months from now? are we going to reach a point where the skulls -- are we going to have june, july, august where unemployment drops. if that's the backdrop, we revert to where we were in 2010, where that republican message of he made it worse, saying it over and over again, that kind of works. but there's been a pivot, because the obama message was, here's what it's going to do. now it's about bragging about, here's what it did. and that's a much more confident place to be. >> and that's the democratic calculus on this. in terms of the republican calculus on this, while the economy is moving in the directions that we are seeing it move in, and while he's making speeches like that about the auto bailout, does that drive republicans towards campaigning on social issues? >> that's interesting. and i think you reach a point, if we don't have bad news this year. if the good news sort of continues, let's face it, obama's basically going to be unbeatable for re-election. because at the end of the day, the economy's going to be good. let's see what the republicans are talking about in september