was proposing that my hang up a response to face was no no wonder any of this to think you can figure stuff you guys. And then also it was because that's when you have a backlog yet. To touch that 6000 take out and play hadn't done that was on the b.b.c. News no let's be seen I mean that's static let me go back to your 1st point if I may because I'm interested in what you said I think about Andrew Neil was a man not knocking able to force Boris Johnson to do an interview whatever find on you should not have to have a deep took the bait with all the leaders you can see that it's like oh he doesn't know of course that's to interview him to end up with said you know what would you know want to hear from any of them then. People see I've lost so much hope no one like you seeing more but if but if we follow if we follow what you're saying then what we would have to do is say well I'm afraid the bar is Johnson's refusing to be interviewed by Andrew Neil which meal and so we can find out how does that can hang a little I want this conversation about London to hear your concerns tonight but if you keep talking over each other then going to work. On the 2nd my friend a little obvious a then you can respond I understand the frustration a lot of people felt and trust me a lot of people working in this building a lot of journalists in the entire industry felt a great deal of frustration at the idea of a party leader who was not willing to submit himself to the same levels of interrogation as all the others but the only way around it is to say well I'm sorry but barge Johnson's refusing to be interviewed by Andrew Neil therefore we will have to counsel all the other party leader interviews so Jeremy Coburn doesn't get his heart found t.v. Joe Swinson Nicholas sturgeon Nigel Farage nobody does so the only other way round it would be to allow Mr Johnson to have banned all the other party leaders from speaking. To if you'd said to Terry quote in The Post on and hadn't groups meant that he didn't need to get an interview. You couldn't pull. It Off wouldn't you. All believe the party got the and then. Win. Or can I ask you a question about yourself tankers you've been good enough to phone up tonight and already want to explore kind of where you are on the election night 29 seeing presumably you voted today yeah yeah yeah one of the things we've been talking about Sanaa is whether or not people voted because they saw there's a Brecht cell action or because it was an election about other issues what was going through your mind when you cast your vote. You know and I want people I want the vote. I wanted the type. In the last poll it is an unlikely place I want people who are on the left. To be Ok on the n.h.s. My money is movies and here to America about 5 years you know has been the sign of a thing like that if you thought that back in the country you know has said during this you know nothing back. So you just got in we know that the conservatives. Are going to go. All right Dan getting on the air tonight call this a going syncs I really want to explore your thoughts in the future Danny in south London on b.b.c. Radio London you want to be part of what's going on here early 807312000 give us a call or get your listed and you can share your thoughts with the rest a late night London but the reaction here from Justin Greening who are you listening in partly used to be your m.p. And of course you decided not to stand this time around she was also a former Conservative cabinet minister she said the following tonight she said the deadlock on Brecht city is finally broken and she was talking to the b.b.c. She said I think at the end of the day my view walls was always that we needed to break the deadlock I was one of the 1st members of parliament who said we needed to do that we've now had that public vote I think that the deadlock on Bracks it is finally broken but I think the reality is this election was very much about domestic issues and I think that's why the conservatives have done so well because Boris Johnson talked about the kind of conservative agenda that people find appealing and she commented on Jeremy Corbyn as well saying the following but he always Johnson was up against probably one of the worst labor leaders that we've seen in the very long time and thus he couldn't have had a better opponent in these in these respects germy Corbin might have been bright shiny new in 2017 but by 2019 I think people have really got the measure of him and you're also seeing that come through tonight those are the words of the former m.p. For partly conservative Justin greening Paul or for what else are you picking up on tonight what Paul was saying that Bligh Valley that we talked about that conservative gain the 1st concert again of the night that's been Labor since 1950 so that gives you some indication of what an order in advance that is for the for the Conservative Party just also. The turnouts in the in the seats that have declared so far are around about 3 percentage points down on last time in each constituency so we talked a little bit about you know what what would be the effect of a December election of it being dark and cold and wet and Lord knows it was cold and wet for most of the day in London. At the moment those 3 constituents of the come in fairly consistently about 3 percentage points down on last time so possibly looking at a slightly lower turnout nothing so far to suggest the exit poll is wrong I mean it's only 3 states $647.00 to come but nothing so far suggesting that this some catastrophic floor in the exit poll and if a seat like blithe Valley you know labor for 70 years is folding to the Conservative Party you know that would suggest the red wall in the north in the Midlands is under serious threat this evening and that's got to be broken I mean that must be because of bricks that people must have voted on bricks isn't they should i must of been the dominant issue in that seat surely it's very hard to say because Labor's positions on the other party minister at the manifesto was significantly different more radical than last time but basically the mood music of labor has been through the years greater investment in public service a greater investment in the National Health Service if those are the kind of things that have played well in these communities that have consistently voted Labor the thing that's changed the thing that's realigned politics is bricks and we always think of politics as being a line from left to right and if you replace that with leave and remain you have to move the parties because if you're relieved but you've also traditionally voted Labor You may well have felt in London for example you may have felt well Labor's not remain enough for me I want labor to be a party of remain but in the north and you have your lever you have been thinking Well Labor isn't leave enough for me I voted leave and I want to get out on a labor isn't give me that message and while germy called in the others at the top of the major party said look we're the only party that's. But heal the divide bring both sides of the debate together the problem was it allowed their opponents to criticize them from both sides in London in the remain voting areas in the south you were able to say labor isn't ready for a main you know and in the north you were able to say labor isn't ready for leave you know and so you were getting pummeled on both sides because you haven't taken a position. Whenever there is a general election we often find ourselves sending reporters to leisure centers and it all seems to be a reoccurring thing tonight because Chloe was in one last time we spoke to one of our reporters earlier and we have a Jones who's currently in the elegant surroundings ever sense amongst the Babington that some squash courts could even I know I go to all the best place here is very bright at least which means that we will remain awake imo hoping there is coffee and tea being provided as well but as you say this is how we see and herro West being counted in front of me and I guess I was sent here really because if this was an evening that it was going to go Labour's way then perhaps. The conservative m.p. For herro East could be vulnerable he only won with a majority of just under $182017.00 so he's the sitting m.p. For heroism he's conservative As for Harry West they've had a labor and paying Gareth Thomas since 997 a big majority for him at the last general election no other of the sitting M.P.'s are here at the moment I think I'll be here a little bit later so I will have a look around and see who's smiling and who isn't what is going to say any party activists because that's the other yardstick to see if you go in the one particular blue results only We're talking about black men because that was that was one to watch. Since the exit poll came out at 10 o'clock there's any blue resent wearing people were a smiley face because any party activists I've seen a couple of. People away in a corner. Looking slightly grey there is a very smiling brick states party. Candidate who obviously stood in Harrow West not in Cairo East which is obviously a conservative seat so there is the sort of differing smiles and slightly greyer faces I've seen so far or right out in terms of a declaration time for either c Cairo East or indeed Hiro was what are you expecting when we're talking about maybe 4430 something on those lines it's going to be a late one for you Emma thank you good to talk to you as Emma Jones who is currently ensconced. Leisure Center where the counts are taking place for Harrow East and the Howard West it's b.b.c. Radio London it's election night 2019 I'm Duncan banks Good to have you along Paul Osborne political commentator alongside me some reaction here from Nick Eardley who's one of the B.B.C.'s political correspondents saying the following The 1st results of the night suggest the back of the exit poll the Bligh Valley result is a big moment this is the 1st time the area has had a Tory m.p. And not a Labor one it suggest traditional Labor Harlan's are not safe and we may see more fall over the course of the night although Labor won Houghton's some will and south they won't be popping champagne corks their vote was down almost 19 percent with Rex in party taking 15 and a half percent so kind of echoing what you were saying earlier Paul Osborne That's been the few moments talking about another political body as we've talked about the Conservatives and Labor a great length we've talked about Lib Dems will still keep an eye on what might happen to Richmond Park without challenge to Zac Goldsmith you mentioned s.n.p. Earlier you know really focused on the greens tonight your thoughts Well it'll be interesting to see you know what share of the vote they get I mean that if you remember a few weeks ago the Lib Dems the Greens and the Welsh nationalists agreed this pact where they would step aside for each other in about 60 seats with the idea that they would somehow be able to unseat conservatives that the problem is if you if you. I want to have some kind of alliance against a conservative party you need the s.n.p. On that and all the Labor Party to join in and neither of them were willing to do that now look at the Green Party he spoke some Green Party people during this campaign they said the problem is we've been talking about the environment the gathering crisis the climate for 30 or 40 years the other parties are woken up to and sort of nicked our campaign slogans a little bit here and so it's a bit harder for us to get heard now the assumption is that Caroline Lucas will hold her seat of Brighton Pavillion Bristol and nor other places where the Green Party of try in the past to get counted it's a major department the exit poll is saying one green m.p. The share of the vote will be interesting because one of the things I've spoken to let people who said I don't really want to vote for any of them and where the Liberal Democrats used to be the receptacles for protest votes if you didn't want to vote Conservative all labor sometimes you would vote Lib Dems as a consequence and some people moved away from the Lib Dems in a little bit towards the Greens in 2015 for example and because they couldn't bring themselves to vote for the Dems because they were angry about the about the coalition so yeah I mean interesting out the Green Party got I think 1.7 percent of the vote 4 years ago. 2 years ago sorry so being to see where they go from there just quickly a Stella Creasy to a defending labor and he will from stuff who got 80 percent of the vote in her constituency last time tweeting a few minutes ago that she joined labor in the doldrums of the early ninety's in a city where no one else was a socialist the values that brought me in and your the need to apply them again and fight for them does to however hard journey it will be and then she ends by saying and this will be hard so you're seeing there within the Labor Party the seeds of a battle on one of the people the front benches in the Labor Party who was spoken about as a potential leadership candidate if the election went as badly for labor as this exit poll predicts is lower paid caucus or front bench room isn't Joram no. West and there are reports that she is in trouble that she may not be able to hold on to her seat now the conservatives might end up taking that c it's the exit polls suggest the Tories are the slight favorites to take that say and I think there will be a bit more nervous after that blithe Valley result of a seat for 70 years going to the Tories they'll be a bit worried that maybe there is somebody who might have fancy their chances the next Labor leader who won't be in the next parliament and similarly view the exit poll is saying it's very likely the Jo Swinson will lose her seat the Lib Dems leader in Dunbartonshire East and that happens of course the Dems were looking for a new leader for the 2nd time in 6 months let's take a cool we are along the radio station proud and passionate b.b.c. Radio London we have people listening rather around the United Kingdom one of them is Tony in New Castle upon saw him Good evening sir welcome rain and how are you yeah I think we're both well good to get cold you like to say tonight. He was talking earlier about the changes of the Northeast potentially going away from the sort of staunch liberal side scaling up one of 57 year old who have voted since or could vote up what a liberal life this is the very 1st con of ever considered actually moving away from labor that they'd actually vote Labor in the end. However that's just simply because none of the other parties offered what I thought she was the right thing for the country at this point in time. I thought I couldn't trust any of the leaders especially the 2 main leaders. And the basically just working with them in a starter with bricks which I don't know how to accept and it was all this information and this information and it's it's who are still have a look at the problem of that and then you can call an election now. They just seem to have swung from side to side to side to side depending on which way the wind is going with. What people are shouting more about in the media across the u.k. And then not having been sticking to apart from one which was actually a couple of the Liberal Democrats which actually is the one and almost went to and because they said they were going to stick to their policy and that. Which is what the said they were doing and not to me is what is politics what it was about not this constant shift and this almost. Online media telling me I got me interested for a 2nd term ecological reality room something when you talk about a shift if that isn't terms of policies and opinions or is it something else it's that things it was more that leaders opinions about whether the astrovan by their sorry go with it was driven by the people feeding in what was coming in through the social media side as well as what was going through the papers and on t.v. Etc I understood and forgive me for interrupting again but just on playing because this is a really interesting conversation so I thank you for the making the call a shift on well regarding opinion on what what particular issue are you thinking of . I'm trying to trying to sing if any in particular it was just it's been gripping hit so much to be honest in the last. 6 What 3 years realistically on on politics and it's thing just on breakfasts being trying to hit on so many of the areas as well. I think the key the key wants to The Thing Around. I would say that possibly things out that hit the north and I mean I was here in the in the ninety's when the Northeast industries were fully tested you know completely decimated and I'm talking about the engineering the shipbuilding it's Everest beer with. Yet look we lost we lost just about everything I was born and bred some to not live in Newcastle I don't like football but there were. 2000 interested not just a little lie relief before we returned to the politics do you describe yourself as a jogging or a maqam. Neither of not a slot ne lot going on for the young folk question where I. Go Yeah I mean in itself it's and I think a lot of people that I've talked to the little friends of mine that they just said that they're very similar they're kind of the distiller kind of trust anyone insofar as the main leaders definitely I mean. I've always been staunchly ever. I wouldn't I wouldn't have gone to the conservative To be honest with you. And you know the reasons behind obviously I think that's possibly down to my of bringing you know living in the Northeast etc but. There was no all the reductions across the board and we just saw so many swings sometimes it was just quite subtle and sometimes it was quite different sort of things as to where they were changing where the focus was that they were on 'd their on around lately on them on a test or can a final question of our Congress I want to focus on how would you use a couple of times trust and he said he said a few moments ago you couldn't trust any of the any of the leaders do you think trusting politicians not just in the last few years but let's go back to the last 20 years do you think it has been seriously in the Klein Yes I would say since I am . Of hit the more recent of what I would call a statesman which would be and some people are probably totally discreate Tony Blair. Who was to do came after him again politically Harrietta and you had Ed Miliband. So I didn't discount the same. But a little around here you know everyone Blair Gordon Brown but Miliband is he thinking oh Gordon Brown always was on Tory side about actually cables are another thing right yeah yeah and they were going David Cameron Sorry yes they. Were they came across Oz at the time apart from as we find it but to balance has a different model. It's very very truthful very for sort of stayed in what they said and what they would deliver on the need to deliver on that which fortunately or unfortunately has worked against some people has. What they wanted especially from the breakfast breakfast perspective but they had not yet you felt as though you could believe them whichever way you were you would swing by the left or right and however now I just don't feel as I could trust and saw many times up in the northeast now and I thought some long sort of discussions with. General acquaintances with colleagues with friends and that's the general consensus was Beth really interesting to hear in on a final final question if I can only because you said some watching trysting stuff inside the last few minutes Tony what what needs to change of you and your mates having conversations about politics and the general view seems to be we can't trust any of the leaders what do you need to see or hear in any political leader for you to start thinking with your mates Yeah politics is changing for the better war needs to happen. I think they've got to be almost and not to not just not change their track all the time just to actually suit the media or to suit the . You know everything that's actually going on social media and that sort of thing I think is too much almost or not and it's got to be about. Their. Policy and driving up through and not actually swinging we're from side to side or weakening it down and pouring more in another part of it. This year what was going to say what was going to do a little liberal not really good Koehler some closure talk to you and I thank you that's Tony a new council points on who's going the so-called Paul Osborne political commentator I found that really interesting yes the whole area of trust and that's not the 1st call of that nature I've taken to certainly the last several weeks from people who phone me up late nights here on Radio London said done who to vote for and I go Well you know what tell me what you think you know contrast any of them do you think this time around the political campaigning we seen on this general election 2019 trust has taken a real kicking and I think I think trust has taken a kicking in and it is I think it's part of the idea that when people say a lot of people say look politically I feel homeless because I don't support the way that the Conservative Party has gone after the right and I don't support the way the Labor Party is going after the left and I don't feel there's a viable alternative anywhere in the middle so not quite sure who I'm supposed to vote for and certainly I spent a lot of people the last 23 weeks who said that they would sort of try to drive to the polling stations with no great sense of excitement not casting positive votes in many cases casting negative votes just to stop the person they dislike the most rather than voting positively the person they liked. They liked the most after all now. Interesting in terms of what's what was driving this if Labor have done this badly in the heartlands what was driving it the Daily Mirror as political editor Pippa career is saying this evening the Shadow Cabinet ministers are being told it's not I blame this on bricks it blame it on brakes it when you are interviewed but through the campaign she says I was being told was being told by Labor candidates that the bigger problem on the doorstep was Jeremy Colvin the when they knocked on the door Jeremy Colvin was the 1st objection they were hearing followed by Bracks it and on the lines of all Madonna Labor candidate Mitchell in more than tweeted about 10 minutes ago my constituency she said has been let down by Jeremy Corbyn not by her but by labor by Jeremy Corbett and she's treated so yes she's tweeted that those without homes decent jobs I'm worried about the n.h.s. She says let down by the party's leader there are people in maybe you're going to hear this again and again overnight who will say yes bricks' it complicated as you know breaks it tricky but you know what the 1st thing walls of the voters we lost said germy Corben Ok. That is interesting already the bookies are starting to offer odds on the next Labor leader only mention this because there is a London Labor name among some of the contenders this is Betfair exchange offering $12.00 to $5.00 on peer Starmer back along barely 7 to 2 Angela Rayner 17 to 2 Emily Thornberry of course isn't in South and Finsbury 13 to one odds on her becoming the next Labor leader and Yvette Cooper at 16 to one this is b.b.c. Radio London I'm Duncan barque selection 2019 Our coverage continues political commentator Paul Osborne alongside me we have our reporters out and about across the capital tonight as some of those key counts and we're going bring you the very latest results as the night continues as we have through the night and into the early hours Dalton out of Iowa continues our coverage or 1 o'clock in the morning when Jason rolls in here at 4 am but will continue after midnight have more of your calls more of your thoughts and more analysis get involved tonight on b.b.c. Radio London 080-731-2000 London know what you think. On Digital Radio 94.9 f.m. And the b.b.c. Sound. Business and. This is b.b.c. Radio. London's News Admin night on my dram if the exit poll is to be believed Boris Johnson will remain prime minister with a huge majority of 8650 more than the last election the poll for the b.b.c. I.t.v. And Sky shows the Tories on course to take $368.00 seat their highest tally since under Margaret Thatcher in 1987 Labor is forecast to take an estimated $191.00 seats down 71 from the 27000 poll it's worst in terms of seats since 1935 with lifelong Labor supporters switching to the Tories the former Labor m.p. . Voxel Cato who is a leading pro breaks a campaigner says this is now a key moment for her party do you feel that what is happening in our labor heartlands is going to change and have to have that huge huge debate within the Labor Party otherwise we're finished former Conservative minister Justin Greening who has stood down from the Putney constituency at this election says breaks it was not the only issue people were voting on but the reality is this election was very much about domestic issues and I think that's why the concert is a done so well because Boris Johnson very much talked about the kind of conservative agenda lots of people find appealing the Liberal Democrats are predicted to take 13 seats an increase of just one but polls report that party leader Jo Swinson could lose her seat the Green Party is predicted to hold its only seat and the party appears on course to win no seats at all its leader is natural for We've use our influence and that's the important thing I mean look you know we're a new party we've got the councillors we've got no base in this party you're over as a party what if we are 30 what if we get bricks it given that it was in the weeds back in February of this year and we set this thing up we put it back on track if we get there we've done a good job but the exit poll has had an immediate effect on the value of the pound which rose almost 2 percent against the dollar in other news Met Police have been called this evening to a shooting in Wood Green at a rooster's chicken shop believed to be the site of another shooting last week firearms officers found a male suffering from a gunshot injury he's currently in hospital where police say his condition is stable. Arsenal came from behind to draw to all add standardly ace to qualify for the knockout stages of the Europa League as group winners and London's weather this hour windy with some clearer spells for a time but showers will push in around the middle of the night turning dry again later overnight lows of 3 Celsius that's 37 degrees Fahrenheit b.b.c. Radio London it's 2 minutes past 12 on digital radio 94.9 f.m. And on b.b.c. Sound this is London this is b.b.c. Radio London election 29 results not sunken darks. On Duncan bags Paul Osborne political commentator here as well b.b.c. Radio London London was radio station bringing you the London results as they happen throughout the night but of course results elsewhere around the United Kingdom because they're all relevant and your calls as well if you want to be part of what's going on here 087312000 you can just phone up and you can you can be jubilant if you want to be jubilant you can have a moan if you want to have a moan or you can answer some of our specific questions the exit poll that was released at 10 o'clock so a couple of hours ago now suggesting a Conservative majority of 86 your reaction to that tonight also asking you the question did you vote today what were the issues that you voted on what for you was it a Brecht sit general election or was it about other issues if so what were those issues and how would you assess the current state of British politics to some of the questions I'm asking tonight I'm also keen if you went to a polling station today where they accuse around the block because I was reading something on the Evening Standard website Well there are loads of pictures not just of one polling station but right across the city where they were accused of up to 20 to 30 minutes if you were in a secure the polling station give us a call tonight if you're a 1st time voter what do you make of what you're hearing 080-731-2000 there's a phone number.