about the electorate tonight and early, the turn out we're antidotally getting the turnout is high. we don't really know what the electorate looks like. >> bret: we also don't know, for example, where, for example, there is a high turnout in what had been democratic areas. whether those people are all going to vote for the democratic. normally that's a pretty good indication. this is an unusual year. we have seen unusual things all through this year. i think the thing to watch is the independents and how they break. and as we get more exit poll data plus some raw data, we have a better feel for that romney needs a distinct majority of the independents to win. if he gets them, there is is a very good chance he will win. the simplest way to slice and dice the electorate is if you win nearly all your party and you probably. will both candidates will probably do that, and you win a distinct, i'm not talking about a slight but a distinct majority of the independents, you are going to win the election. if we are looking for one