Region, his efforts to make a significant strike against americans. Weve been planning for this and we were prepared. Paul Mark Dubowitz, chief executive for the defense of democracy. Welcome. Good do see you again. I was reading your twitter feed and i notice that you were saying that this killing of soleimani may be more significant even than the killing of osama bin laden. How so . Qasem soleimani for 23 years has dominated the middle east. If you can imagine combination of our joint special Operations Commander with our joint chiefs of staff with our cia director and our foreign minister or secretary of state, you roll that into one man and thats qasem soleimani. Paul he had that much influence . Huge influence. Huge yopower. Huge power. Really somebody to be admired for his prowess and operational capacity as well as his tactical brilliance. He really has created enormous difficulties for u. S. Interests, as secretary pompeo said, he has american blood on his hands as well as the blood of hundreds of thousands of syrians and iraqis. This is a consequential move by the president and President Trump really deserves enormous credit. Paul lets talk about the impact in the middle east, first of all, the impact inside iran. The ayatollah said before this that the u. S. Could do nothing at all to stop what iran did. Clearly, he was wrong about that. What happens next in iran . Are they going to strike back here . Theyre promising to do so. This was a severe blow to the supreme leader. Soleimani was his right and left hand, the second most powerful man in iran after the supreme leader, answered directly to him, not through the chain of command. The regime is going to have to strike back. The real question is how and where. They certainly learned to their horror that President Trump unlike previous president s is willing to enforce red lines, specifically a red line against taking u. S. Casualties. I think theyre going to have to be careful about striking out against u. S. Personnel or interests. Their playbook is to go after allies, go after oil facilities, tankers. Iraq will probably be the main battleground. They want to drive us out. If they can drive us out, that would be a testament to soleimani and that was after all soleimanis objective, to drive the United States out of iraq out of the middle east. That will be the main battleground. Paul the question they face is do you really target americans . Do you target our diplomats . Do you target our military troops that are on the ground. We have 5 yo 5,000 of them in i. Because if you do and you end up killing americans the message from the you attack on soleimani is we will strike be bac back ai assume that would not be limited no to just iraq. I think thats exactly right. I think President Trump has made it very clear that he will enforce the red line against the taking of american lives and so that kind of escalation would be enormously risky for the regime because they could be risking their military and the survival of the regime itself. Ththe traditional playbook may e to do everything short of that, go after the u. S. Allies, the assets of oura our allies, go ar Energy Resources and create massive demonstrations and work against us politically to try and force the Iraqi Government to force us out of that country. Paul right. But theres a split point of view inside iraq around iranian presence. Some of the protests in recent weeks have been against the iranian meddling in iraq although it is are true that the Prime Minister denounced the american attack on soleimani and so did the ayatollah, the shiite leader. Do you think were able to maintain a presence inside iraq . Good question. Youre exactly right. For months, hundreds of thousands of iraqis including especially shiite iraqis have been on the streets, protesting against iran, against iranian imperialism, yelling death to the dictator, iran out of our country. Certainly iraqi nationalism has been fueled by the heavy hand of iranian imperiairan imperial it country. Politically, it will bee been es pressure. Theres enormous influence in the iraqi political system and Iraqi Parliament and so i expect that there will be moves to try to force us out politically and try to force the hand of the iraqi politicians to defend iran and defend iraqi sovereignity and try to force us out of that country. Paul whats the larger impact of this in the middle east, more broadly . Because there had been real concern there, particularly after the president s pledge to get out of impulsive move to get out of syria twice which hes twice taken back that maybe he wants to get out. Does this send a reassuring message to some of the rest of the region . Look, i hope it does. I think it should. But it really depends on President Trumps next move. How does he respond to regimes escalation, how does he respond to more Violent Attacks against our allies. If the message is you can go after a our allies, as long as you dont kill americans, theyre not going to be reassured. If the message is the United States is here to stay in the middle east, were going to be very selective but very deadly about how we use military force, were not going to have a huge footprint but the footprint we have will be there to defend u. S. Interests and u. S. Allies, i think its a devastating blow to the regime in iran which did not expect this from donald trump. Paul right. Certainly did not expect this. I think no one expected this from donald trump. It was only two months ago i was calling donald trump a twitter tiger and now i take it back. I mean, i commend him for doing what no other u. S. President in 23 years was willing to do, which is to take out this master terrorist. So i think Donald Trumps next move is going to be the very important move and thats the move that oural lie our allies d adversaries will be looking at. Paul thanks for coming in. As the 2020 president ial race heats up, our panels take on the political impact here at home of the killing of qasem soleimani. In a world where everything gets a sequel. Its finally time for. Geico sequels classic geico heroes, starring in six new commercials, with jawdropping savings. Vote for your favorites at geico. Com sequels ahhh, which way do i go . i dont know, im voting for our sequels. With geico, the savings keep on going to a screen near you. Not the leg you dang woodchucks geico sequels. Vote and enter to win today not the leg you dang woodchucks i am totally blind. And non24 can make me show up too early. Or too late. Or make me feel like im not really there. 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We have a president who has had really a failure in his iranian policy, who has had no larger Strategic Plan and has made that region less stable and less safe. Paul new jersey senator and 2020 democratic president ial candidate cory booker criticizing the Trump Administration in the wake of the Soleimani Killing calling the president s iran policy a failure and contributed to instability in the region. Lets bring in our panel, wall street columnist, Dan Henninger, kim strassel and kyle peterson. Do you think this was warranted, taking on soleimani . I think it absolutely was warranted. The only phrase in cory bookers i agree with is instability in the middle east. Soleimani deserved to die for what he did to americans fighting in iraq. Lets understand who he was. The head of the quds forces, iraqs cats paw and the organizer of their operations with the houthis in yemen, supporting what sad in syria hahassad. Heather hassad in syria. Soleimani probably contributed single handedly more than anybody in the world to instability in the middle east. Every player over there as a result of this event has to go back, reboot and think, what their relationship is going to be Going Forward with one another, with the United States, and certainly with iran. Because a big player has been removed from the table. Paul he was empowered, kyle, by the Iranian Nuclear deal, because the cash that that provided, the income, he was a huge chunk of it went to him to finance his overseas operations including the siege and massacre of allepo and lets not forget what he did against american soldiers with all a their shaped charges and roadside bombs, people think he was responsible, our military, for Something Like 500 deaths. Speaking of rebooting, thats going to happen on the democratic side. So far democrats running for president have taken the position we need to get in that deal again, coax iran back towards better behavior. That seems increasingly unlikely now and the problem with what theyre saying, cory booker is a good example of that, theyre trying to have a little bit of both ways. The question really is i know a lot of niece guys want to draw these guys want to draw down from the middle east. If you have troops there, will you let iran kill americans, attacks on the American Embassy or will you take a hard line which is what the president has done. Paul this democratic response, kim, is interesting. Because they all start by saying the same thing. Every one of them has said the same thing. Soleimani was terrible, he murdered americans, he was a very bad guy but we really cant do anything about it because its too risky. And they might hit back at us, for example. We could get more escalation. Therefore, the implication is, well, they would have done nothing. They would have done nothing against soleimani. Yeah, and that really is the problem here. Like broadly as you just said, it doesnt its not a good look for democrats to be putting out this hedge. Then you drill down and i think theres more specific risk for different types of candidates out there too, paul. You look at biden, you already see members of the Trump Administration andal lies of drum allies of trump drawling the direct comparison between the president s willingness to act here and the obama, biden policy of essentially appeasement and sending cash over that causes instability. And then you look at warren, an Elizabeth Warren or a Bernie Sanders, and theyre essentially saying we dont want to be involved in any of these regions at all. And in light of this, youre going to have americans saying well, what do we do when our embassy is attacked and what is your foreign policy. Paul how does the president think about this when hes thinking about his pledge, campaign pledge, that he wanted to get us out of forever wars and not have a permanent position in the middle east, certainly not he get into new wars. Hes going to get some criticism from the isolationist right. Hows he going to respond to that . Yeah, thats why i think what Mark Dubowitz said was so important, saying its trumps next move that really matters here. Because hopefully what he takes out of this is an understanding, that you need a presence there to be able to respond to this, to stand with our allies and that is not necessarily the same thing as having a traditional boots on the ground or being in an endless war, its about American Military power, might and influence in the region. Hes going to be under pressure to back away from that but that is the smart move Going Forward. Paul no chance that the president would sanction a ground war inside iran, but it could be that we get into some kind of at this tim titfortaty back and forth, particularly if they kill more american soldiers. Thats one of the reasons we hit soleimani because the pent pentagon believed he was planning to kill more americans. I doubt we want to get into a titfortat for him. Im not sure the iranians do either. I think the moment has aa lived for donald trump to arrived for donald trump to suggest that this is the moment for serious negotiations over irans future. That point had to come eventually, just as reagan talked. I think donald trump should not sit down but propose to them, weve got to talk about denuclearization. You can walk away from it if they arent serious. This is the moment i think to ask the iranians whether they want to seriously try to negotiate an end game to whats going on here. Paul interesting. Im not so sure they wont try to wait him out until after the elections, to see if hes still in office. When we come back, with just a month to go until the first votes are cast in the democratic president ial race, a look at who is up and who is down and who is out of fun fact 1 in 4 of us millennials have debt we might die with. And most of that debt is actually from credit cards. Its just not right. But with sofi, you can get your credit cards right by consolidating your Credit Card Debt into one monthly payment. Including your Interest Rate right by locking in a fixed low rate today. And you can get your money right with sofi. Check your rate in two minutes or less. Get a nofee personal loan up to 100k. Get a nofee personal loan today, john got dressed first date with sarah. John told his stitch fix stylist evan that tonight was a big deal. So his stylist did the hard work for him. Browsing hundreds of styles and sizes to find the perfect fitting shirt and blazer. So that tonight john could feel totally himself. At stitch fix we dont just see your size or your style. We see you. Let us find your perfect fit at stitchfix. Com. Beyond the routine checkups. Beyond the notsoroutine cases. Comcast business is helping doctors provide care in whole new ways. All working with a new generation of technologies powered by our gigspeed network. Because beyond technology. There is human ingenuity. Every day, comcast business is helping businesses go beyond the expected. To do the extraordinary. Take your business beyond. Paul with just a month to go now until the first votes are cast in the 2020 democratic primary, iowa frontrunner pete hegsetPete Buttigieg is takint joe biden, saying he would not have wanted to see his son serving on the board of the Ukrainian National gas company barisma and vowing his administration would do everything we can to pre even the appearance of a conflict. This comes a day after but he criticized a vote in favor of military use in iraq. Can the frontrunner in iowa cut into bidens support. Kim, let me go to you first. We have this new sharpening of some of these differences, buttigieg, the strategy he needs to knock biden down in iowa so he can prevail. What impact do you think this iranian attack is going to have on buttigieg versus biden . Look, one of the things that has been buttigiegs strength in iowa and when you see him rising in other polls is hes a veteran so he at least to the democratic electorate seems to speak with some authority on questions of foreign policy. You then have biden coming out in the wake of all of this and sort of hedging his bets, saying, well, on the one hand he was a bad guy, on the other hand this is dangerous and reckless. I think the worry is that biden looks like someone who has been in an administration that made poor judgments in the past and buttigieg is going to try to sharpen those differences. Paul i think bidens going to be pressured from the left on iran and theyre going to try to elite it with his iraq vote. Theres no question about it. As kim was suggesting, pete hegseth wa Pete Buttigieg waa veteran. I cant imagine theres a single veteran of the iraq or afghan war after soleimanis killing wasnt he weeping tears of joy. The numbers he wounded or maimed is astonishing. Thats one issue you could get wholeheartedly on the right side of. Its true that they have to be aware that well, lets put it this way. We always talk about the lefts influence on these primaries but if joe biden is going to run as a moderate, at some point hes got to stop worrying about the progressives. Theyre going to vote for Bernie Sanders and a Elizabeth Warren. L theyre not going of to vote for him. So is he either going to run as a moderate or is he going to run as a hybrid that satisfies no one. Paul i think the answer is hybrid and hope that his appeal as somebody who can beat trump prevails over thats the dominant reason that they will go to him but theres another theres other divisions coming into the fore, kyle, including Elizabeth Warren going after buttigieg for his donors and other reasons, because she needs to reclaim some of that votes thats been leeching to him. Right. And the reason the sharp sticks are coming out right now is not only because iowa is only a month away, the caucuses, but also because the candidates are falling. Pete buttigieg is at maybe 7 or 8 . Elizabeth warren has dropped slightly. Paul buttigieg is doing much better in iowa. He is. Paul thats the big goal for him. If he can win iowa, he can surge into New Hampshire with momentum. Thats true. If youre biden, youre feeling pretty good right now. Youre still at 30 of the vote. Youve never been under 25. Paul what if he loses iowa . Thats true. His fund raising has recovered. He put up decent numbers this quarter. I think hes looking pretty strong, all things considered. Pete is trying to get at his judgment, another thing to think about is that joe biden, he tried to persuade the president against doing th raid against oa bin laden, he advised against that raid. There is questions about judgment. In the end i think there are voters who will look at him, theyll survey the field and look at him as a safe pair of hands here. Paul are you as bullish on biden as kyle is, kim . Not quite. I think you make a really valid point about iowa. Once you get some momentum out of that Pete Buttigieg he is betting the o bank on it. He had a good fourth quarter, 25 million, one of the biggest war chests out there. More than half of the offices he set up across the United States are in iowa. That as reflected in the polls. You come out of that, do well in New Hampshire, you dont know where that leaves biden and his momentum in south carolina. Paul then you have bernie who is remarkably strong. He stays with that core of support, 20 or so. Hes not going you a way. He away. He blew away the fund raising in the fourth quarter. Hes not leaving anytime soon. Hes going to hang in there. Bernie has some sort of mystical support, since 2016. His supporters love them. Mostly theyre youngerrer, thats the eye ron younger, thats the ironic thing. That highlights the struggle between Bernie Sanders and l Elizabeth Warren. They are competing for the same group of voters. Combine them and they have a greater number of percentage than joe biden. So at some point somethings got to give. At the moment, Elizabeth Warren, her fund raising was off, her numbers are off. And theres going to be i think some pressure on her eventually. It wont happen before iowa but eventually to drop out. Paul it wont happen before New Hampshire because shell get to play in that. If she doesnt do well enough in those states, there will be pressure for her to drop out. Yeah. I dont know that she will go to that pressure. Paul why not. Youre making yourself a figure and you believe what you believe. Shes a conviction politician it seems like. Paul if shes interfering with bernies ability to get the nomination from the left against a moderate like a biden or mayor pete, wont she feel pressure to get out . Maybe. But we played this game in 2016 too when during the republican primary President Trump who was humming along at 30 and one of these guys is going to drop out and nobody ever did. Paul they all did eventually but yeah, it took a while. No question about that. Thank you all. Still ahead, the economy ends 2019 on a high note with a dow closing the year with its best decade since the 1990s and the economy adding almost 2 million new jobs. So will stocks continue to rise in the new year and have recession im your mother in law. 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Take your business beyond. Paul the u. S. Economy closing out 2019 on a high note this week with the major stock indexes showing some of the strongest gains of the decade. The s p 500 rose by 29 in 2019, the nasdaq by 35 , and the Dow Jones Industrial average by 22 . So will stocks continue to rise in 2020 . And are recession fears on the back burner, at least for now . Lets ask jason trainer, chairman and chief executive officer of strategus research partners. I want to first ask you about the iranian tension now, oil popped up 4 or so, stocks down at least initially. What impact do you see economically . At this point it would be hard to say but i dont think its much and its largely because the consumer is in such good shape. Obviously the Unemployment Rate is 3. 5 , near full employment, and the savings rate actually is not talked about much, savings rate is about 8 which is unusual. And so the u. S. Consumer i think is pretty robust to shocks like these. Another big increase from here would be somewhat problematic but also with shade behind us, that should benefit the economy on the other side. Paul i want to ask about that. But in terms of the oil price, the fact that the u. S. Has become such a prominent producer really does reduce any potential reduce the risks from, say, iraq, if iraq became a lower producer. In comparison to 10 years or 20 years ago its not even theres almost no comparison. The u. S. Is the swing producer right now and actually a decent part of Capital Spending actually in the United States comes from the energy sector. Paul so a little boost in prices may not hurt, may help. It may help some of the Service Providers and E P Companies as well. Paul lets talk you mentioned trade. Right. Paul you said its behind us. The president s going to sign a china dean, usmca, mexico canada deal will pass the senate. Are you looking for that uncertainty being removed entirely . For the time being. One of the more interesting questions, if President Trump were to win a second term, it would be interesting to see what might happen as far as trade in the second term. For now, the main thing thats behind us it seems to me are the artificial deadlines that were put into place in 2019. Paul for tariffs. For tariffs, which in my opinion some members of the administration disagree with me on this, but in my opinion damaged Business Confidence and in some ways sterilized some of the benefits from the supply side tax cuts passed in 2017. To the extent in which we dont have artificial deadlines in terms of tariffs, it would strike me that Capital Spending should lift in 2020 and that was the big missing piece from 2019. Paul theres evidence to back you up. Fed study said uncertainty has taken one percentage point off gdp in the last year and theres a new study out that said it hurt manufacturing. Could we see a bounceback do you think there will be a bounceback in investment this year and will it flow into manufacturing . I believe so. I believe so. You have to remember, the Global Economy will also benefit from the fact that u. S. And china have reached some sort of det a ante, particularly europe. Europe in many ways is the most sensitive to a slowdown in Global Manufacturing and trade because theyre so dependent upon trade. U. S. Is very much more robust in some ways. We slowed clearly but that was more due not because the trade deficit wid widened. Its more due to Business Confidence. If they can focus on the longterm impact of the supply side impact of the tax you cuts, seems that Business Confidence should lift. We grew at 3 in 2018. We grew at about 2 in 2019. And i would split the difference this year, it is an Election Year which korea its its own call creates its own challenges but seems to me growth would strengthen. Paul so bouncing back to two andahalf or Something Like that. Right. Paul that would tend to suggest youll have a pretty good job market as well, continuing, even though there are fewer people on the sidelines because so many have already come off. Are we going to see the Unemployment Rate even go lower than three andahalf . Its the only reason why it might not is youre running out of workers and in some ways that could be some sort of impetus to try to spur Capital Spending, to replace labor that you dont have. But youve seen the Labor Force Participation rate stay relatively high, despite the fact that the population is aging. And so all that bodes very, very well in my opinion for the employment market. Paul and for wage gains, which at this stage of a recovery you would expect to be a little higher than theyve been. Theyre still healthy at over 3 but you see those going up maybe to 4 . Its hard to see the wages going up that quickly in such a short period of time but in some ways the philips curve is dead,. Paul tradeoff between unemployment between unemployment and inflation. The Trump Administration should take some credit in that for not necessarily believing as much as the Federal Reserve did in the existence of the philips curve. We have real wage gains, without something inflation, despite the fact that you are by any normal standard at full employment. Paul so this thing is this recovery is going to keep going. I mean, its already ten andahalf years. Thats extraordinary in and of itself. Recession fears in your mind back burner until 2021 and later . Paul, generally what creates recessions are is inflation and the fed fighting inflation and right now the real fed funds rate, fed funds rate minus inflation rate is zero. Paul money is easy to come by. Money is easy to come by, Monetary Policy and fiscal policy is stimulative. Regulatory policy is easy. All things point in the right direction. Theres always a chance as weve seen with iran, there could be an e exogenous event that could change things materially. Aside from the policy mix in my opinion is set up for a continuation of an expansion thats already the longest in a post war period. Paul thank you for the good news. Thank you. Paul still ahead, brandnew census numbers offering a glimpse of just where americans are moving. A look at the states with the biggest gains and losses and what it could mean when congressional seats are reapportioned in 2020, next. As a struggling actor, i need all the breaks that i can get. At liberty butchumal cut. Liberty biberty cut. Well dub it. Liberty mutual customizes your Car Insurance so you only pay for what you need. Only pay for what you need. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. Liberty. I am totally blind. And non24 can throw my days and nights out of sync, keeping me from the things i love to do. Talk to your doctor, and call 8442142424. 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Preservision. groans hmph. food grunting menacingly when the food you love doesnt love you back, stay smooth and fight heartburn fast with tums smoothies. Tum tumtum tum tums when you think of miami you think of,you know,rich,glamour but 5 miles away from the beach theres people who have never seen a beach. I was confused why somebody was in this situation especially in america. Music oooh,oooh,oooh so when i started joshuas Heart Foundation it was a key thing to be able to engage youth in the foundation. To help them participate. Music oooh,oooh,oooh i think passing on the torch and lighting a new flame in another person to do good is probably the point of the Bigger Missions i have. Music aha,aha,aha so we are each making a bigger difference. Music oooh,oooh,oooh thats it just giving back and producing love for everybody. Paul as americans ring in a new year, newly released figures from the u. S. Census bureau show just where they are doing it. The southern United States on the largest gains from domestic migration between 2018 and 19 with florida, texas and arizona leading the pack while california, new york and illinois are the biggest losers, with the golden state down more than 200,000 people in the last year alone, if that trend continues, california is on track to lose a congressional seat after the 2020 census for the first time in history. Were back with Dan Henninger, kim strassel and jason willick. What stands out to you in the migration figures. Whats most striking is californias numbers. Its been a state 1850. Its always gained or retained power in the congress, always seen as the future of the country and future of the middle class so it losing a seat for the first time kind of signals the end of an era for that states role in the union as a growing part of it on the west coast. Paul youre a californian, of course. I am. Paul you were. Now youre a new yorker. 53 seats, they have. So they probably lose one or two, maybe just probably one. Theyre projected to lose one. And i think part of the cause is just they havent been able to build enough housing to keep costs low for people. So its just too expensive to live anywhere near the coast and people are having to move of east and commute really far to work. Paul the rich are staying but its the many of the rich, but its the middle class that are being pushed into arizona, nevada and other states. What stands out to you, dan . I just noticed the decline in new york, in new jersey, top 10 states, vermont, connecticut and new york. Illinois. Paul illinois. What do they all have in common . Paul very high taxes and high union dominated politics, public union dominated politics. Exactly right. These are completely blue states. It couldnt be more obvious. If the liberals in the states want to deny reality, the ones that are left, already moved you out, thats up to them. Whats happening here, it is indeed liberal politics, spending, social programs, that has been going on for the better part of 40 years and it is finally catching up with them. Theyre always willing to get away with it in new york, wall street would pay high levels of taxes, would always underwrite the spending, california recently its been the Tech Industry thats been able to do it. And thats ending. And theyre just running out of money. As a result, as jason suggested, housing the cost of living thats the biggest problem. The cost of living is very high in all of these states and people just cannot afford to live there. So they are migrating to places like texas and florida. Paul kim, texas, a arizona, florida, utah, south carolina, north carolina, all states that are gaining, what do they have in common, if anything . Free market policies. You were talking about people being pushed out of california. I think its more that people are responding to a lot of the governors in the states that are saying hey, you want a better life, you want to live more cheaply, you want a better job, come on over. Im sure the weather helps too. In some of these places. But a lot of it is simply an opportunity to live that middle class life that people in every generation hope for for themselves and for their kids and whether its free market policies, lower regulation, a lower tax regime, these are the things that that theyre using to you draw new people to their borders. Paul jason, florida at 27 congressional seats, just like new york. But after this census in a couple years its going to have more than new york for the first time ever. Uh huh. And florida and texas are both red states in 2016 but theyre also states where democrats could compete potentially. So its one question, are the california re refugees in these places going to move to austin and miami and push things in a bluer direction and change the policies that led to these states being beacons in the first place. Paul how does it affect the mix in congress . Most of the some of the states that are going to gain they are red states now but not necessarily will stay that way if some of these migrants coming in bring their politics i guess is your point. But at least in the short term it should make for it could make for reduction in the influence of some of the high tax states. Yeah. I believe that states that went for donald trump in 2016 are gaining seven congressional seats and states a that went for according to these projections, that went for Hillary Clinton gaining two. On that youre seeing Movement Towards redder states. I think the republicans in these states like texas and florida ought to set up welcome wagon committees which sit down to th with the new migrants andy do you understand why you left california and new york to come here because if you vote for the same stuff, youll turn our state into what you fled within three years. Paul good idea. When we come back, a hanukkah attack on an Orthodox Jewish community, just the latest in a space of antisemetic assaults in the new york area. Our panel takes a closer look at whats behind the recent uptick in violence and the blame game lets be honest, every Insurance Company says they can save you these. In fact, if you had a dollar for every time they said it, youd have a lot of dollars. Which makes it hard to believe, especially coming from a talking lizard. Pip, pip, cheerio look, all i, dennis quaid, know is that esurance is built to save you dollars without skimping on service. And when they save, you save. The only way to know how much is to get a quote. Chances are youll save time, paperwork, and yes, dollars. When insurance is affordable, its surprisingly painless. When insurance is affordable, paul new York Governor Andrew Cuomo directing Police Across the state to increase patrols in Orthodox Jewish neighborhoods following more than a dozen antisemetic attacks in recent weeks including last saturdays stabbing at a hanukkah celebration at a rabbis home that left five people wounded. Bill de blasio suggesting that President Trump was at least partly to blame for that incident, telling foxs ed henry that the tone in washington needs to change. An atmosphere of hate has been developing in this country over the last few years, a is emanating from washington, its having an effect on all of us. Youre blaming the president. Not just the president. We have to be clear. We need a different tone, starting in washington. Paul were back with jason willick, Dan Henninger and kyle peterson. Looking at the facts, is there an upsurge in antisemetic incidents and sentiment in the United States . If you look at organization thats track this kind of thing, they say yes of. One of the issues with those numbers, they generally include things like vandalism which can be a problem buts is obviously a different category, than you assaults on the street. If you talk to people or read people from the Jewish Community in new york, they say a couple things, first of all, this stuff has been going on a long time and hasnt gotten the attention its deserved and secondly, that the its just sort of endemic in certain communities. I think its gratifying that this is getting some aa tension. Attention. Its a shame it took a shooting and m machete attack for it to t the attention. If there was attacks on other religious communities, nuns or people wearing turbans, it would be top news everywhere. Paul whats behind it, jason . Do you have any thoughts . I think theres a lot of things. I mean, i think we know whats behind sort of right wing antisemitism, the model of sort of a white supremacist who hates jews. Its less understood whats going on in these attacks which are in lower income communities, parts of brooklyn, parts of new jersey. I think its antisemitism can be an indicator of sort of social decay and the prevelance of conspiracy theories and so i think its sort it tends to rise up when societying feel uncertain, polarized and a alienated. Paul some of the neighborhood tension in new york, some of us remember from the 1990s, crown heights, African American tension with the Jewish Community. Now with the has idic jewish Hasidic Jewish population rising in some of these neighborhoods, some of that has increased. Theres more encounters between the Hasidic Community and the African American community. This creates inertia when people feel theres impunity in the neighborhoods when you can assault people and there wont be consequences. Paul a couple people that have committed these assaults have been let off because of new bail laws and new rules in new york city, let them back out on the streets right away and they did it again. Theres not enough pushback, for sure. We need to understand the antisemetic attacks, its a bad sign. There is a lot we we should broaden this discussion. Theres a lot of antisemitism occurring in europe these days before much r worse there. Much worse across there. They have antiseesemitism occupies a unique place in the history. Once it happens, theres a lot of social anxiety out there in europe, in the United States, and when that happens, people start looking for groups, disfavored groups to target and the fact that once again theyre picking the jews to target should suggest to us that there is a deeper problem going on in the society. Paul and what do you make of de blasios accusation about washington and the white house . Well, i mean, thats part of what makes why this i think has not gotten as much attention is that it defies the usual narratives. Some of the stories, you watch the security footage and its harrowing. You have maybe an African American suspect who runs up and punches a jewish guy in the back of the head and says nothing. That defies the usual narrative. Its really disturbing. America has long been a refuge for people of all faiths. I think of George Washingtons letter to the Jewish Community in new port where he says he hopes they find everybody shall sit safely under his own vine and fig tree. Thats what we should want for america. Paul we have to take one more break. When we come back, our panels predictions for 2020. Fun fact 1 in 4 of us millennials have debt we might die with. And most of that debt is actually from credit cards. Its just not right. But with sofi, you can get your credit cards right by consolidating your Credit Card Debt into one monthly payment. 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Time now for our panels fearless predictions for 2020. I to do this but im going to predict we are not yet done with house impeachment. Another article or more, many more articles of impeachment against trump. The pressure to push nancy pelosi into doing this is rage against donald trump, desire to investigate, subpoena and use all that to play case the broad masses. It still exists. Whether they are going to reach that and put more onto the articles they are still sitting on our going down a whole new representative a whole, we are not done with this yet. University of california has been talking for a long time about how the fat and sat are discriminatory because students get different source correlate with income groups. I think theyre finally going to drop that which is about idea because i think dropping a test doesnt make this achievement away, it just covers it up but i think they will make that decision in 2020. Its First Academy award for best picture and the golden globe nomination has three of the five nominees including the irishman. If it wins best picture, a cultural but i think it will be down because not a lot of people will watch a. Im going to suggest the hawkins will take back at the house but go back a lot more seat they lost in 2018. Two reasons. One i think voters in that district are being put off by day the impeachment democrats and perhaps more importantly, the left wing trip for the candidates. I think in no swing districts moderate voters are going to move back toward the republican. Thank you. Thats it for this weeks show. Thank you to my panel and for watching. We hope to see you right here. R. Right near marias wall street begins. On the fox studios in new york city this is marias wall street. Maria welcome to the program that analyzes the week that was an helps position you for the week ahead. Happy new year everyone. Coming up in just a few moments, we are going to take a look at 2019 and some of marias biggest interviews. Jamie dimon, rodriguez, just two of the big names you wont want to miss. But first, 2019 was a recordbreaking year for wall street. The dow, the nasdaq the s p all reaching new highs. Back in 2020 pick up for 2019 left off . And what should