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Euro 2020 has been unpredictable – but it could still be England’s tournament. The team have a 32 per cent chance of ending their 55-year major tournament drought, according to artificial intelligence models from sports intelligence agency Twenty First Group.
Their biggest rivals Italy, Belgium, and Spain – all on the other half of the draw – each have no more than a 20 percent chance of lifting the trophy. Omar Chaudhuri, chief intelligence officer at the company, explains why England can go into their quarter-final against Ukraine with confidence.
The draw has been kind
Before a ball was kicked, England’s route to the final looked treacherous. As such, Twenty First Group's tournament prediction model gave them a 13 per cent chance of winning the tournament, behind Germany, Belgium, and France.

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