Side effects are and then why it says hi alec can you ask them why the survival rates arent being broadly advertised 99. 6 percent survival rate would be good to know your thoughts and jake said can you ask if this cold and flu will kill more people than traditional influenza over the next decade and this the public hysteria justify the governments actions but then of course other people see as so i mean does little Great Questions and form a divine insoles and leslie on says having lost an auntie to cope at 19 it breaks my heart to see people refusing to believe its real and that of course in the week we have a little daffodil top 1000000 people and lesley Sylvia Taylor says brochure this week that they can still be us from scotland really insightful with clear explanations of covert 19 the ongoing situation and i was hard working expats uprooting the time and great effort into finding all the kind of virus and hope to protect the general population from its very damaging effects and no back to me. Commentators have analyzed the maneuvers on the left and right to british politics with more authority than professor Richard Murphy and peter why they discuss with alex where stance the author my finance department with the economy heading towards the 25th of course theyd im grateful. But joining me to talk about the problems on the right and the left of british politics unless autumn session of parliament after peter oborne and professor bunch of my fair welcome guys to the salman show thank you very much was it to be our particular time to you 1st the governments got majority if 80 less than a year since ballers triumphantly road to victory in the general election but no this autumn the implausible both from coronavirus and indeed who breaks out again how could not possibly be it is amazing given the strength of the Prime Ministers position as recently as last december when he won this case the majority the biggest majority which the conservatives have had since Maggie Thatcher was leader then certainly the least groups on the tory benches growing government unpopularity over the weekend we had this major moment when shish dumbell went ahead of Boris Johnson in the polls and what i would say is for conservative leaders conservative Prime Ministers history shows that again and again a big piece of apparently secure majority is not secure the fact is that the conservative party is completely ruthless if the sunlight johnson has the johnson will go you wont see him for dust. President ial mafia this is a remarkable thought if you have a conservative leader if you are a minister bothers johnson would you be more what it about the role of fault and coronavirus led by a man mr brady or would you be more worried about the european issues still unresolved in terms of the the u. K. Single market which one of these subjects would be the most rewarding for you oh i dont think of any doubt about that it would be the internal market bill by the coronavirus one is problematic but because the government is true to itself so able to u. Turn so frequently on coronavirus that frankly none of us know where they are i think they would do that again and again and keep people satisfied the internal market bill is much more fundamental for many tories this is almost that sustained job the rule of law is fundamental to being a tory so many conservative m. P. s are lawyers we know that the bar council is now raising questions about whether our attorney general can in fact the chair of the bar which by tradition the attorney general always is there are literally proceedings against tory m. P. s for professional misconduct for their team for this bill it is challenging therefore what is to be a conservative and actually this comes back almost to literally the question of being a tory under difference between being a truck and a conservative and literally this is irish history a little bit of which i know tory is an irish word it means the brigand the pursuit and this is really want johnson is turning the tory party into over the issue of the internal market bill and i believe that that is the fundamental conflict with what the conservative elements of the conservative party is wanting to do and its that conflict within the tories themselves that hes now becoming apparent for all to see and which is straining the party itself to its limits and i believe thats why its the real threat to johnson people of fear people know more about tories and tory years of them than you do is a fairly modest as from Richard Murphy. Richard murphy is 100 percent correct in his analysis that conservatism has the roots of deep embedded respect for the rule of law but i think its politically wrong politically whats going to hurt the tories most of all johnson tenshi get rid of Boris Johnson if hes seen to have grossly mishandled coronavirus for the 2nd time remember we know that he mishandled he missed the 1st fight cobra meetings when it was starting in the sit in the in the late winter now if he goes wrong again votes is all of them suffered from coronavirus directly or indirectly its deeply impacted that lives if mr johnson a city has been incompetent to handle this it will hit him viscerally in the polls it will count for more than what i completely agree about the point about conservative party being about rule. But what is it that is behind the grim brady apartment type of vault i mean its a big section of the Parliamentary Conservative Party who you really want to see the virus let rip to take on the channel as the as the Prime Minister once said is it is that that all is a just holding up the rights of parliament against an over mighty government who want to legislate with the approval i think there is National Best mr johnson was still a columnist of the daily telegraph. We would be wise enough columns of the liberal about the state of the current the state of the liberty of the individual of the observer the safety of the government position in government of course mr johnson has that say its a cut all kinds of other considerations so i think actually its part of johnsons own personality festing itself on the brits its hearing wing of the conservative but benches there is a and i think this is going to be a really major issue from from now on it Richard Murphy a bit the labor party at the end up there have they really got a different policy on covert 19 from the government or are they just can a net picking where things go wrong who knows i mean genuinely who doesnt really know at the moment labor is playing a very very safe game indeed and i know that there are plenty of people who are frustrated by that. A so long as labor thinks that its showing up johnson every week at the dispatch box and steer clear stammers undoubtedly doing that and i dont think Boris Johnson has won one of their exchanges then hes keeping his Parliamentary Party happy he knows he is a young 18 the left and hes living with that with regard to the economy and coronavirus only needs to do is say you should have done track and trace better and there isnt a person in the u. K. Who i suspect disagrees with them and. They should have a better policy on furlough and job replacement schemes and i again doubt that there are many people disagree with them and they feel score the necessary points that they want do they have a policy well their defenses were not in government its not in a job at the moment to have an alternative policy i doubt that i think they should have a policy but thats what labors doing is playing it incredibly safe with a new leader who simply not trying to take risks so its a difficult position for labor to be in but theyre playing that card and on europe Richard Murphy i mean isnt psaki a star of the past and told gentlemen carbon that it should be far more pro european and take a more assaf to pro european life no hes a leader he under did the liberal democrat seem to of this after the field in europe just while 5 former Prime Ministers of queuing up to denounce the governments policy im staggered that in fact in june he did not take some initiatives particularly with regard to Northern Ireland practical and point out that frankly it could not be delivered in the way that was then go to happen he could have stood up and said unless there are guarantees were going to oppose this position on 30th june which was the last 8 when it could really be affectively and he didnt do anything and i think that was a mistake on his part because there was a line in the sand be drawn and to say there is a reason for opposition on this issue this time because there are Better Things to do he hasnt shown himself to be a leader on that issue and im disappointed. I do think hes walked away he simply playing to the rate will revert to the moment and you can say politically that might be a wise thing to do pretty doesnt position him well for a future pharmacy policy position can you explain that because robot why the Opposition Party is a liberal democrat the labor party have fled the field im back certain just when the government is hitting a wall. Its piro politics again i find myself agreeing with Richard Murphy entirely of the missed opportunity particularly on those but also on every other issue but here he says it is all b. S. The cached armor is playing a. Game the season he thinks that ive got a 4 years to let the government make a greater and greater mess of things hes going from really isnt it napoleon said never interrupt the enemy when he is making a mistake its incredibly cautious hes the train as Richard Murphy says a lot of things he believes in but he isnt man with his eyes set firmly on dunnings bitterly if you think we use socially distance conferences are going to cut charred after kill stammers or is speech which seem to be a bulk a me up to the Labor Party Headquarters as far as i could make things going to cut short of are we going to get back into the the old style when times are a more normal where all the m. P. s are there and they go to the bus you will remember how intimidating which they use the muscle of the party to visit often visit lee but certainly mentally intimidate and talk show rebels with the win that was so many m. P. s back in that could sit says that theyre less easy to so intimidate in the 2nd thing is that his stomach as it is a very good in surrogates or in the commons is a great lift helped by the fact he isnt got hasnt got 350 tory dog tories on the bench hes baiting that he can its more like a courtroom for him now which is a very familiar atmosphere so kish done at u. C. Joins us off of the break with of too expensive to soak in a style most prospects of the labor party could he really be the next Prime Minister im a look at detail at the challenges from scotland and ireland to. Join the. First president ial debate and exhibited lots of like not much one can argue neither candidate last night or. Reflection of the nations politics put the campaign coming to an end did the debates have any meaning is there such a thing as an undecided voter. Always be polite never engage with a negative a good or confrontational. Dont get into any conversation or start answering questions just. To survive and. Youre more likely to walk free if youre rich. Or if youre poor. You got 2 eyes 2 ears and one mouth. So you should be seen here and a whole lot more than youre saying if you dont take that advice easy going to dig yourself. Wrong. And. Trail. The party. To look for common ground. Welcome back alex is in conversation with top commentators peter oborne and professor Richard Murphy about the often session of the Westminster Parliament where the discussion night turns to the labor party and to scotland. First of Richard Murphy style most know ahead in one opinion poll at least for the 1st time since the election well that saw quite a me. Among the labor party about his quiet softly softly style. I doubt it. But later parties and obesity is made up of many parts but the real question which im hearing from people who im talking to and i make sure i do is why we only ahead in one opinion poll at this stage given the disasters that are going on inside the conservative party given what has happened in the economy whats going to happen with regard to jobs what is happening with regards to coronavirus surely they should be ahead by a massive margin thats what to do if theyre going to wind power and its taken labor a long time to get close to being even merely ahead now you can say they pull back 25 plus percent from where they were in april and of course thats good news but ive not short just being ahead at this moment is good enough peter oborne youve been quite a my of suck your stammers style of leadership thus far do you think it is enough to think less softly softly catch a monkey approaches are enough were living through the Biggest National crisis since the 1930 s. Now in those circumstances to have a man of johnsons style of politics sooner jake he. Celebrity politics i wonder whether he is as we move into a very dark periods in not just british history person global history whether that is the style of leader which people again or want the question is what will in due course what may replace it were going to see an interesting replacement probably in the United States transferred by letter that leads a sort of great swaggering alpha male replaced by rather an adult. No are we going to Say Something similar here now is that maybe the change will come from within the conservative party but its matters are as great as i believe they are. I did they dont rule out i dont say hi i know what will happen i do not rule out the emerging possibility virtualization governments and Prime Minister sharma before before the next general election is to Richard Murphy. Focusing there on the tanking economy and one of the patent offices of the come pulls us as the economy huttle still wards the cliff edge as a result of the the call that lot only impact on the World Economy the chancellor of the exchequer says political start seems to be rising so how do you explain the tanking economy a bill arising prospects for the chance of the exchequer. I think the chancellors fortunes are at their absolute peak at the moment to be honest alex and theyre going to be tanking pretty darn soon he has failed dismally to replace the furler scheme fellas scheme was inspired and it worked it provided confidence when confidence was necessary and the cost of whatever it was 40. 00 odd 1000000000 was insignificant in comparison to the alternatives that might have risen so of course his stock rose the one with the eat out to help out scheme even though it now appears to be disastrous with regard to the spread of coronavirus but so far that has not hit him but wait until the end of october when the new job replacement scheme replaces the furlough scheme wait until early 2021 when companies are beginning to have to pay that back taxes which is not safe are being paid when they have to begin to pay their rents which of not being paid mortgage deferment holidays begin to end and cash flow crises are going to emerge right across the economy wait until there are people literally by the 1000000 and i do be by the 1000000 becoming unemployed because that is inevitable and most people are seriously underestimating how many 1000000 that is i think were talking at least 5000000 unemployed i cannot see otherwise with this new drug attention scheme because it is effectively an unemployment creation scheme it has a curse incentive within it to encourage employers to make people redundant which could not be worse designed if you tried and at that moment is richie soon going to appear to be the guy whos going to save us all from problems no hes going to look like George Osborne did when George Osborne excused a range of measures in the budget of the budget which really went wrong even from the pasty tax to the caravan tax to all sorts of other things that time and again had to be reformed because that he had made mistakes and i believe hes going to look like a really troublesome chancellor whos failed to understand the scale of the problem hes facing and austerity which is his subtext is. The last thing that people in this country want so peter over is that our air of unreality about the severity of the economic output very much so im afraid alex im reminded of the i used to whats the malaki leap lutetia road runner cartoons you remember when road runner would be chasing or be chased in the hurdles over attrition is that all legs keep him up up in the air for a little while then he looks down and sees and then he just looks all the way down to the bus and im afraid when i greatly fear is were now in a moment where those little legs are getting him above where the situation where were a little legs k. P. S. Slopes but were going to fall big big fall down the trip suit so lets look lastly at the challenges from scotland im from from ireland now lets turn to ireland forced the u. K. Single market bill the company seemed almost oblivious to the the impact of that in the delicate balance of nor nitish politics how do we explain the regiment had explained that there was so little discussion of boat they blithely saying were could have breached International Law but only in certain respects in terms of its impact on this this balancing act of ulster politics. I think its staggering ignorance is the only thing that one can use to explain this the fact is that weve seen it that tory ministers didnt know some very basic things we had a norm not a sector and didnt know that catholics voted for nash for National Parties and perhaps since they took the unionist parties and she admitted as such in public so i have to say it seems to me that were talking about ensure pure outright ignorance and indifference to the consequences for Northern Ireland in the months the conservative party and that shocks me still does from the rubble has the government achieved the remarkable result of uniting unionism and nationalism the nandan distrust of the west was the government one thing i would add syria Richard Murphy its excellent analysis that then is that the tough Times Newspaper had a 1010. 00 days or circular process only at the political level its a very important analysis of the predicament facing mr johnson including a revelation which i hadnt seen before about how randall lois the Northern Irish secretary came to make the statement that he was ready to break International Law according to frances earlier times was actually drafted for him by a junior special advisor reporting to Dominic Cummings inside downing street and so it was set for him ready by a country johnson it doesnt security to know much about it or a matter of importance where you have a cabinet minister setting out a policy of breaking International Law to be sent for him by a special advisor im not complaining about the way youre doing submissively what hes told by by the only cummings is representative it does tell you something horrible actually i think horribles the right word about where this government is progressing. Whether moros story is perhaps read or brief certain of all time but lets talk last with the scotland and hope of the terrible clear or the pedophile conservative party Dominic Cummings michael. Goal of the Prime Minister himself how theyre going to deal with the the pesky scots of inch of muffy holy going to deal with us from assumption scottish nationalism support for independence were seeing in the polls when we assume that coronavirus would help see off. I dont think they are going to deal with it i think theyre just going to think they can weather it out they believe that he is their right to refuse section 30 referendum they have to grant that they think the right to that referendum and they believe they can refuse to grant their rights to that referendum by using this power given to them and therefore theyre not going to get it and they believe that is sufficient id simply think every and the may 2021 elections in scotland 400 are going to be absolutely pivotal because i dont see the tories doing well in those elections they have a confused leadership and i do see the s. N. P. Doing well and i can see other nationalist party saying well and therefore a nationalist majority is unethical what does that lead to in inevitably to a call for a referendum and a straightforward confrontation which is going to be very difficult to manage peter oborne your heart and soul are a unionist but do you think this universe government this conservative and universe government really understands the concept of formations that will finish union that is still the case i believe that our or nations however ardently mr johnson setting about trying to disprove this better off together and finally to both of you if i had to ash it put your finger on one thing theres going to dictate the future of of u. K. Politics would it be the economy stupid or as are other aspects that we should be looking for over the next few months as dominating the Political Landscape youre for search of more for. Students in rebellion is going to be its going to happen this time so they are so unhappy we are going to see the rise of youth Political Awareness again come january theres a very real chance were going to see Food Shortages and people who cant feed their children are very angry expect there to be mothers out on the streets literally who cant feed their children and i honestly see that its going to happen how else can we manage threats if we have to choose that 7000 lorries and 30 Unemployed People have nothing to lose and when people have nothing to lose and they can see that houses there whether they own them whether they rent them disappearing from underneath them are going to be demanding change the recipe at the moment for change is literally well put those 3 into a cold room turn it up to high and see what happens and thats whats going to be the future for us over the next 9 months and theyre over not so enormous the apocalyptic outlook from Richard Moffitt you see the the problems and the rising tensions as seriously as he does but if there is an economic catastrophe then i think we are going to live through a very very difficult and challenging time difficult and challenging times but of course plenty of opportunities for copy for political commentators right with 2 experts from the left and the right of british politics that weve seen today before robin professor much of murphy thank you very much for joining me on the alexandra. Huge pleasure and what a minority government such as to the semi is to lose parliamentary votes its unfortunate. But for a majority government to be on the run from its own backbenchers well thats downright careless the big city or troika at the heart of the tory government johnson gove im coming to totally triumph it only a year ago now look desperate and in it as a hard sell it is of course in bricks its a stubborn need to be brought into line with their own prejudices taking on the Civil Service the courts or the b. B. C. Will be the least of their challenges if they cannot control even their order and peace they face storm assume within and without even as the economy tanks the stock of the chancellor rises and the labor party looks just about electable while the scots and irish are looking restive about the present circumstances of london to all of what spells problems for the u. K. Body politic but will provide endless streams of socially distant coffee for expert commentators as the westminster ship heads toward some dark and definite sure and so for alex myself and the whole team here goodbye stay safe and we hope to see you all again next. Well lets talk about tea and crumpets and scones in London Bridge and the crack. Oh. My name is sucking. On the world social media mr jackson wanted on seats to show. Up at the border you know even. When you know weve got to get it out. To cause you need to move because you know nazis scoots and i used down sixtys to make any babies you know suits me to school on drugs used to people. Who. You know. Who cooks before School Clothes because clubs do really hes trying to fit life a music that. I love to jazz because he makes me copy i love he does because he makes me copy playing full time for us and. And when you go to church we have nothing. To do beyond us in the Office Box Office who loves your car because. You know. I think. That i doubt. This is whats left. You around the world from this backyard its really. The conflicts between armenia and azerbaijan takes a brutal toll on communities in the disputed region of. Your forts from the area affiliates are now into the 5th day with the 2 nations rejecting calls for a cease fire we hear from civilians on both sides of the divide who say they do not want war as an armenian i do not want to talk about who is right or wrong but i would like those issues to be resolved through negotiations i dont like many people i know going to the front line we dont want