The year finished strong as investors look ahead to a 2021 recovery.
Previously lagging sectors, such as Energy and Financials, were the best performers, we believe, due to growing expectations for a full re-opening of the economy.
As the rotation towards recovery plays continues, we have increased our exposure to economically sensitive areas such as emerging markets.
The Road to Recovery is Paved with Government Spending and Vaccine Approvals
Finished the year strong:
At the beginning of the fourth quarter, uncertainties surrounding the US elections, timing of vaccine approval, and above-average valuation levels left many investors questioning whether the rally off the March lows could be sustained. News of additional stimulus, improving economic metrics, and multiple vaccine approvals overshadowed those uncertainties. As a result, investors chose to focus on the road ahead rather than the rear-view mirror. Ultimately headlines gave way to recovering fundamentals, leading global equities higher. During Q4, the S&P 500 gained 12.15% and made a new high, but global equities also benefitted from regional economic turnarounds as Developed International equities rose 16.05% and Emerging Markets gained even more by increasing 19.70%. As the recovery theme gained traction, US small-cap equities were the best performing equity asset class compared to other major asset classes, rising 26.36% during the period. In a risk-on quarter, it isn’t surprising that fixed income instruments lagged equities. In the table below, the best performing fixed income asset class, Investment Grade Bonds, rose less than 1% in the fourth quarter.