for trump if i could for a second that is the billion dollar question. we don't know. we've, we see polls out of iowa which suggest it is a real tight raise between cruz and trump. this is just guesswork. number one, polls are modeled on past elections. maybe trump is altering the normal political calculus a bit. number two, maybe the bigger question here, eric. if trump doesn't win in iowa, which is entirely possible given the cruz surge of late, what does he do moving new hampshire? how does he spin it. does he lose ground in a state he has to carry to keep the trump boom alive and well in iowa has relatively few delegates proportionally allocated to candidates on the vote it will have extraordinary impact on momentum. momentum is a big deal when it comes to presidential campaigns. eric: if he loses iowa to cruz