What about chicken, about eggs , we have an overproduction of chicken meat, we dont eat that much, and export helps, but we still ended up with overstocking, in connection with this in previous years there was a serious overstocking, and we stopped expanding chicken production, we immediately got back, we received it instantly, thats why i say, dont. Interfere, yes i liked the statement of one of the owners of enterprises that raise chicken, there are broilers, he says well, dont touch our segment, in 34 months we will instantly grow any broiler in 32 days, 10 years ago 64. Money, but it still requires quality, level of service, fortunately there is an alternative, yes, this is competition , thank god that. It exists, after all, we are talking about the fact that based on the three restrictions you named for price increases, lets look at each in more detail, that is, you and i talked and agreed that the state cudgel it is ineffective and what is it like they say, a holiph for an hour, that is, we can solve some problems now, but for the Economic Situation this is always a negative mechanism, lets leave it aside, the second point is. Market competition and here we are talking about the fact that with thats all, well, in the product of the segment that we are discussing, in the sphere of the segment that we are discussing, the food basket, everything is more or less good here, we have Large Networks and Small Networks and ecoproducts, attempts by farms there to enter their individual conglomerates, and even here marketplaces, but online trading platforms have already begun to create a socalled fresh segment. We annually produce 90 million tons of food products, over the last decade, retail trade turnover has approximately doubled, well , relatively speaking, from 20 trillion to 40 trillion rubles, yeah, a year, two, yes, but in terms of quantity in terms of pieces, in terms of volume, it remained the same, that is, it has grown. Numbers, price, this is the subject of our discussion today, for what period, this is the result of inflation, this is for the last 10 years, 10 years, that is, in fact , twice, well, in principle, if you count 78 , 10 years as an accumulated total, this is what you get, this is how you get this figure, lets just say, returning to those figures, which we talked about at the beginning, regarding inflation, according to what you said that this year it could bring it closer. Oranges, cabbage , apples, lemons, sugar, pears, chicken crusts, bananas, chilled chickens, falling food prices, peas, beans, buckwheat, beets, sunflower oil, carrots, cucumbers, onions, falling prices, how much . 3, 5, 2, or is it tenths, the drop is less, but uh, lets say, onions, by 17 , cucumbers by 16. Yes, thats absolutely right, the same buckwheat during the pandemic, i remember that our compatriots in large numbers they made a very significant contribution to the inflation of expectations, simply buying everything they could, yes, i remember. My children say dad, why are you sitting . I say, what should i do . I have to go shopping, i say, why . Well, because everyone does it, i say, well, believe me, i say, dad has been living for a long time, this is not the first crisis in my memory, i say, i took them by the scruff of the neck, took them both to the store, we walked through the shelves, i say, well, you see, everything is worth it, they say, yes, maybe well take something, i say, why, y we have at home, that is, i, common sense struggles with expectations, because the same buckwheat, it has not been lying around for more than a year, it is spoiling. Yes, i asked everyone a question, and it happened, that is, all my colleagues who told me, misha, in a year you will come and ask for buckwheat with stew, but we wont give it to you, because you behaved badly during a pandemic, and a year later i say how is it going, by the way, the fever, they threw everything away , because midges are starting, this process of peeling and rotting begins, yes, this is such an illusion that you can stock up, and then i you know, like inflation of expectations this is such a process, i say, well, okay, how much will you buy, how much do you plan to live on for a year, but you wont be able to buy for the rest of your life, but this is an aspiration, because if the world is changing in general, there is no point in trying preserve the previous model of consumption, but. You need to change along with the world and you need to try to fit into the volume or quality or range of consumption that will be inherent in this new world, but not try to preserve what is now in a separate world, yes, at the cost of incomprehensible efforts, thats how you correctly noted, only accelerating your own inflation through this inflation of expectations, this is a hint of easy money, today we are talking and arguing. He says for me, the consumption basket also includes a taxi, and a taxi the price has doubled, period paragraph, i say , well, youre a mathematician, my dear friend, yes, well, how can you say that we are talking about the average basket, but for me, he says, taxis are included in the basket, that is, there is such a moment that people very often lay down some individual moments of consumption, why are they relevant at this very moment, and the same tourist trips that have risen in price along with the Exchange Rate or there is the same real estate, but which is actually at that calculation. If they raised it, our price level would be different, but the increase will be in the twenty fourth year in july, thats why i say that most likely prices will be higher than those expected by Central Banks there , which are more or less optimistic, because housing and Communal Services tariffs affect everyone production, for the population, and there is no such thing as. Expenses will be reduced, that is , it turns out that people will pay more for housing and Communal Services, for utilities, and thus there will be less money left for the food basket, the very first factor of growth prices, namely demand, it will fall due to redistribution of expenses in the household , this must be taken into account, well, two factors will operate, the first is the ability of consumers themselves to carefully handle their own family budget, the second is social support for the population, yeah, lets finish our conversation, discussion with this very interesting question on in your opinion, is the main problem for consumers now is the price or the reduced choice . Ill start with you know what, the most important thing is that we do not have a food shortage, this is the most important thing and there will not be and time is not expected and there will be of course, more than that the processes have been launched such that in this century we can, russia can become one of the main players in the food world of highquality food, we are not talking about some kind of byproducts, but canned noodles there and so on, yeah the problem, as we have already touched upon, is that unfortunately, due to rising costs for producers, there is very little trading opportunity left. In order to make a profit, in connection with this there is now an obvious process, it is natural, a reduction in the assortment, because that its easier to sell a narrower assortment , but guaranteed to have different types of milk, in three or four small shops near your home, but thats enough, well. From the point of view of an entrepreneur, its always much easier to concentrate on one or two segments, get out the quality and achieve that , that you will be a number there, i dont know there are 1 2 3 in this, on the other hand, the russian consumer really loves new things, in 2022 13. 00 new products appeared on the shelves, for the most part, these are what replaced. And so on, yeah, thats why its still the price remains the main thing , the main thing, all Public Opinion polls, when it comes to problems or concerns, price always comes first, well, in fact, we looked at prices today, thank you very much, aleksandrovich, for your expertise, thank you very much for the informative conversation, this was an easy money podcast, and today we talked about how really. We should be afraid of inflation, rising prices for the food basket, and the threat, the answer is no, any problems with food in the near future for our countries. Let me remind you that you can watch all episodes of the easy money podcast on the website of the First Channel 1tv. Ru, on your phone, its not just a call, its from there. We have to figure out how to carry out a historic operation. Doctor preobrazhensky, tomorrow after the program , did you spend the night here, what happened . Wait, its the husband, why is he beating himself . The bird is now free, but wants to go back into the cage, no more parties. On this sky there is a premiere for you, the very first new year, december 30, on the first, i greet you, this is a podcast of the chronicle of the end times, and today i, evgeny, will tell you about fortsovka, because fartsovka originated exactly in the year of my birth, in fifty seven, when the sixth International StudentYouth Festival was held in moscow. What is fartsovka . Fartsovka is the process of buying from foreigners or from people who traveled abroad, soviet citizens, scarce things, especially clothing accessories, often by fortsovschiki. They call foreign currency traders, but currency traders are still a separate article, this is the elite, lets say so, forgings, why, because for currency they were punished, this was the eighty eighth article of the criminal code, this article was a firing clause, while for forging, i repeat, in that textbook form, that is, bought things, sold them, they were not punished for it, they could have attracted a little, of course , 154. Speculation, speculation, when you buy for one price and resell for another, in fact, this was the whole tzimis, the fortsovnik, but it was necessary, firstly, to prove that there was intent, that you initially bought these jeans for to sell them, not i sold them because they didnt suit you, in size, in color, your girlfriend didnt like them, losers, before finishing with this topic, explain why i dont consider currency traders to be force brokers, the thing is. Theres from 65 to 90 kopecks, while on the black market the dollar was worth much more, that is , i dont know how much it was worth in the fifties, sixties, seventies, but i just remember when i started working as a journalist, that is, the mideighties, the dollar was worth on the black market market 4 rubles, then 5 rubles, towards the end existence of the soviet union, it already. The price on the black market reached 1015 rubles. The official Exchange Rate remained less than the ruble, so naturally foreigners were very tempted to sell currency in order to be able to buy something for rubles, sell currency on the black market, this was done by currency traders. Another thing is that why is the forcing connected with currency . Because the ironers, or whatever they were called in slang, thats what they called themselves, by the way, the irons, they started over. From buying things or some kind of items, right down to technical items, and then moved on to the most delicious and most dangerous currencies for trading. That there, of course , the exhaust was much more significant, so here is the rokototov case, several currency traders were convicted, the most seasoned one, who was yan rokotov, they were given 8 years, as far as i remember, then, and Nikita Sergeevich khrushchev, when he was in west berlin on a visit, he learned from journalists and people with whom i talked that he was in moscow. There is a very largescale black market and what they were interested in was asking him about this rokotov and he was indignant at the fact that in general there are some people who violate laws about which they know in the west, when he returned to moscow, he demanded that their punishment be toughened, they were given a term of 15 years, but this it seemed insufficient to khrushchev , some workers from some factory supposedly, well. We know how all this was done, that is , they wrote a letter, which he voiced at some regular plenum, and this was replicated in party newspapers, they were outraged that how could it be that there are people who disgrace socialism, the country , they are only 15 years old, they need to be shot, and he demanded what was applied, capital punishment, this trio had resistance from lawyers, because thats not how things are done, well, lets say you. Cross the street on a red light, well, you know that you are taking a risk , you can be hit by a car, in extreme cases you will be fined, i dont know what fine, just imagine, you cross the street on a red light, you were detained, they gave you a fine , the next day the law comes out, what is this are being shot now, you will be shot , you see, if this rule were in use at the moment when you decide whether to cross or not, you would think 100 times, most likely you would not go to the red light, knowing that. For they could be shot, well, definitely not , so, of course, the people who were involved in currency transactions, before that, they proceeded from the fact that the maximum that they could face was 8 years, but here they were taken and shot, and they even shot accomplice rokototov, who cooperated with the investigation, gave testimony, generally helped the investigation in every possible way, in general, for any lawyer this is generally a disgrace, and. They wrote a lot in the west, in the west even in my opinion, then they issued some kind of commemorative coin in honor of jaan rokototov somewhere and almost it wasnt the monuments that were unveiled, it was an ugly story, so i wont talk about the currency traders, the most famous forseller i knew was yuri shmilelich azenshpis, but i didnt know him as a currency forseller, because he served time under these articles , a total of 17 years, in as a music producer, i already. Talked about him, but i didnt tell him in the context of fartsovka, he told me the most interesting things, because to be honest, i thought that fortsovniks were these irons, they ironed along the old arbat, eh , they ironed along the lines of gum, they ironed in tstsum, in the childrens world, and in general in those places where, in fact, foreigners hung out, except for moscow, force workers. We were also in leningrad, in all the port cities, large ones, in those places where Foreign Tourists were generally taken, Foreign Tourists, as they said, so yura told me amazing things, because i repeat, i believed that forging workers are those who buy something from foreigners, and he told me that many worked with sailors and guides and flight attendants , people who constantly traveled abroad and could bring certain things to order. They bought mostly clothes from foreigners , that is, jeans, because having jeans in the soviet union was, well, cool, they werent for sale, not everyone had them, and if you managed to buy jeans, well, you youre already a fashionable guy, its like you could buy belts and watches there, you could dress from head to toe. There were groups of people selling, the western ones stood apart, working with them, relatively speaking, lets say, the elite of the thiefs, who were also divided there according to. This or that country, the alers were the name given to the italians, and the farcesters who worked with the italians were also called the alers, these were most often southerners who looked like italians. By the way, for some reason there were no girls among the forging workers, that is, they were probably there somewhere, but these are just a few, they sometimes helped, lets say the fortress workers penetrate into this or that hotel under the guise of guides or translators. That the girl portrayed a translator, the pattern makers portrayed foreigners, there were such interesting schemes, i wont go into that, because i want to talk about the pattern maker as a driver of the fashion industry in general, that is , how the pattern makers are like trendsetters, because it is they who are guided by their taste, what exactly to buy, and what exactly to keep for themselves, and to sell, they to a large extent this is the fashion landscape. The industry was formed in the soviet union, by the way, many of the catwalk models of slava zaitsev, they were shapers, and i dont know, they came from the shaper into models, or , being already models, they were shapers, because it was impossible not to work in the soviet union, a farce naturally, it was not an official job, so most of the force workers, well , like the majority, all of the force workers, they worked here or here, sometimes they fictitiously just put their work book somewhere. Because, of course, the forcings were earned, they rose, like its customary to say that its very serious money, and a seamstress earned more in a day than at his official place of work, say, in a month, and i dont know anything at all about seams in the sixties and seventies due to my age, except, perhaps, about one about the seamstress , gamshchiki this is the lowest level of fartsovka, these are youngsters, somewhere from almost preschool age , Elementary School students who exchanged badges for chewing gum, chuin gum, gum, gum, so they were called gamshchiki, not like this these badges that they offered to foreigners were in short supply, they could not be bought, they could be bought, but firstly, you had to know the places, and secondly, in fact there was no time, Foreign Tourists brought him there on an excursion there to uh, as the slang is for a black marketeer, on a bus, they brought, say, to the same vdnkh, where they admired them for something. They walked when a guy comes up to you , he has a whole iconostasis right here, one of the most various icons, not rare, that is, they are not some kind of nomismatic valuables, ordinary badges, including pioneer badges, plastic, metal, which could be bought in any sand, they also offer banners, the banner cost 3 rubles, i remember, for 3 rubles you could buy a banner in sportswear, the banner simply went to uranium, and the banner was possible to try on this thing, it was even , well, there was no talk about it, and a person could buy it and the size really didnt suit him, because it wasnt even possible, lets say, to get the same jeans and look at them, they were just in the package, you could see there size, polish jeans were sold for 30 rubles in my school era, and then the price rose during my student days, when , relatively speaking, i was. Well, almost a farce for 150 rubles. Why was i almost a farce . Because i had an acquaintance, klara, a matjarka, we were in a friendly and romantic relationship with her for 2 years, and she asked me, through my friends, to sell things that her hungarian friends brought to moscow, where she studied, but i didnt i think that there was this compound purchase, i definitely had these there was no money, i just. Took what they call it on commission, that is, i took all sorts of jeans, all sorts of sweaters, some sneakers and offered them to my friends, then. By the end of the seventies, the beginning the eighties, even in the early eighties, more likely, yes, on the black market good jeans, american ones, cost 180 rubles. The democratic brothers, as they were called, these were poles, hungarians, czechs, sold for about 150 rubles, that is, the margin there was about 30 rubles. From one pair of trousers, unfortunately, very often there were linings, not only linings like this the kind when a person bought in a hurry quickly and efficiently, one of the things, it did not suit him in size, and he then sold it, risking falling under the article of speculation, because if they had gotten to the bottom of him, they would have said that this the thing actually costs that much, there was some kind of official. Expert assessment that this should be worth that much, but you sold it for that much, they say that there have been such cases, i havent heard this from anyone i know , but the romanians and not only the romanians these are the things they practiced, they they cut the jeans in half, took one pant leg in a bag and sold it as whole jeans , then they also sold the second leg for the same amount, the person ended up with this one pant leg, which may have suited him in size, but not. Relatively speaking, some kind of halfdone chewing gum , well, im exaggerating, of course, but this all came into play, well, i wanted some beautiful clothes, that is, in general, when young people want to dress fashionably, or at least well, this is in in general its easy to understand, this is a chronicle podcast the end of times, and i eugene tell you about the subculture. They were hunted there by all sorts of vigilantes, they were mistaken for foreigners because of their appearance, they could speak quite fluently in the specialized language, lets say those who worked with alara in italian, those who worked with finns, well mainly, of course, leningrad, and tallinn and the baltic countries in general , respectively, there they had a different specialization, they looked different, they dressed differently, they communicated differently, they had their own slang, their own hangout places, i dont even know if this phenomenon is described somewhere, these are just my own observations, which i remember from that time, because. I lived in the southeast during my student years. West, Leninsky Prospekt 156 building , the last one on Leninsky Prospekt, next to the hotel there are fireworks on one side, on the other side there is ruden, the peoples friendship university, where there are a lot of foreigners, and close to volkin street, on which the Pushkin Institute was located, i dont know how it is now , then at that time, where they studied russian, students from western countries, therefore. There, as a young man, i met girls, i had a lot of italian and american acquaintances there, and by the way, my first trip abroad took place at the invitation of clara , after she had already finished her studies in the soviet union, went to hungary, she invited me to her hometown of kecskemet, hungary, and i arrived there, she met me in the capital in budapest, and you know where . The first thing she did was take me, she took me to the wrong place, not to look at the bridges from across the danube, not at some architectural masterpieces, no, she took me to mcdonalds, because mcdonalds was opened in budapest earlier than in moscow, and it was , well, it was just wow, like come and drink cocacola, eat these fried potatoes, a big mac, just like that i had the impression that there werent any gadgets then, i couldnt take it off , and then, actually, what can they do to you if you dont get immersed in all these currency frauds and youre not in danger when this fear was overcome, then real deadline and real pressure, then in fact, you dont risk anything except showdowns with competitors, because the farcists had their own designated zones there, but in any case it was somehow regulated, if a person entered this territory, if you didnt bring him, he. Without a recommendation appeared at this or that station, then there could be all sorts of showdowns, the most uninhabited is when a person was simply handed over to the police, they could, by the way, plant something else, there was a rather noisy story about which according to they told moscow about a vigilante who during the time of this certain raig, he recognized his former classmate, began to collaborate with him, first as a forging assistant, then became a much more serious figure in this business than his mentor. And he cleared a clearing for his mentor , he turned him in, throwing him some currency, that is , he was imprisoned, cleared the clearing, then he went out and after serving time he killed his comrade, or his sister killed him, i dont remember these details now, but these stories were told , as if, after all, this is such a difficult business, where what where where the big ones