and ronald reagan in '79, george h.w. bush in '87 and bob dole in 1995 were all of the straw poll winners in florida. the author of the book, "keys to the kingdom," very nice to see you, thank you for joining us. >> thank you for having me. >> looking ahead to the straw poll today, who do you think floridians like? the gop field? >> i think it's too early. governor perry just recently got in the race and people are still trying to evaluate him. so i don't know. but i agree with the history that this tends to be an early republican indicator of an attitude in florida. >> and the only reason that if didn't happen with regard to 2000 and 2007, there wasn't enough interest at that time.