Among the armenian leadership in the near future , maybe they. Want to leave, independently leave the csto, and then what will this actually affect, is such a withdrawal itself and an independent decision to accept obabych from moscow, is it impossible . I think such a scenario must be considered by the modern fermentsky government, and this, the next step from the number of steps away from moscow, they understand that moscow is becoming extremely. it does not help anything and currently it only harms the realization of armenian interests, despite the fact that at one time moscow tried to play the role of an arbiter and, but wherever she played the role of an arbiter, as you know, the conflicts only deepened, only became less and less capable of resolution, and carried with them the tragedies of those people who were, supported, this or that position and supported russia as a peacemaker, therefore, at the moment, i hope that precisely those conflict situations that arose in some places in the world, mainly on the borders of the russian federation, the states with which it bordered or did not border, tried to influence the postsoviet space as a trick, then the conflicts will be resolved in these states, to decide er, much sooner and er, with much less blood than the moles could have been resolved, and it was allegedly resolved with the help of russia, the odb, this is the structure that is already demonstrating its inability and inability to this day, their extreme operation, which was more or less advertised, is the story with kazakhstan, and we see that after that, they, the russians, having carried out a fullscale aggression in ukraine, practically put an end to all their International Obligations and promises made within the framework of the odb , therefore, in the near future , the armenians will quite possibly announce in order to solve domestic political issues, and we see that serious internal conflicts are currently taking place there, the struggle for power is intensifying, then the exit from the csto will be with one, one of the points of raising the rating, or political ugh, mr. Valentyn, to talk about the course of armenia, yes, we saw that not only the criticism of the odb against the background of the military operation of azerbaijan, but also that they literally recalled their ambassador to the odb, after that they conducted joint military exercises with the united states, and also expressed, if im not mistaken, pashinyan himself said that armenia will ratify the rome statute, which means that it will become another country that should arrest vladimir putin, according to that. The warrant of the International Criminal court, mr. Valentin, here again, here about this movement, about this change in this vector, i would like to hear your opinion, it is a necessity , the only nuance is that no matter how russia takes advantage of this situation in order not to provoke mass demonstrations against the current armenian government with the aim of overthrowing it, it can be very paradoxical a story when, as a result, antirussian sentiments that today could not but arise in the context of the events in vartsakh, if we speak from their point of view, well, if pashinyan and his entourage had not become the victims of all this, because after all, the russians can take advantage of this, it can be a paradoxical story, yes, that is, by and large they dont care who they support, the main thing for them is to produce this chaos, as there was once a class book by ivan juba, and its called infusing the morale, but they are engaged in what are spreading darkness everywhere, and it is unlikely that they will abandon it as long as they have the opportunity to do so, but i am inclined to think that. Armenia today has prospects for regulating its relations with turkey, with azerbaijan, with iran, as the same said poshinyan himself, in the end, in the perspective of becoming part of nato and the western world, and this can be a way out of that geopolitical, well, dead end, in which they found themselves as a result of, well, all those processes that accompanied, well, the collapse of the soviet union, well, that is, it is so. It looks like, well, the main thing, let me repeat, russia has not created another zone of stability there, and as for the allies, so who will be an ally now, if from the dkb, we see this way, in which we are allies, well, in what do you understand, in what was the de Facto Alliance russia, well, we saw its results, moreover, we did not see him now, but that they helped in kazakhstan , someone directly attacked kazakhstan, well, there were internal contradictions in kazakhstan and the russians simply in essence. Interfered in the internal affairs of a sovereign state, well, that is, they helped, okay, and what kazakhstan repaid them, not by recognizing the occupied territories of the elections, well, that is, by and large, but they really , with their bayonets, helped takayev come to power and stay in power, well, as a result, what happened, as a result, in essence, the previous kazakh elite, yes, which was absolutely well well the postsoviet, lets say so, is accordingly strongly connected with russia , and everything. There is no longer what this nursultan is for or what the city was called, the father of nations is no longer there, and there is no longer any particularly fruitful relations with russia, kazakhstan is also not declares, and there is also growing dissatisfaction with the number of russians who moved there and took up positions, which, by the way, it should be understood that a lot of various middlelevel managers from moscow left there, and who moved from moscow to almaty, roughly speaking and are sitting on the same salaries as they were sitting in moscow. Local people were indulged, therefore there are also its own difficulties and problems, the main point that we must realize, and which is becoming more and more obvious to everyone, all the integration processes and projects that russia tried to create in the postsoviet period, suffered a magical collapse, everything, that is, it is not is subject to, well, russia is not the center of gravity, it wanted to be at least, well, forced, so tight. To itself, but today it has not created anything attractive and there is no power potential, the only thing is who is with them now remain, this is belarus, but it is like the karamazov brothers, they are connected by blood, they are connected by a common crime, thats all, thats it, we understand what the lukashenko regime is like in belarus, the selfproclaimed president , significant part, this was recently socialized, they said that belarus is considered an occupied state, well, actually speaking, this is also very revealing, i am not ready. Now to say what are the real attitudes of the population of belarus, yes, regarding the russians, i am not ready to say, well, what is in the future, even this allied state not implemented, it cannot be implemented, all these csto, cis, well, thats all, but the eurasian union, theirs, are all completely stillborn entities, because they were not a tool for satisfying common interests, they were a tool for imposing on other states the interests of the russian federation, well, one should not think that everyone is so stupid that they did not understand this, so it is clear that when it is necessary to take lukashenkos money, yes, he runs there, and when something is different, he responds differently, when suchandsuch needs something from russia, one model of behavior, and then says that thank you very much, good morning, well, the same thing should, i think, can happen, well should happen with armenia, its just that armenia, unlike all these countries, has really serious challenges. And security is not enough. Now i see that they have a chance to get out of this situation with minimal losses , lets put it that way, i immediately remember how at the csto meeting, putin presented everyone with rings, like the owner of a ring, and by the way, lukashenko, the only , who then put it on immediately, he remembered it that way, well, there were shoelaces, they just put them on the finger, well, that is, he did not understood, yes, everyone else understood what this means, thank you, mr. Valentin, we will observe all these processes and inside, well, lets say, Foreign Policy processes related to russia, because we understand that the most important task now is in the end defeat us on the battlefield, seize our territories and take away our freedom at the expense of this, for example, as on the example of azerbaijan, you see, they know how to take advantage of the circumstances, in fact, and lets say, well, azerbaijan did not only take advantage here, azerbaijan will, well post gas to europe, that is, it has a certain economic profit from all this, well, but this is also the result of a certain pragmatic Foreign Policy, we may not like it in all aspects, well, but. A sovereign state, they do as they see fit , well, azerbaijan has always supported the territorial integrity of ukraine, in fact, we are grateful for that, valentin glykh, a political scientist , joined us today in the studio, thank you , mr. Valentin, for helping, as always , to understand the difficult, in simple words, we will move on, we will talk, in particular about russias militaryindustrial complex, what changes did it undergo during the full scale invasion and why, despite the announcement of an increase in the amount of ammunition and air defense, there are still problems, and even more so, not only for exports that the kremlin is trying to increase for its allies. In russia , there are huge problems with the sale of weapons of its own production through ukraine. As the head of ukrainian intelligence krylobodanov told in an interview with the drive publication, the last successful attacks of our country on russian objects in the temporarily occupied crimea, showed the complete failure of the occupiers air defense systems. I quote pepo of the next generation, the s400 is not worth the billions of dollars for which moscow is selling it to itself. World market, end quote. Andriy kharuk, we have the opportunity to involve an aviation expert, a military historian, a professor of the department of humanities at the National Academy of land forces named after hetman peter sageydachny. Congratulations glory to ukraine. Glory to the heroes. In general, mr. Andrii, that is, in what areas is russias militaryindustrial complex currently concentrated, such as threatens us in the context of the approaching cold season. In fact, what we see is that. The russians continue to produce cruise missiles, which are quite a significant danger for us now, they managed to quickly establish the production of modular guided aerial bombs, which is also quite unpleasant for us, they uh, well, with some success, as far as can be judged, they have localized their producers, which is also in the context of the onset, here. The winter season is unpleasant for us, they continue activities with resuscitation of the armored tank industry, in particular, they are raising the issue of resuming production of tanks at their second plant, tanks are produced there in nizhny tagil , and now it seems that omsk is also going to be restored, although there are other t80 gas turbine tanks, that is, we are not talking about introducing them into serial production the production of these closest analogues of armata tanks, before the production of those tanks that were removed from the arsenal there 30 years ago, and somehow it is possible to modernize, what else can i say, they have problems with the production of artillery weapons, according to some estimates, they produce four to five artillery systems per month, they lose much more , the only enterprise that produced reactive fire control systems is the motovilikhinsk factories, they have been in the stage of bankruptcy for quite some time, and they are actually lagging behind the needs , the ability to produce missiles, i. E. Shells, and mr. Andrii, we are talking about russia trying to export certain types of weapons, so what are the main directions and is there demand, because we understand that, well, new ones, lets say yes, geopolitical military alliances, russia is trying. To build these contacts and offer probably something in the military field as well, which we can talk about in this direction, so the appearance of new russianmade training aircraft as 130 in the composition of the Iranian Air Force is definitely already recorded, here is literally a recent nondelivery, apparently in exchange for the same shaheds, it has been talking for a long time about the transfer of iran135 interceptors, which were contracted and manufactured for egypt, but egypt is under. Pressure from the us from this contract agreed, refused, that is, 24 planes are standing there, waiting for their turn, but if we talk about such key directions, in general, from the first weeks of the fullscale invasion, we had to read approximately such phrases that among the military bodies of those countries that managed to contract russian weapons, there is a quiet panic, because, well, they realized that , uh, this weapon does not meet the stated parameters, and accordingly, accordingly, it will have, well, a negative effect on the defense capability of a certain, certain country, although we have precedents, when, say, russia sold advanced s400 Missile Systems to a nato country, i. E. In turkey, actually, as an example, but this was still long before the fullscale opening, now it is supplied to india, it is supplied to china, this complex. That is, there are certain, lets say, buyers, but whether the pool of those consumers will expand is, well, a question with a double meaning. Bottom line, on the one hand, we have confirmation of the ineffectiveness of these weapons, or insufficient effectiveness of these weapons during the russianukrainian war, and on the other hand, we have the problem of the russians with compensation for own losses. No wonder, a week or two after the beginning of the largescale invasion, a government decision was even made in russia on a temporary ban on the export of any aircraft equipment, there were even derezhables on this list , well, although now this ban has already been lifted, that is, obviously, an influx of fresh funds for the russians more important than, not all, than the opportunity to replace your losses. Ugh. Mr. Andriy, during the fullscale invasion, we saw, in fact, what this war can be, it is called a war. And this name, it is fully justified, we have seen the importance of such weapons as drones, both air and surface, it is currently being discussed, a country without a navy is destroying the russian fleet, you as a military historian can give an assessment of how ukraine is now demonstrating such unique, unique progress, unique actions, effective, under time of this war. You see, as a military historian, i can say that the navy wont win the war, the navy plays a role in this case there on the flanks, and its certainly an important achievement that weve been able to break backbone of the black sea pivot, significantly shackled its actions, but the victory in this war is forged on the ground under the cover of an umbrella from the air, that is, er, peak operations are important, they allow inflicting significant losses on the russians, well, after all, more and more russians become good, as their thermal imager is imperceptible, yes, plus material losses are added to this, but i will repeat it once again, from the point of view of strategy it is the periphery, mr. Andriy, again i want to discuss with you, recently on the previous topic they talked about loss of influence russia in the military plan, in particular through the prism of the events that happened with the restoration of the territorial integrity of azerbaijan, in particular, even despite the death of peacekeepers, the killing of russian peacekeepers, russia still did not follow any force scenario and allowed the liquidation of such quasientities as karabakh and nagornokarabakh by absolute force. , as they call it, and again, what can this situation demonstrate to us in order to understand the real state of affairs, russias capabilities, what can this be an example for other territories that have prorussian ankles on their territory, separatist prorussian manifestations. Actually, this is a geopolitical issue rather than a purely military one, but from that point of view it should be noted that azerbaijan is, to a certain extent, a country that is not hostile, at least to russia, and accordingly in this context it is obvious. Is interpreted, that is, russia was faced with a difficult choice, yes, whom to support in this war, it decided, figuratively speaking, to wash its hands, of course, azerbaijan exercised its constitutional right to restore territorial integrity, this is very important west, but with all this, we must not forget that russia sold weapons to azerbaijan, and the newest, most modern ones, and sold them in the same way in armenia, although in armenia there were less financial opportunities, that is, i do not see any signs that russia was going to intervene in this conflict by some forceful method, because in any case russias intervention in this conflict would mean entering the zone of interests of turkey, well, putin is certainly not going to quarrel with erdogan, that is, it is such an uh, opinion , lets say so, mine and i once again i emphasize, i am not a geopolitician, a military historian, i would like to talk to you a little more about the Defense Forces on the territory of the occupied crimean peninsula, so you saw the video, which clearly shows the arrival of two missiles at the same time into the territory of the headquarters of the naval forces, where the military died management, in fact, there is even a list of the generals that were liquidated and we can see that two missiles at once, well, judging by the appearance, we can say that they were missiles like storm shadow, as well as those, as reported by the local public the antiaircraft defense was working, it was very loud, but both missiles reached such a level, what can this indicate, this is how we remember the statement of the minister of defense, the occupiers of shoigu, who ordered to double the production of russianmade air defense, yes, so far, as we can see, it is clear to double the air defense and defense of the sky over the occupied part of ukraine, it was not possible, you see, just a few weeks before this, this operation, this strike, the russians themselves wrote that about a quarter. Occupied crimea, er, they were subjected to a measure of strikes by the air forces or special Operations Forces or other components of the Defense Forces of ukraine, they also complained that, for example, the 1096 antiaircraft missile regiment, which is called to directly protect. Sevastopol, because it is a naval regiment, this is not an air force regiment, but he is dying under the takmak, that is, he is actually fighting there at the front, he was taken from sevastopol, that is, this systematic work to destroy the means of enemy defense has had its effect, of course, the russians have a lot, they have several dozen divisions of the same s400 complexes, but to transfer them to the crimea , well, this is not a very simple task, one must think, some objects can be liberated under the cover of these complexes, well, and secondly, and secondly, who guarantees the invulnerability of these complexes, because we saw wonderful shots when the same missile complex, it seems that it was a s300v , antimissile, on the mainland of ukraine tashchyn was also hit by a Ukrainian Drone that was, well, in the area of action of this complex, accordingly, nothing could not act we see that currently the russians are not able to effectively counter these Ukrainian Air defense measures, and this allows us to hope for the Successful Development of the next offensive operations, yes, thank you, well, we are watching. Lets say, with the effectiveness of russian air defense, we will to hope that our methods, again , will only progress, andrii haruk, aviation expert, military historian, professor of the department of humanities, National Academy of Ground Forces named after hetman pyotr sagaidachny joined our broadcast, and friends, for the last hour you were also with oleksiy homan, kateryna durkach, thank you for your trust, for being with us, the broadcast continues, see you, thank you. It is based on real events that took place in the most despicable country on the globe, dubbed in the singing ukrainian language, as documents under the seal of complete secrecy on the counteroffensive ukraine turned out to be widely available. Mynoborny is investigating the leak in social networks of allegedly classified documents about the counteroffensive in the Ukrainian Armed forces. In kiev they say, this photoshop psevdooslivy russians who want to disrupt the ukrainian counteroffensive. Most or many of the documents are genuine, but i think that some documents may have been corrected or changed. The Russian Special services conducted a Successful Operation in the midst of the enemy. The first Successful Operation was with swallowing. As a result, the pentagons plans became known to the world public. Plans that coincided with the plans of the armed forces became known, from this day the plans of the enemy and their puppets are like the palm of our hands, gestures of kindness there will be a lot of freedom. The americans were eaten, thanks to russian intelligence, thanks to gru, this is the best specialist in the world for such operations. Rashists are the worlds best specialists in swallowing. Brilliant operation, our situation. Russia will definitely win, but only on russian television. I will not hide. This is the brilliant work of belarusian intelligence. Oh, another one was drawn. It was we , the belarusians, who took, so to speak, we worked in pairs under the pentagon table, this is our signal to nato, dont show us your ugly hands, dont prevent us from stretching our legs, they stole the documents, they think they will read the papers and win the war, the old woman joked. They would bring better order in the trenches, at the front, drunkenness and corruption. Everything is as usual in the russian trenches. He who is not alive is drunk. I dont have the strength to endure this and i wont wipe my pants. Enough i am creating a club of angry patriots. I persuaded my friends to whine for a while with me. I am addressing you, russian patriot. Stop believing the kremlin, get angry with us. If you are a heavy drinker. Lets bring the hunya to us. Colleagues, thank you for a successful meeting. Grandfather tells how he was overcome with joy. I dont know which of you was behind it personally, so i consider it a collective success. Everyone will say that it is him, so i will not praise anyone. Comrade, president , the basis of this operation was made by my guys. The basis of the operation. Formed a tiktok brigade, and the base was prepared by our undercover diplomats. The basis of the operation was the diplomatic cavalry. Well, in zaama, the pentagon is still hacking the ministry of defense. They didnt poke their finger in the ass, either. I. But no, then they still pecked. My boys didnt see something yours, when they stormed the pentagon website. My boys didnt see yours when they were put in the bags. How quickly did you forget about my fighting liver . Colleagues, i see that everyone gave their best. This will be taken into account in gas. Please familiarize yourself with these documents, strike as soon as possible, read them and pretend that you understand something. Vanya, what did you do, did you loot the Maternity Hospital again . Survived again and didnt steal anything . No, i was simply transferred to other troops, i was transferred to other troops that had not yet been shot by the zsu. The secret army is simple. Well, how secret just the ones left. Nothing secret, well, you can tell me. Come on, tell me, because we have nothing to worry about here, in short , we spent all the rockets on kyiv transformers, we ran out of rockets, general armagdon of the transformer general, and i was transferred to collect rockets, because i have whole hands, i collect rockets because i have hands, and this is a rarity now, that is , there is no way to heroically acidify for a white dress, and why, it is dry and warm here . Its warm, dry, and the wagnerites dont touch it. Russian public speakers, Dmitry Medvedev russian public Dmitry Medvedev. So this is about me, and what is the drink and alcohol here . I do not dry out. Its none of your business, the pentagon. You are not so much a person. But he is not human. When i get drunk, i fear nuclear war. Ugh. Well, this is disinformation. At conclusions at the head of security. Conclusion, do not deal with russia until. Alcounts rule, wait until something changes, and no one hopes, well, they translated, tell me the translation, thats right, they translated, a special translation army worked, they barely found a person who knows