leading the republican pack. mike emanuel live in washington. what more do we know about the iowa race at least on the republican side? >> iowa is looking like a two person race on the republican side at this stage according to the new survey. donald trump at 31, senator ted cruz at 29 and marco rubio in third at 15. today dr. ben carson is on the trail in iowa and made this reference to the powerball lottery. >> everybody is getting excited but you don't need to get too excited because i already won it. because i won it because i was born in america and i know the lord. >> back to that survey, 46% of those naming a candidate say they might change their mind so there may be movement over the next three weeks. >> a big number. what about the race at the next stop which is new hampshire? >> new poll shows donald trump growing his lead and in a three candidate race for second place.