jeb bush is d.o.a., in the 3% club with the rest of the huckabees and fiorinas and everybody else. chris christie has shown a pulse in new hampshire which is interesting, but chris christie hasn't polled above 5% nationally since may and he's put all of his eggs in new hampshire. he's known there because he's nearby. i don't think that his act is going to play very well in south carolina. i think iowa is the key more. ted cruz has a legitimate shot of beating trump in iowa, which changes the way that we talk about this election for a moment and basically polls, national polls in primary elections usually don't matter until after thanksgiving so all of this noise so far has been really entertaining, we've all been watching it but we don't know what it means until right about now and i think ted cruz could change that which the establishment is going to love because he's seen as anti-establishment as well. >> bob, does cruz maintain a momentum and keep growing because he's right, polls before thanksgiving really are not that