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if you look at it over time, the economy and who you vote for for president is a nonlinear relationship. that's what we call it and pulling terms. what that means is an incumbent absolutely gets punished for a bad economy. if you are her overt humor -- herbert humor, you are blamed for the bad economy, particularly if you do do not e two critical things in an election is an incumbent, talk about your success, talk about the next step, and disqualify your opponent as a threat to that economic birth. can i gave you one example that we have been through? >> sean: yes. thank goodness, where is the whiteboard back? >> unemployment rate in october of 20,000 was 3.9%, now it is 3.6. the real gdp growth in 2000 was 2.97, growth in 2192.97.

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