Every opportunity id vote every opportunity people are right. To make sure were here in time the polls open to me strong words more discount easy to cast a vote and get to live. And come out and say this we are still living doing probably one thing i love to face. Everything. Also coming up as humanity hopes and waits for a vaccine to snuff out the pandemic mans best friend is learning how to sniff out the virus as coded 19 began to spread to see was asked as an experiment to try to detect it took it 7 minutes to figure out that this is what they wanted to look for so that totally blew our minds. Our viewers watching on p. B. S. In the United States and to all of you around the world welcome we begin the day as the u. S. President ial Election Campaign begins its final crescendo traditionally this final week of the campaign is when the pressure of the political race for the white house rises and rises and then election day arrives followed by the climax on Election Night when one of the 2. Candidates is declared the winner well our present does not promise to repeat that past record high numbers of early voters means that this president ial election could have the highest turnout in more than a century and when you add the Record Number of mail in ballots to be counted on and after election day Election Night could be rather anticlimactic it may take days or even longer before we know will it be President Joe Biden or 4 more years of President Donald Trump what has not changed in 2020 is the final push to convince the undecided voters here are some of the last minute messages in this last week of the campaign is wave the white flag and life is the lead based. Guide is the lead based. Betting candidate. Complication coverage 2 will become the next preexisting conditions allowing Insurance Coverage or jack up your coverage and never going to be charged a hell of a lot more for their Health Care Just because theyre women. Well dollar of care down tropics health care is a privilege i think its our right the only person waving a white flag along with his white mask is joe biden i mean when we look at this were going to defeat the virus they are if they think defeat and ive been saying that and that is the thing thats the beginning this is the greatest failure of any president ial administration in the history of america and for more im joined tonight by the professor of perfect president ial predictions that is the title that we have given professor alan lipman because he has correctly predicted the winner of every u. S. President ial election since 1804 mr lippman is also a history professor at American University in washington d. C. The president is going to have you on the show when we spoke last in early august you predicted that joe biden would defeat dawn would trump in november now its almost of imber and you have not changed your mind do you mean to tell me that nothing has changed about this race this campaign about the u. S. In the last 3 months. Absolutely not i made my prediction which as you point out my predictions have been successful since 1984 based on my 13 keys to the white house which gauge the fundamentals of a president ial election that is incumbents are judged by their record and the keys gauge the strength and fulfillments of the party holding the white house and nothing that has happened since early august has caused any keys to flip in favor of donald trump the way my system works is if the party holding the white house loses 60 more their predicted losers donald trump was down 7 hes still down 7 yet we want to get really through those keys you base your predictions on these 13 topics or questions regarding the Political Party of the of the sitting president weve listed them for our viewers put those up there and here we can see the points that you say are true about the republicans and President Trump for example there was no contest during the nominations the incumbent president seeking reelection theres no 3rd party contesting the elections with the other one scandals there have been lots of scandals correct reason scandal there is a scandal and you say also that charisma of the president you say that falls are youre saying that President Trump does not have charisma correct. Not according to the definition of my keys you can have your own opinion but to evaluate the keys youve got to stick to the definition which is it cant be someone like trump who appeals only to a small but fervent base to fit the definition you have to be broadly appealing to the electorate like Franklin Roosevelt in the democratic side or Ronald Reagan on the republican side over 60 percent of the American People dont think trump is honest and dont like him there have been candidates like him in the past like Barry Goldwater feel to a fervent conservative base or George Mcgovern who appealed to a fervent Democratic Base i did not give them the give them the charisma keys either and if we put the points for example that you would say would be faults for example mid term gains for the republicans we did not see for example short Term EconomicStrong Performance long term performance also no social unrest thats false there has been social unrest in america and then you say you bet charisma of the challenger joe biden now i want to talk about that as well but before we do i want to take a look at a clip from last nights edition of 60 minutes in which the u. S. President was interviewed and then he walked out of that interview heres a clip of that. Im happy for him. To sit as big as they used to be and ill tell you that much better. Just get everybody to see. The terrible since you. Know i dont. Know pro. Russian. Are right so we. You see their professors these supporters of donald trump would see that and say that is exactly the behavior that makes him charismatic supporters of biden would say that is exactly the most uncharismatic behavior i dont go with either the supporters of trump or the supporters of biden one of the critical elements of mikeys is theyre totally non partisan over going into 2020 have called for republicans and 5 democrats therefore i disregard what partisans say and just look at the definition of the keys which is you ask of the role idly appealing not just appealing to a narrow base and you know professor that the u. S. The the world everyone is burned because of what the polls lead us to believe in 2016 would you say that your keys this system youve developed is the one we should maybe apply when were talking about president ial elections and maybe we should forget about the polls. Its a get the polls forget the pundits forget whos up and down on a day to day basis to get the ads the speeches the dirty tricks the soundbites the attack strategies look at the big picture of incumbent strength and performance as ive explained to you through the keys thats why in 2016 i defied all the conventional wisdom in predicting a trump win which by the way did not make me very popular in 90 percent democratic washington d. C. Where i teach at American University i can i can imagine that is the case there and i but im sure this year youre a very popular man with your prediction youre not going to be very popular though with the polling Companies Like gallup for example or or you go of what is going to happen in the future when youve got a political system in america where it really is 1st past the post its like a horse race youre always giving an update you cant do that with your 12 keys can you but you can do that with polls thats right thats why thats why the polls are so deceptive because polls are snapshots and those snapshots change and how do you know the snapshot has changed if you take another poll and so on and so on until you reach the election itself plus the polls a fall less an accurate than they would have you believe they tell you the error margin is plus and minus 3 percent but thats just pure statistical error it doesnt take into account the era from estimating likely voters which is just an educated guess and it doesnt take into account any error from voters who arent telling you the truth or just telling you something and they really havent made up their mind thats why i always tell everyone keep your eye on the big picture and dont be deceived by the day to day like we were 4 years ago well were going to follow that advice were going to keep our eye on you wed like for you to come back on the program the day after the election to win lets see if your prediction held true this year professor Allan Lichtman professor of history at American University joining us from washington d. C. Professors always going to talk with you thank you. Same here you know where to find thing. A fresh attempt to end the fighting between armenia and azerbaijan has collapsed just minutes after a new cease fire came into effect monday morning both sides accused each other of violating it the truce which was brokered by the United States was the 3rd attempt to end the conflict over the disputed nagornokarabakh region fighting broke out in the Mountain Song for weeks ago. Our correspondent Julie Holland has more tonight on the civilian toll of this conflict she sent us this report from the town of barga in eyes or by john its about 20 kilometers from the front wall. Fires a live shows us where he used to live until very recently. To see a rocket hit his house in early october he says were it so. Hard to build quiet off base sure that. His home for 35 years burned down to the walls. There walked over to the whole family was sitting here watching t. V. And suddenly there was an explosion in the backyard everything started burning we ran outside and called the Fire Fighters but when they arrived it was already too late or should we have. Burned memories. Was. Far as early as is convinced that our 1000000 is responsible for the attack the neighboring country deliberately bombed many civilian targets in the area he says. We cant independently verify this we are not allowed to move freely near the front line we are only allowed to film with the as a by john eales thora tease let us film. This school and barred out for example even if it looks like it the children here are not students. They are refugees this has been an emergency shelters since the fighting started a month ago i. Was right at the end friends a memorial for. Rafal an azerbaijani soldier everyone here is convinced that their army is fighting for a just cause the schools vice principal doesnt believe that their votes have been attacks on armenian surveillance. And laughed at us and then. I dont know much about whats happening on the armenian side i only know what i see on t. V. Here but i can say that the armenians are losing and must retreat so they dont have any other options we are not trying to take armenian territory we are fighting for what belongs to us tended. To. Live has been at the school for a few weeks now with his wife and 3 granddaughters there from tat our right on the border with nagornokarabakh lately the clashes there have intensified. That. I am worried about the girls they are just kids they were so scared of the fighting how are they supposed to know what explosions are they should go to school and study but they shouldnt have to learn what bombs and missiles sound like or do that women that are. At the moment the children seem safe fear is about 20 kilometers from the frontline but nobody knows when they will be able to return home or whether it will soon become too dangerous here tonight. Filed that report is in force now that another ceasefire has bitten the dust we asked her what went wrong this time. The new ceasefire quickly collapsed in the morning and what were seeing once again is azerbaijan and armenia blaming each other for violating the deal now as you mentioned this has happened 2 times already so many of us here on the ground covering this conflict didnt really expect that this new agreement would turn things into a more peaceful direction weve been hearing the sound of artillery shelling since the Early Morning and we are quite a distance away from the front line about an hours drive now its impossible to understand and verify fired 1st but as we speak the clashes continue and as a johns president has made no secret in recent days and weeks about what he wants he wants to retake. And he has insisted that his country has the right to reclaim its territory by force he also claims that his army has made significant military gains in recent days so for him it seems there are not too many incentives to stop. What reasons the armenians are giving for another cease fire that didnt stick. Well the perspective here and yet of on is that the armenians actually continue to support the ceasefire efforts weve seen statements that effect both from the armenian government and also from the ministry of defense there actually as uli was saying theyre accusing azerbaijan of actually breaking the cease fire 1st and saying that some of the claims to the contrary are part of a broader dissin from a Nation Campaign on the part of azerbaijani authorities at the same time they also admit that there is fighting going on weve heard media reports of soldiers reporting widespread small scale skirmishes throughout the front lines and there has also been reports that. The minister of defense and managed to shoot down an israeli main as a by johnny drone so while publicly they continue to support the cease fire efforts they do admit that fighting is going on in that the current cease fire really does look like is crumbling. French maid products are being pulled from supermarket shelves in several muslim majority countries after calls for a boycott fridge president has entered many muslims by describing is long as a religion in crisis turkeys president richard tell you bear to one has called on his citizens to back the boy call it such good. Call on my nation here and now do not Pay Attention to french label goods do not buy. It here the big table with me now is my colleague nicole wrist shes been following this story its good to see you nicole so bridges at the speed here what sparked this outreach well recently we have seen that there are a lot of tensions in france also because there has been a gruesome killing off a teacher who had shown cartoons of the prophet mohammed in one of his classes to discuss the freedom of expression and then there were also some other incidents and so president mccormick decided that his going to clamp down on what he defines as radical islam so he has closed a mosque for example he has also had associations linked to these incidents and raided and dissolved and well he also is proposing a law to take more control over mosques and france and also the training on certification of moms that are also sometimes trained outside france so that see theres a lot of action going on right now france has had a problem with radical islam for decades now lets remember 2015 a huge attack on the offices of the newspaper shall we have also is about to kind of club which saw dozens of people dying and francis also entering preelection face campaigning is on the table again and the right wing parties are pressuring with issues like internal security and social issues so hes trying to show that hes really getting a grip on issues and. Of course that doesnt go down well with the muslim communities around the globe they feel that being made responsible for actions that have happened by that have been made by minorities and also some of them feel its against their beliefs that pictures off of the prophet mohammed drawings are being shown. One point weve seen reaction weve seen the turkish president say that the fridge president may be has mental problems needs done to help theres been a backlash in social media too has there been a lot of that on twitter as this hash tag boycott france and boycott french products many claim across has been pandering to the right to one thing other muslims to not buy these products so we have one tweet from co white that says quote started who is next we see these empty shelves which usually is show a french products theres also advice on what brands of fronts not to buy so the picture is circulating off that so people know which brands not to buy or even advise on how to see through our coat where the product is coming from and which one is france in this one weve got weve got about 30 seconds i mean how big is this impact going to be used or is there going to be a big impact well we cant con tell how much of an impact this will be from french sales but we see several arab countries muslim majority countries already taking part in this and obviously turkish president aaron has joined that debate which will not lead to less debates its really between europe and turkey either this race is not known for the nice words these has to say about the fridge president thats for sure you go thank you. We know that one of the symptoms of a Coronavirus Infection is the loss of the sense of smell ironically it is this shoppers in our were canine friends that can protect us by sniffing out the virus this next report takes us to finland for a treat preferably cathode this snout can be programmed to find just about anything more bed bugs cancer now it could change the course of corona virus detection need to see rescued from being euthanized as a puppy in spain hes returned to that fever for years sniffing out deadly disease for the wise new smell Detection Association and then learned as coded 19 began to spread to see was asked as an experiment to try to detect it took it but 7 minutes to figure out that this is what they want it to look for so that totally blew our minds you know dog be able to change training sense in 7 minutes you know no. It is. The team quickly learned canines can detect a coded 1000. 00 infection even 5 days before symptoms appear with almost 100 percent accuracy helsinki airport is hosting a Pilot Project through december that will include cross referencing canine results with those for medical devices if you talk to the skin so here it just takes a simple swab from a restore neck. And this is terrible yes and a great couple of seconds a dog can tell immediately if a person has contract it coronavirus. So i received an ink if you as i wrote the voluntary tests are proving popular but no positive signal yet from the finnish government about scaling up the program so since dogs are incredibly war effective much less expensive and far less intrusive than other ways of detecting the virus why arent public authorities everywhere rushing to use their noses instead of ours we found one who is team is deputy mayor of vaughan the site of the airport i can see that in 2 minutes took me 2 minutes out and get this budget covers the free tests offered to all arriving passengers he allocated 330000 euros total to the 4 month dog study meanwhile he expects it will cost up to 300000000. 00 euros per month for the medical option the nasal swab its quite expensive operation of course but the docs are like 75000. 00 know a month. To says the data from this study should help bring in federal funds for expansion of canine testing as well as legal adjustments to upgrade the virus sniffing dogs authority to that of their counterparts working in customs because i write about i docs which i like that they can. Assist and they go to many because both on a human bjorkman is thinking far beyond. Airports we could train dogs with the same samples with the same training areas to open up. You know the concert halls or or share is or go to be working places hospitals or elderly homes football matches whatever both york man and bobby line and warn if dylan doesnt harness the potential of the don program itself theyll unleash it elsewhere we can will because go see a lot of warm. She says Health Authorities from all over the world want to learn what these noses know and finally tonight we cannot say that we were not warned about the pandemic exactly one year ago that warning came in a tweet but not from the twitter or in chief october 25th 2019 joe biden wrote we are not prepared for a pandemic trump has rolled back progress president obama and i made to strengthen Global Health security we need leadership and he goes on to says that mobilizes the world to stop outbreaks before they reach our work force now on that very same day u. S. President donald trump was tweeting about an apple not a virus he wrote to the c. E. O. Of apple tim cook the button on the i phone was far better then this one. Thanks for watching well see tomorrow. The book. The be. Good be going. To. Come. To. The bride of course states of america. Where militias just want to take the law in the book order oliver sallet talks to the people what are they so angry about. What do they expect from the upcoming election because they really prepared. A report from on the ground. Close up. To 90 minutes on d w. I n l n b a. The more. Current. Because you know for years im. In those war smoldering. Loonies. As mostly. Theres no use no love. For them which. Doesnt. Work using the. Cant sleep. Killing spree. Killing small. This is a 15 year old girl. Being gang raped. His teacher is beating a boy for talking back and class. For the rest of the class watches. Appearing toddlers being hit by his mother. Breaking appliance. This child sleeps in the streets because her family through her. Fear. Online bullying. Pushes a teenager over the edge. Just because you can see violence against children doesnt mean others and there are make them visible visible. Violence against children disappear. This is g. W. News live and from berlin will it be a walk down why as the number of corona virus infections explodes here in germany tough new restrictions may be ahead chancellor Angela Merkel is considering it new stricter measures to slow the spread of the virus well find out just what curves germany could soon be facing also coming up u. S. Republicans are poised to confirm judge Amy Kone Barrett to the u. S. Supreme court just 8 days before the president ial election the move could submit a conservative majority on the court. For a generation and the Game Changing discovery could transform space travel science is confirming theres a lot more water on the move then they thought. Important coffee is good to have you with us we begin with germanys worsening kovac 19 crisis german chancellor Angela Merkel has called an emergency meeting with the leaders of the countrys 16 regional states in the hope of slowing runaway coronavirus inspections tough new restrictions are likely to focus on closing bars restaurants and canceling Public Events corona virus cases in germany have almost doubled within the past week. German officials are worried about the latest numbers coming from the countrys Public Health institute daily infections have reached new highs and there are more than 250 hotspots nationwide and germany last weekend also exceeded the grim milestone of 10000. 00 coronavirus deaths now these numbers have led chancellor merkels conservative c. D. U. Party to postpone a pivotal Party Conference the goal of the conference which was supposed to be held at the beginning of december was to appoint a new party leader who would then be in the running to become the conservative chancellor candidates in the 2021 election while her Party Debates the future the chancellor has continued to focus on the pandemic she has repeatedly told citizens to stay at home whenever possible i actually did so again at the weekend. The isnt finished models we are not powerless against the virus our behavior decided to the extent to which in the speed at which the virus spreads and the order of the day for all of us is to reduce contact and meet far fewer people mentioned. German officials recently announced new measures against the virus they include limiting private gatherings and wearing face masks on busy streets its from a safe place for me its obvious with the high numbers we have i myself had coronavirus and i know what im talking about we all have to protect each other now. We must ask does not stop air assaults you can talk about wearing them indoors but outside its total rubbish. Both on the streets and among politicians there is a growing debate about germanys course of action as the country grapples with a serious 2nd wave of the coronavirus pandemic. You know the situation certainly serious want to bring in our Political Correspondent charles shes on the story for us and its good to see you the german chancellor using some Strong Language we understand in a Conference Call today and shes urging people to stay home if they can what more you hearing tonight. Well grandfather we know is thats according to the germans have believe bill the biggest tabloid here in germany well i got america plows to install here in germany a lockdown lied so that would mean for example that german shops would remain open but under certain risk trick shots and under these new plan that will be discussed on wednesday was the 16 states premier is it well planned gemini would follow each of these example by closing balls and restaurants schools would remain open in areas less affected by the pandemic but its quite telling that i got america will meet again with the 16 said premier that wasnt planned this is in the magine same meeting and that showed how the situation has worsened much quicker than everybody had been expecting thats what we heard today that she said that every day now we know that these new restrictions would be designed to radically reduce interactions between people is that what is fueling this rise in infections here in germany. Well time and again i got america will say that it was up to us it was up to the people here in germany to limit their interactions to try and curb. The number of infection to try to limit contacts to avoid unnecessary travel within and without the county and in fact gemini had a pretty good handle of the pandemic until now but now you mentioned 8 cases have a most doubled within the weekend as a when we here in germany that it wont be possible anymore to trace the chain of infection and the worry is that the loss of control of those infections and of course happens then we can worry about the hospital being overwhelmed we now day yet but that will be the main where weve got seconds right winter is coming we know there is corona virus. How will people in germany react to more restrictions. Theres definitely a growing sense of fatigue as you say though so very a lot of uncertainty here theres also people who are missing a represents only a fringe of German Society who dont suppose its all the restorations asked today unveiling their way car not cant take processing in the streets and they also held a firebomb sit over of a cot and secured the Research Institute in charge of the handling of the pandemic so they are a minority but the majority of the population hate these abiding by the rules they respect so sure these dancing theyre Wearing Masks i dont times even if of course theres a negative effect among the population thats being felt now you know the fatigue is there but more restrictions are definitely on the way it is on the story for us tonight here in berlin and i thank you but heres some of the other stories now that are making headlines around the world workers in students have joined nationwide strikes called by the opposition in the rooms they walked out after hardline leader Alexander Lukashenko with nord a deadline set for him to step down the action targeted state run factories British Police have arrested 7 men suspected of trying to hijack an oil tanker in the English Channel special forces were called in when the ship began moving a radically the captain says the men thought to be stowaways from nigeria turned violent germanys christian democrats have put off choosing a likely successor to transfer americal a new leader would be poised to take over next year but the Party Conference planned for december has now been put off because of the pandemic. Japans Prime Minister yoshihiko has committed to achieving 0 Carbon Emissions by the year 2050 suga says green reforms could lead to Major Economic growth japan is the latest country to set similar targets following china the u. K. And European Union countries china is to impose sanctions on u. S. Companies involved in selling arms to taiwan now that list includes walkies Martin Raytheon and a division of boeing the us recently approved the sale of always 2 1000000000. 00 worth of weapons to taiwan which china claims as its own territory. In the United StatesSenate Republicans are expected to confirm judge Amy Conan Barrett to the u. S. Supreme Court Democrats do not have the votes to block that nomination judge barretts appointment will likely cement a conservative majority on the court for decades to come we want to take a closer look now at the woman who is dividing opinion across america. From the moment President Donald Trump presented his Supreme Court nominee amy kearney parish has been one of the u. S. Elections main figures the 48 year old catholic and form a law professor has publicly opposed abortion and says the constitution shouldnt be reinterpreted. But that Senate Confirmation hearings kone barrett said she believed judges should stay out of politics now judges cant just wake up one day and say i have an agenda i like guns i hate guns i like abortion and i hate abortion and bop and like at a royal queen and because you know theyre well on the world that you have to wait for cases and controversies which is the language of the constitution to wind their way through the process. Democrats worry kone barrett would rule against the Affordable Care act their Signature Health insurance reform and that she could hand trump another term if the Supreme Court decides the election but under questioning by senate since tony barr refused to reveal her views on major issues and you believe that Climate Change is happening and its threatening the air we breathe in the water we drink and i will not do that it will not express a view on a matter of Public Policy especially one that is politically controversial because thats inconsistent with the judicial role as i have explained. Opponents argued that a justice shouldnt be appointed so close to an election. This fake and see should not be filled until we have a new president progressives have been fired up by kone barretts nomination worried it could skew the Supreme Court in a conservative direction for years. Which is exactly what her conservative supporters hope for republicans have already filled 5 of the Supreme Courts 9 lifetime held seats if appointed kone barrett will continue to influence us politics for years to come. Nasa Scientists Say that they found clear evidence that theres more water on the moon than anyone previously suspected new Research Suggests that future lunar explorers only have to venture to the moons polar regions in search of Life Sustaining water. More water on the moon yes life no thats what nasa announced that he Video Press Conference scientists there said they found more water on the moon than they ever thought before but they shot down the idea that that would mean the moon could harbor life. The discovery of more water on the moon was confirmed by technology from its flying lab the stratospheric observatory for infrared astronomy known also by its acronym sophia the scientists said that the deposits are at least partly the result of meteors that carried water and that crashed on the surface of the moon the impact to const rock to melt and form glass beads and trapping the water thus allowing it to survive on the moons harsh surface more water bearing beads might also be buried deeper nasa also said that there is perhaps more water hidden in the form of ice patches located in permanent shadows of the moon one of the nasa scientists said that its not a lot of water the amount is equal to 1300. 00 milliliter bottle of water per cubic meter another said that the water doesnt mean that there could be life on the moon because you need more than water to ensure the conditions for life oh how. We. Will be cool. Or. What will. However scientists did say that if they can eventually extract enough water from the moon it could eliminate the need to bring water on Space Missions water is very heavy and takes up a lot of room room that could be used for other purposes. All right im joined now by keith cowing hes a nasa veteran and editor of the space news website nasa watch dot com keith its good to see you again im excited about this story im sure that some people on the street would say whats the big deal or are we talking about water on the moon that we could dream. Well no. At least not until you do something to it again the amount that we found is you know sort of interesting because back in the apollo days when all the rocks were brought back pretty much the answer was moved on by theres no water there you know to be in and then about a decade and a half ago some spacecraft were orbiting the moon an awful meddler prop up here and they discovered that at the poles there are regions that are always dark for some reason the sun doesnt reach them and theres ice water there then over time people looked at the moon got hits maybe the fact that theres water now they would get a crater down here but the surface pretty much of the entire mood has water the water is found inside little glass droplets the came from meteors so its sort of you cant just scoop it up and he didnt drink it youre going to have to get it out of there and the amount that were talking about this is a 250. 00 mil flask but this much of a cubic meter but it would cost you many thousands of dollars to take this to the moon and he sent something there that could help the stuff and extract it its a lot cheaper and you can use it for life support and you can use it for rocket fuel thats why everyones excited yeah that taught me a little bit about that and taking it on water and turning it into rocket fuel how does that work. Well you know water is Hydrogen Oxygen you split it you get liquid Hydrogen Liquid Oxygen and thats what powers many rockets these days and if you can fight it up there use solar 100 g. For example to split it using hydrolysis. Theres your rocket fuel and so now you pretty much can go mining it and come back home with it or go somewhere else in the solar system thats the interesting thing is not just going back and forth between the earth and moon but if you go to a smaller world where takes less to lead that world and you can find rocket fuel there you could conceivably find easier ways to go to mars or other places in the solar system thats the other reason why people are excited its a gas station as always we appreciate your time and your insights thank you gas station and on a space youre watching v. W. News ginnell is up next with think of your business stick around shell be right back. What secrets lie behind one. Discover new adventures in 360 degree. And explore fascinating World Heritage sites. Double your World Heritage 360 get kidnapped now. Has a virus spread. Why do we have it and when will. The through the top