latest nbc news polls show that obama and mitt romney are essentially neck and neck. a closer read of that poll gives us the early line of what voters will be thinking about come november. joining me, frank yang, partner at the yang-hart research group. let's start with the president's approval rating. 48%. historically, where does he need to get that number to lock in reelection? >> you know, i think historically, if a president is over 50%, he's in pretty good shape for reelection. so, you know, five months to go in the campaign, the president -- it's going to be a tough race, but i think the president has the upper edge right now. >> one of the things that struck us about this poll, the early reads on the congressional race, specifically. let's switch to those. the poll shows preference pretty