Single digits. California senator Kamala Harris now has 8 support. South bend indiana mayor Pete Buttigieg has 6 . Former texas congressman beto orourke has 4 , and former san antonio mayor Julian Castro and new jersey senator cory booker are at 2 . The rest of the field comes in with 1 of the vote or less. Joining us now is cbs News Elections and surveys director anthony salvanto. Anthony, always good to have you here. Tell me about this reshuffling. Well, this is the story of Elizabeth Warren rising, not necessarily joe biden falling. He is about where he has been. But her support and that boost shes getting is as a result of other candidates, now former supporters, moving to Elizabeth Warren. And we have seen this because in this survey, we have gone back and reinterviewed thousands of voters since the summer. And what we see is in particular from Kamala Harris, her supporters have now moving to Elizabeth Warren, and at twice the rate that they have proved proved moved to joe biden and other candidates. She is clearly picking up some of them. Shes consolidating the liberal side of the Democratic Party and also her electability ratings are on the rise. Shes 16 points higher in being perceived by democrats as being electable, as being able to beat President Trump, and thats always been a key criteria. And lastly, margaret, i want to emphasize, this is in those early 18 states that you mentioned, where the campaigns are really focusing. Theyre first ones to hold contests, so that movement. Really reflects i think where the campaigns are putting their energy. Brennan so warrens gain is harris loss, but what does this mean for joe biden . Theres still some good news here. Hes still up in our delegate count. And heres what that means. I know it sounds like its a faroff thing. Its the Democratic Convention next summer, but ultimately this campaign is a fight for delegates, and delegates are handed out to top finishers in all of these states. Really any candidate that gets above 15 . Well, by the time you get through all of those states, joe biden is doing well enough. Hes racking up a lot of delegates, a lot of votes in places like South Carolina, that he still has the overall delegate lead in that estimate when we take these vote preferences and we translate them into how the delegates would be awarded in the states. Brennan thats important still to actually clinching the nomination. Brennan when you get to next summer and youre at the convention, the balloons drop, thats how the delegates are awarded to candidates. Brennan lets will be at some of those key states. We have them here. Well bring them up on the screen, iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, nevada, what are they telling you . Iowa is tight. It is still with biden ahead, just narrowly over Bernie Sanders. But then some news out of New Hampshire, where we know that Elizabeth Warren has been really ramping up, staffing up, campaigning a lot, she is now very narrowly ahead of joe biden and Bernie Sanders. Thats effectively a threeway race. There South Carolina, i mentioned joe biden still has a substantial lead there. African american support really critical, and then in nevada, often overlooked but an important early primary, we have got Bernie Sanders narrowly up on joe biden. Brennan so with this information, what do people do with it . What do they predict Going Forward . I think what you watch is who has room to move and room to grow, by which i mean, are candidates being considered by voters even if those voters are not making them their first choice yet. And what we see is that Elizabeth Warren does seem to have even more room to grow, because shes being considered now by more than half of democratic voters even the ones who are not making her their first choice. When they describe the candidates, shes seen as blly elec but thas joe bidens strong suit. Brennan and electable means being able to beat President Trump in the minds of democrats. Thats been the top criteria for them. They want somebody that can go on next november, 2020, and beat President Trump. Brennan thanks so much. Anthony salvanto. As always, all of the results are available on our website at facethenation. Com. Well be rig brennan its time now for our political panel. Jamal simmons is a democratic strategist and host on hill tv. David frum is a staff writer at the atlantic. Michael crowley covers Foreign Policy for the new york times, and lauren meizo is a National Political reporter at politico. Good to have you on face hk y t Battleground Tracker that moves liz r Elizabeth Warren into the top spot. Is that what you have been hearing on the campaign trail . Yes, as i have been on the campaign trail, a number of my colleagues, we have seen a slow and steady rise from warren. She has systematically put a lot of boots on the ground in places like iowa and New Hampshire and nevada. She has been very methodical about getting data on voters. And she has been trying to really utilize her niche, which is i have plans for almost everything, and she is really heavily leaned into that, and it appears to be working. She is slowly gaining on biden. Brennan it also suggests, according to our polling, that there is more attraction to this idea of thessive wing of the party. Jamal. Yeah, i think my math for this election has been pretty consistent. The democrats need a progressive that they can sell to the center , not a centrist they have to sell to the progressive wing. Thats what the john kerry election was in 2004. Thats what the Hillary Clinton election was in 2014. It didnt work out very well. I would say this, if you look at at the history of the New Hampshire primary, its been five times a massachusetts official has run in the New Hampshire primary. Democrat and republicans since 1988. Each one of those people either won the massachusetts New Hampshire primary or they came in second like romney, but all of them got over 30 . Mitt romney got the lowest at 31 , 32 when he ran in 2008. The probability is that Elizabeth Warren will win the New Hampshire primary oes that do to joe biden whose entire election is predicateed on him being the winner when he may not be winning . Brennan david, yreican race, the former congressman from South Carolina wants to challenge President Trump. Trump campaign says, eh, its irrelevant. It is . They have made it so that Mark Sandford will not be able to vote for himself because they have shut down the state primary. Donald trump is so popular in the Republican Party he does not want republicans to vote on his renomination, thats how popular he is. The story of the Republican Party brennan its not unprecedented that the caucus has been canceled. It is not unprecedented, but its something when a president wants to demonstrate the strength of his support in the party, these kinds of acclimations can be useful. The key to Donald Trumps position in the Republican Party is a problem of fractions, which is that he is getting a bigger and bigger share of a smaller and smaller party. Brennan bigger and bigger share of a smaller and smaller party, but yet not willing to count him out. That hes going to be the nominee, we counted him in. Brennan but potential reelection . But i think his reelection looks worse this fall than it did this summer. The story that things are beginning to go wrong. The price of his policies is arriving. The bread and butter issues, we just see everywhere around us, the signs not of economic trouble actually but of economic warning. Were seeing Consumer Confidence leaking. We are seeing some Financial Markets reacting badly, and were seeing that the things that the president might try to do to save the economy are temperamentally unavailable to him. That to find some way of reaching an agreement with the chinese on taking off the table the stupid things that were arguing about like washing machines and focusing on the important things, intellectual property and the security of 5g notework, he cant do that, and the consequences of his inability are affecting real peoples wage, which are now flat, and soon will be affecting real peoples jobs. Brennan and michael crowley, President Trump has sold himself as the dealmakerrable we saw another potential deal literally fall apart in the last 24 hours with afghanistan. Yeah, well, first of all, what an amazing turn of events. I think that much of washington was prepared for a big announcement that they had reached a conclusion. Now everything is kind of in pieces on the floor, and its an example i think of how, you know, the president practices this kind of wild, seatofthepants diplomacy that reminds me of his approach to north korea, the north korean dictator kim jongun. Ill go meet with this guy who had basically never met another foreign leader before, and everyone was astonished, you cant do that. Yes, i can. This camp david thing would be the same thing. This is crazy. The taliban is going to come to america . Theyre going to come to camp david a few days before 9 11 . This is how the president operates. I think he loves to gob smack us and also thinks by breaking through these walls things become possible, but margaret, were not seeing the results. His diplomacy with north korea has essentially go norwhere. Kim jongun is Still ProducingNuclear Material at a pretty steady pace, launching shortrange missiles. Yes, he has stopped some tests. And afghanistan now, this Peace Process is in tatters some this president s improvisational, wild style i think earlier in his administration, some people thought, wow, he might be able to get things done that other president s couldnt with their conventional ways, i think there is a lot more scepticism about that right now. Brennan this is a popular thing to run on for democrats, the idea of ending the war, bringing the boys home is something every single candidate sayre gng to do. Very few have actually detailed how theyre going to do it. Does this force democrats to answer those questions now . Or do we just move oned to next crisis . I think a bit of both. I think you might see some democrats trying to answer that, to strike another contrast with trump. But again, a lot of whats going on in the primary race right now is very insulated. They are not always reacting to trump or what he is doing in the immediate sense. They are staying focused on the plans and visions they want to bring to voters. This may be an opportunity for all normal politicians to reintroduce the American People to basic concepts of operationalty. You know, there are reasons why these kinds of discussions are handled by a special envoy or a assistant secretary level and not brought to camp david until there is a success to announce. You do not commit the president s time, and make Democratic Candidates could begin, because one of the great challenges for the country in 2021 if there is a democratic president s, theres all this Progressive Energy you describe, its going to find itself running into a full series of objective walls, of a probable republican majority in the senate, terrible fiscal problems even if there isnt a recession, much worse fiscal problems the there is, the intractability of the health care pr so this moment which is not central the peoples concern is a good moment to say, these problems are hard. They are difficult. We are not making promises. We are goingo best through channels and reveal a special envoy in afghanistan, not the president to see the diplomacy, as michael calls it. Brennan jamal, i want to ask you as well, gaffes i guess is a word we can use on the campaign trail. Kamala harris, who we showed in our poll, was losing some ground to the benefitted of Elizabeth Warren. Had to apologize for something she said at a rally this week. Will lets listen to what she says. What are you going to do in the next year to stop the mentally retarded action of this guy. Well said. Well said. Brennan i played that so people could judge for themselves. What was she laughing at . It was a bad moment. I think her campaign would have come off better if she said after this, you know what, i reacted poorly to that. I wish i hadnt, instead of saying she hadnt heard it. But thats what happens in campaigns. Elizabeth warren is still trying to get past the pocahontas and the d. N. A. And all this other stuff. Campaigns have bad moments. The next question is what are you offering the people . Donald trump is going to say all the things about the democratic nominee. The question is what are you offering people that they want to be out there and be for and theyre going to go and rally behind you because of that despite whatever mistakes it is that youve made. I think people are still waiting to hear from Kamala Harris a concise message about what those things are. Brennan michael crowley, sharpie gate . Thank you for asking. Brennan what do we make of it . We know the details by now. The president taking a sharpie to his hurricane map and on some level its a total theater of the absurd. On another, i think its, you know, encapsulates american politics right now. The president essentially tried to disport facts. He got the facts wrong, then he tried to retd ro actively distorted them. It looks like he enlisted government officials to back him up. Wouldnt back down, showed, number one, a complete obsession with media coverage, and number two an incredibly thin skin. I think there are 40, maybe 40 and change of the country thises this is the white houses line. This is the media going after trump relentlessly, making too much out of something that wasnt that big of a deal. And this is like this rinse, wash, and repeat cycle we havana in the country. Now half the country thinks the president basically isnt playing with a full deck and some large number thinks that he cant get a fair shake. And its going to come right down to november. And i think its a close call as no which one of these sides tilts higher. Isnt the National WeatherService Event the bigger part of this story, the fact that the president said something that wasnt right, and the scientists and the government are being compelled to, one, not contradict the president , and, two, put out a statement that seems to contradict other scientists and the government. Also the president s own defense raises an interesting point. His defense is, i heard at one point that alabama was a risk. By the time i made my statement, alabama was no wronger at risk. What were you doing in that interval . I was taking no briefings because i was golfing. And i think these stories even the small ones reveal something about a unique process of government 24n which the president does not take his responsibility seriously. Its not just matter of lying, its a matter of not doing the work, and thats what necessitates the lie. Brennan laura, there were a number of stories involving trump property, from the Vice President staying at one in ireland to what we are now looking at with an investigation in congress, his properties in scotland. Tell us what we need to know. The house judiciary and House Democrats as a whole are expanding their scope. They want to define very clearly what their impeachment inquiry would look like. And so on top of potential obstruction of justice issues that came out from the mueller report, they are adding to that by wanting to look into whether or not the president has violated the amollmentings clause, whether or not hes profiting off the presidency with stays like pences in ireland as well as the president s suggestion that the g7 stay in doral at the doral resort in florida next year. And so democrats want to add those to their impeachment inquiry. We could see a vote as early as next week on adding this extended scope. Brennan we will watch for that this week. We need to know, at the trump hotel, is there a president ial tip jar . Brennan well leave it there. Thank you. Well be back in a moment. Boss its a big responsibility. Employee oh, its huge. I know, its huge. Boss and the salary. Employee oh my god, yes. I was literally about to move in with my parents and right before. Yeah, so this saved me. Boss i really believe in you. You know . Employee thank you. Its nice to hear that from someone. Boss these are cool. Did you. Um . Where did. Brennan were back now with journalist garret graff. He has a new book out called the only plane in the sky. Its a detailed account of the morning of september 11, 2001, told by those who lived through it. Its good to have you here. Reading this, it was very powerful. These are firstperson accounts. Its an oral history. Why did you write it this way . Its not a narrative . Its an oral history . And the goal was very much to capture the way that americans experience that day. You know, were coming up now. This week will be the 18th anniversary of the attack, and were watching this traumatic moment in American History slip from memory to history. And when we say never forget, i think we fail to remember just how traw traumatic, chaotic, and fearful that day was to experience some the goal was to tell the story, not the facts of the day, which we all know and remember, but the experience of the day, how americans lived it, coast to coast, morning to night. Brennan and we will living it is painful for a lot of people. Why do you think its important to go through that . Well, i think you saw it actually even just this morning. We are still living with the consequences of that day. We are living still with the world that that day shaped. And it was shaped by the fear, the trauma, and the chaos that the policymakers experienced that day and their decision and their dedication that that should never happen again. And, you know, we now see american servicemen and women who were born after that attack deploying for the first time to the wars in afghanistan and iraq that that day spawned. Brennan you talk not just to policymakers, people in the room, you talk to everyday folks who touched this in some way, including, and this stopped me when i hit it, the Airline Attendant who checked in mohammed atta. Tell me about that. Yeah, there are so many people that those attacks touched and affected, including, you know, the ticket attendants in dulles and newark and boston and in portland who checked in the hijackers. They have these distinct memories of interacting with the hijackers and actually even in portland and dulles helping get them on board because they were showing up late to their flights that morning. Brennan warning them, hurry up, youre going to miss your flight. Youre going to miss your plane, mr. Atta, just a chilling, chilling comment in retrospect. Brennan is there a character in here whose story really stood out to you . There are a lot of them, because of sort of just what a Human Experience that day really was. I mean, a day like 9 11 strips away so much of the posturing and the artifice, you know, from policymakers to First Responders to the ordinary Office Workers who showed up in new york or the pentagon sort of expecting a normal tuesday and found themselves amid that tragedy. Brennan you spoke to a number of people including someone who hadnt spoken at all previously to the press, commander anthony barnes. He was the liaison between the pentagon and Vice President dick cheney who was commanding things that day. What did you learn from him . So commander barnes was sort of the director of the white house bunker on 9 11, the bunker under the north lawn that is operational 24 hours a day, has never been used before or since except for the morning of 9 11 when Vice President cheney was his intoold that. Because remember, they thought flight 93 was coming to hit the white house or the capitol. And so i talked to people and tell the stories in the book of the people who thought they were going to die at the white house that morning. Commander barnes was the navy officer who was the one who actually asked Vice President cheney for the authority to shoot down the hijacked airliners. Hes never spoken before, and i spoke to him, and he said that he asked the Vice President three times, because he knew just how momentous that order actually was, and he wanted to make sure that there was no confusion, and he recalls sort of just how annoyed Vice President cheney was by that third time, because cheney had made the decision and knew that it was the right thing to do. Brennan a surreal order to be given. A surreal day from start to finish. We tell this very neat story about 9 11 now that we know the whole attack took place in 102 minutes from the first crash to the collapse of the second tower. We didnt know that on 9 11. Thats one of the things that i really tried to capture in the book. It was well into the afternoon. We were still dealing with planes that we thought were hijacked, and we didnt know whether al qaeda had a whole other wave of attacks planned for the next day or the next month. Brennan i thought it was interesting toward the end of the book when you talk to schoolchildren and how they remember it. It just is small children and their memories. Its a great read. Thank you for sharing it with us. Thanks for having me. When you humble yourself under the mighty hand of god, in due time he will exalt you. Hi, im joel osteen. Im excited about being with you every week. I hope youll tune in. Youll be inspired, youll be encouraged. Im looking forward to seeing you right here. You are fully loaded and completely equipped for the race thats been designed for you. When the engines failed on the plane i was flying, i knew what to do to save my passengers. But when my father sank into depression, i didnt know how to help him. When he ultimately shot himself, he left our family devastated. Dont let this happen to you. If you or a loved one is suicidal, call the National Suicide prevention lifeline. No matter how hopeless or helpless you feel, with the right help, you can get well. Cbs cares. The amazon rain forest is considered to be the lungs of the earth and absorbs 25 of the worlds carbon dioxide. The current wildfires are destroying a football field of rainforest every minute. Learn how you can help at amazonwatch. Org. Cbs cares. Far too many young women around the globe lack crucial medical care, access to education, and a safe place to call home. They need to be empowered and supported. Learn how you can help at girlup. Org. Brennan thats it for us today. We honor those who died on 9 11 and after that protecting u. S. Interests as well as all the families they left behind. Until next week, for face the nation, im margaret brennan. Captioning sponsored by cbs captioned by Media Access Group at wgbh access. Wgbh. Org possibilitt t t t t t news. Im elaine quijano. T news. Trumps controversial now cancelled decision to unviolent taliban leaders to camp david. The president made the decision this was the right place. These are terrorists i. Charlie dagata has reactions. Peace talks continue. We dont think so at this stage. The road to 2020. New poll shows a stakeup among top democrats. Dorians done but still doing damg. This time in canada. While the battered bahamas deals with a mountinger and reallily cry in hong ko kong. Protesters flood streets calling r u. S. Support. All that, plus taking aim. The coach who returned to his roots to lift