center. the winds now 80 miles an hour. that is a minimal hurricane. it's now moving off toward the west-northwest about 13 miles an hour and in that general motion is going to continue. i want to show you what's going on as far as the structure of the storm. the center of the storm is now just off to the north and to the east of hispaniola. the big question in the next 24 hours is how much interaction do we see here. certainly the inflow of the storm is being disrupted by the very tall mountains on hispaniola and that's really going to have a lot to do with how strong the storm will become ultimately. it may suffer a little bit in this next 24 hours, and if that happens it could also move a little farther west. if it is a stronger storm, it tends to respond more to the upper-level flow and that would drive it more toward the northwest. but beyond that time it is most likely going to be in this very warm water here without much land interaction at all. a very favorable upper-level environment. so it's entirely conceivable that we're talking about a major hurricane getting up toward the coast of florida or perhaps toward the coast of the carolinas. now, the models have been trending more to the right. that's been going on for a while