Reinforcing the apparently inevitable this october present from a long time skeptic of the very limits of the covert 1000 pandemic just one week a goal became a victim himself and has dramatically helicoptered from the white house to Walter Reed National military Medical Center in bethesda made a lot and since then we have had regular and often confusing medical briefings with tweets and video messages from the ealing and then recovered president including a bizarre car cavalcade to greet well wishers by monday night he announced on twitter that he was effectively discharging himself from hospital and moving back to the white house feeling better than he has felt for 20 years as well as claiming the credit for a new call for treatment however beyond the entirely human reaction of wishing anyone afflicted well the question now is how will this october surprise impact on the president ial campaign well its have handed the president might it just have helped him back in july we interviewed 2 Top Republican strategists on the trouble and the top campaign. They warned us not to write the president or today we turn to the democrats how did they handle the new difficulties of campaigning against a president struck down by could we interview 2 top academic commentators professor 2 white men from Case Western University cleveland im from the Nations Capital of washington d. C. The fessor can you should grant me but 1st to alex with your tweets emails and messages in response to last. Lots of comments said on last weeks show which featured peter oborne and professor veteran he muffy commenting on the the problems the political problems of bloggers johnson the Prime Minister it many says Excellent Program but listening to the predictions of these 2 excellent gas from events over the next year is one measurable prospect and john says 1st time ive watched the Program Welcome aboard john i enjoyed it peter oborne and Richard Murphy were both excellent and alan says sue not referring to the chance of the exchequer his poster boy status is on borrowed time phil a says scotland wales will definitely want independence from england before long Martha Mcphee says professor muffy predicted 5000000 unemployed while i mean whoa a gem wallace says if that whoever does happen in my lifetime to fell into an independence vote i will go back to scotland vote no and then go back to england i paid many thousands in scottish taxes in my lifetime so i have every right to vote. In the last Scottish Referendum in 24 teams which i hold guys it was a residential vote you had to stay in school wherever you were from to be entitled to vote what itll be like next time if indeed there is a next time when will this of to wait and see about how many from from bangladesh says or some presentation and discussions but gene says glad to see you by good analysis will we have things stand for the tory party ill keep all the points to hand to see the end result as will we all jean and now back to theres been a. When Prime MinisterBoris Johnson was rushed to hospital in London Britain held its breath and the Prime Ministers popularity soared it took months for the hill effect to wear off could the same thing now happen to President Trump or will has succumbing to the virus reinforce accusation that he and his entourage have not taken it seriously enough until of course they found it knocking at the door of the white house until ordinary americans wonder why they dont have access to the experimental drugs which seem to work the president ial oracle in double quick time attention has also been focused on the event at the white house rose garden to recognize Supreme Court nominee amy corney ballot numerous people who attended this event have already tested positive and events where social distancing seemed very far from their norm so while the president gave a sympathy vote or loose support from those who think he got called that appoint himself will he be admired for his rapid recovery or resented for his Privileged Access to treatment alex is joined by professor joe white of kipp western reserve University Cleveland joe welcome to the alex salmond show its a pleasure to meet. This whole business of the press the helicopter of the hospital helicopter vote again announcing that he has defeated covert how is this going to play out in the semei remarkable president ial campaign. It wont make much of a difference i think that part of it is that so many other things have been going on such as his debate performance part of it is that so many people have already made their decisions about whether they like trump a dislike trump i think its slightly hurts implacably in that he will look a bit more like a fool and a hypocrite particularly when he says its not such a big deal after having probably hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of free healthcare from the federal government itll be fairly easy for the democrats to shoot back at that safe you know its not such a big deal if you havent shown and you have a whole government at your command at your command but meanwhile you know the republicans are trying to take away Peoples Insurance and this is a lot bigger deal for those people so i think i dont think you make much of a difference on balance it probably have some just a little but couldnt the president argue well listen we can go i was generally recognized not by himself of course but by lots of people as a loser im of the bit now im ignoring to myself as a a window over covert 19 hasnt he dominated the political agenda i dont think he will certainly make the argument that this shows its not such a big deal and therefore its a government and democrats plot that has caused us to shut down the best economy in history and his survival you know show shows that its not such a big deal but you know he had one of the guests athlete is oklahoma valley guy who mccain a form of public and president ial candidate again he got medical care thats not available to literally anybody even the special plexi dot so its not going to be really compelling argument hell make it absolutely but i dont think its going to convince anybody who wasnt already convinced by him. So Many Americans may well say i would love to get the sixpenny mental drug cocktail that so miraculously treated the president equal lot of people say what show was present trouble whatever you may say as a fighter these are straw man hes demonstrated that he can recover from anything is not an argument my card is some swing at least of his own base well 1st of all we have to remember that we dont know what is going to happen over the next week with that and trump like many medical conditions people get in bed and then they get worse i know somebody who has a colleague whose father was Getting Better one day and died the next would go over so we have to remember that we do not know how the health story is going to play out this weekend could be a very different look than like now hes been trying to play down the bias all along and he will make that argument but i dont think its going to change anybodys mind i think of all your supporters will buy it and the people who dont like him will not buy the what are the consequences of the press that being dramatically helicopter than the hospital was the Democrat Campaign the say the withdraw the attack ads these are the negative advertising principly on television which dominate American Election campaigns it doesnt assure bit of uncertainty in the democrat cambers how to deal with an ailing presently opponent when hes down and that sort of thing. Yeah its sort of hard to its hard to be sure that the republicans would have done the same thing but remember theres a lot of other ads going on i dont think the Lincoln Project all that that you know the republicans are really disliked and have been running very strong ads against him i dont think they have all their ads its just for a short period of time it gives the democrats in running some positive ads what the heck why not do that for a little while i do not think its a big deal its very hard to think that the ads are going to make much of a difference one way or the other again with how polarize people out right now i have no doubt that joe biden is going to have more people trying to vote for him and donald trump is whether that turns out to biden winning the election is an entirely different story but how do you rate the chances of the the president saying no im the accepting that im im going to cooked im going to challenge the state results im going to im going to challenge it right to the Supreme Court im going to fling the election into the the house as a serious prospect the democrats im no looking for was joe biden right to come a sweep aside in the president ial debate well i think what he was doing in the debate was he was your boss saying this isnt a serious thing in order to make it looks silly go do democrats think trump is going to do that absolutely and not just democrats i think that a great many commentators and observers of american politics and it very hard to believe that trump would accept 4 counts that say he lost so what we would but lets just assume that the opinion polls in america are correct and that joe biden is heading for a victim lets assume that that is reflected in the Electoral College and overcomes all the problems if we look back on the presidency of donald trump it would be at least bill to say that the innovative than terms of how he communicated with the american electorate i mean he has a government by by tweet does he not. Yeah it sort of i tweet therefore i am he seems to see himself and validate himself to see himself on social media i think that that trunk has shown a couple of things about the presidency one thing is d that when you teach about the presidency i teach or president s of course usually talk about things like the formal powers of the presidency and the informal powers of presidency and how president s get elected and the ways that president s can shape policy you cannot shape policy but trump has definitely set a standard for. Both how to talk about your opponents bypassing the normal media of course he has a huge megaphone and fox news but bypassing the normal media relating to people directly through through social media but really sort of establishing the tone of politics how people think about politics shipping how people think about each other that was going on anyway this this country has been polarizing for a long time a president s can try to work against it or they can try to work for it and one of the most memorable aspects of trumps presidency and aspect of biden is one thing against is the way that trump has helped to find the polity define what our political life is supposed to be like through the attention the president gets so joe i want you to think youre many professor so for a 2nd and well in your crystal ball and tell our audience whats going to happen over the next few weeks whos going to weigh. I dont know whos going to win and i know who is going to have more people trying to vote for him but i do not know how that will play out all of the things that can go wrong favor tom in terms of the popular vote the all the obstacles to voting a bigger obstacle to democrats than to republicans the Electoral College clearly favors republicans 538 nate silvers analysis website says you know you have biden wins by 3 by 3 percent of the popular on the popular vote there and yeah hes favored to win the election but if he wins by 2 he isnt so i really do not know what will happen if i had to guess i would say that that by middle of november it will look like biden won the election and then trump and the republicans will do everything they can to overturn that so come next january whos going to be sitting behind the desk in the oval office boy thats really hard to say because even if you say it ends up being you nancy pelosi by the law that law will be shall you know again if i have to guess joe biden but thats with relatively low confidence you know 55 percent in which case job by 2. 00 and 3. 00 in february she was up and fight you so much for joining me a male examined. By. Join us after the break what im to do professor could be should get on so if poetry the best thing in the Nations Capital washington d. C. Join to say. Thanks guys or Financial Advice they say maybe the bell im. Going to take it easy this is the central bank support diet come is the problem i know its a stop to. Become a battleground in the u. S. Government people have demanded the shutdown of a local plant from my yankee is right now my focus because its a very Dangerous Nuclear power plant that was attempting to run the reactor beyond its operational limits this case just sort of puts a magnifying glass on wheres the power in this country wheres it going is it moving more towards corporate interests or is it more in the idea of a traditional participatory democracy is power line with the people this case demonstrates that struggle very real way. Struggle. Welcome back just over a week ago the democrats would be feeling pretty confident on most assessments Vice President joe biden marched ahead on points after that 1st president ial debate they are feeling equally confident that their feisty Vice President ial candidates senator come all the hottest salts the rather nondescript incumbent mike pence in the 2nd debate now all calculations are up in the air alex asked professor can you should grant how the democrats will handle these unprecedented circumstances. Welcome to the alex salmond show professor graham. Thanks for having me from a political point of view how this the dramatic events of the last week with the president rushed to hospital and didnt declare himself well and helicopter themselves back to the white house how is that going to play out with the american electorate. I think we are ac is playing out a bit with some of the polling numbers changing its been a case that joe biden has the seat a bit of a jump in the polling support from americans as a result of the president s hospitalization and i think there has to do both with kind of the idea of their thoughts when a leader who is well but also with the idea the individuals and not feeling good about Donald Trumps havent gotten cold enough hearing good about maybe some things they think he could have done to prevent getting cold in this instance but the hustle the president got an argument our week of glory when he was well recognized as the loser in a president ial debate with joe biden now he has declared himself the the winner overcovered 19 days are not a powerful message i think it might be for some people and i think there we are living in a color as time in the United States as other people who support downtown support him fiercely the people who support joe biden support him fiercely and so i think theyre certainly a part of the point of leaving the hospital and going on to the balcony to have a talk with the American Public is to do mr a strength but i also think that this has the potential to backfire hopefully the president remains well but if he doesnt then at the un for him i think the other thing with this creates a bit of a problem is that americans know that he has Different Levels of access to care than they have as so it does demonstrate that he is a winner but i think people still have questions or demonstrate for the moment that he is a winner but i think people still have questions about whether he will be a winner over cold in the long run and whether their lives will be feeling like winning lines following this election. No from the perspective of the the democrats in the head in the polls the biffen touching distance of an election victory will the be attend the see over these next few weeks for for Vice President biden to sit on that lead try not to make mistakes or will they be pushing hard for a convincing victory. I think theyll be pushing hard workers in harlem that is different from the democrats then what it is for the republicans as are happy for them pushing harder means having the president the Vice President maintain conduct on not be so public in space public basing is in this part because of that but also in part because he has been in the past criticized for some missteps in some misspeak i think that we should expect to see come the harris the act again alan about more publicly in the near future and so i think they yes they will be pushing to get in with a way to just insure that they win but again i think what that looks like will be different from this for them than it would be for the republicans who i might expect we have the president from center of their push now you mentioned. The Vice President ial candidate for the democrats who saw the debate a malay hours of the small and how an important figure will she be in the last few weeks of this campaign i think shes an extremely important figure critically important i think that the debate performance was important i think that the continuing questioning they will see her conduct with the Supreme Court will be important i think she is an important syria because she can talk she can do so peacefully she does so well and i think the dispatcher to talk not only to the American Government electorate probably but also to people in various looks like black voters and women voters and other kinds of individuals who would like to democrats elected she had with analysts in the days leading thats the election clash oppressor grant us a distinguished academic a leading university in america but a young black woman how do you relate to thinking about the divided society the sort of slightly older White America harbored supporters of donald trump is not the most massive divide them American Society almost 2 different countries. I think it is but i think the reason it is a massive divide is not to do with me you or people ask me i think the black women myself in particular other people who i know like me understand that we have a lot in common with the people who support downtrodden and theyre much of what we face many of the problems that we face are on the surface by americans in general but that there are some americans the americans like the ones you name who dont recognize these problems as problems they got across the color line they are they think that the problem of race is the most important problem in the nation and i dont think that they see places for us to Work Together where i think people like me believe that we better serve the our together against these common problems we have. Im thinking about the president who has many pronouncements and is even more twits it is so anything a tall about the donald that you can relate to in terms of anything he says a vote by any subject i mean it could be said the whole lot of our recent press that it hasnt involved america in any more overseas adventures for example. Senators now i dont this is so much wrong about the current state of the world that i cant remember a think about anything there is great about it i think to the point that youre asking about this idea that america should be at home and there should be at home i think there has its place and sell i you know dont stay Foreign Affairs and would not comment tremendously on that but that aint the vast majority of the things i experience in milan and that i envy. Has been negative during the trial in ministre she is still to be frank i cant think of the day as much that i can celebrate about his presidency now of course the Democratic Party after being beaten unexpectedly 4 years ago our fust thing for a victory but the country see senator biden as anything more than a transitional figure is not likely as wed see in scotland to set the whole on fire lizzy yeah i think thats a great question and i think that youre right he is probably a transitional figure not that he knows that i think the democrats have made their peace with their i think a part of the reason that he has such an intense debate about the Vice President who even asked president was because everybody understood that a person named Vice President would have a set up to be the president in the next election and so i think that joe biden understands that he will likely not be changing the dual party tremendously that he will be a bit of a stable as of where the nation and i think most democrats and joe biden as a candidate is are out of there so are your hopes beyond that we might all be well for the democrats and the election be looking in 4 years time up to. A president kemal a hoss. I think that would be the only. Way i have learned over the past 4 years to come and monetary manage my expectations yes and for now i just want a good clean election with a smooth transition of power and good clean cant for years and then we can deal with after their personally id be thrilled if letterman has as president of United States how do you rate the suggestion has been made them and certainly one which hasnt been put out right denied by the president the might be a chance that hell not accept an election defeat would set in the white house would take it to the Supreme Court would challenge various state results is that a real expectation among democrats that the the president is not going to evacuate the the oval office under any circumstances for sure at the democrats are worried about this peaceful transition of power the republicans are worried added to i think only the folks who are the most diehard chance the workers who support truck over the notion of our democracy are fine with us his comments about fighting this a multiple levels even if seems to be legitimately everybody else worried about the prospect of. When we are bullied someone else in the alleged and one final thought professor grant many people watching us run the world for all the criticisms i have been of the United States which have been many still regarded the United States as the but the shining city on the hill to use the quotation could you say to those people have sought my of america but of hub perhaps substantial doubts about the integrity of the american system indeed American Society over these last few years. I think i will say to them to hat they in the American People there is still a very Large Population of americans who have their heads on straight who understand what it means to be a shining city on the hill who believe in this the marker see and who are willing to work for it and so i think that this election will be kind of a turning point where we get to see who controls power i think many of the people who are the folks who im talking about who want the best for the nation did not believe that the worst was possible did not believe that elections matter they didnt believe that the work that changed significantly or their nation could change significantly based on who was elected president so i think everybody has been disavowed of those beliefs now that we all understand how important the american presidency is and i think that everybody. Will be doing their best to have their voices heard during this election because now we understand how important. Professor grant from hoed university in the Nations Capital thank you so much for joining me mel exxon and chill thank you for having me. Only one week ago with the president rushed to hospital american political historians were busy researching the name off the artistic really disturbing figure of 1000 century journalism and cofounder of the Republican Party find himself campaigning as a president ial candidate against official republican incumbent leases s. Grant his Health Failed to do in the campaign and he died before the late to college mate now one week later the same political commentators are researching the last of this present trunks dramatic recovery means the tos Health Problems may end up causing more political questions for the democrats 1st because campaigning against an ailing opponent its never a good look or an easy option thus the biting count pane pulled all of their attack ads only to then find that the president had no intention or big oil to come back for a long 2nd because the dont knows brush with his own mortality had the effect of making the president more vulnerable and therefore more human his rapid recovery means that he now claims to have taken on the virus and overcome it thus the president has find no doubt inadvertently yet another way to dominate the political agenda in the space of a few days has gone from generally a judge loser in the president ial 2020 debate to selfproclaimed victor over quickly to. Any of this turn the contest upside down and turn the underdog president into the favorite perhaps not but equally the many commentators who had all but written him off should reflect on the full impact of this october surprise to end all surprises but for now from alex myself and all that issue its goodbye stacey i mean hope to see you all again next thank. You. Seemed wrong. Roles just dont call. Me. Yet to shape our disdain he comes to the ticket and in detroit equals betrayal. When so many find themselves worlds apart we choose to look for common ground. We. Got to be a person calls for an end to hostilities in the troubled region and as moscow says it will mediate talks with those up by john and armenia to help stop the fighting. Comes as combat intensifies between the neighboring nations with locals called in the crossfire forced to flee for their lives. So our eyes meet the rebels at the police theres a tradition in britain for love with us where as you know. By cebu there must. Be has been almost 30 years i still see the image of my land in front of my eyes. The return of restrictions becomes the latest major cities and we introduced measures to combat surging covert infections