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【中金:大宗商品供需预期重设 价格轮动呈现三大特点】近期大宗商品价格轮动呈现三个特点,一是“中国需求”支撑减弱,二是“海外供应”风险回落,三是供需错配有所缓和。去年至今,或因疫情扰动,或受环保约束,或囿于产能制约,大宗商品市场供给侧的溢价催生了几波上涨行情,如去年四季度的铁矿与铜,今年四月份的钢材,六月份的石油。八月以来,全球变种疫情反复,海外经济恢复预期延后,国内生产活动也受到一定程度影响,疫情对需求影响“长尾退出”的特征显现。(中金点睛)

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