Why do we go to war because we view the key to Economic Growth as oil and energy we go to war is Vice President cheney said for the oil thats why they invaded iraq for the oil thats why trump says the one thing we want in syria we really dont want to go to war with russia we want to just control the oil. And the gas lines and the pipelines through afghanistan so the military is really an extension of controlling a world of energy and oil. Markets are rebounding after the worst week into a week in a decade this is the one business show you cant afford to miss branch of war and im 50 im watching 10. Now on march 8th in the coronavirus being applied to time kind of an inside the country breakdown of how to fight the pal and whats going on in the u. S. And Chinese Markets are on the rebound but the Manufacturing Sector has taken a hand to the fire will break down the recovery effort plus some of the outbreak has played a major role in Popular Culture but now the platform is playing a key role in Global Health efforts well fill you in so much to get to on a very busy day so lets get started. The number of confirmed cases of the crow virus has increased more quickly outside of china than inside the country over the past week. And yesterday china reported 206 cases of 19 to. 22nd jonah what 8 only 8 cases were reported outside wholl be pulled beans used to do. Outside china a total of 8769. 00 cases of 19 have been reported to. 61 countries the if you dont mix in the republic of. Korea italy. And japan out of religious concern. With the largest number of cases outside of china south korea has reported 26. 00 deaths with nearly 4500. 00 total cases and according to iranian officials deaths in the country due to the virus have risen to 66 on monday new cases of the virus in italy alone and jumped by 50 percent. The totality did the total number of people who are currently infected with coronaviruses 1577 of those 798 equal to pick one percent of total are in home isolation so they had no symptoms are asymptomatic or absolutely mild very mild symptoms so there is no need for hospital treatment 139 are hospitalized with symptoms of 41 percent of the total 140 people equal to 9 percent of which 106. 00 in liberty are in intensive care the European Union commented on the situation announcing that on monday the risk level from the virus has risen. The c. D. C. Has announced today that the risk level has risen from moderate to high people in the European Union another with the virus continues to spread worldwide there are now more than 90000 cases of the virus with just over 3000 deaths now we should know however more than half of the individuals who have reportedly been infected have. Recovered. Meanwhile here in the u. S. Officials are reporting 63. 00 televisa related to the virus and the 1st contraction in the countrys largest city r. T. Correspondent trinity charges has the latest the 1st case of the corona virus confirmed here in new york the patient a woman in her thirtys who contract of the virus after traveling abroad in iran and although with the 1st confirmed case here in new york Officials Say its not the last today concerns growing as the number of coronavirus cases across the country continues to rise seattle area officials now confirming 4 new patients have died from coded 19 bringing the total number of deaths in the u. S. To 6 this as new york officials confirmed the 1st case of cold in 1000 in new york city the patient a 39 year old Health Care Worker who is self quarantined in her manhattan apartment contracting the virus after traveling to iran there is no doubt that there will be more cases where we find people who test positive for Washington State currently has 18 cases 14 of which are in king county where a nursing facility is now suspected of being the site of americas 1st outbreak of the new coronavirus washington now in a state of emergency or in the beginning stages of our investigation and new details and information well emerge over the next days and weeks and while rhode island and florida are also reporting cases the number of patients are growing in california and illinois now at least 95 cases in the u. S. And more than 89000 cases worldwide now travelers entering the United States are facing new protocols all this as u. S. Officials are increasing the travel advisory for italy and south korea to a level 4 which is the highest level now many are wondering if officials are going to place a travel advisory on Domestic Travel as well to stop the spread of this deadly virus reporting for boom bust trinity charges are taking. The rumors of an emergency rate cut have grown louder as bloomberg reports the fed. Now prepared to reduce Interest Rates later this month Goldman Sachs sees reductions tolling 50 bit by march 18th coming in tandem with cuts from the euro area canada and the u. K. We should point out that the last time an emergency cut was delivered and in tandem was in january of 2008 the bare hope of a rate cut is giving the markets a boost as we popped up this morning up over 3 percent following the steep losses last week in spite of the horrible China Economic data reported where Manufacturing Activity came in at the weakest level ever both china and the u. S. Traded on monday as traders have been conditioned to buy on any weakness the shanghai composite closed up more than 3 percent on talk of opec supply because as factories start getting back to work japan stepped up as well with the b. O. J. Aggressively by 926000000 dollars worth a record amounts worth of japanese stock e. T. F. On monday to stabilize the market amid all the debt buying treasury yields are massively lower on the day as the 10 year hit a record low of 1. 3 percent and gold caught a bid rebounding back above 600. 00. And here to give us their take on the Market Outlook and how things are shaping up we bring in Todd Horowitz chief strategist of bubba cheney and t. J. Watkins director of stock at the trading so the lets start off with you the last time weve seen this coordinated central bank after it was in 2008 but thats still wasnt enough to hold back the correction and then subsequently the recession so will this just be a repeat is it still too little too late. There are more than a dead cat bounce today i think your you saw the fed is starting to panic when they came out friday afternoon and said that everythings ok you know every garvie tells me everythings ok that means its probably not theyre going to probably cut 25. 00 to 50. 00 basis points and its not going to be enough the markets are still overvalued and already saying today is a giant good phone service they say a repair phase of really there should probably fray and we will see. Lower price once again i still think well take out the lows of last week and probably lower than that nothing has changed from the data you know of the bad manufacturing the bad numbers that are out there so again weve got a lot of issues out here and the fed is trying to catch up which is always the case they always run behind which is why they always screwed up and now i want to follow up on that will cutting rates even do anything it wont help to insulate the u. S. Economy from the negative effects of the outbreak and we just saw now the effect its had on the chinese economy and how much that cost them if the u. S. Prepared for the outbreak to hit. Well i think the u. S. Is going to be somewhat prepared and a rate cut is only making dollars cheaper which means it will benefit the very wealthy it will not benefit the arab rich guy on the street the average business street will not have any benefit from these already because they have no access to him so its really more of a a a mirage that you see when these rates get lower the end game is is that the fed can afford to lower rates because of the worldwide and were borrowing that money so we can pay less is still attract a lot of cash to put to borrow from them so i think that would be the only logic behind it but theyre actually as usual theyre panicking when its well too late into the system all right now t g futures are implying a full 50 basis point cut by the u. S. Fed but that seems really aggressive given drone policy reluctance and whats going to happen if the market only gets a 25. 00 basis point cut will we start selling off all over again to see the exact same thing we saw last week. It is going to be challenging to figure out what the markets going to want to do i mean a 25. 00 basis point cut is probably going to do something theres probably going to be a bounce but we need to figure out if the markets actually going to throw a bit of a hissy fit and didnt really like that it didnt get a full 50 basis point cut my concern though is that if we do get a 50 basis point cut then it might actually reinforce the panic. Situation for power in the fed and so i think that theyre probably going to be a little bit more measured and say hey i think weve got this under control ok well cut a little bit but we dont want to give any panic signals by cutting 50 basis points but right now we have green arrows all across the board as like the market is pretty much already pricing in that we are going to get a 50 basis point cut and so were up over a 1000 points on the dow ready simply based on rumor and speculation alone so t. J. We have manufacturing data out now and in addition to china we actually have japan germany france italy and south korea all of them reported a contraction in output so the i. M. F. And the world bank are now ready to extend emergency financing in order to blunt the impact so well if Something Like that looks like. This kind of stuff is actually very concerning for me what i kind of look at this i just say that theyre theyre just having steroids to the situation or any time that theres a little bump in the road theyre going to be throwing money at it as. I said earlier its like well this doesnt necessarily affect the little guy on the streets or the manufacturing like we need to be better prepared for individuals for individual companies to to handle and weather situations like this they need to have their own plans in place for disruptions in product supply and there are downed lines and all that but when it comes to just throwing money at the economy and just putting money in the market i think it really misses the point and isnt going to really help us bring back any kind of structure i mean we need to take care of what this thing is and how its affecting the mechanics of our economy not just the financial side of it. And now baba in china theyre also paying playing the bad news is good news narrative too with the awful manufacturing data traders are now expecting more fiscal spending by the government and more Infrastructure Spending how much longer can china sustain this for given all the measures it has already put into place as well as its widening fiscal gap that were seeing right now. You mean because certain there are you know theyre already own 55 percent of the japanese stock market i mean you look at japan started this and 99 when they made the horrible decision to buy a pebble beach and well over paid for it theyve been chasing that since 1989 here we are 30 years later and theyre still in the same predicament so they keep buying so i think this is if you want to lower your currency to 0 you could continue to pretend that youre monetizing the Central Banks and these entire systems are all i get a big mirage they dont do anything but destroy the wealth of the average guy they take everything away from the small guys because this one guy still got to go out and pay a ridiculous right so they can go ahead and do it they want to do but at the end of the day theyre benefiting nobody but the very top end of the curve and thats just ridiculous so taking are we getting overly bullish today and extending this rally on that step by the market is up over 3 percent now but the data release from both china and the u. S. They showed record lows so did we really bottom out or is there still more room to fall farther as more of a negative data gets released subsequently. One thing that ive been telling my subscribers this whole past week is just because theyre moving averages or their support areas or theres price congestion doesnt mean anything when people hit the eject button and want to get out of the market and when prices go down they just blow through everything and i think this week has been a very clear indication and signal of that actually people are just watching it maybe for the 1st time because weve been in such a strong bull market for so long as far as today yeah i do think today is a bounce i prefer to usually look at and actually see if we retest some lows i wish i had my charts right here but im looking for price to get over the 15 minute 50 eventually the hourly 50 to use those support lines for moving averages and i want to see price actually come back down and if its going to retest this low that we had from late last week i got to see a hold in order to go up and then well kind of reassess it from there everything to the 200 day horowitz thank you both. Thank you. And time now for a quick break here because when we return Chinese Markets are on the rebound but the Manufacturing Sector has taken to the virus will break down the recovery effort. Has played a major role in Popular Culture but now the. Role in Global Health will fill you in and as we go to break heres a number that. You know we talk a lot on the show many years about currencies and what makes a currency really what makes a currency is for example. Old is a currency is money because its scarce thats the primary reason people use it as money keynesian economics or socialism is usually unworkable because the people who are organizing it think that well you can just print all the money you need you need a program print more money theres socialism for banks on wall street as was pointed out recently more of the big president ial debates in a bank gets in trouble just print more money well whats the ultimate scarce commodity what is the ultimate scarce commodity you think about what is the ultimate scarce commodity. I. Feel. So. Yes to all this is how the. Globe. And welcome back the coronavirus has caused a key metric for chinas economy to drop to its weakest point since 2004 chinas manufacturing purchasing Managers Index fell to 35 point. 7 in february according to data released by the National Bureau of statistics on saturday this marks a steep decline for the worlds 2nd largest economy which record the p. M. I. Of 50 in january the countrys nonmanufacturing metric fell to 29. 00 for february as well the lowest reading ever now the sliding p. M. I. Is mostly attributed to the measures taken to control the spread of the virus including quarantines restrictions of travel and factory closures and to take a closer look at the state of the chinese economy and how it might rebound we are joined by. Senior Asia Pacific International policy specialist with the institute for china americas studies thank you so much for being here with us you know well now we already anticipated a slowdown in the already and sustainable numbers weve seen in recent years out of china but what does this used manufacturing slowdown mean for the countrys economy when we look at it in regards to the coronavirus it means theyve taken a very significant hit from the buyers in terms of Economic Activity we dont know how far. If theyre going to have. An aunt but its nice to have taken a very very significant hit i think 1st quarter numbers will be very low and for the Chinese Government pursued there of very worried in terms of employment related issues and in terms of. Getting access to finance the big guys couldnt go there but although i mean most of the people who work in the small and small and medium sized industries. Firms on its theyre not they dont have access to money they dont and now in china they have made some significant efforts to try to stimulate the economy in recent weeks and this includes lowering the cost of borrowing standing alone times extending terms on nonperforming loans the p. R. C. Has also injected funds into the market and on the back of that the market is seeing over 3 percent bounce today on monday alone so what else can they do in order to stimulate the economy and is this even sustainable are we going to see a recovery given all of this injection or are we looking at something that. Well take some time a couple quarters to get back on track they could do more if they wanted to but i dont think they want to go down there true to you know they can goose up the Property Market it has been their goal to go to source to really boost the economy a kind of an automatic stabilisers for the economy but the Chinese Government consciously has moved away from that group model over the past couple of years and even to the depths of the recession that they had in the depths of the trade war that they had they did not stimulate the economy with with those tools so i dont foresee them doing it even now theyre a very their communication is still very focused on what it was in 2018 they need to take care of things like pollution antipoverty and financial deidra skiing and i would also add out here that people cards realize that the financial transmission mechanism doesnt work that well in china they cant toss liquidity out into the markets it doesnt find its way to their semis so you need much more targeted measures and theyre trying to go down there and are we really going to be waiting to see what actually happens with the virus how this all plays out whether its eradicated in the next few months 3 months or 6 months before they really can make those moves to stimulate the economy further yes up to a point but if you want some sources and you want stimulus you want it now because the economy is going to boom on its own down the line so this is the moment to do that but as i mentioned you know what what is a little not as well understood here is the Chinese Government has been very very focused on containing this wires but actually from our early february onwards it became also very focused on the economic elements the world lot of various high level meetings on how to manage the economic elements and thats where getting money to is so means ensuring that it doesnt take employment doesnt take a hit because people will lose their jobs and just will not come back and small firms can hang hang out for longer than 6 months without financing so. They have been very very focused on this front and now you actually mentioned you know coming off of a trade war fight that they had you know United States and really were still kind of there but were were moving to phase 2 but in phase one you know with whats happening with the coronavirus are we concerned about the force Majeure Clause being instituted because they cant keep up with all those buys that they promised whether its agriculture goods or steel or whatever it might be. Perhaps still a little early to say in this regard i think they would like to have 1st quarter data in of course they have february daytime but they want to is without a little longer to understand exactly the nature of the hit their economy is taken before actioning those provisions and its also important to remember phase one apart from the market purchases had a lot of other small targets which they needed to with the chinese side needed to do in terms of its Agricultural Biotechnology approvals regime by this need this has to be done the strain that had to be done a lot of that is bureaucratic and regulatory and those things can be done its just market purchases are being held back but at this point its too early to actually activate that clause that would say and now they mentioned earlier we think more cases of the crab are buyers popping up outside of china than inside the country so with all the quarantine centrale restrictions been lifted what i hear about the situation with the virus inside of china well i would still say its grim out there i think the government feels that they have by and large kind of got it under control so right now its kind of its the digging out stage there into that stage but i mean there were 200. 00 cases yesterday and that is a significant number by any standards anywhere and i i maybe places like south korean or have larger numbers but chinas right at the top still in terms of new infection rate numbers and so i mean its still very grim out there and this is not a time to ease or relax frankly d. C. Manufacturing being shifted. Outside of china some of what we saw in the early days of the war up to a point but not really you know the there has been kind of this past analysis so many of these natural disasters which happen for example you know thailand heard huge floods bangkok a lot of japanese car auto investment do so there and the tendency is for manufacturers not to shift out because of these reasons because this could have happened in vietnam go to vietnam and this happens in vietnam 3 years later it doesnt i dont sense that happening its more to do with china trying to scale the ladder to high quality growth and many of the other Countries Companies seeing that china is becoming a high cost production location and moving out but not the wire asperse as well. Of the institute for china american studies thank you so much for your time that it welcomed. The u. S. Is still making life difficult for huawei barring the tech giant from doing any business with u. S. Suppliers including selling at the chips needed to make its base stations the huawei not to be the terror is finding a way around the strict limits and as ramping up its own capabilities to manufacture the gear its efforts to become selfreliant are paying off as huawei in the 4th quarter sold more than 50000. 00 of these next generation base stations that were free of u. S. Technology these devices were outfitted with chad from high silicon made by Taiwan SemiconductorManufacturing Co the Worlds Largest chip foundry follow exact tending says that the longer huawei goes without access to u. S. Suppliers the more unlikely it is to be able to return to using them thats a heavy blow for the u. S. Army sector which in 2018 arent more than 10000000000. 00 from huawei purchases alone chip maker xilinx intel micron and broadcom have all report of falling earnings or reduced or eliminated sales to holloway american chip makers are arguing that the banning the supply of parts that huawei can get elsewhere is counterproductive and that the lost revenue hurt its r. And d. Budget and its ability to advance Chip Technology in the future washington meanwhile has not given up on accusing the company of being a threat and continues to look for ways to curb the Worlds Largest contract maker on the grounds of national security. And the United States trade Representatives Office issued its annual report to congress on friday saying the plan to hammer out trade between deals with the u. K. The European Union and kenya in 2020 in the 3 138. 00 page report the u. S. T. R. Said 2100. 00 was a quote historic year for american trade touting the phase one agreement with china deal with japan and getting congressional approval for a new north american trade deal now the trade representative also applauded a World Trade Organization decision giving the. U. S. The right to impose tariffs of 7500000000. 00 in e. U. Goods after a spat regarding aircraft subsidies given to airbus now that was where the positivity regarding the w t o had ended as robert lighthouses office said it will presume pursue reforms to the trade organization claim the body had strayed far from its original mission and purpose taking issue with the quote outdated tariff framework and quote that is no longer plausible in the current global economy. Tick tocks relevance is growing as a w. H. O. Join the social media platform on friday in an effort to spread Accurate Information about the coronavirus to the apps user base of 500000000 active users ticktock is full of names about the coronavirus music post the everything from coughing pranks to pretend to be infected other videos share posting claims that vitamin c. And garlic can protect you from the illness the w. H. O. Is attempting to get Accurate Information out and fight misinformation regarding the virus on platforms like Facebook Twitter and instagram now interestingly enough one point of contention being brought up is the efficacy for face mask the w. H. O. Is saying that face masks are not effective in preventing the spread of the virus and not necessary the video went as far as to say that people should not buy face masks as they create a shortage for Health Care Professionals who need them so thats it for this time you could catch boom bust on demand on the brand new portable t. V. 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