now. chuck? >> well, as you know, our boiler room down at 30 rock does a lot of different modeling and based only on precinct modeling. if you just get rid of the entrance polls. on the data that has come in, 0.3 of 1%. okay? separates first and third. and based on different models depending on what happens, any of the three appears it can win. we can also report that the entrance poll did overstate ron paul not by some significant of a margin and that is why you've seen some reporting people following on twitter feeds about where paul was and this or that. as we're seeing the actual data come in it's showing that romney and santorum were under represented in the entrance poll and paul was over represented. now remember, it is an entrance poll. and because it's an entrance poll it is possible people went in thinking they would vote one way and got talked into it. the other thing to keep in mind is the most organized campaign