general said midmorning that while the assurances had reduced the risk that the uk would be permanently trapped in a customs union, it hadn't got rid of the risk altogether. so suddenly, the fancy wrapping paper and the new red ribbon that she put around the deal simply fell away. as a result, a few hours ago her main political allies in parliament, the northern ireland unions, said they wouldn't support the deal, and many conservatives within the hardline brexiteer bloc will either vote against or abstain. i think probably, and i'm not one to predict anything can great certainty, but probably this -- the vote is lost and the deal, as it stands at the moment, is dead. the big question is, well, two, number one, is theresa may politically dead? number two, what on earth happens next? >> we're close to 30 years away from the worst of the violence in northern ireland.