representative, ohio with steve, ohio 12 with troy, new jersey 3 with tom mcarthur, virginia 2 with scott taylor, florida with carlos carbella. all appear to be moving in republican direction. paul: okay, let me push back at that a little bit. you're saying that the quality of individual candidates matter. individual campaigns matter. i understand that but we have been hearing 4 to 5 six months that really the republican's fate is not in republican's hands, nationalized electorate, democratic enthusiasm that defeat donald trump and you're saying that that's not at all universally true? >> well, it isn't, some truth in it because the underlying landscape matters a great deal.