The Geopolitical Implications Of Global Decarbonization For Mena Producing Countries
Feb 21, 2021 10:35:am
Summary
Endowed with half of the world’s proven oil and gas reserves, the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region represents a cornerstone of the established global energy architecture. As the clean-energy transition gains momentum worldwide, this architecture might shrink—challenging the socio-economic and geopolitical foundations of the region in general, and of its oiland gas-producing countries in particular.
by: Pier Paolo Raimondi and Simone Tagliapietra, Oxford Institute For Energy Studies (OIES)
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The Geopolitical Implications Of Global Decarbonization For Mena Producing Countries
This challenge has two dimensions: domestic and international. Domestically, a decline in global oil and gas demand would reduce revenues for producing countries. Considering the profound dependency of these countries on oil and gas rents (the ‘rentier state’ model), this could have serious economic and social consequences. Internationally, the global clean-energy transition might push producers towards a fierce competition for global market share, exacerbating geopolitical risks both regionally and globally.