She could be right.
And if cases decrease without new restrictions and Michigan resumes its middle-of-the-pack status, it could challenge assumptions about how much the government can move numbers amid a pandemic.
Or it could underscore that, one year into the most researched health crisis in generations, we still don’t know nearly as much as we think.
Sign No. 1: Predictive models
First, an acknowledgment: Michigan has the worst coronavirus crisis in the country. And it’s not close. If this were a race, Michigan lapped the field.
After several days of declining numbers, the state reported nearly 9,000 new cases on Friday, the second-most ever, before falling again Saturday and Monday.