the last several years and continuation of that trend and that's why you have this lower unemployme unemployment, so it didn't play as well for the republicans with the broader american base. and so a lot of republican candidates are out there pushing the economy. the president is changing the tone with this immigration story, much to the concern of a lot of democrats-- of republicans in the field. eric: 30 seconds left and put you on the spot, john. 23 seats for the democrats to take the house, basically. what's your prediction for tuesday night? >> so the conventional wisdom they're going to get the 23 seats and that the senate's a different story. they may not get that at all. the question now is by how much. is it going to be really close to the 23, the cook report is saying it's edging up to a sort of a larger, somewhere between 40 and-- somewhere between 25 and above that they would get. how much that really actually plays out now on tuesday, it remains to be seen.