director of the hurricane center live in miami. this northward track i guess if that continues, southern southwest collier county, is this it? >> there's no way we will escape to this point. irma is closing in less than 50 miles away. it is effecting that area as we speak. shepard: the worst of it, marco island, everglades city and north into naples. >> yes, that is correct. naples is just to the north of that and it will continue to spread into the sarasota area in the tampa area into tomorrow. shepard: i wonder about four miles in cape coral and the rest of that on the coast. is there anything to indicate the northward movement would continue or stay offshore? >> at this point it looks like where they continue possibly with the slight westward drift. this is going to be just off shore or just unsure of the