christie and hillary clinton are top contenders right now. christie polling 48% against ms. clinton at 46%. independents are big for christie. women like hillary. joining us from washington katelyn huey burns reporter for real clear politics and charlesville, virginia dr. larry sabato who teaches politics there. doctor, tell me about christie and the woman vote. what's the problem? >> well, he has got an r. next to his name, bill. if he had a d next to his name he would be winning the women's vote. we live in a polarized era and men identify disproportionately with the republican party and women identify disproportionately with the democratic party. >> you don't think it's a matter of style that christie is so blunt and some women don't like that kind of confrontation? >> not really. and i will bet you some money right now, bill, it has to it be a little bit of money, but i bet you some money right now whoever the republican nominee is in 2016 will have a gender gap about the same as we have had in prior elections. >> and what is that gender