comparemela.com

Donald trump, helping him post the 91. 6 million bond for e. Jean carroll. Now that he has shown he can get the money, what can it mean for the 460 million and counting he owes the state of new york. Joining us now msnbc legal continue, lisa rubin. He was due to post this bond on monday. Yesterday you and i were talking about the delay he was asking for. That was denied. That was. So posting it, what does it mean to have this on the books. It means that e. Jean carroll is protected through the Second Circuits disposition. One of the things i noticed when i was going through the bond today is that it actually only covers the appeal to the Second Circuit. It doesnt cover any appeal that he would take from the Second Circuit if it affirms the jurys verdict of 83. 3 million. Youre going to have to explain that. If he appeals further to the supreme court, hes going to need Somebody Else to come in and provide that security if he takes that appeal further. Otherwise, he will owe her that money within a certain number of days. Chub says it will only give him this money up to the appeal of the Second Circuit. If the Second Circuit says no, we believe this money is justified, and its the right judgment, then got to find someone else. Well, it says it will play. Lets say for the sake of argument that donald trump loses at the Second Circuit, and he chooses not to take an appeal to the United States supreme court. At that point, either trump pays or following around 60 days. Chubb itself will pay. If he wants to go to the supreme court, he has to find Somebody Else to provide the security. Part of the questions around why he was asking for a delay on the money surrounded whether he wanted to show the courts in the engoron ruling, the 460 plus ruling that he would be able to get the bond, right . Now that hes shown this, what could it mean for that giant sum of money . Well, if i see the filings that were made today, i am incorporating them into the brief that i have due monday, where i say, donald trump is asking this court to allow him to post either no bond or a substantially reduced bond from his filings in the e. Jean carroll case, he is capable of getting a major insurer, no less, to help him post 91. 63 million. Yes, thats less than what he would owe here, but its not as if hes involving some fringy Financial Institution or some benefactor we have never heard of. Chubb, they arent minor players. There is a question of the moment we are currently in, and part of the argument is the Real Estate Market has not bounced back, especially for commercial real estate. Would that be taken into consideration . In terms of the size of the bond . Yes. Thats certainly part of the argument for Donald Trumps financial disclosures. Donald trump owns lots of different types of assets, including securities which can also be liquidated. He has cash holdings, and he has properties that he can pledge as collateral to get a bond. How encumbered they are, how weighed down they are is not entirely transparent to us, but hes not a person lacking for assets to pledge as collateral. The Court Appointed monitor over the Trump Organization, theres some questions about what information shes requested and been given by the Trump Organization, explain that. She wrote a letter to judge engoron before he rendered his decision and the new York Attorney general civil fraud trial. See im having trouble keep track of this. Where she said there were a number of instances in which money went out from the Trump Organization without her knowledge, and that she didnt get to her Satisfaction Documentation of trumps supposed paying off of a 48 million loan. She was never provided with documentation that indicated that the loan ever existed in the first place, and the only thing she was given was a single piece of paper from december of 2023, literally a memo to file, indicating that that debt had already been extinguished. How, we dont know. When we talk about lack of transparency with the Trump Organization, you know, infamously, very opaque. Shes having a problem with transparency even though a court has appointed a monitor, and donald trump was part of the Approval Process for her. Thats right. Let me ask you about the classified documents case. Try to keep them all straight in my head. There are so many. Welcome to my world. This is the South Florida case. Judge aileen cannon, what is the current status of that . We dont yet have a trial date in that case. We know there will be oral argument next thursday, march 14th on two of trumps motions to dismiss. Records act, serving as a form of immunity for him and the other about the vagueness or unconstitutional impermissibility of certain charges because theyre not detailed under the constitution to afford him due process. Trump has five other motions to dismiss that are also pending. Why judge cannon chose these two, suggests that she believes she might be able to resolve everything on the two motions. Andrew weissmann was on the other day talking about the immunity with donald trump and the classified documents, trying to say it was okay because he was president. It would be like buying a gun legally and shooting someone with it, and saying i didnt commit a crime because i bought this gun legally, and yesterday when i read the motion and the response from jack smith, i believe i texted you and said i would be a terrible lawyer, i should not go to law school because my response to a motion that trumps team was putting in would be judge, your honor, come on, respectfully, katy tur. There might have been an expletive, but i wont say it. Ill never tell. Lisa rubin, thank you very much. Happy friday. You too. Ronna mcdaniel is out and as of this morning, Michael Whatley is in. The North Carolina operative is the head of the rnc putting him in charge of the partys reelection effort. He have to o. Joining me from houston, texas, is nbc news correspondent vaughn hillyard. So who is Michael Whatley . Reporter Michael Whatley hails from the great state of North Carolina, katy. He was the rnc chair in North Carolina. This is a place where you would recall in 2020 donald trump actually beat joe biden, a swing state by just over 1 percentage point. It was notable, just one week ago in a rally in North Carolina for donald trump, he said from that stage where he was previewing whatleys election to become rnc chair which took place here. In front of that North Carolina crowd he said, quote, i had a choice of a lot of people. This is the guy because he stopped the steal. He stopped the steal, again making a direct reference to the fact that he won the state of North Carolina. Michael whatley is going to serve as chair, replacing Ronna Mcdaniel, but hes going to have the support of the cochair, laura trump, also a north carolinian, and also formally voted in here today. Its notable, theres a lot at stake, as you just said, not only on the legal front for donald trump, but also on the political front and not just the white house races but down ballot. There are less than eight months until the general election. This is a real Question Mark as to what extent as the Trump Campaign merges into the rnc, do they replace senior staff, existing senior staff from the rnc to bring in their own troops to run the show. Chris acevedo is coming in. Theres a lot of outstanding questions going into next week at a moment in time. Quite a head turning moment in time to put in somebody new, elevate somebody new at the post after Ronna Mcdaniel had been running the show for seven years. What about the expectation of what he might do on election day itself, vaughn . Reporter for . He was claiming in North Carolina he single handedly stopped the steal in North Carolina because he had election monitors. Thats part of what donald trump liked about him. Reporter right, its what he likes about him, and Ronna Mcdaniel also called him an ally. And her goodbye remarks made mention of the vast investments that hes going to see through in what they call election integrity, and i think that those are the Question Marks around what can Michael Whatley did from what he did in North Carolina to other parts of the country. The rnc has filed multiple lawsuits ahead of the election in multiple states regarding Election Processes and Michael Whatley is going to be at the forefront of ensuring, at least to donald trump that the Republican National committee is doing everything in its power to make sure the election is fair, to satisfy him and his campaign. Vaughn hillyard, thank you very much. And still ahead, donald trump will get access to u. S. Intelligence again, once he becomes the nominee. What dangers his former National Security adviser says that poses, and what he says the Biden Administration should do instead. Plus, what the State Of The Union did for President Bidens reelection prospects. And remember the guy who has correctly predicting every president ial election since 1982 including trump in 2016, using what he calls the key to the presidency, Allan Lichtman joins me on what he says his prediction said this time around. Were back in 60 seconds. re bas come on. I already got a pneumonia vaccine, but im asking about the added protection of prevnar 20®. If youre 19 or older with certain chronic conditions like asthma, diabetes, copd, or Heart Disease, or are 65 or older, you are at increased risk for pneumococcal pneumonia. Prevnar 20® is approved in adults to help prevent infections from 20 strains of the bacteria that cause pneumococcal pneumonia. In just one dose. Dont get prevnar 20® if youve had a severe allergic reaction to the vaccine or its ingredients. Adults with weakened Immune Systems may have a lower response to the vaccine. The most common side effects were pain and swelling at the injection site, muscle pain, fatigue, headache, and joint pain. I want to be able to keep my plans. I dont want to risk ending up in the hospital with pneumococcal pneumonia. Thats why i chose prevnar 20®. Ask your doctor or pharmacist about the Pfizer Vaccine for pneumococcal pneumonia. Donald trump will receive intelligence briefings, once he officially becomes the gop nominee. The same donald trump who told the russians about classified israeli intel in the oval office. Donald trump retweeted an image of iranian capabilities from a classified spy satellite. The same donald trump who showed the japanese Prime Minister highly sensitive papers on north korea. At a Patio Dining Table at maralago. The same donald trump who hoarded hundreds of classified documents at maralago. And the same donald trump who had his intelligence access revoked for it, after he left office. So why is that donald trump getting access back . Joining us now, former National Security adviser to President Trump, john bolton. Really good to have you ambassador. Let me ask you, why is this a danger to give him access to intelligence . Well, i think trump demonstrated during his presidency and certainly in the handling of the documents after his presidency that he doesnt pay adequate attention to safeguarding these secrets and that the danger is i think commonly known of when they get into the wrong hands of not just revealing the information itself, but risking the sources and methods that are used to procure the information. So im somewhat perplexed myself that the Biden White House has apparently agreed that hell get these briefings. I dont think it makes any sense, and i think it really puts whatever he is told at risk of being disclosed. So the Biden Administration, according to sources talking to nbc news has said that the reason theyre doing this is because they want to maintain a semblance of normalcy in the campaign. So President Trump cant paint himself as the victim of politicalization . Well, good luck with that, i mean, lets go back to the original purpose, really, President Truman had in mind when he first authorized. Im pretty sure it was truman. First authorized giving briefings to president ial candidates. It was to avoid a candidate saying in ignorance, something that could impair the National Security. So it wasnt to satisfy the curiosity of the candidate. It was to protect the Overall National interest. You know, we had a hard time getting trump to Pay Attention in many many days of those briefings, and when he did really Pay Attention, it was often because he wanted to keep a document or something that from time to time he went on. I think if youre going to do these briefings, they ought to be done right. I also disagree with some former Intelligence Community people who say, well, if hes going to get the briefings make sure theyre pad lam, im summarizing it. I dont like that either. Give the briefing the way it should be or lets just dispense with it and let trump say whamp what he wants. There are voters who say nothing really bad happened or they look at what he tweeted out or what he was discussing with the japanese or what he, you know, told the russians in the oval office or the classified documents at maralago, and theyll say nothing bad happened. Theres been no effect of this, you know, alleged carelessness with intelligence or classified information. Why do you argue that they should take it seriously . Well, because the people who say that cant possibly know whether its true or not. One of the things other governments do is keep better secret sometimes than we do. So being able to use this information, which they can put into an overall mosaic of what theyre getting from other sources could well benefit them in ways that the public cant possibly know. I would say with respect to whatever he showed japanese Prime Minister shinzo abe. Thats an ally of the United States. You know, we share a lot of intelligence with allies, trumps mistake was doing it on the patio of maralago where his guests could see it as well. If youre going to reveal information to an ally, do it strategically, not just for the sake of showing that you know something that the ally or your adversary doesnt. Thats the problem with trump. He cant understand why it is that he should be constrained and talking about the information. So i guess i would say if the Biden Administration is determined to let this open, id impose conditions on the briefings. I wouldnt let any advisers in the room with donald trump. So if the information does leak out, we know exactly where it came from. And i wouldnt show him or leave documents or photographs. I would give a verbal briefing that home hopefully could minimize the Downside Risk of him revealing something. If donald trump is elected again, what happens to nato . Well, im very concerned. I think hes bound and determined to withdraw the United States from nato. I think the notion that he somehow is using this as a Bargaining Leverage to get other nato members to increase their Defense Spending is wrong. Thousands of people over decades, myself included as a small part of that have pushed our allies to spend more on defense so we could strengthen nato. I think trump uses the failure of some of these allies to spend what they themselves committed to spend ten years ago, not to strengthen nato but to weaken it. I think the risk of withdrawal is very real. The hungarian president , viktor orban is visiting donald trump at maralago today. What do you make of that . Well, you know, i first met viktor orban back in the 90s right after the warsaw pact collapsed when he was a young small l liberal leader of forces in hungary. Its an amazing transformation. Honestly, his greatest sin is not his domestic policies which we can certainly didnt. Its that hes betraying the Hungarian Revolution of 1956 by getting close to the kremlin. Back then, his fellow hungarians were Fighting For Freedom against the soviet union, and today he has drawn hungary closer to russia. I think betraying them and really betraying the nato alliance. Thats a problem. Imagine what he and trump are talking about when they talk about nato. You have been long saying that donald trump shouldnt get close to this guy. You were against him coming to the white house but were overruled by mick mulvaney. You win some and you lose some. That goes with the territory. I think the way hungary behaved along with turkey, and holding up the admission of sweden to nato was outrageous. Hungary as the warsaw pact and the soviet union were collapsing back in 1990 and 91, hungary was one of the very first countries to come to nato and say we want to be admitted. Hungary wanted to join the western European Group of countries in the u. N. They knew what it was like to be under russian domination. They wanted nothing to do it. Its another example of orban not fully understanding his own countrys history. Ambassador john bolton, thank you very much for joining us, we appreciate it. Glad to be with you. Coming up, a president ial historian who has correctly predicted the election since 1984. What his model says about this one. Democrats set a Fundraising Record last night. What he said to voters who arent so sure, coming up. Th the confidence of a pro and getting all up in that grass as if she doesnt have allergies . Yeah. Nice. You know, when i take the bike out like this, all my stresses just melt away. I hear that. This bad boy can fix anything. Yep, tough day at work, nice cruise will sort you right out. When im riding, im not even thinking about my painful cavity. Well, you shouldnt ignore that. And every time i get stressed about having to pay my bills, i just hop on the bike, man. Oh, come on, man, you got to pay your bills. You dont have to worry about anything when youre protected by americas numberone motorcycle insurer. Well, you definitely do. Those things arent related, so. Ah, yee oh, that is a vibrating pain. I know what its like to perform through pain. If youre like me, one of the millions suffering from pain caused by migraine, Nurtec Odt May help. Its the only medication that can treat a migraine when it strikes and prevent migraine attacks. Treat and prevent, all in one. Dont take if allergic to nurtec. Allergic reactions can occur, even days after using. Most common side effects were nausea, indigestion, and stomach pain. Relief is possible. Talk to a doctor about nurtec odt. I told myself i was ok with my moderate to severe Rheumatoid Arthritis symptoms. With my Psoriatic Arthritis symptoms. But just ok isnt ok. And i was done settling. If you still have symptoms after a tnf blocker like humira or enbrel, rinvoq is different and may help. Rinvoq is a oncedaily pill that can rapidly relieve joint pain, stiffness, and swelling in ra and psa. Relieve fatigue for some. And stop joint damage. And in psa, can leave skin clear or almost clear. Rinvoq can lower your ability to fight infections, including tb. Serious infections and blood clots, some fatal; cancers, including lymphoma and skin; heart attack, stroke, and gi tears occurred. People 50 and older with a Heart Disease risk factor have an increased risk of death. Serious allergic reactions can occur. Tell your doctor if you are or may become pregnant. Done settling . Ask your rheumatologist for rinvoq. And take back whats yours. Abbvie could help you save. man excuse me, would you mind taking a picture of us . And tony oh, no problem. S. man thanks. tony yes, problem. You need verizon. Get the new iphone 15 pro with tons of storage. So you can take all the pics vo tradein any iphone in any condition and get a new iphone 15 pro and an ipad and apple watch se all on us. Only on verizon. I just thought i saw energy, and i love his adlibbing. I just thought he punched back like he should have. He was powerful. He got his point across. I really like what hes doing, and i think joe biden will be our next president. He stood strong. He looked like a president. And thats what we needed. Voters from pennsylvania, swing state, democrats say they are breathing a little easier after last nights State Of The Union address. What about the independents, though, or moderate republicans like the ones who voted for nikki haley. Joining us now former White House Communications director and cohost of msnbcs how to win 2024 podcast, jen palmieri, and msnbc political analyst, and National Affairs correspondent at the nation, john nichols, thank you both for being here. John, im going to start with you. President biden talked a lot about jobs last night, job growth, creation, focused on the manufacturing sector, the tech sector, and unions. He cover unions, tell me what you heard . I heard a lot of things that were clear outreach to unions and actually pretty smart outreach. Look, the highlight of it was, of course, when he shouted out to uaw president shawn fain, and you saw the president of the United Auto Workers who was not one of the first people to come to biden this year. They delayed their endorsement, stand up, point to the president , raise a clenched fist, that isnt any analysis i can give to tell you that biden was saying and doing the right things in this speech. But beyond that, if you listen in to what biden was saying, this was a speech saying, look, the economy is good, that biden is, you know, relatively centrist democrat, no radical, that at the end of the day, he wants to make sure that corporations treat their workers fairly. And that he recognizes that unions are a big part of that. Overall, its a very mainstream, Traditional Democratic message, one that i think hits well at this point. I think a lot of people were surprised at the force with which President Biden delivered that speech last night. The bar was set pretty low. Tell me what your reaction is . I thought that, i mean, first of all, the performance was phenomenal, and that is when you have i felt like some of the meat of the speech was very much with a centrist democratic agenda. The performance, the raising of democracy, ukraine, abortion, as issues right up front. Thats definitely a message for swing voters as well. And, katy, you know, hes been president for three years now, and i think that he is now were sort of less reacting to him as the man he served under and the president he replaced, right, he is President Biden, and very much middle class joe but with a lot of, you know, a lot of language about unions. He really wants to be the president that stops the middle class slide, and also with that world experience to be the leader of the free world at a critical time. And i felt like even though hes been president for three years, hes out from the shadow of obama and of trump and really put forward a compelling vision of how he sees america, and it was optimistic. And speaking of the tough time in the country, we need our elders to be the ones who are optimistic for us. So i think he did himself, you know. A moment that caught my eye, heres the Shawn Fain Moment that john was mentioning a moment ago. I want to talk about immigration. That is such a top issue for voters. Heres the president addressing immigration and the reaction from one republican senator. In november, my team began serious negotiation of a Bipartisan Group of senators. The result was a bipartisan bill with the toughest set of Border Security reforms we have ever seen. Oh, you dont think so . Oh, you dont like that bill, huh . That bipartisan bill would hire 1,500 more Security Agents and officers, 100 more immigration judges, 4,300 more Asylum Officers and new policies to resolve cases in six months instead of six years now. [ applause ]. You see senator James Langford right there, mouthing thats true. Langford was one of the cowriters of that bill, and pretty upset that republicans torpedoed it. John, this is an issue thats top of mind for a lot of voters, not just in Border States but across the country. Whats your sense of who voters are blaming for the Immigration Crisis . Its a great battle right now. Everybodys trying to point the finger of blame at Somebody Else. But i will tell you what you saw last night in that remarkable communication with senator langford, where they were literally almost, the president and he were almost talking to one another, it seemed, and then the senator nodded his approval. He said thats true. Thats powerful for biden. I know that this is an insider thing, not everybody is watching for the Camera Cut Away State Of The Union address, but what that suggests to me is that if biden keeps talking about it in this way he has an ability to get through to a substantial section of potentially even swing voters on this issue. And one final thing ill say there, langford is a very devout christian, he came to the Immigration Issue because of his christianity, because of his, you know, faith that you have to treat, you know, newcomers and people who are not from where you are in a humane way, and i think that biden, if he talks about it in that way and says, look, there are practical ways to solve these issues, to resolve these issues that are humane and also frankly necessary. Theres a real space for him politically. I dont think that the democrats have to be on the defensive on this issue. Let me ask you, jen, real quick before we go, about katie britt and her response last night. Obviously getting a lot of attention today for not as much what she said but the way that she delivered it. Tommy tuberville, the other senator from alabama said this about her, quote, she was picked as a housewife, not just as a senator, someone who sees it from a different perspective. I mean, she did what she was asked to do, i thought she did a good job. Its hard when youve never done anything like that. She was picked as a housewife, jen. Katie, i did morning joe this morning and i got about a half hour of sleep because i was so disturbed by senator britts response, and i had to puzzle through what it was i found so disturbing. She is a serious United States senator. She represents 5 Million People. I know there are Democratic Senators as well as republican senators who really respect her and her skill, and she sat there as if she was completely powerless in this democratic endeavor, as if she was a bystander and not someone with agency representing 5 million alabamans, im torturing that but 5 Million People from alabama as a leader, and i just and if youve seen any other video of her, she was not herself. And to contort herself that way and not stand up as someone whos a United States senator who has power in this, until the congress and something to say about what she thinks should happen but to sit there in a kitchen, i dont know whose kitchen that is, and just act as if she is some kind of mom on tiktok that doesnt have a role to play in the democracy, i just it was, i think and not well received by republicans either. So i think she is someone with a lot of promise, worked on the bipartisan border bill, voted against it, but she was part of the consensus building pack, you know, group of senators that worked on that. But that was really disappointing. Yeah, i was watching her last night, and chris murphy was on after that. He says he has a lot of respect for him. Good to have you both. Thank you very much. And still ahead, what President Biden was heard on a hot mic saying about israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, first, though, he is one of the few historians to have predicted Donald Trumps 2016 win. So what is Allan Lichtman predicting this time around . By the way, hes gotten every election right since the 1980s. Yeah, that thing. Someone made it a thing, way back in the day. But where did it come from . And how did it get all the way to you . Curious . Ancestry can help you find out. Because that thing has a story, and its still being written. What are you waiting for, a sale . Well, lucky you. Have Heart Failure with unresolved symptoms . It may be time to see the bigger picture. Heart failure and seemingly unrelated symptoms like carpal tunnel syndrome, shortness of breath, and Irregular Heartbeat could mean something more serious, called attrcm a rare, underdiagnosed disease that worsens over time. Sound like you . Call your cardiologist and ask about attrcm. Its odd how in an instant things can transform. Slipping out of balance into freefall. the stock market is now down 23 . This is happening people. Where there are so few certainties. laughing look around you. You deserve to know. As we navigate a future unknown. Im glad i found stability amidst it all. Gold. Standing the test of time. My moderate to Severe Plaque Psoriasis held me back. Now with skyrizi, im all in with clearer skin. Things are getting clearer. i feel free. To bear my skin, yeah thats all me. Nothing is everything with skyrizi, 3 out of 4 people achieved 90 clearer skin at 4 months. And most people were clearer even at 5 years. Skyrizi is just 4 doses a year, after 2 starter doses. Serious allergic reactions. And an increased risk of infections. Or a lower ability to fight them may occur. Tell your doctor if you have an infection or symptoms,. Had a vaccine, or plan to. Nothing and me go handinhand, nothing on my skin, thats my new plan. Nothing is everything nows the time,. Ask your doctor about skyrizi,. The number one. Dermatologistprescribed biologic in psoriasis. Learn how abbvie could help you save. ohhh crap, thats a really good gift. Now we gotta get france something. Wait we can use etsys new gift mode yes, what do the french like . Anyone . Cheese. They like cheese brilliant. Done. Plateau de fromage oh la la [cheering] dont panic. Gift easy with gift mode, new on etsy. A handful of counties across the country could explain whats going to happen in november, including gwinett county, georgia, and that is where we find nbc news correspondent, Blayne Alexander whos in lawrenceville, so blayne, these are swing voters in a swing district. What are they telling you . Reporter its very clear, one that theyre not very thrilled with the choices they have before them in november. Two, whats interesting to me is the people i spoke with throughout the day today made it clear that they feel differently now than they did four years ago. I talked to two people who told me that four years ago in 2020, they actually voted for joe biden as president. This time, though, they say theyre not sure. Theyre either leaning toward Third Party Candidates or staying at home all together. Another woman told me she sat out of the president ial election in 2020. Since then shes come to realize theres in her words, just too much at stake. Shes determined to inform herself and cast a ballot this time around. Heres a little bit of what i heard from voters today. Take a listen. I actually did not vote for president. I didnt. I voted for all other seats. I just couldnt bring myself between the two to vote for either. Reporter were looking at the same choice now. Biden or trump. And thats why im still very much in the air. Reporter my Student Loans were forgiven. Thank you, joe biden, for that. Reporter thats important to you . Its something i dont want riding me in history. So, yeah, i just he has really won my confidence because its not about show boating. Sadly, a lot of people dont want to vote period because theyre not confident in either candidate. Reporter and these are people who voted in 2020 for biden . Yes. Reporter and theyre telling you now. They just dont know if theyre going to vote. Reporter now, katy, that last woman i spoke with, her name is nicole. Shes somebody who in her words was going out, hitting the pavement and knocking on doors for candidates. She says the people she was talking about were those doing the same thing with her, and that enthusiasm has waned since then. One quick thing, i want to remind you and our viewers why this place is so important. In 2008, democrats lost by about 10 points and in 2020, joe biden won by about 18 points. When youre talking about a county like this, of course, in a state like georgia that holds the key to both partys road to the white house, very important to hear from the voters and see what they think come november. Blayne alexander, important indeed. Thank you very much. Joining us now, president ial historian and distinguish professor of history at american university, Allan Lichtman. Its good to have you back. My pleasure. You got an unblemished record of predicting president ial elections since 1984. You said al gore was going to get the popular vote, he did, even though he didnt get the presidency. Tell me why you can predict these things. Remind us. Because i say forget the polls, forget the pundits, keep your eye on the big picture, and my prediction system, the keys to the white house, which tap into the fundamental structure of election, which are essentially votes up and down on the strength and performance of the white house party, and i have 13 keys that gauge that, and a simple decision rule. If six or more of the keys go against the white house party, they are predicted loser, fewer than six, they are predicted winners, and this has stood me in good stead for 40 years. It has been 40 years. I was born 1930, what am i talking about, 1983, and im 40 so that makes sense. Let me put up the keys. Id look great if i was born in 1930. Here they are. Youre saying if six of themgo against the incumbent, thats bad news. Whats your count as it currently stands . Let me give you real insight. Theres been all of this growsing about joe biden, you know, hes too old, hes lost it. Maybe there will be less after the State Of The Union. Biden run, the democrats have their best chance of winning. If you see my keys, he obviously wins the incumbency key, the Party Contest key. Hes virtually uncontested. Thats two keys off the top that they win. Six more would have to fall to predict their defeat. Biden doesnt run, they lose both of those keys and only four more keys would have to fall. Right now, there are only two keys locked in against joe biden. Key number one, my party mandate key because they lost house seats in the midterm elections, and key number 12 because biden is not of those once in a generational inspirational candidates. So a lot can go wrong to predict a biden defeat. So what should you be looking at, what the pundits and polls cant tell you. Third party, my key number four, will rfk jr. Emerge as a Significant Third Party contender, polling at least 10 as we get closer to the election. I have two Foreign Policy keys, success and failure. There are two wars going on, things are very uncertain and very fluid. Both of those keys are very shaky, beyond that, it doesnt look like too many keys could fall. The shortterm economy, the economy is not in recession. The longterm economy is very strong, if you look at the other keys, joe biden clearly has achieved policy change over donald trump. No significant social unrest like we had in the 60s that threaten the stability in the country despite sporadic protests and any favorite key, the scandal key because it enables me to talk about salacious but biden is anything but salacious. Republicans have been for years trying to pin something on joe biden, and they have spectacularly failed. Thats it. As i said the two Foreign Policy keys are shaky, biden loses the incumbent charisma key but wins the key which says the Challenging Party candidate is not one of those once in a generation inspirational candidates like Franklin Roosevelt or ronald reagan. Donald trump is a great showman, but he appeals to a narrow base. Heres the thing about donald trump, hes been in National Politics for ten years, katy, and you know what, his Approval Rating doesnt move an inch. Its been 40 , plus or minus a few points, unchanged, no matter what he does, two impeachments, bragging about sexually assaulting women. Being civilly convicted of sexual assault. Facing 91 felony counts. It doesnt change the inspirational candidate. I have not made a prediction, but a lot would have to go wrong for biden to lose. Allan lichtman, we have to leave it there. Well watch and have you back on as we get closer to november. Thank you very much for joining us. Would a better than expected jobs report might lead the fed to do about Interest Rates. This will have an effect on november as well. First up, what President Biden said on a hot mic about Prime Minister netanyahu. Prime u it was just a regular monday. Hey when suddenly. Can you get this board to tony hawk . Fedex presents tall tales of true deliveries. I needed a miracle. So i went straight to where miracles happen. Social media. Hey did someone say miracle . Let me see that. So, i got the board to tony. And he even sent one back. But in the future, im gonna need an address and a zip code. If this is what we did for a skateboard, see what we can do for your business. Fedex. Tourists tourists that turn into scientists. Tourists photographing thousands of miles of remote coral reefs. That can be analyzed by ai in real time. So researchers can identify which areas are at risk. And help life underwater flourish. You need tmobile. Home internet with 5g. Wait tmobile has Home Internet . What a feeling to have tmobile now with so many choices on booking. Com there are so many tina feys i could be. So i hired body doubles to help me out. Splurgy tina loves a hotel near rodeo drive. Oh tina wild tina booked a farm stay to ride this horse. Glenn close . with millions of possibilities you can book whoever you want to be. Thats my line booking. Com booking. Yeah my Mental Health was much better. But i struggled with uncontrollable movements called td, tardive dyskinesia. Td can be caused by some Mental Health meds. And its unlikely to improve without treatment. I felt like my movements were in the spotlight. 1prescribed ingrezza is the only td treatment for adults thats always one pill, once daily. Ingrezza 80 mg is proven to reduce td movements in 7 out of 10 people. People taking ingrezza can stay on most Mental Health meds. Ingrezza can cause depression, suicidal thoughts, or actions in patients with huntingtons disease. Pay close attention to and call your doctor if you become depressed, have sudden changes in mood, behaviors, feelings, or have thoughts of suicide. Dont take ingrezza if youre allergic to its ingredients. Ingrezza may cause serious side effects, including angioedema, potential heart rhythm problems, and abnormal movements. Report fevers, stiff muscles, or problems thinking as these may be life threatening. Sleepiness is the most common side effect. Its nice. People focus more on me. Ask your doctor about 1 prescribed, oncedaily ingrezza. Ingrezza my frequent heartburn had me taking antacid after antacid all day long but with prilosec otc just one pill a day blocks heartburn for a full 24 hours. For one and done heartburn relief, prilosec otc. One pill a day, 24 hours, zero heartburn. Breathing claritin clear is like. is he . Confidently Walking 8 Long Haired Dogs and living as if he doesnt have allergies . Yeah. Fast relief of your worst allergy symptoms, like nasal congestion. I told him, bibi, and dont repeat this, but you and i are im on a hot mic. Reporters asked him about that last night. President biden refused to elaborate. Reporters were eavesdropping. Joining us Senior Fellow for International Peace and a former arab israeli negotiator david miller. He straddled the line between saying israelis have the right to defend themselves but theres a humanitarian crisis in gaza. What did you take away from what the americans are going to do Going Forward from what the president said last night . Beyond this port that theyre being. I think theyre going to push hot. Thanks for having me on the humanitarian issue. Ramadan is approaching. It will be a tense period. There may be problems in the west bank. No deal looks imminent. Hostage for prisoner releases and a 45day cessation of hostilities or temporary ceasefire. The administration is right to press. I think the israelis also are willing, it seems to me, even though the Prime Minister seems to be pursuing a just say no policy. I think they will press on humanitarian assistance and i think the israelis will open up another checkpoint and it will take 45 to 60 days to get the marine corridor up and running. My basic takeaway has been the same since this began, that joe biden is pursuing what i call a passive aggressive Policy Against with respect to israel. Hes not willing to impose costs or consequences, restricting American Military assistance, changing his Voting Posture in new york on u. N. Security Council Resolutions or pushing for a unilateral ceasefire, regardless of any return of hostages. Hes not willing to go there. For any number of reasons. That has not changed. I dont think the strange formulation on the hot mic is going to change that. It may serve the president s interests that hes prepared to be tough with the israelis. Let me ask you what this administration has done, that is the sanctions on settlers in the west bank. The language in that sanctioned text is pretty vague and it could potentially apply to not just settlers but to officials in israel. Im thinking of like the far right ministers who are advocating or, you know, tacitly supporting violence against palestinians. I think tacitly is a generous way of putting it. Could you see this Administration Using those levers against the Israeli Government and potentially forcing Benjamin Netanyahu into a position where he has no choice but to moderate . I dont see it. I think thats complicated. I think its easy to go after extremist settlers without addressing the root cause of the settlement enterprise, which not just with this Israeli Government but so many others, has been a continued expansion of settlements. I think that thats, what, a shot, but it seems to me that in order to sanction a Sitting Minister in a government, the consequences i think would be extremely serious. Im not sure the president wants to go there. The only hope here, katy, it is still hope, is to get a hostage for prisoner exchange. Its the only mechanism that would allow a deescalation, an end to Israeli Military capabilities for six weeks and a surge of humanitarian assistance. Without that i fear the situation will get worse before it gets worse. The negotiation does not look like its in a good place. Ramadan fast approaching. Thank you very much. Sorry we had to be so short today. Coming up next good news from last months job numbers and what it could mean for possible Interest Rate cuts. He hits his mark center stage and is crushed by a baby grand piano. Youre replacing me . Customize and save with liberty bibberty. He doesnt even have a mustache. Only pay for what you need. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. I have Type 2 Diabetes, but i manage it well jardiance its a little pill with a big story to tell i take oncedaily jardiance at each days start as time went on it was easy to see im lowering my a1c jardiance works twentyfour seven in your body to flush out some sugar. And for adults with Type 2 Diabetes and known Heart Disease, jardiance can lower the risk of cardiovascular death, too. Serious side effects may include ketoacidosis that may be fatal, dehydration that can lead to sudden worsening of kidney function, and Genital Yeast or urinary tract infections. A rare, lifethreatening bacterial infection in the skin of the perineum could occur. Stop jardiance and call your doctor right away if you have symptoms of this infection ketoacidosis, or an allergic reaction. You may have an increased risk for lower limb loss. Call your doctor right away if you have symptoms of infection in your legs or feet. Taking jardiance with a sulfonylurea or insulin may cause low blood sugar. Jardiance is really swell the little pill with a big story to tell i know what its like to perform through pain. If youre like me, one of the millions suffering from pain caused by migraine, Nurtec Odt May help. Its the only medication that can treat a migraine when it strikes and prevent migraine attacks. Treat and prevent, all in one. Dont take if allergic to nurtec. Allergic reactions can occur, even days after using. Most common side effects were nausea, indigestion, and stomach pain. Relief is possible. Talk to a doctor about nurtec odt. You can make money the hard way as a bullfighter relief is possible. Or a human cannonball. Or save money the easy way, with xfinity mobile. Existing customers can get a free line of our most popular unlimited plan for a year not only will you save hundreds but youll also be joining millions who have connected to americas most reliable 5g network. Sure is a lot safer than becoming a stuntman for money. Get a free line of unlimited intro for a year when you buy one unlimited line. Visit xfinitymobile. Com today to learn more. Februarys jobs report is in and shows another month of growth. Joining us now nbc News Business and data reporter brian cheung. What are the numbers . The number came in and showed that jobs market is chugging on all cylinders. 275,000 jobs added in the month of february about what economists had expected. They expected about 200,000 to be added in the month. We have to keep in mind the Unemployment Rate did tick up to 3. 9 . The female and black Unemployment Rate rise. Where do we see the job gains in the month . We saw it in bars and restaurants and health care. Check this out, health gains in information and professional and Business Services slower. These are including the tech jobs weve heard of layoffs in the past few months. We have to watch that thread as well. The labor market looks good but inflation remains the story the Biden Administration has acknowledged remains the issue for this economy. Prices 3. 1 higher than this time last year but wages as we saw in this report 4. 3 higher. Wages outpacing inflation. Thats good news. Well see if that trend holds in the months to come. I love when wages outpace inflation. Make sure wages outpace inflation at the grocery store. Thank you very much. Thats it for me today. Deadline white house starts right now. Hi there everyone. Its friday. We made it. Its 4 00 in new york

© 2024 Vimarsana

comparemela.com © 2020. All Rights Reserved.