A prebook and hes been going round in kind of hermetically sealed ports you see i mean he went to enter distillery but or only only journalists an authorized people were allowed in there was no punters unload into us can questions and when somebody remonstrated with them from the press corps he said well youre a voter arent you so he sees is being kept well away from anything resembling the electorate and Jeremy Corbyn well Jeremy Corbin came up and there had a lot of difficulty 1st of all he changed his pitch on a 2nd independence referendum 3 times the space of 2 days which is never much of a good look and then he is using terrorism so no i dont think theyll look but with fondness and theyre scottish so john but then of course scottish political journalists have something of a reputation and i seem to remember that even the formidable our stock combo was a bit wally of scott his journalist. Yes not without due cause i dont think ellis had a terrifically good press up here either but and tony blair certainly didnt so this so this says suspicion of english leaders coming over the border for a quick search on as his gov very checkered history but have a joyous one son i mean previously one thats been scottish leaders of the liberal democrats one thinks of the late Charles Kennedy theres been quite a liberal bias as a result of that is that any sign of a swenson balance i dont really think so you know im trying to be fair here but Charlie Kennedy as so we both know was an enormously popular figure on both sides of the border i mean he was a he to greet their personal charisma and charm juice winson i dont think can emily that and also shes i mean shes still very much a title party leader and i think people are recalling from the suggestion that shes put yourself forward as an alternative for Prime Minister after 2 minutes in the job and have been there the green hills and the but i accept party as i am is saying that theyre going to cut the mustard in any seat in scotland i cant see or certainly in the case of the of the brakes at party there is absolutely nor we whatsoever that theyre going to be lucky to get into triple figures in some of the places theyre standing i would guess just let you keep they hardly you know they hardly resorted to here in scotland the greens atlas lately different position they do a little bit better in hollywood relations because we have proportional representation of a canine here which hello some of the smaller parties to get in with a shoat on a 1st past the post i dont have any chance to toll they have interesting lee been persuaded to stand down from 2 of the seats where the s. N. P. Incumbent has a very tiny majority on the grounds that theres no point in damaging the pru independence food so what problems for the other parties the s. N. P. Writing high of the unassailable for the rest of the scamp it i dont think so although i do think one of their great problems know who is going to be managing expectations people keep talking about we would be more than 50 seat. Which of course they did in 2015 and win the last 21 of the seats in 2017 people thought it was a great setback and in some ways i suppose it was but considering that previously the jury had ever had 6 swiss minister seats i think that they were doing well their program my thing as i see is to money takes pictish and the current polling suggests they might get about 46 seats which is which is not too shabby a 100 to me the true by far and im effect of it and to play in scotland that as a potential european referendum attracts a laugh and im on a scottish and the pan the sapphire and the how do these 2 issues and much together and terms of the Election Debate well its quite interesting actually because both the lib dems and the Scottish National party are both in favor of referendums on europe breaks that referendums and the kernel issue of that that will prove interesting for the Scottish National party however the liberal Democrat Party are in a bit of a plane because theyre very much in favor of a 2nd breaks at referendum but very much opposed to a 2nd you care for internet of course that leaves them open to the charge of hypocrisy i think the s. N. P. Have got problems it is much as a 3rd of the s. N. P. Voters are partly voted leave who are as nicholas sturgeon and the Scottish National party have put forward a very positive prudery mean stance and theyve also put forward a very positive desire for a 2nd breaks at referendum i dont know whether that will harm them or not public forecast what do you expect to happen in the 2nd half of this march well unless things change dramatically from who they are at the moment i would expect the conservatives who have 13 seats no to lose. A proportion of these perhaps a 3rd of them because of course Ruth Davidson is no longer the leader of the tory party in scotland i would expect the labor party to lose some seats as well and theyll be a lot of interest in the 2 s. N. P. Seats which have tiny tainui juric hes everybodys going to be quite close attention i would imagine to these 2 constituencies professional for vasco thank you very much my pleasure. Theres been no shortage of control of a scene north or south of the border but if any of it shifted the dial on the strong 20 lead and were bars johnson the principal boys through this whole punt and i can see then i put the full panel where on any accurate through the backs of parliament he jama khamis to stay in the predictive powers for the final stages of the Christmas Campaign and then by last time out they were in shock disagreement about likely outcomes but what did they think night over to the panel in conversation with alex oh you join me refer Prestigious Panel of political pundits if anyone knows whats going to happen in this christmas election then they will weve got people all born professor want to buffy and of course lead but open their people or books you said last time you were on at the start of the Election Campaign you thought bob was johnson might be heading for a bit of trouble doesnt look like that so far no i miscalculated. I felt that the the liberals and labor would get their act together much more that theyre fighting each other they obviously hate each other more than the they hate the tories which is quite unusual. And to the left there hasnt been anything like a romane or alliance which i thought might develop and then on the other side weve seen what im quite convinced although this conflicting signals that theres been some form of deal between the british fire arjun and the tories which means that the braces threat to the tory voters is really capsized a little bit that was your point you said that if there was such a deal there would be plain sailing for Boris Johnson but i says it was a you know a lot of the deal with the soup to much of a deal when he withdraws these candidates and doesnt get anything for it well i was right about the deal and whether its you know lunch or or behind closed doors it doesnt matter what far as has done as gives is given the tories a clear run in 317 seats now the still a slight problem here because in some of the other marginal seats. The farmers threat could still be something of a problem but by and large theyve got that clear run there is another deal as well which weve forgotten about the lib dems the greens and clyde coming to us nationalists but thats virtually irrelevant i dont think like country were expecting to win many seats and cant for example and so as a result of that weve got the exact deal i thought was necessary to get the conservatives the overall majority was i predicted the last time. When the one policy which is perhaps cut through the fog has been the british broadband policy by labor but that commanded the agenda at least for the deal so why hasnt more people rallying to it started where it isnt it its one of the Cheapest Things that labor could have announced compared to the big plans on Infrastructure Spending and so on and yet it called attention because it was universal and that does appeal to a lot of people and i suspect the ease working in some constituencies why didnt it go better because it wasnt sold as a job creation tool this isnt meant to business policy which some people put it that its approaches most policies or you what youre saying is that during the carbon should have gone to barnsley or said its a british broadband for bums lee and several 1000 jobs i still dont understand why he doesnt say this is a jobs in every constituency policy the problem with this is though is its going to happen anyway commercial demands will eventually make this occur and as you said yourself it was big for a day but however hard core been is trying to divert the election away from the other succeeded so we get back to the problem that they havent really got a policy and that writes them out of the script i think theres another issue here which is very important is that the is a Massive Media bias against corbin and in favor of jobs and so called been comes up a brilliant idea by the way youre wrong it was going to happen anyway there was no universal free broadband there were youre talking about the youre but so you think the. So liberal democrats you know that you know what are you that the only way to tackle. That it was a brilliant policy and of course because the these are not playing on a level Playing Field that the ref is on the other side its very very hard for corbin to get his messages across but actually of the last election that that was a sick and yet the momentum started for carbon couldnt we in the 2nd half a carbon revival i think its perfectly possible because we are now getting to the stage where the there are regulatory reasons why the all the media the broadcast media have to be fair to any rate. So join us after the break but i have to stay just follow on so the key question of whos going to buy the tucker demo and who is to make do with the left over us join us a. Is your media a reflection of reality. In a world transformed. What will make you feel safe from. Tyson they should feel community. Are you going the right way or are you being that. Direct. What is true what is faith. In a world corrupted you need to descend. To join us on the death. Or a major in the shallowest. Good food descriptions sound up a tasing even for the owners so how to choose just pet Food Industry is telling us what to feed our pets really more based on what they want to sell us than was necessarily good for the pet turns out pet food may not be as healthy as people believe and we have animals that have you know diabetes in arthritis they have auto immune disorders if allergies we are actually creating these problems its a huge epidemic of problems all of them i believe can be linked to very simple problem of diet and some dog owners so heartbreaking stories about their pets less treats the larger corporations are not very interested in proving her. The value of their food because theyre already making it a 1000000000. 00 on it and theres no reason to do that research. Which. Welcome back know that our panel are going to answer the key question of who is going to win this christmas election but just imagine for a 2nd youve been reconciled to the liberal democrats and youre sitting in the walled room at this halfway stage in the Election Campaign what would you have a speech to his advice 1st of all stay out salute the resolute on remained this time theyve got traction theyre clearly the remain party for england and the 2nd thing is get the leaders and Media Training shes coming across as a lightweight it might be fixable but she just looks like shes winching and that isnt effective so she needs to build that gravitas but keep the message but whats the contrast weve had some constituency polls which look like good news for the liberal democrats or some of the National Polls flatlined or even going dont whats theres no mystery there the liberal democrats simply arent going to poll well across the country theyre going to get a relatively small percentage but its concentrated thats how theyre going to make some gains and i think they will make some gains but theyll let lots of those know hopes its crash and burn and that suppresses the National Poll it doesnt really matter what they got nationally what really matters is what they get in there maybe 20 or 30 seats they hope to when fessor virtual buffy youll know reconciled to the labor party they want you back in as a device or youre sitting in their walled room at the halfway stage of this Election Campaign what would you give a speech get off the fence say yes were going to have a 2nd referendum we are going to ask you again because the facts have changed and we respect that that gives. You chance for another vote but were going to recommend remains because lethal is going to cost you money so labor has to actually say we believe in remain but we will listen to you again and if you disagree well do what you want but were not going to sit on the fence which Jeremy Corbyn is which is saying ill stand by and watch whatever it is hes actually going to come into a position that John Mcdonnell and many others in the shadow cabinet would agree but that of course its generally called and he doesnt so hes got to listen to his key colleagues and go with them and do you think this is solvable the campaign is the is the leader of the tories probably unbridgeable or could to be momentum for labor in the next few weeks i dont think labor is going to get a majority of seats in this election i think thats beyond their reach do i think the labor could form a Minority Administration with support of other parties without necessarily going into coalition with them yes i do i think that is plausible because i think that there is actually a long way to go johnson is a proven gaffe maker and at some point hes going to be let sufficiently off the leash for things to go wrong badly and corben doesnt tend to make that big a mistake in the Election Campaigns so overall hes got everything to win and the tories got everything to lose the momentum will be towards a much closer result than weve had predicted so for people robert not perhaps the most surprising of all lets think that dominic coming off a boat has 2 of the says so for all bob thats the one we need for the vote what would you advice be in the tory world it would be very simple piece of advice which uses time just stop lying its terribly damaging not just to him but to politics and to British Public close to. A 7 lovable vaporous about the Prime Minister on occasion use a lovable vagueness to deliberately create a video which is meant which presents kish dharma the spokesman for labor as somebody who. Completely at a loss for words and they do that by manipulating the facts belittle 80 creating fake a fake video thats terrible but why do you say the tory party are so different from labor of the liberal democrats or the s. N. P. Or any other party why ive been studying the other parties its always been a level of political deceit in all the election where its just a similar the actual is not over as you rightly said that but lets just say that labor feel to close the gap. Carbonless them loses another election is will that mean a swing away from the left in the labor party or will somebody else from that wing of the party will be replaced Jeremy Corbin whats the whats the future of labor under these circumstances i cant see labor moving back to its all belair style thats over that suppose that Center Ground which frankly from the point of view was never center was right is not going to return in late history so there is going to be another left of Center Person and the reason why is the young members will not let it go back alright woods and they want some of the very clear policies that Jeremy Corbyn does associate with things like the Green New Deal the green Industrial Revolution as its called by labor but i would call the Green New Deal for my own personal reasons and that is key to it and i believe theyre going to stick with that line and theyre going to stick with a line that we can afford it because bluntly we cant and therefore and. Columnists like yourself must be looking with wonder that the sElection Campaign will instead of the the parties competing on a stella 30 theyre both competing on who can spend the most well im delighted they are i mean theres a chance at accountant and as an economist you would have expected me to be saying be cautious actually ive just read an article in the Financial Times its commonplace talk the world wants more government bonds the only way in which the world can buy enough government bonds to meet the demand for them is to for governments to borrow to death or spend. And to therefore create the infrastructure that we need in this country and elsewhere around the world the u. K. Government could borrow 100000000000. 00 pounds a year easily to fund a Green New Deal that will create foliage broadband bridgeboro and a tiny part of this cost but they could literally fulfill their promise but labor would be a liberal democrat skill coming back from the Coalition Government lords of the last 2. 00 elections would be be satisfied with incremental progress a few seats see a few seats there or will the think thats not good enough for the need or a new approach they wont be satisfied with incremental growth but they should be i think the partys been and tiley unrealistic about thinking theyll be some massive sweep to power i genuinely think that jo swinson and some of her colleagues believe its possible so its going to be incremental growth what theyve done right is being really clear about standing is to remain party but the leadership isnt plausible and thats a problem just once is a perfectly nice person but hes just not cutting it in the premier league so let me get this correct as the born again but executed like yourself you save the liberal democrats to be the absolute of 8 to be clearly proud of it yes because you ask me what they should do not what the country should do and for those people who are listening and watching and want to express remain perspective its the only place to go labors completely confused on it and we know where the wrecks upon the conservatives are so if you want to remain party then its an advance but the momentum just isnt there for that theyre not going to win more than an incremental growth that they could then get a lot of those disaffected one nation such as joining the lib dems after the election and then we could be back in your studio talking about the next election well i have lots of fun in this discussion because i have 3 votes for respect to parties and ive tried to work out what would happen in election if all the parties followed your advice but now we come to the come to the meat. We come to whats actually going to happen which of buffy you got halfway through the campaign whats going to happen in the 2nd half labor is going to have a considerably better 2nd half than 1st half will that mean it wins outright no i cant see that doesnt mean it will have significantly more seats than polls currently forecast yes will the dems pick up 30 seats yes when the s. N. P. Pick up more seats and theyve got now in scotland yes does that imply therefore the tories are going to have as good a time as they currently think theyre going to i think thats highly likely to will they be the Largest Party yes will they form the government still not convince the conservatives will make it into government again i think is a chance that there will be a government put together but under a Jeremy Corbin leadership with support from s. N. P. And liberal democrats with a short term Life Expectancy which will go through the process of transforming the electoral system considering the issues around Scottish Independence referendum thinking about issues that the lib dems are most concerned about like a 2nd referendum perhaps as a way of solving the problem and then going back to the country once more and in 2 years time at the most will be back here again the wish to approach a bit of thats whats the what you said at the start of the campaign but if i detect the signs regular but wordpress of a stick in the sense that your brand of conservatism has been pushed out of the borders johnson branders is reeling supreme what do you think is going to happen at the start of the campaign we had a discussion here in the because predicted that Boris Johnson would win quite easily and i said no i think its quite likely to be a Hung Parliament and i have to say that so far hes been true ved more. And more gifted and the forecast of the me i mean the 2 things which are of happened to change my mind is one the failure of anything like a remain alliance the road the let the left is fighting each other and secondly the the substance of the brics party and so. The chances are you have a fairly easy Boris Johnson majority and then well leave the European Union a few weeks after that but could you be wrong again could there be a could it be a good move to half your of course i could be wrong again. Are you hoping to be rolled into i think what would be best for this country is the one parliament yes where both but no youve got the very accurately bill for the whole of lookingglass far like uber the mystic meg like those and i dont know what do you think is going to continue as we think or as a christmas cracker of a surprise lying in a wheat healthily without when i predicted my own victory in 2010 i was wrong so with that caveat i stick by my original guestimate that the conservatives will get an overall majority with Boris Johnson ill even put a figure on that im guessing a majority of 40 and thats at the cost of labor primarily i think the s. N. P. Will make gains in scotland i think the lib dems will make gains in england but want to watch is just winstons own seat she needs to remember what happened to nick clegg in Sheffield Hallam when he was leader and he last ive ever is is supposed to say if the tories get 320 seats out above their breaks that happens. 100. 00 comfortable majority 315. 00 were going to be back here in the new year for another election and 3 term of below youre talking about a Rainbow Coalition or perhaps a tartan turns red bull coalition is it as simple as that and those are numbers of seats no personals needs to have a majority in the overall majority to push through otherwise were going to be powerless just as we have been and will be back in a few months the lib dems have made another mistake they said they will not go into coalition with anybody else clearly starting from the last time which means theyve written themselves out of the script theyre no one can depend on their support so its really down to whether Boris Johnson has enough of his own allies in his own party to push through and for that he definitely needs a big majority or gentleman i dont know if the electorate are desperate for another election but im sure that theyre split for another discussion of this proceed just bottle of political pundits figure whats in the. There for us to. The election which finally decided britains utopian future if the tories when will be i dont understand dont will be an thus far i told those like plain sailing for Boris Johnson even much of yorkshire under water and the most calamitous Health Statistics in history did not seem to have dented to progress so working majority now your father seems to conveniently self combusted while the other leaders are struggling to lay a glove on him indeed the liberals on the s. N. P. Will claim they were denied the opportunity by being excluded from initial t. V. Debates not so much damage to that prince but acidified without the sailors so well the bar to sponsor a place through the Christmas Season to 400 says not necessarily that is many a slip between cup and lip and then you have this cast has the ability to fall headlong into the orchestra pit despite cut into pieces this christmas pantos climax might still be decided on very narrow margins if Boris Johnson makes it to 320 seats or above that is a full house im greg city delivered if you start continues in these 315 from the last election then the parliament is bought and its well hung state and we may even be heading for a new your own corps in the shape of yet another election see 110 or below for potus then the forward to a corporate minority government not so much rain Book Coalition as perhaps it talk to one another with a taint over yet it doesnt all get pantos the main protagonists would be well advised to be heed to that well worn warning look behind you. Next week alex returns to catalonia to interview the minister of digital policies and Public Administration he says the Spanish Government moving towards a club side on the social media of the belly is province is the next challenge for the Catalan Independence movement going to be maintaining their presence online as well as on the streets but until then from alex and me im all of a show its good bye for now and we hope to see you they. Have been planted on the pull of our history my fellow swayed those 2 stepsons kolo so badly could so small victory about what was in this way got to dog so hard not to think of the mother disappeared the same but the work of a coward and i know you still are going to be the. Only think that we do is music because everybody fights a useless way. To. The floor you can. Walk out of this multistory that you have given a lot of that kind of. What i think is this is the found that there is a lot of comfort. Tax ties or financial Survival Guide stacey lets learn us out fill out lets say im a troika and youre a Police Response thanks for the fight well street fraud thank you for helping. Destroy thats right. Thats slavery. This is a story about what happens auster a stray bullet kills a young girl in the streets. What happens to her family and daughters in florida the mother daughter is buried in a cemetery it really messes with your head what happens to the community the public was screaming for a scapegoat the Police Needed a scapegoat so why not choose a 19 year old black kid with a criminal record who better to pin this on than him and what happens in court be the be really. Shocked shocked as far as i feel. We dont know children just for the. End of this trial unfortunately you truly will still not know all chill just. Listening. To the. Documents emerged revealing that u. S. Drug maker ran a campaign to suppress negative stories about its widely prescribed opioid painkiller also to come this hour on r. T. U. S. Stresses its commitment to nato its mission is the french president slams the alliance is brain dead we are springsteens what they think. Youre going to put it nato is obsolete because europe no longer truly has an organized enemy on its territory i think europe needs to start having its own weapons pretty political and economic to protect