Forecast-based early action triggered in: Mongolia for Dzud (EAP2020MN02)
Format
309,544 Budget in CHF
General overview
The Mongolian Red Cross Society (MRCS) has activated its Early Action Protocol for Dzud on 18 December 2020 based on the dzud trigger. The EAP is activated if three or more provinces have a very high risk of 20 per cent or more of their land area being affected. The dzud risk map is developed by the National Agency for Meteorology and Environmental Monitoring (NAMEM).
The dzud risk map of 10 December 2020 shows that more than 60 per cent of the country identified with dzud risk (16.5 per cent very high risk, 50.4 per cent high risk) and 18.5 per cent of the country are in medium risk. Five provinces had more than 20 per cent of very high-risk coverage in their territory, as calculated by Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre (RCCC) (see Table 1 below). Out of that in most areas of Uvurkhangai Bayankhongor, Dundgovi, Umnugovi, Govi-Altai provinces are expected to experience extreme winter continued with deteriorating spring.