the average working guy and woman in pennsylvania goes, wait a minute, that's us who has to do the fighting, our kids. we're not going to into another stupid war that people laugh at afterwards and our kid comes home beat up. >> senator paul looks at what his father did in 2008, 2012. he sees someone who in almost every primary was in the top three. he starts with the base. question is how does he get number one or two? >> what's his percentage of the -- >> i'd say it's about 20%. libertarian base, 20%, 25%. add in the young voters that's his coalition. >> here's who he takes into battle with him. mitch mcconnell from paul's state of kentucky. "national journal" reports a group of house members, mainly tea partyers in paul's corner. justin amish of michigan, paul labrador of ohio, he's pretty conservative. mark sanford of south carolina who's an interesting fellow in all kinds of ways. let me go back to nick on this.