let's start with you, kevin, because you are the florida guy here. are either of these polls accurate? is there a clear frontrunner in tonight's race? >> i think we have to remember this was a district where a guy was addicted cocaine was elected, so anything is possible here. it does look like kirk clawson is going to pull this out based on the polling that we've seen. this is a tea party guy who, like you said, had the endorsements of michelle bachman and rand paul who ran on an appeal obama care message largely, which what is new? we'll have another republican congressman that wants to go back to a time where preexisting conditions would disqualify you from health care and you have coverage gaps on your health care. >> so, i mean, all of those issues are important aside, but, you know, these guys all agree. i think even the democrat in this case probably is on their side because they're all republicans essentially. indicateden, i want to talk to you about these national endorsements. it is a special election. they are obviously given sometimes out sized importance,