There hasnt been a downturn like that in nearly 60 years the Asian Development bank says a recession in asias developing economies this year will set back efforts to live hundreds of millions of people out of poverty and it could get worse if the pandemic drags on the bank says the key to recovery is avoiding lock downs after months and. Teacher ing on the brink was finally ready to welcome back. Shed even invested her savings on trying to prove. But just when she thought she was back in business indonesia was again hit with lot done. Thats the way of the modern set that we only just managed to survive the 1st round of large scale social restrictions and here comes another one. For no im just relieved that we are barely surviving but it will definitely cause an impact on our income and. Asias g. D. P. Is expected to be minus 0. 7 percent this year dragged down by dismal results in india thailand the philippines indonesia itself and china next year is projected to be 6. 8 percent below expectations. The Asian Development bank says pursuing active lifestyles and eating well are vital for recovery and any future pandemics then theres the wellness economy which could also boost those efforts it accounts for 11 percent of output in asia its a growing market this vegan Food Producer in china has his eye on what our competition is the whole life stock sector its the Animal Protein industry we think its a game of making the keep for all. And definitive inspiration why not follow this south korean couples example prevented from taking their annual vacation they decided to set up camp in their living room. While. We were supposed to go on a weeklong trip to new york this summer which we cancelled due to the prolonged coronavirus outbreak. Instead we spent our money buying camping gear which cost us around 8000. 00. Or comment on care. It may not be the Great Outdoors but it proves you dont even need to leave the house to indulge in some past no wellness desperate times desperate measures. Chief economist at the Asian DevelopmentBank Forecasting a quick turnaround not not not a view to course worst but but further lockdowns could risk that how concerned are you about that threat. So 1st 2. Already brought the cast at our focus this year minus their point person but might not their been 7 percent the next year 6. 8 percent it looks like the show up barry bonds but the indeed not necessary because liberal g. D. P. Next year going to be substantially beatle pick will be 1000. 00 expectational so actually pick up 90. Gross is continuous and then negative girls and then pick up but never read them back to they up to 1000. Girls trend and to also mention. There are 30 so see some indie. You know risks to these rather optimistic focus next year 6. 8 percent 1st risks to the break remain true to who was that on site and a risky 2nd being one thing couldnt be more poor wrong. Or 2nd or 3rd waves then government needs to impose somewhat the stringent a clinton policy and pushing down economy 2nd social risk is protracted weakness made 3 crisis in some economies with the existing debt that if you dont show who did it these banks may suffer losses on the rise in them before me loans maybe result that the crisis so thats a 2nd source of risk and sadly another risk is it was something as your Political Tension especially between us and china friction is all about trade on technology so we set the 6 point it percent growth next assuming that. Risk can be somewhat contained. But. If you dont side the truth that risks are going to 3 well considering that i find it interesting that theres no or mention of a vaccine in your report your forecasts based on us not having a vaccine next year. Thats a very potent point the vaccine is a very critical element since were not done to the way things are pretty. To go unless a vaccine is rolled out and produced and also distributed way to the among the debris being Asian Pacific region and that will not happen until next. Assumption so any case covered 90 in fact will last into the next year and beyond assumption again guess these are within the somewhat containment overhauls can be. Possible without the box in fruit boxing the rope and then access so inevitably the men still continue to impose some containment policy and even you know the opening of the economy is picking up there was a 6. 8 percent next year but you know government should impose a social distancing trying to restrict jones and also people will hold the precaution behavior so i think that we all will be included in the 6. 8 percent next year does not sound like the drummer is over yet chief economist of the Asian Development bank yeah thank you very much thank you thank you very much. Theres more data out today showing the chinese economy is recovering fast from the corona crisis in august industrial output grew by more than 5 percent thats the fastest growth in 8 months at the same time retail sales have grown for the 1st time this year suggesting the economic recovery is gathering pace as demand starts to improve more broadly Consumer Confidence is picking up improving automobile sales among others. Cliff it can it is following this story for us this daughter out today is just the latest in a whole series of data showing that the chinese recovery really is amazing and much quicker than anywhere else in the world. The key being domestic demand finally beaking up thats right you mentioned there are 2 key things retail rubios these are 2 key drivers of the of the chinese economy and to see them growing is very important and a real sign that its coming out of the coronavirus on a few months ahead of the rest of the world which is also crucial i think so this really adds to chinas economic muscle in the way it deals with the rest of the world which is how were looking at china right now and i think as weve seen in the chinese you summit which took place yesterday the e. U. Is looking for a level Playing Fields now with china insurance lets have a listen into what officials have been saying as far as a level Playing Field with china. We want it will issue shippers cherry that its based on the receipt proceed to responsibility and visit. We heard the same sort of message coming from fund align and other officials too it sounds like the e. U. Was begging for china to come to the table on on on an uncivil if. It does that its also the kind of argument now that weve had for years and years and years and there has been absolutely no advance the e. U. Is constant same please you know we were big trading partners you know the same way as we treat you i mean if a Chinese Company can buy an airport in the e. U. Icons in the e. U. Company by an airport in china things like that why is that message not getting across the i mean the e. U. Is a huge economic bloc well this is where it comes in to what we saw earlier i mean china is growing very very strongly it feels that the e. U. Needs. So when you say you want something doesnt mean youre going to get it and i think china is quite happy for the talks to continue like this they can they can let things run because their economy is growing whereas the e. U. Is trying to get out of the coronavirus needs to focus on things like the Retail Sector in china the automobile sector in china that we spoke about earlier and i mentioned that the e. U. Economy is is a strong economy. But the e. U. Doesnt speak with one voice does it no i mean i think its very its very disparate i mean youve got a very strong German Economy very strong French Economy and then youve got a lot of other peripheral economies that are still struggling and also i dont think the e. U. Realize its own strength when it deals with china sometimes i think its kind of bought into the narrative that china can pretty much do what it wants. So its always in a weak position that way and politically its not unified its Foreign Policy is very mixed as well so whats making it even weaker is that it doesnt really have the backing of the u. S. It doesnt well this is it i mean weve been talking so much about the u. S. China decoupling but were also seeing a u. S. Europe decoupling in trade terms and i think thats really important because it means that even though the u. S. And europe share common values President Trump notwithstanding e. U. The e. U. Is now standing alone in its fight a little bit against china and i think thats been a difficult position politically and thank you very much for coming in today. Now to some of the other business stories making news china is eating into its serves to try to cool prices following swine fever outbreaks of the selling of a half a 1000000 tons its opening off another 20000 tons of for example from state reserves to diseases seem massive peak herds decimated. French prime minister. Is calling on companies to sign pot time employment agreements the crowbars want more than 700000 jobs in france in the 1st half of the year now the government is responding with a 100000000000 euros recovery program. German comic a dima has agreed to pay 1. 00 and a half 1000000000. 00 to settle emissions cheating allegations that the United States the u. S. Government in california are accused of a savings maker of using test defeating software and selling known compliant vehicles. Well hip hop has been around for a long time so well fans will be happy to know is finally holding its 1st ever hip hop auction boxes to big jewelry which features around 120 pieces of memorabilia from the late seventys the ninetys among the items on the block the crown worn by new york Biggie Smalls in a photo shoot just days before he was shot dead in a feud also took the life of compaction for. And just updating our top story for you for the 1st time in about 6 decades the developing economies of asia is that you contract. I mean fizzling i suppose this would be. The only. Combating the corona pandemic. Where does research stand. What are scientists learning. Background information and news. Hour carona update. Covert 19 special next on d w. Im neal come to talk about the 2nd season on the fence its about the environment still about society its still about us the planets on the brink he spoke to several leading experts in the fish. Just. Only good sense of. How the virus spread. Why do we panic and when well all be. True just through the tactics of a weekly radio show is called spectrum if you like and information on the chrono larysa or any other science topic you should really check out our podcast you can get it wherever you get your podcast you can also find us at. Science. Sometimes. What connects people. Hes stronger than this race that. Is so strong that. We celebrate the 30th anniversary of for years occasion october 3rd on d. W. Parts of latin america are finding a new normal amid the pandemic 1. But tragedy remains a reality for many. Are still has seen the highest number of coronavirus cases in the region officials there say the virus is under control and are even closing temporary hospitals like this one. But more than 130000 people have died during the pandemic so far in brazil why has it been a hotbed for the virus. The pandemic is also putting the squeeze on latin american livelihoods can governments help their citizens make ends meet. Welcome to georgia fellows cove in 1000. 00 special im Stephen Beers in berlin its good to have you with us and we begin with a look at brazil where a lack of government response has devastated the most vulnerable groups in particular those living paycheck to paycheck often in the informal economy left to try and fill in the gap or community groups. People angry about president bills and their roles right wing politics about exclusion and racism about the many club with 19 deaths and about the fact that nothing is being done about it in this country the protests are led by alto football fans of the corinthian football. Every fatter day the fans cook meals to hell. The poorest people those who have been hit hard by the pandemic today alone they will distribute 1000 meals on the city streets they deliver the food packages in their private cars they head for the center of sao paulo in a convoy. For these Homeless People the free meal is a blessing with its rice pastel and sausage they have only been homeless for a few weeks they could no longer pay their rent due to the Coronavirus Crisis brazils new for. The government should come out of its palaces and with its own eyes what is happening in this country. Brazils president who usually appears without a mask continues to downplay the coronavirus risk he has been criticized for not always publishing the number of victims. The number of unreported cases is especially high in the favelas so in Rio De Janeiro residents have started their own count. Many victims of the virus and. By the Health Authorities we have a few examples of that among our circle of friends the volunteers talk to their neighbors and know the case of. Part of the unreported number. Here wolf over to god theres some call that 9000 cases here. Some survive others dont. With the help of residents the volunteers compile they only lists for their poor district. They also collect data on sick people via whatsapp something the city council does not do. So. Since the appeared the government is conspicuous in its absence we always have to reinvent ourselves and break new ground. As other football fans in sao paolo here under a highway bridge at 10 pm go where hardly any others would set foot. Cars drive across the bridge above all down below families in need of build a place to live they too are among the pandemics for. This family brought a Kitchen Cupboard a bad and a stole from their rented apartment just a few weeks ago now they can only hope for better times and that was important help not stop. Looking for the story. During the crisis i could no longer pay my rent my wife and i became unemployed we have 3. 00 children only option was to come here i built this shelter myself. With poverty comes fear of the virus and of being left behind during the pandemic. And im joined now by money field shes director of the institute for latin american studies and hamburg where shes joining us from eric is going to have you on the show the lack of government help for brazils poor during so much of the spend demick has that been by design or by omission. Well i mean actually if the brazilian government overall hasnt been completely and attentive to the needs of the poor. And thats been actually not but it is one of the executive government but the opposition back in late march so right after the pandemic started the opposition and Civil Society came together and pushed through emergency cash assistance and the government did not veto it and thats a result actually about one 3rd of the brazilian population currently receives emergency cash assistance from the government which is the highest level of any latin American Country however of course it doesnt need all basic needs well its relatively sufficient enough to buy food it doesnt necessarily cover rents and such and so still people for example in sao paulo who lose their jobs are still in dire economic straits so there is a social protection floor in brazil but of course it doesnt mitigate all the devastating effects of the economic crisis and this is being pushed by the opposition rather than the government what have we seen covert really take off in latin america seems like a comparison to some other regions there is a bit more of a case is really took off and still things have been pretty bad in countries like brazil. Policies or on any or no what do you see. Well im not an epitome ologist but i can tell you this that part of humans are vectors of transmission and so social distancing measures have really helped to mitigate the spread of the virus however if you implement social distancing you absolutely have to also especially important countries make sure their families have the means to feed themselves while they stay at home and in countries that cant do that you cant expect people to stay at home a star or watch their kids go hungry or not go out on the streets and try to make an income and so thats one of the key challenges that let american countries as well as all developing countries have had is how to make sure that people can actually add here to the social distancing measures and in a region with very high levels of in from aladin the workforce about half of the workforce is employed informally and you know if they lose their jobs from one day to the next that means their income disappears so you need to get help to them very very fast and that was a significant challenge in pretty much every single that American Country except that had a Strong SocialProtection System going into the crisis perhaps more comparable to what you see in germany. And they were able to get that assistance to people fast but otherwise it was a real challenge and that was one of the factors that made it very hard to tamp down on the virus as well what we see when we look at these countries Health Care Systems as well with other regions thats also been a challenge is or Health Care Systems have been investment invested in rather. Overall yes because one of the key characteristics of latin america is the tremendously high levels of Socio Economic inequality and so you have an underfunded Public Health sector that serves the majority of the population and then you have a better resource private healthcare sector however neither were prepared to confront a pandemic of this magnitude and now you see the result. Is interesting in that piece seeing how the Community Comes out on one hand the football clubs on the other hand some volunteers in the favelas im guessing that might be nice but perhaps not enough to really make so much of a difference when youre talking about a pandemic thats correct i mean Civil Society help these always important but if youre dealing with a shock such as a pandemic you solute we have to have a state that is prepared to confront these kinds of social risks and unfortunately most latin american countries. That week stay capacity has come to the floor with this crisis and many governments are recognizing that now and seeking to invest more in it i want to ask you before we go about has the highest mortality rate in the world from coven still any reason for that. Well i think the factors that i mentioned. Pru is a country with very high levels of informality 80 percent of the workforce is informal and so when the pandemic hit they depended on the Informal Sector for their income and the social distancing was quite brutal and they couldnt sustain it at the same time the government had a really hard time reaching the entire population and still in august 5 months later many people were still waiting for for cash assistance help from the government so in those kinds of circumstances its very very hard to effectively implement social distancing measures add to that simply lots of People Living in pretty bad Housing Conditions in urban slums where social distancing is very difficult some people dont even have fridges so they cant prepare for example meals for an entire week they have to go out every day and buy food around my field director of american studies and home birth thank you very much. And now its time for your questions to our science correspondent dirk williams. How long does an asymptomatic person or one who has overcome covet 19 remain a possible source of infection. Regardless of whether you have symptoms or if youre asymptomatic if youve been diagnosed with coke at 19 its important not to leave isolation and tell your local Health Authority says you no longer pose a danger to others and its recommended guidelines the w. H. O. Says that on average positive patients who show symptoms could be infectious for up to 10 days after symptoms 1st appear it also says patients should wait at least that long plus 3 days after their symptom free without any medication so a person with an average case of coke at 19 if there is such a thing should isolate a minimum of 13 days for a symptomatic people the w. H. O. Recommendation is to isolate for at least 10 days since your last positive test various national Health Authorities have interpreted those recommendations in different ways there is no 0 risk scenario but as a rule of thumb people who test positive whether theyre symptomatic or asymptomatic are now viewed as being no longer infectious after 2 weeks. And thats all from this coven 1000 special you can find out more online at d w dot com as always thanks for watching. Kick off. This mindset is certainly something is coming. The sat test for the kick up the indus league and. Are the favorites. To be known as player my surprises ability. To. See the new season kick off. In 30 minutes on d w. Clearing mines in ukraine one step at a time many young highly qualified people want to free their country from land mines and booby traps. Theyre even retraining to do it on the job sixteens a week away from their families. Whats driving them close up. 90 minutes on d w. Eventually refrigerants just shows numbers but the rest of shows most modern blah blah blah. Cause. Some. Credit for the smart ways to get her. Read. On t w. Beethoven is for me. Is for. Beethoven is for. Beethoven is for. Beethoven is for everyone. Beethoven 2020. The 50th anniversary here on d w. This is. From kremlin critic. Posts a message from hospital and his 1st message on social media since his poisoning last month just sitting up with his family. Is creating on. Germany to open. The migrants from the great god americas government agrees to take 1500 refugees off the europes largest migrant camp was destroyed by fire. For the 1st time in 6 decades of asia pacific economies