deep red state. joe donnelly doing pretty well there. claire mccaskill in missouri holding her own. same with heidi heitkamp. in tennessee phil breseden that guy is like 65-25 favorablity. he's ahead in that state. five states that democrats should be 20 points behind but man they are neck and neck and can win with all of them. >> let's start with tennessee. phil breseden a candidate well-known. former governor, former mayor of nashville running against a republican candidate. clocks in at about 13.3 on the kook scale. no surprise he's ahead in that race. in indiana, we look at donnelly. he's an indiana senator. it's a state where there's still enough proximity to the voters that you can get around that state. they know who he is. they like him.