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What might change the trajectory of the race. It may come down to pennsylvania. If we win pennsylvania, we win the whole thing. This morning were reporting from the critical Battle Ground state, pennsylvania. Who are you voting for in 2020 . Joe biden. I decided that character means something. Is there anything that has given you pause about donald trump . I would say no at this point. The state of play with rahm emanuel, Chris Christie and our Powerhouse Political Team. And Pierre Thomas with that alarming election interference warning and protecting your vote. Announcer from abc news its this week. Live from philadelphia here now coanchor martha raddatz. Good morning and welcome to this week. We join you this morning from the National Constitution center in philadelphia. Battle ground pennsylvania once again set to play a key role in this consequential and contentious election. Around this point four years ago, trump behind in the polls by 4 points ultimately winning the state in 2016 by less than 1 point. Today hes down by 6 Percentage Points according to fivethiryeight and while 52 of suburban pennsylvania voters went for trump in 2016, helping to put him over the edge, according to one recent poll nearly 60 of likely voters in the pennsylvania suburbs are now backing biden. Our partners at fivethiryeight say pennsylvania is the state most likely to be the Tipping Point in 2020, potentially putting either candidate over the top. With just one week and two days to go til the final votes, covid cases are surging across america. More cases reported on friday than any other day since the pandemic began. Now, more than 8. 5 million cases nationwide. Overnight we learned the Vice President s chief of staff has tested positive, despite being considered a close contact to the top aid, pence is set to stick with his current schedule, continuing to campaign. Its against this backdrop that both candidates are making their final pitches. With few days left in the cycle, every moment counts. Both campaigns barnstorming pennsylvania this week, but so many voters have already made up their minds. At least 57 million americans have cast their ballots. This morning we begin with the voices of voters, where they stand at this critical juncture in a race where anything can happen. The last installment of our series six for the win. Driving through pennsylvania its easy to see the intensity of election fever. From the cities to the suburbs stretching to the rural areas, Campaign Signs compete with the fall foliage for top billing. All his policies i agree with 100 . About ten miles west of philadelphia 60yearold tanya is the kind of enthusiastic supporter the Trump Campaign hopes will prevail in this mustwin state. Is there anything over the last four years that has given you pause about donald trump . I would say no at this point. When im researching what he says, theres facts backing it up. I see social media. Im very active on social media. I do my research. Things he brings up are exactly what me and my friends talk about in our kitchen. When were sitting around having drinks and talking about politics and government, hes spot on. In 2016 results from the keystone state were one of the big shockers. Trump winning the longtime democratic stronghold by a slim 44,000 votes out of nearly 6 million cast. Who did you vote for in 2016 . Trump. Donald trump. Who are you voting for in 2020 . Biden. Joe biden. There are worrisome signs for trump. Some who voted for him four years ago have soured on the president. For 30somethings morgan and katey harris, parents to two children, its all just too much. I think its the noise of everything. I feel like my voice some days is lost in just the noise and polarization. With the race relations, with George Floyds death, with covid, he had many opportunities, again, to come together and say lets figure this out together. Lets be a unifier. I mean, time and time again hes given opportunities to act president ial and he doesnt. Im hoping that joe can maybe tone the noise down if nothing else and bring some professionalism back, some calm. Dont tweet. Just the basics. Judy, youre a registered republican . Correct. Obama, trump and now now joe biden. Retiree judy it was the pandemic that changed her mind. Pennsylvania was one of the states to get hit hard early. Almost 9,000 have died here. When the virus initially hit, neighbors, friends here in my community, we made over 1,000 masks for the hospitals, nursing homes, friends. It was a lot of work. Then he had the disrespect to not even wear a mask. Judy is a member of a highly coveted demographic, suburban women who voted for trump in 2016 but who switched to support democrats in 2018. Her town bans Campaign Signs which she thinks helps keep the temperature down. Are you friends with Trump Supporters . Very few people talk about it in less youre in close quarters. Do you have a sense that others feel the same way you do who may have voted for trump . No, i dont, which is what bothers me. I dont know how you can support him anymore. You just dont treat people the way he treats people. We have ten days left. It may come down to pennsylvania. Miguel rivera doesnt like what he hears from the democrat. Theres a lot of people in florida, in philadelphia voting for the republican party. That doesnt mean necessarily they are republican, but that the candidate that is there is the one that promises a Brighter Future for them. Thats all. Born in puerto rico, rivera has lived in pennsylvania for more than 25 years. He thinks its trump who promises the Brighter Future. Hes done a lot for the hispanic and black communities in terms of creating employment. Hell become a second time trump voter on election day. Early voting here has been as wildly popular as across the rest of the country with nearly 1. 5 ballots returned by mail already in pennsylvania. They dont start counting them until election day which guarantees the nations focus will remain intense for days. So much at stake. So much to dig into this morning in this critical Battle Ground state. Lets bring in our powerhouse players. Abc news contributors Chris Christie and rahm emanuel. Good morning, gentlemen. Chris, i have to start with you and the news about Vice President pences chief of staff contracting covid, possibly others on the staff as well. Whats extraordinary about this is the Vice President s office says hell maintain his schedule in accordance with essential personnel. Were talking about campaigning here. Hes going campaigning tonight, not his duties as Vice President. The joint chiefs of staff quarantined when they were exposed to coronavirus. Does the white house still not get it . The whole getting of covid to begin with and the not wearing of masks has been a problem. I talked about that over the last couple weeks. Everybody has to put the health of the people theyre going to be in touch with first. When i found out i got covid that friday morning, i immediately quarantined myself. Ultimately wound up in the hospital. You got to keep yourself away from everybody. Im a little bit surprised. I do want to move to the election. We got nine days until the election. The president does seem energized. He talks about not being worried about being reelected. Hes trailing in national polls. Most key states including pennsylvania where hes down about 6 points. You heard those former trump voters saying theyre turning to biden. Should the president be worried . Of course he should and he is. When he says hes not, thats what you do when youre running for office. You dont say youre worried. Theres no question. When you hear him talking at some of the rallies if i lose iowa, North Carolina, would i have to move out of the country . Thats him about the possibility of him losing. I think were seeing tightening in some of the state by state polls. I think youll continue to see that over the next nine days. The real question is going to be when joe biden made the comment about the oil and gas industry, as we sit in pennsylvania at that debate, is that going to be a difference maker in pennsylvania . He challenged the president to put up video that he wanted to get rid of fracking. The president put up about four clips about that. Certainly the president is the underdog. If he wasnt worried about that, he wouldnt be thinking. Rahm, Vice President biden says those clips were taken out of context and he will not ban fracking. Hes been fired up this week too, biden. President trump is doing those huge rallies. That helps with momentum. What does biden have to watch out for in these next nine days . This election is set up in my view perfectly for joe biden in the sense that in 2016 this election was seen as one of about anger and rage. The emotion of this election is about empathy and compassion. Thats joe bidens strength. If you see in that video where the woman is talking about bringing people together, everybody sees donald trump as the source of the problem. They do not attribute to him or see him in any way as a source of the solution to the challenges of america. She talks about bringing people together. To me thats the ultimate thing. Theres another piece of this. Not only is it compassion, empathy, its authentic about joe bidens decency. I would at this point stay on message. Just like he did in that debate. I want to say one thing about what chris brought up as it relates and the oil and fracking. First of all, everybody is talking about this as a tax subsidy. Its corporate welfare. Hes talked about eliminate corporate welfare and invest it. For the same 5 billion exxon and chevron gets 5 million kids can go to Community College for free. 5 million. You tell me. Over 30 years your grandchildren are going to be driving an electric car, mine as well. Its talking about the future. He said it all the time. Hes pro fracking, but hes not going to subsidize exxon and chevron anymore. Hes going to do it over a period of time and phase it out. Donald trump says im did you cringe when he said that in the debate . No. I think hes been authentic to his view, which is true. We cannot continue to subsidize exxon and chevron when you can send 5 million kids free to Community College. Those kids are worth investing in. Another example why im glad rahm is not the candidate and joe biden is. If joe biden said that, that would make sense. He said he was going to phase out oil and gas and hes going to he said that hold on, rahm. He said phase it out by 2025. Five years from now. Thats not a slow phase out. He didnt say hes going to spend it on Community College. He said he was going to spend that on the Green New Deal which the people in pennsylvania dont want. Heres the thing, its very clear. Its a 30year phase out. It should be phased out. You shouldnt be subsidizing big oil and big gas. Welcome to the free market. Make it on your own. In my view use those dollars to invest in free Community College and im for wind and solar. Will you subsidize that . Were not going to do the debate over. The Green New Deal get the industry set we settled that one. Chris, i want to move on to the ballots already cast. 57 Million People have already cast their ballot. Thats a staggering 42 of 2016s total turnout. Obviously thats because of covid. The democrats hold a strong lead in ballots returned. Do you think thats going to be balanced out on election day . What youve seen in places like pennsylvania and florida since the last Election Voter registration by republicans in those key states is two to three times as great as it was with democrats. We know that because some of the things the president said about mailin voting that republicans have been slower in returning those ballots. Ive seen that in new jersey. Its a republican county. We have democrats ahead of us now in that. I dont believe that will last in the election, never has. Everyone is adjusting to this new way of going. Im not sure how crazy the turnout is going to be. Its going to be more than 2016. I dont know its going to be interesting to see. Republicans tend to vote late. They usually vote late when they go to the ballot box. Theyre afterwork voters. Ill be interested to see. Its a whole new dynamic. None of us know. Rahm, how worried are you about the election . Im jewish, im worried. Youre worried all the time. Of course youre worried. I got enough worry for the three of us. How worried are you about the Election Results coming in later and later . What do you see . What i would say is on Election Night i bet what we learn is that the path for the president is the door has closed. About a week later well be able to say x, joe biden has been elected president. I dont think youll be able to declare that. By the time we get to election day, almost two thirds of the american will have voted. Youll get about 20 million more people in 2020 than 2016. Donald trump is a centrifugal force. Those who care about him will show up. The democrats who have been angry over the last four years, theyll show up. The other voters joe biden needed to win, theyre exhausted. Theyre tired. They dont want donald trump in their lives. Everywhere they go is a constant conflict. What theyre looking for is a little calm, little compassion versus chaos and conflict. Chris, i want to give you the last word, but quickly. I want to return to covid. With the Vice President being exposed to that, with covid surging across america, how damaging is that to Donald Trumps campaign . Of course it is. Any president in the midst of a crisis like this and the crisis does not seem to be abating as you get close to election day, but may be increasing, thats a problem. Its the same way they say your ability to state the obvious thats what we get paid for here. What are you talking about . Thats what we get paid for here. Dont you criticize that. A crisis on your watch isnt good. Youre going to talk us out of work. If youre there when the economy is going up, you get the credit. When its going down, you get the blame no matter what happens. Same thing in a handling of the crisis. If its going well, you get the credit. Otherwise you get the blame. I think its been the single toughest issue for donald trump to deal with in four years and may determine the election. You never allow a good crisis to go to waste. Or not try to a smart guy said that. I dont remember who it was. Thanks to both of you for joining us. As the election enters its final days, the coronavirus continues to rage. This week 42 states reporting an increase in cases. 18 of those states plus puerto rico hitting record highs. Daily deaths surpassing 1,000 multiple times. According to an internal hhs memo obtained by abc news, almost 25 of hospitals across the country have more than 80 of their icu beds filled. Here with what we can expect in the coming months abc news chief medical correspondent dr. Jennifer ashton and abc news contributor and former trump Homeland Security and counterterrorism adviser tom bossert. Good morning to you both. Jen, i want to start with you. The statistics are really alarming. How did we get here . What are your biggest concerns . Are we headed for that dark winter we heard about . Well, martha, first of all, in medicine in the middle of the Largest Health crisis the world has seen in our lifetime, i think looking backwards has a purpose. Its important to try to look forward and prepare as much as possible. We have a crisis right now in the present that is requiring an all hands on deck approach. I think that when people say, you know, were testing more. Thats responsible for the surge in cases, it is true in medicine when you look for something you have a bigger chance of finding it. At the last tally by Johns Hopkins there are 224,113 american lives lost. Thats not creative data. Thats covid19 doing its damage. So talking about that dark winter ahead, we really have to hunker down . I think theres no question about that. I mean, were seeing an uncontrolled you know, damage by this virus and were going into colder months where the majority of the country will be indoors. This virus has shown it spreads readily in that environment. Yeah, we need to turn this trend around because we are in the third peak and its less than a year. Tom, i want to turn to you. We know the administration is working hard on getting a vaccine. Until that happens, how do you see the virus progressing . If donald trump remains in office and theres no change from the present strategy, compare that to what you heard joe biden talking about, what difference would we see if hes elected . As dr. Jen just said, this virus will keep spreading and the numbers will keep growing unless people do something about it. Its really that simple. It would be nice if our leadership was on the same page. It would be nice if both candidates were on the same page for that mat ter, but theyre not. Page, but theyre not. This is a team sport. At this point what happens in the next four weeks or ten weeks will be up to 300 plus Million People and they have to change their behavior. Were now seeing not a summer repeat, but were seeing a wave as you pointed out not with four states being the epicenter, but over 36. How would i phrase that . If you really want to get together with your family and friends for thanksgiving dinner or christmas or hanukkah, you have to change your behavior today. Its not about waiting for that morning. The president has also said he wouldnt change much about his early response. I know we dont really want to go backwards. I was struck by a Columbia University report that found that potentially hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved if there had been more aggressive action from the federal government earlier on. Your thoughts on that report . That was a very interesting study and useful in a lot of ways. Although a crude comparison, it was comparing six Different Countries and their mortality rate. The United States is the ninth highest proportional mortality rate. 66 out of 100,000 people have died in the United States. Thats not a good track record. The report is not clear about the degree of leadership, versus implementation or policy was responsible. One thing is clear. We could have saved more lives with a different faster approach. Whats important about looking forward is the same advice about targeted layered intervention early in addition to masks. We know it saves lives. We have a chance to do it again if we can get all our counties and communities on a coordinated same page. Jen, i did a 6,000mile road trip and have been traveling around pennsylvania today. Im so surprised at how few people wear masks across the country and dont socially distance. There really does seem to be pandemic fatigue. What do you do about that . Martha, youre right. I think that weariness and frustration with this goes across the country and it goes across party lines actually. We heard the World Health Organization estimate that half of the european population is suffering from pandemic fatigue. Weve seen so far in the pandemic what occurs in europe tends to be what comes to the United States. Psychologists are saying that the fear that enveloped so much of our response earlier this year has been replaced by fatigue. If you think of this as two variables, how the virus behaves and how we behave, only one of those variables is under our control. Our behavior becomes critically important. Thanks so much, jen, and to you, tom. We always love hearing from you. As we enter the final stretch nate silver circles back to all the states that will survive this race and whether we might know a winner on Election Night. Election us. Night. Stay with us. My name is henry. Working within amazon transportation services, i really saw the challenge of Climate Change. We want to be sustainable, but when you have a truck covering over 300 miles, or you have flights going hundreds of miles, its a bit more challenging. We are letting the data guide us to the best solution. 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President trump and joe biden delivering their closing messages this week in two major swing states. Over the last two months weve taken a closer look at the key Battle Ground areas that will likely decide the election outcome. Once all the ballots are cast, each state will tally the votes a little differently. We asked fivethiryeights nate silver what that means for declaring a winner on Election Night. To manage expectations many states will not have a complete count of their vote by Election Night and it might take days or weeks to know who has won. There are paths where joe biden could be in a strong position. Abc news has been highlighting six key states in our six for the win series. Youve got the sunbelt states, florida, arizona and north and three mid western ones, wisconsin, michigan and pennsylvania. Apart from nicer weather, the sunbelt states have something in common, theyll count votes quickly. In florida and arizona mailin ballots must be received by election day. In North Carolina its expected 80 of the votes could be announced after polls close. All three of those states are being pretty close to must win for trump. We have a new choose your own adventure tool at fivethiryeight that lets you see how the probabilities change. Biden is a 99 favorite to win the Electoral College if he wins florida or North Carolina and 98 if he wins arizona. Lets say President Trump wins florida, then its a toss up. Losing florida means biden has a 58 chance of winning. In that case we could be waiting for resulting for a long time. Thats because if trump secures the sunbelt, biden needs to win all three mid western states. Pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin are slower to count their ballots. Ballots can be accepted after election day as long as theyre postmarked by november 3rd. I buy that well know quite a bit on Election Night if bidens narrow polling leads in states like florida translate into wins. Still, i would advise caution. If it comes down to the midwest, we could be waiting for a long time. Our thanks to nate. The round table is ahead. Up next the latest on those efforts by russia and iran to penetrate electionrelated systems in the u. S. Pierre thomas joins us with what you need to know to keep your vote safe. Fe. Increasing your risk for getting shingles. So what can protect you . Shingrix protects. For the first time ever, you can protect yourself from shingles with a vaccine proven to be over 90 effective. Shingrix is a vaccine used to prevent shingles in adults 50 years and older. Shingrix does not protect everyone and is not for those with severe allergic reactions to its ingredients or to a previous dose. The most common side effects are pain, redness, and swelling at the injection site, muscle pain, tiredness, headache, shivering, fever, and upset stomach. Talk to your doctor or pharmacist about protecting yourself with shingrix. Shingles doesnt care. Shingrix protects. Find a stock basedtech. 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Weve been working for years as a community to build resilience in our election infrastructure. Today that infrastructure remains resilient. You should be confident that your vote counts. The men and women of the fbi remain committed to protecting the american people, our democracy and the integrity of our elections. We are not going to let our guard down. That dramatic announcement from the directors of National Intelligence and the fbi less than two weeks from election day revealing that foreign actors are again interfering in the u. S. President ial race. The latest obstacle for voters in a Campaign Cycle already beset by misinformation. Our chief justice correspondent Pierre Thomas has more. Reporter as we head toward the final stretch of election, intelligence and Law Enforcement officials are seeing action from russia. Abc news has learned the kremlin has been infiltrating and probing government Computer Networks at the state and local level. Four years ago russia conducted Cyber Attacks and spread disinformation. Those efforts have continued and potentially threaten the 2020 president ial election. Reporter according to a new fbi Homeland Security alert a russian state sponsored actor has conducted a campaign against a wide variety of u. S. Targets. Russians sought election related information and sources tell abc news systems tied to two counties in two separate states were successfully hacked by the russian intelligence operation. Were not going to tolerate any criminal activity that threatens the sanctity of your vote. Reporter while no election information was altered or changed, the efforts allowed russians to obtain information about Voter Registration which could be used in disinformation campaigns. In a highly unusual press conference authorities learned iran is actively plotting as well, secretly obtaining Voter Registration information and weaponizing it through a series of threatening emails. When you first read that somebody has your address and they would like to come after you, i was like oh, my god am i safe . Reporter nine days before the election, tensions running incredibly high. Unsubstantiated claims about voter fraud creating conflict. Im urging my supporters to go into the polls and watch very carefully. Thats what has to happen. Reporter unnecessary tensions on election day. Americans are protected by law to be able to cast their ballot free from intimidation and discrimination. Pierre joins us now, along with kate shaw a professor of law, both of whom will be part of our election team. Pierre, these fake threatening emails sent to voters were divulged tuesday and by wednesday evening intelligence officials were blaming iran, angd and we know the russians are trying to interfere as well, right . While theres no evidence this activity will impact someones ability to cast their vote, the worries are that russia is searching for weaknesses in the databases with the goal of launching a disinformation campaign. They seem to be sewing doubts with disinformation. Iran aware of russias successes in 2016 is aggressively pursuing the same goal as they saw the russians do. The russians are seen as the bigger sophisticated threat. Pierre, is u. S. Intelligence better prepared now than in 2016 and what about concerns the director of National Intelligence may be politicizing the intelligence . They are better prepared, but theyre under pressure to be transparent to give voters information in real time. To let them know what the bad guys are up to. The bottom line is only get your information from trusted credible sources. If you have any questions about where and how to vote, call your local officials directly to get all the information yourself. They should consider all the information things to ignore. The bad guys cant stop them from voting. As far as director radcliffe, a number of sources have expressed frustration because hes so tied to the president and viewed by critics as political. They point to the fact in describing irans recent alleged attacks he portrayed President Trump as the victim and did not mention one word about the democratic voters who were also targeted. Kate, do these breaches pose a risk to the integrity of the election itself or does this sew doubts about the integrity of the election . Martha, its concerning that foreign actors are seeking to interfere in the election. We need to be skeptical of the political messages we encounter on social media in the critical final days. I dont think anything weve learned calls into question the integrity of our election itself. More concerning is the prospect that americans hearing about these efforts will question the integrity of the election in a way thats out of proportion to the magnitude of the actual threat. This could cause them to disengage which would be the opposite of the right reaction. I think one other possible concern is that the losing candidate in the election could use this information to essentially advance a narrative that calls into question the results of the election. As to the integrity of the election itself, i dont think we have any cause for concern right now. Kate, what about the ballots all being counted in the days after the election . How concerned are you about that . You know, some states, including of course pennsylvania, dont allow Election Officials to begin counting ballots until election day. Its unfortunate those rules havent been changed. Thats the legal system we have right now. Ballots being counted after election day will be counted consistent with state law. Insofar as delay is concerned, its a different election cycle. Nothing in 2020 is normal. I think theres not cause for concern or reason to doubt the integrity of the process. If there is delay, it may be the system working as designed. Okay, thanks to you, kate, and thanks to you, pierre. Well see you on Election Night. I didnt choose this job because it was easy. But i cant say i expected this. To fight these fires, we need funding plain and simple. For this crisis, and for the next one. Prop 15 closes tax loopholes so rich corporations pay their fair share of taxes. So firefighters like me, have what we need to do the job, and to do it right. The big corporations want to keep their tax loopholes. Its what they do. Well, i do what i do. If yould like to help, join me and vote yes on prop 15. Do you lean trump or biden . I lean trump. Why is that . We know what weve got. The administration has treated agriculture well. In spite of the fact that there were embargoes in place and the mess we got into with china. We have been compensated in other that was bob haselwood, a kansas farmer. An undecided voter who i met on our Cross Country trip this summer. Bob texted me friday to say i have made a decision and have already voted. It was a tough choice. This is the first time i checked the box for a democrat in a president ial election. I feel we will become more divided if we have four more years of President Trump. Lets talk about that and break down the round table with our political director rick klein, tam la edwards, morning news anchor at wpvi here in philadelphia and a former colleague at our abc News Washington bureau, and abc news political analyst matthew dowd. Welcome to all of you. Great to see you, tam. Rick, i want to go back to bob. He was undecided. He really was leaning trump. He has watched and watched and decided to vote for joe biden. You have this new abc news ipsos poll about trump and bidens favorability which leans into that. There are fewer bobs out there. The undecideds are disappearing. Its in part because people know these candidates. Their perceptions just arent changi changing. Go back to august, before the conventions, before the debates. Donald trump was viewed more unfavorably by 23 points. That has barely changed. Joe biden was minus three on that same measure. More unfavorable than favorable. Now hes plus one. People have a real sense of who they are. Unlike 2016 when both candidates were broadly disliked, joe biden has maintained that fundamental understanding. People understand who he is. They know who he is and theyre relatively comfortable with him. That is a huge difference that tells me that 2020 is not 2016. Tam, of course, pennsylvania is huge this year. Its unlikely either one could win without winning pennsylvania. Four years ago donald trump carried the state by just 44,000 votes. With covid of course the early voting has already begun. Our early voting tells a lot of the story. 2. 5 Million People asked for an early ballot. 1. 5 are already back in. 1 million of those are democrats. Whats interesting is some of the conversation about will your vote be counted has motivated democrats to get those votes back in early. One thing to keep in mind, 80 of republicans say they intend to vote on election day. If the president can turn out his base, we might see some of that come back. We talked about that a bit with Chris Christie. It really could be the democrats would have voted anyway and have already voted and it wont be a bigger turn out. Matt, to you in texas, besides early voting there are more signs that many minds have already been made up, certainly the people weve talked to. The latest quinnipiac poll shows that more than two thirds of likely voters decided who theyll vote for more than six months ago. What do they do in the coming days of the campaign . In every campaign, the last five or six or seven days of voting keep in mind, november 3rd is not election day. Its just the end of voting when two third of the people already voted. 7 Million People in texas have already voted in this election. Three quarters of the voters in texas will have voted by the time we get to friday in this race. Theres not much you can do to change the fundamental dynamics as rick was talking about. They havent changed much in this race. You cant break through a new message in the last few days. The only things you remain to do is motivate people and persuasion is done at this point in president ial campaigns and do tactically to figure out who your voters are and how to turn them out. One thing i want to say about this race and that i dont think has been covered enough, joe biden has a better chance of winning texas today than donald trump has of winning pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin. Think about that. Joe biden has a better chance of winning texas than donald trump has of winning pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin. That is a findmental difference in this race. Those are pretty extraordinary numbers. I want to go back to campaigning and what you do in the final days. Certainly its about enthusiasm. 60 Million People watched the debate this week. Did that make a difference with anybody . Youve seen ads off those debates. The oil comments that joe biden made. Look, so much of this race is set. Thats a huge audience. There are a lot of people that will vote on election day. Most of them had their minds made up already. Theres a limit to what you can do. The comment about the oil industry, that to me was an unforced error by joe biden. It cuts against so much of the messaging hes tried to portray. Theres another side to it too. There are a lot of voters who want to see Climate Change as an issue. Maybe that gave them extra motivation in the end. I think theres a limit to what anything can mean this late in the campaign. With candidates this well defined were used to talking about october surprises. The real surprise is that huge numbers of people are voting. The lines are enormous. People are engaged in this campaign. Tamala, talk about in pennsylvania especially. Those are pretty important issues. They are. I agree with rick that it solidified. Somebody leaning trump, that oil comment pushed them forward. That wine mom, the suburban mom, they were pushed more towards biden. Look at the ground game in the counties. Biden is going to places that should be for trump, but he thinks theyre in his grasp. Cambria, erie, westmoreland, we see trump in those places. He should be looking to expand. One number that jumped out at me North Hampton county went for trump by 4 points this time. Its up for biden by 12. Look at the ground game. That tells you why republicans are nervous. Matt, i want to turn back to you. We reported this morning that Vice President pences chief of staff has contracted the coronavirus. Coronavirus has been such a big issue in this campaign. No matter what President Trump says, people are thinking about this issue. Do you think this damages the president with his chief of staff getting it and possibly more staffers on pences staff and him still going out campaigning . I think its a huge problem. I think covid and coronavirus and the inability and incompetence in its handling has been a problem in this campaign. I think its less about a big impact on the race and more of an effect on Donald Trumps ability to drivethrough another message that he has a handle on. Joe biden has a 20point advantage on who can better handle coronavirus. This is a fundamental problem for donald trump. Let me say one thing about oil and gas. I think many people are looking at this as an issue that its like it was 10 or 15 or 20 years ago. Let me give you a stat. More people work in Renewable Energy industry in texas than work in the oil and gas industry in texas. I dont think this is near of a problem that many people think it is for joe bidens campaign. The world has changed. Its changed on energy and its changed in places like texas, pennsylvania. More voters are with joe biden on this than opposed to joe biden on this. Rick, i want to some final thoughts here from the two of you. What will you be watching for as the early voting comes in . Lets fast forward nine days. Where will we be and what should people be paying attention to . Thats when you see real votes on election day. Democrats are out voting in large numbers. Theres places where republicans are out voting as well. Im keeping an eye on white noncollege educated voters. Once those real votes come in, taking a look at florida, North Carolina, georgia and texas, that will give a sense of whether that trump base shows up. We know the biden voters are out in force. If trump is going to win, he needs that vote on election day. Ill be looking at the lines and exhaustion. Are the lawyers getting involved and does it look like well elongate this election season . Did enough democrats already get in . The main places they can challenge is the votes that come in three days after election day. If not a lot are coming in, if most people in lines are republicans, whos to challenge . That will tell us a story on election day. We know your secretary has said they probably will get all the votes counted by november 6th. Lets hope so and lets hope its even earlier. Thanks to all of you. Great to see you, tam. Thats all for us today. Thanks for sharing part of your sunday with us. Our thanks to the National Constitution center in philadelphia for hosting us this morning. Have a great day. Up next, extreme fire danger moving in. The areas threatened by todays potential pg e power shutoff. Schools and public parks also warning of potential impacts from the blackout. What places will be impacted starting today. Good morning to you. A beautiful look from our exploratorium camera. 56 degrees in san francisco. Wind advisories, red flag warnings in effect. That all coming into play later on this afternoon. Well time it all out we make it a mission to understand how you live. Then, we make choices. Choices to make Beautiful Homes smart, which is beautiful. We also make beautiful things more affordable. We try to make choices to put back what we take out. Oh and we can also make kitchen fronts out of plastic bottles now. So why do we choose to make things the way we do . Because the better the choices we make in here, the better off well all be out there. Ikea. Make the dream yours

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