if it goes longer, you might get people considered more of a long shot. that would include cardinal o'malley and cardinal dolan. it's really interesting when you're out in rome that the tourist industry would love to see an american pope. they think it will bring a lot of media and a lot of tourists and thus a lot of dollars into the city. it's surprising to see a lot of the roamens i've talked to say they want nothing to do with a tallian pope because then it's business as usual. there is agreement if we would see white smoke today, it would be one of the favorites. probably the one person is the archbishop off of milan, cardinal scola would be an early favorite the longer it goes on. conventional wisdom is it would be more of a long shot. >> we're guaranteed to see smoke at some portion of this morning, correct? >> yes. they do two votes. assuming, assuming that they