in the sort of modern era since we have been tracking this. and yet the reason he's not winning this race is that the president is winning hispanics by a margin that's never been seen before. it's by 45 points. this is among likely voters. 70. the president is hitting 70 and could go above 70%. so for every white male voter that the president has lost going back to 2008, he's gained demographically with hispanics and the republican party. the most fascinating thing peter heart said if mitt romney comes up short, he may have rick perry to blame. for that one-month period when rick perry was mitt romney's chief challenger, they made the strategic decision to go to the right of rick perry on immigration and he's paying for it demographically. if the president doesn't win