Still infected with coded 19 as are of a growing number of his staff plus 3 scientists take the 2020 nobel prize for physics for breakthroughs involving black holes they include andrea against who becomes only the 4th woman to win the prestigious award. Im sara kelly welcome to the Program Campus that is in a political crisis after the countrys Electoral Commission old the results of last weekends parliamentary election the poll handed big gains to pro russian president and 2 establishment parties now violence erupted overnight in the streets of bishkek the capital of the Central Asian states amid accusations of mass vote buying campaigns at least one person died in clashes with Security Forces as protesters stormed their way into government buildings. Outside protest is scale defensive kick it stuns president ial office building. Inside portraits of the president on ceremoniously destroyed. Large items are removed from rooms. Someone here keen to leave them muck. In the chaos high profile politicians including a former president are freed from custody. An Opposition Leader declares himself the new interior minister kyrgyzstans president maintains he is still in control while all but it meeting hes lost control. Of that we can this that and i call on everyone to keep the peace not to succumb to provocations and not to break the law peace in the country and the security of the people are more important than anything i call on all sides to put their country above any political ambitions and to a bay the law. By Morning Light the cleanup begins but anger is still burning over sundays parliamentary elections with claims of vote buying. Preliminary results declared to progovernment parties the winners. But it seems the countrys Electoral Commission has had enough on choose day it canceled the results altogether its unclear what happens next but having toppled its president twice before his ston is no stranger to political chaos. Following the story for us in moscow is bureau chief yuri was shadow europe why are these protests happening right now. Well sara these parliamentary elections took place 10 years after the countrys partially parliamentary system of government and its not the 1st time that there has been a violent political overthrow this time 16 parties participated in parliamentary elections only 4 managed to get seats in the parliament the current president is known for his reserved political style but his popularity and the popularity of his government has declined most recently due to the pandemic of a stun the country has one of the highest death rates a kostabi cobbett 19 in the world and current teen has lost congress down a 5th of its budget the president was accused of inaction some even called for him to be impeached yury what does this mean for the region. Or the entire region could become involved in this conflict and this is very dangerous in bishkek may have a domino effect to due to under a solved problem so that the country has with its neighbors recently in may of this year for example on the border of kurdistan in tajikistan there was a shoot out as a result of war injure injuries on both sides and i think conflict a curate of a disputed territory on the border lost again in the fall of the war also armed clashes with that stand in bishkek they even called for help from the Russian Military the country is poor and for the socalled Islamic State kurdistan like the jake is done is a breeding ground for fight us here in russia however the kremlin how is watching closely what is going on in kurdistan as christiane is an important ally and partner for russia not only the fight against International Terrorism but also economically and what is happening on the ground right now and whats expected in the coming hours. Well as you said to the very last use is that the Central Election Commission in bishkek has an alt with the results of the vault so now the opposition wants to see their country that candidate as Prime Minister they demanded a 2nd vote president of caracas dungeon because coulter what is happening now and coup attempt today the demonstrators occupied to the building of the carriages government and refused to let employees into. Your ear shadow joining us with the very latest on kurdistan thank you. And in other news u. S. President donald trump is facing a black backlash in the wake of his hospitalization for covert 19 in an elaborately staged trip that should be returned to the white house he made a show of appearing without a mask and addressed the American Public in a video with defiant comments that have sparked criticism from medical experts it was a determined donald trump wearing a mask who emerged onto the steps of the hospital. 4 days after he shocked the world by announcing he and 1st lady millennia had tested positive for coated 19 trump was back. After the short helicopter flight to washington crossed the white house lawn and strode up the stick case he made a point of removing his mask offering a salute to the departing a crew. And that was encourage meant for the other 7 and a half 1000000 americans who have been infected by the virus dont let it dominate you dont be afraid of it youre going to beat it we have the best medical equipment we have the best medicines all developed recently and you going to beat it i went i didnt feel so good and 2 days ago i could have left 2 days ago today is going felt great like better than i have in a long time i said just recently better than 20 years ago dont let it dominate dont let it take over your lives but doctors are not convinced i think that the president may be in a honeymoon phase as i call it of course in 1000 disease in the 1st its may mean the viral thing for the inflammatory phase sets and we look for warning sign around the 70810 when people can actually do a lot worse require a lot more oxygen and you may get better or at that point may get a lot worse and ill be around the weekend those woods will not be enough to deter the president in one of his many tweets on a day of high drama chum pledge to be back on the campaign trail suit. And earlier we spoke with correspondent Stefan Simons and asked him what he made of the president s return to the white house this is a president on steroids not figuratively literally steroids and maybe that explains why he feels so strong and so good after just 2 days wellmost 3 days in care of a tough team of physicians and doctors who has given him any possible treatment the best treatment possible medic medicines which are not at this point all the early in the disease available to all the americans who are infected by covert 19 who were not available which were not available to all the americans who died 210000. 00 plus now we will see how this will all develop in the next few days well meantime some u. S. States are allowing early voting in the race for the white house one of them is ohio the latest polls suggest a tight race between President Trump and his democratic challenger joe biden and what is certainly one of the most hotly contested states in this election deb you went out to find out whats on voters minds i try not to trust projections too much being that 4 years ago. Projections were so high. The actual outcome while. While im hopeful for by i were just going to have to wait for the day off. Im going to be very fair president truman but i i do hope that this makes him more aware of the seriousness of the. Cove it fires and make sure our courage people who wear a mask around where well. You know donald trump says hes created more jobs than any other president. Barack obama produced more jobs in his last 3 years then wont try what donald trump has in his 1st 3 years so again is a look at the facts dont believe the rhetoric that donald trump put sound i mean lets deal with reality yeah already registered to vote and everything i think people are really passionate this year about their picks and its been a crazy crazy here and you know every size has been trying to convince one another whos right hopefully when it is all over we can all come together. Some of us are from ohio so how has done a fared in hawaii ohio during his last 4 years in office he then he was in this poll has this assessment ohio is one of the battleground states in this election 4 years ago President Trump managed to convince voters here that she could bring back jobs and reopen shot to take freeze like this less than a month away from election day the race is neck to neck between him and to some a pressing opponent joe biden many a watered republican last time has the feeling he didnt deliver and is not really on the side of working class americans on the other hand his personal struggle with covert 19 doesnt seem to have changed peoples opinions. Immense pull there in ohio lets turn to some other stories making news calls for armenia and azerbaijan to agree on a cease fire are growing as the conflict between the 2 former soviet states continues to escalate scores of people have been killed after the decades old conflict over the disputed territory of. Erupted 9 days ago the region lies inside azerbaijan but is under the control of Ethnic Armenian forces. The European Court of justice has struck down hungary and regulations for Higher Education introduced in 2017 the court called the rules incompatible with the e. U. Law critics say they specifically targeted a Budapest University funded by u. S. Philanthropist george soros a vocal critic of Prime Minister viktor or bonds right wing government. The u. K. s Service Sector has been particularly hard hit by the coronavirus and as winter approaches Boris Johnson has warned a tough month tough months will be ahead but its not only hospitality that has been hit londons Financial Hub the city has been left deserted as people work from home Charlotte Potts reports. This is the latest fashion trend for bank us in london city accessorizing suits with a matching mask made this one his shop has been around for over 100 years business had always been great until the pandemic and for 6 months he didnt make a single suit and the people come back into the city. So he can get back to some normality now though Boris Johnson has said everyone who can shoot hes working from home over the winter so the policy is a disaster. So easy. For the show you know the horror story or the independent shop where you couldnt be big. Out there. Because the stores all over where you can wherever. Where. One shop. Best. 9 am usually rush hour in the city not so in corona times its hard to believe how empty the streets which are normally bustling with people cars and buses up to half a 1000000 workers come into londons financial district usually every day to work here now Norman Foster world famous gerken is virtually deserted as are the other skyscrapers here in the city most workers are still working from home at this point at least over the winter or until a covert 19 vaccine has found. Experts tell me that social distancing is difficult and skyscrapers plus making offices covert compliant would be costly twitter has already announced that their employees will be allowed to work from home indefinitely and British Petroleum is smiling over the most dramatic downsizing of property in their history we are seeing a lot of time thats completely rethinking how they are going to occupy space so without a shadow we are looking to me where rents are going to go up and up and up and thats all begin to become more and more valuable rents will stabilize or even drop the clock believes london city will survive this crisis as it did august for now though this iconic part of london really is on life support and local businesses dont know how to make it through the window especially in restaurants and pass we havent got one book for christmas not one not one tailored the hook tells me from now on its some bible of the fittest and she desperately hopes that he will be among them. And lets get you up to speed now on some of the latest developments in the corona virus pandemic arland is set to impose stricter kovac 90. In measures that the government has rejected calls from Health Experts for a 2nd lockdown instead Indoor Dining will be banned and people will have to stay in their county of residence japan and south korea will resume a short and long term Business Travel between the 2 countries lifting restrictions put in place to stop the spread of the virus and India Registered its lowest daily increase in new coronavirus cases since august despite the lockdown india is on track to overtake the u. S. As the country with the biggest caseload. Although nobel prize in physics has been awarded to 3 scientists for their work that has helped to advance our understanding of black holes british mathematician Roger Penrose german astrophysicist brian hard. And american astronomer andre i guess one the prestigious prize for their discoveries about one of the most mystifying phenomena in the universe now andrea gets joined to the press conference in stockholm on the phone and she talked about what went through her head when she made this discovery of a super massive compact object at the center of our galaxy. I think the 1st thing is that. You have to prove yourself to really seeing what you think youre seeing so both god and excitement. Its that feeling of being at the frontier of research where you have to always question what youre seeing its a combination of. Lets get more on that we are joined by Leigh Albright from d. W. Science to this come as a surprise this announcement today. Not really anomaly it is quite a bit of a surprise who wins the nobel prize this year but this time it wasnt such a big surprise for me at least because last year there was the 1st image of a black hole published so it was already kind of in focus so talk with us a little bit more about what that means about the research that these 3 have been doing well its one of the most exotic objects that exists in our universe so its really fascinating to know more about it for many years the very idea of the existence of a black hole was questioned by many physicists so it wasnt really clear if this existed and many where it was a strange idea to them a black hole i mean imagine a black hole lets just have the image of the earth and put it down to the size of a piece thats how it thats how massive a black hole is how much energy it really has and then penrose one of the nobel Prize Winners he was the 1st to use einsteins general theory of relativity to prove mathematically that a black hole can exist and then guns and gays. They were more of the practical kind of. Part of this prize and they showed with their teams with every search teams with very precise observe ations of the black hole which is in the center of our milky way of our galaxy that is that it needs to exist according to their observations really fascinating what more do we know about the 3 scientists so we know that of course theyre of course i say because its its not a surprise there they are all from europe or the us as most of the nobel prize laureates have been in the past years what is new this year is that theres a woman and volved and only well they have been 210. Which where male laureates male scientists so far in physics and only 3 women now shes the 4th woman so thats kind of a big thing thank you so much the albrechts joining us for good of you science. The European Unions technology rules date back to the digital stone age that is the verdict of the woman behind the blocks latest effort to tame big tech you competition commissioner margaret a vest hogger has long been a thorn in the side of the likes of apple alphabet and facebook now she says that her proposals will lay down new regulations for those Companies Finally creating a Single Market for Digital Services she sat down with business reporter. Thank you so much for joining us today commissioner its a pressure now digitalisation is of course a very important topic in europe and with your Digital Services act do you would like to see a range of rules imposed on Big Tech Companies like facebook and google and apple rules like making them share their data with smaller rivals what is it that you think that theyre doing that is so wrong. Well the last time when our democracys sort of said things you can do things you cannot do that was back in the digital stone age that was the year 2000 and no one back then imagined whats what what would be the case of our reality today so when you then grow up and you become stronger then of course comes responsibility. And we need to say to some of these Service Providers you have a responsibility for the way you do business to make sure that people feel as comfortable when they are online as well as when they are off line and that i think is very important and also for this business is the internment of is that Member States they make their own legislation i think i would still prefer to have one set of rules to live by but can it keep up with the breakneck speed of tech well not so known the difference the services act will not do it alone i also think that we need to say to some of the gatekeepers there is there are a number of things that you simply cannot do so that basically regulate from the outset to say this a b c dont do it and last but not least to be able to say well we dont want new gatekeepers to to arise we want to make sure that also other Digital Markets that they stay competitive some would argue that it makes more sense to create the conditions that would give birth to the european equivalent of a Facebook Google or apple why dont we have the equivalent of those companies and could regulation be getting in the way. Well i think we we failed 201020 years ago in providing a real digital Single Market because one of the reasons why the giants are giants today and that also goes to the chinese giants was that they had a Single Market they had a giant home market while they could grow the strengths to become Global Companies and this is why one side of things is of course for society to catch up with the Digital Development but the 2nd thing is to provide a real digital Single Market also for european businesses to grow and to provide a Capital Market with sort of more risk taking for instance Venture Capital that comes with capital but also with knowledge about how to how to scale up this company but we need to provide businesses with the market and with the capital needed weve learned to also recognise as the public how difficult it actually is to regulate very Big Companies and to try and prevent monopolies how would you rate your success as a commissioner. Well as they say it aint over til the fat lady sings and i have 4 more years to go so i love to pick it up when we get there thank you very much worker and that was my college in elgin milan with the e. U. Competition commissioner to the world of art now and an example of success against the heavy odds the great painters during the mid renaissance were exclusively men except for a woman in the 16th hundreds in italy for centuries art historians consider the works that youre about to see a curiosity that though has changed with the new exhibit at londons national gallery. She was one of the most dazzling artists of the brock and intrepid pi any other party means yet gentleness can be italian pain to use to work to raise the voice of women and fight for equality against all odds and this in the 17th century and it was extremely challenging for women in the 17th century i mean they had sort of severe social restrictions but also as an artist i think you really had limitations this sort of restrictions on not being able to move about and see the art works on public display meant that she was really exposed to very little compared to say have male counterparts the exhibition shows 30 pictures from a remarkable career the daughter of painter or a tsunami gentlest not to muse you discovered her extraordinary talent early on and let nothing stop her. We know that she was painting independently by the time she was 16 and her 1st known work painted when she was just 17 is absolutely astonishing but i think also she had sheer determination she wanted to do the same work the men were doing that meant painting more than just 2 lives and portraits are to museums painted biblical scenes suzanna and the elders from 1610 shows a bathing susanna who seems visibly uncomfortable under the last line of the men artemisia herself then became a victim of Sexual Violence the exhibition presents the original transcript of the court case the put art museums teacher and christine autopsy on trial for rape for the trial artemisia had to repeat her statements under torture. Q. Greed to undergo judicial torture it was the only way that she could prove that she was telling the truth and she knows that and the way she comply you know and sort of answers the judges questions with incredible poise for a girl of just 1718 and i think you get a lot of optimism from that to me is she is trauma and her long. For adventure of visible in her most famous work judith beheading. It shows female determination to make men pay for violence inflicted the decapitation of the oppressor 1. 00 acehnese is brutally depicted. She takes the story of judas brutal killing of the general holder for his dawdles up the backside of the passion the horror of your rights inside the tents with this thing happening in front of you can almost feel the whole blood spurting on t. V. Its a very shocking picture unflinching images painted by a courageous woman now finally in the spotlight. A quick reminder of the top story were following for you here on news the Election Commission and kurdistan as in all the results of last weekends parliamentary poll the move came after protesters seized government buildings overnight and freed a jailed former president the head of the Commission Said of the decision was aimed at avoiding tension. Up next our Current Affairs magazine a close up examines chinas increasingly aggressive stance on taiwan im sorry kelly thanks for watching. Confrontation between china and taiwan the superpower is threatening to invade its neighbor. How serious is it how is china justifying its claims. Richard walker analyzes the causes and dangers of the conflict in taiwan chinas next target closer. Next on d w. Every 2 seconds a person does forced to flee their home nearly 71000000 people have been forcibly displaced. The consequences have been disastrous our documentary series displaced depicts dramatic humanitarian crises around the world you know. What a good thing i didnt go to university to kill people that i dont want to have my boss come to me and tell me to kill someone having many and if i dont theyll kill me. People feel for their lives and their future so they seek refuge abroad its about the reign of a bus scares me the most about this state to rise is that someday we wont even see the roots out. But what will become of those who stay behind and simply my husband went to peru because of the crisis. If he hadnt gone there we would have died of hunger. That sentimental down and down the block. Displaced starts october 16th d. W. Preparing for war in taiwan. Taiwanese military forces training for a scenario that they hope will never happen the chinese invasion from across the sea. Taiwans president herself a time when it comes to rally the troops. Taiwan has good reason to worry facing its giant neighbor across a Narrow Strait of water. This year chinese warplanes have flown close to taiwan over and over again probing prodding until taiwanese fighters intercepted. And out at sea chinese warships to the sense of constant threat. Was i one has lived with that threat for more than 70 years but now its rising to a new level and the world needs to pay attention. To under president Xi Jinping China has been flexing its muscles more and more openly not just on occasions like its 70th Anniversary Parade this year in one of the most remote places in the world chinas mountainous borders are on with india out of the blue a sudden escalation in tensions between chinese and indian troops left dozens of people dead chinas Defense Ministry published videos of its forces training in tibet the message seeming to be were ready for anything but the relations with the United States have soured to the brink of a new cold war with donald trump and she jumping at loggerheads over a huge range of issues within its own borders to the northwest china has ignored International Condemnation of reeducation camps part of a sweeping crackdown on its weaker minority. And in hong kong since a wave of protests began last year china moved more and more aggressively to assert direct control of this former british colony. And this summer the arrests of communication critics began after a new National Security or stripped away many of hong kongs freedom to. Pick. This crackdown in hong kong is whats most chilling of all for taiwan china sees the selfgoverning democratic Island Office southeastern coast as a province of its own a place that must be brought under its control and heres the thing china says that it reserves the right to take taiwan by force in a speech just last year president xi jinping framed the threat like this woman portrayed more fun to. Barlows how much should be outsourced to the free shop. No wonder people in taiwan are increasingly worried i think china is in the moment of expansion. Trying to expand outworked the threat is very real and theyll work our taiwans percolation is also very serious what is unfolding tongues on right now i think gave us a hard lesson that we really need to do better to safeguard our democracy 20202030 is the most dangerous time in my opinion for a conflict china over these disputed territory and as well see its far from certain that taiwan would get any help if china did mountain attack so in this video were going to ask what could actually happen were going to examine 3 possible scenarios guided by experts whove been studying the risks for years ranging from china chipping away at taiwans defenses to a marquee annexation of an outlying island crimea style and in the final and most dangerous scenario an all out invasion something that could not only be a disaster for taiwan would bring china and the us to the brink for war change the world everything that happens in medicine already happened under the shadow of. Nucular war because thats what this could be some of what were going to see in here is genuinely frightening but if this year has taught us anything its that night messin our egos can happen and its better to be prepared europeans think of planning. And think through what their actions could look like before we get into those scenarios were going to deal with 2 important questions why does china want to take over taiwan and 1st of all what is taiwan it sounds like a really basic question but this is no ordinary place theres nowhere like it anywhere in the world. This story takes us back to 949 when the island was known as for most or not out of the china sea years barbosa was the home of asiatic pirates and had gotten to the heart mountainous leadership by learning about the size of massachusetts and connecticut come by it was the aftermath of the 2nd world war and mao zedongs communists had one victory in chinas civil war a conflict that had dragged on for more than 2 decades the defeated nationalists led by Chiang Kai Shek found refuge on taiwan where they planned to regroup and now to fight back from that charm helped to launch the attack that will drive out the comet chang side was supported by the United States but that dream of conquering china turned out to be a fantasy instead with the cold war came a kind of stalemate. All along both chang and how insistent that there was only one china and that they were the right for rule rather that. Chang was a fervent anti communist but he was no democrat he ruled taiwan as a military dictatorship right up until his death in 1985. It was only under this man the tongue quake to taiwan began moving towards democracy. Right wing turn play is being described by the International Community and also view a lot here in taiwan as the father of taiwans modern day democracy and why is that he is the key person who really kicked off a step by step democratize the nation from the early ninetys up until the night in 96 when he held the 1st democratic president ial election in taiwan history and of course he won that election by a very comfortable margin and he just went on to further consolidate all the Democratic Institutions here in taiwan lease reforms were a historic turning point for taiwan. Ever since taiwan has made huge economic strides and flourished into an open even raucous Democratic Society of almost 24000000 people. And how to deal with china has been one of the major battlegrounds of taiwanese Democratic Politics from 2008 to 2016 former president pursued a policy of trying to improve relations with china. Economic ties grew stronger. But eventually there was a back. Student protest called the Sunflower Movement sprang up in 2013 accusing maher of going too far with a Major Chinese trade agreement. People feared it would make taiwan to depend. On the election 2 years later sign when the opposition d. P. P. Party swept to office. She became taiwans 1st female leader on a platform that was far more critical of china and confidently asserting taiwans distinct identity oh well so you dont want to know what. Joseph says foreign minister consignments government he spoke to g. W. In taipei you understand that i want to run by china we elect our own government our president s democratic democratically elected our parliament is also democratically elected we have ministry of all Foreign Affairs that engages with the International Community so taiwan is not run by china taiwan is not part of the p. R. C. And that is the fact that doesnt go down at all well in beijing respects the expert. Who runs the think tank is close to the government they are really thinking more. Separation from china you know theres a lot of. Things that the Current Situation is doing that really not good for the for the course trade relations. But Public Opinion in taiwan seems to be moving in size to rection more and more people are identifying not according to chinese roots but is taiwanese in may 2020 the Pew Research Center did a survey among how many people and the number and the percentage of people identifying themselves as taiwanese just again growth to be here 3 high while the number of people identifying themselves as chinese continue to. Just decline and i think that again just reflects the growing generational difference between the Younger Generation which considers the importance of maintaining their identity berthas the older generation which still feels like a big part of their life has a very deep connection to china meanwhile taiwan successes have continued to add up just one example its high tech economy is home to t. S. M. See the worlds most advanced silicon chip maker driving a huge proportion of the worlds smartphones in the coronavirus pandemic taiwans affective response has become the envy of the world. And his society has opened up in striking ways even becoming the 1st place in asia to legalize same sex marriage in 2019. You would think that for other liberal democracies like here in the west taiwan would be a natural friend ally well i think if. Only 15 countries in the world recognise taiwan as a sovereign state most of them are tiny but the rest long ago switch recognition to china even in europe the home of proud democracies britain switch recognition to china way back in 1950 france did the same in 1964 and germany followed suit in 1972 in fact the only country in europe that has full diplomatic relations with taiwan. The vatican population 820 fine because if we think about taiwan as a place and what kind of place it is then it is a vibrant democracy it is a tech superpower. Junko is a china expert n. P. C. S. From the land it is a country that is just playing a role in the global system or could play a role in the global system that would be quite substantial and very close to where europe in a lot of the conversations and so it is quite surprising in a way that our relations are not as close as they could be. With any attempts by European Countries to strengthen ties with taipei to meet with powerful pushback from china. During a recent visit to taiwan by a group of lawmakers from the Czech Republic chinas foreign minister threatened that the delegations leader would pay a heavy price. For. The. Truth. Likewise chinas influence means taiwan is frozen out of Key International bodies including the United Nations the same goes for the World Health Organization which has been especially frustrating for taiwan during the coronavirus pandemic the Chinese Government was able to mobilize. In the International Organization to block that was participation no mater how many like my the countries there are in helping taiwan we think that the. Boycott or the school of people from participating in this International Waters asians its not fair to that when its people taiwans diplomatic isolation deep in profoundly in 1979 u. S. President jimmy carter welcomed dung sharping to the white house and switch diplomatic recognition from taipei to beijing. The u. S. Didnt abandon taiwan completely it softened the blow some reassurances on defense but crucially those reassurances are far from watertight one is that the United States would provide defensive weapons and services to taiwan as necessary and did not define what defenses and Bonnie Glaser is an expert on taiwan and china at the c s i s think tank in washington. And then the 2nd obligation is to maintain the United States at south are and their military capability in the west pacific. To prevent intimidation and coercion against taiwan now notably that is not a commitment to come to taiwans defense in the event that it is attacked it means that the United States is a sort of hard life for taiwan. Its old large amounts of weapons to taipei over the decades something that stepped up a gear under the trumpet ministration we see is. More serious than ever in their commitment to peace this ability in this region the United States is speaking regularize is on sale to taiwan whenever we have an item to request the United States to make available to taiwan they review it right away. Make it available to taiwan after that review period so its being a quite regular weekly shit up there in march. But in the meantime china has become dramatically more powerful as proudly displayed on the streets of beijing making it pose a far greater threat to taiwan the taiwanese military is completely to wolf in comparison and adding to the challenge it doesnt even have enough troops in. The armed forces have been producing videos like this to try to drum up infuse yes among potential young soldiers but theyve been struggling to make up for a shortfall left by phasing out of conscription. So thats where taiwan stands right now in 2020 a striking Success Story in many ways and yet incredibly vulnerable to china. So now to our next question why does china want to take over taiwan. Its 2015 and blurry footage from chinas state media starts to circulate around. Well. It shows a military exercise at a remote desert base but theres one thing that seizes attention. That building in the background various shots looked very familiar to people in taiwan. Is appear to be modeled on the president ial office in taipei a. Symbol of taiwan selfgovernment. Satellite imagery latest seem to confirm the similarity. Taiwan made official protests but china brush them off saying the trial was just a routine exercise and yet theres nothing hidden or new about chinas desire to take control of time. Base goes back all the way to the Unfinished Business of the chinese. As we saw earlier both map and Chiang Kai Shek said there was only one china and de with the rightful leader others and even today one China Remains as sacrosanct principle for beijing his ability to share the same language sure the same culture the shirts the background and theres nobody to be even system as seen from beijing with hong kong having returned to china in 1997 taiwan would be the last piece in the puzzle for chinas restoration as a unified great nation overcoming the legacy of historical scots and one in the china actually in the past. 10200 years china has fought for foreign powers has been humiliated by many western powers. So also i think that its important that china maintain. A unified country and a particularly when china now has already become. A more prosperous and more economically developed and so that you know people can really enjoying the. Benefits of their becoming one Greater China to unify when we made. But theres more to this the nationalism and identity taiwans position in the socalled 1st island chain skirting chinas southeast makes it highly important from a Strategic Point of view controlling it could fatally undermine its americas Current Power in the region and if. One were to be. Voter analysts in eastern wrote a book the chinese invasion threats working through 3 strategic questions going to become global. Are. Real. But any time they could be. And conversely controlling taiwan would be crucial for china suring up its position china would be quite fearful if another country had forces on taiwan because then it would have. In a sense a base place where for scruby project against china and that is the biggest fear that china has. Now if the chinese were able to occupy. That were there in projecting force and preventing interference by Foreign Forces and particularly the United States in 2005 china make this a matter of national law. The National Peoples congress agreed on an anti secession little to declare reunifying the motherland as the sacred duty of Chinese People taiwanese compactly is included. It was passed by 2896 votes to 0 the Chinese Government hostile a lot to take this risk seriously and theres a strong we will have 1. 31. 4000000000 people that are behind this. National Peoples Congress or that. You know you you know they will not tolerate any secession the oil held out the prospect of a Hong Kong Style approach of one country 2 systems china you know one comes one country 2 system china would lead. Taiwan to do whatever i think anomic is side and and also Free Enterprise is capitalist whatever that it would not be really impressed by china so i as long as the sovereignty is within one china policy this system time can keep its existing system without changing the whole experience with one country 2 systems has left the concept here is doubt and under siege and paying the threats of resorting to force against taiwan is quite open as we saw earlier. Find. Bollywood hi to you chippy all sorts of issues jump. And the latest National Peoples congress only added to fears that the threat was becoming more explicit so i think you know theyre there which i think send a signal that of course china wants. You know were not this ambiguity in chinas messaging and in the anti secession lloyd self leaves a lot open to interpretation so its not completely clear what chinas red lines are but the most important. Circumstances i believe is the one that is completely open ended and that is in the antisocial are basically says over time taiwan does not agree to unify peacefully then force can be used to achieve that goal and that is really the one that is quite worrisome and with every passing year chinas military has been getting stronger with massive investments in exactly the sorts of weapons that it would need to invade taiwan and crucially to deter a repel any american attempt to stop it james finale was chief of intelligence for the u. S. Pacific fleet until 2015 he recalls how he watched the chinese navy grow since the beginning of his career and the chinese maybe that time had a few ships from the north sea fleet but really nothing else that concerned us now 30 years later the chinese navy is larger than us navy in terms of total number of ships. And they certainly are outpacing the maybe the us maybe in the western. Shore and for the last 5 years plus theyve been producing literally 5 times as many ships per year as the u. S. Navy reduces. Those ships include 2 carriers and many of these amphibious warfare ships the sort of vessel that could bring marines to ton want. Just and china has the edge in crucial missiles to the sales designed to destroy precisely the kinds of ships that the u. S. Might use to defend taiwan theyve invested a lot of time and energy to become the worlds leading leaders to initiate Cruise Missile technology they have these and issue of Cruise Missiles like the white tree which has a 300 kilometer mile range thats longer than anything that United States. Right now and its also supersonic and it has these high to bring capabilities that can defeat the prince of systems close in Weapons Systems and theyve built them you know by the truckload centrally so take all this together and chinas dramatic military build up hasnt just totally outgunned taiwan its even made it a serious rival to the United States in the pacific even 5 years ago the ability of the United States to come to taiwans defense was greater than it is today and with the balance of power chinas favor the prospect looms larger that it will decide to act james final says theres even a kind of historical deadline on the horizon the 100th anniversary of communist china in 2049 i believe that whoever is the leader of the peoples republic of china on 1 october 29th is going to stand up and turn of the propensity to give a speech to the people who are trying a 1000000000 plus people and that person is going to have to say we have achieved a great rejuvenation of china and we are now completely restored in order to race the shame of the century of humiliation for the argues than any invasion would have to take place within the next decade for the dust to settle in time for that momentous date my theory is if you could take 20 years is the time that the world will forget anything then you back that up from 21. Tonight youre basically a 2030 so id characterize what were in right now just begun as the decade of concern 2020 to 2030 is the most dangerous time of the earth in my opinion for a conflict with china over these disputed territories but chinas leadership has the motivation and increasingly has to meet to make a military move against taiwan so what might china actually do. Coming up in part 2 we examined 3 scenarios 1st chipping away at taiwans result by military and hybrid meaning. Their cost of weakening taiwan with Cyber Attacks with this information this information attacks. And of course espionage the hope i think in beijing is that the taiwanese will eventually just crumble. In scenario 2 russias crimea playbook inspired a shadowy takeover of the outlying islands. While rushing to leave the green man then people calling me the blue man and so it creates a very serious dilemma for the marines and the army troops that are on team that the garrison there of do they shoot or not and when do they shoot and at what point did they start shooting. And finally in scenario 3 a full scale invasion. So youd have 1st initially a joint our Strike Campaign which would launch in all these missiles it would just be one missile or one installation in taiwan they would use or live maybe 10. 00 to 1. 00 to make sure that every defensive position in taiwan had been attacked every airfield or been cratered every naval port sables and we hear warnings had these dangers could come much sooner than we might. Think. And if you look at the internal situation in china at this moment. As being affected by. The chinese leaders the authoritarian leaders make fine taiwan us accompanying it scapegoat and therefore taiwan needs to be concerned about the chinese possible use of force against us thats all in part 2 of taiwan china its next target. This is some the story a stubborn rice farmer from thailand. His problem. His credo no chemical. Step. Family school. Students are on the path comes to. Training successful. Starts october 15th ws. This is the that you news live from berlin a political crisis unfold in kyrgyzstan the country of those parliamentary Election Results after protesters stormed parliament and seize government buildings the pro russian president insists that the situation is under control. Also coming up dont let it dominate you